4 fishy lines Monday

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    4 fishy lines Monday
    Start of the week can be notorious for public slaughter. I would not take these four sides if I were you:

    SA +4
    BOS -5.5
    DEN +2.5
    GS +1


    Just my opinion. Not saying I'd necessarily go big on Heat, Nets, Hornets and Kings, but I think all four are the right side and the above teams are landmines Monday. Take it for what it's worth. I was wrong about Spurs and that funny line Saturday, so I'm far from perfect sniffing these out.
  • NYSportsGuy210
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-07-09
    • 11347

    #2
    WHy don't you provide opinions on why instead of just saying what other posters post and then calling them your leans?
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
      WHy don't you provide opinions on why instead of just saying what other posters post and then calling them your leans?
      What are you talking about? I just logged on -- haven't even been on the forum in about 6 hours.

      I can just see a lot of people thinking the Spurs, Nuggets, Celtics and Warriors are easy plays Monday. If that jives with what others say, maybe you should listen instead of just assuming they're all gift plays.
      Comment
      • JOHON8
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-28-10
        • 7712

        #4
        Can anyone elaborate on the B2B/playoff spot situation in the games, or which team has more to lose?
        Comment
        • cockblocker
          SBR MVP
          • 04-26-09
          • 1268

          #5
          The Grizzlies are in a good spot vs the Clippers too. Grizz just got embarrassed in Miami and Clippers coming off big win at Wizards.
          Comment
          • Masu485
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-14-08
            • 7700

            #6
            2 will win
            2 will lose

            i'll be on nuggets i think.
            Comment
            • BetaB
              SBR MVP
              • 05-07-10
              • 1082

              #7
              heat under for me look fishy.
              Comment
              • NBA_Brosuf
                Restricted User
                • 02-14-11
                • 2489

                #8
                I like fishy lines.

                Waiting for them lines to denver and philly to come out. Those are my 2 fishy lines that I would like to play.
                Comment
                • m4rka
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 05-28-10
                  • 158

                  #9
                  nets+5.5 is the play
                  Comment
                  • tonyp0387
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-11-10
                    • 617

                    #10
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    Start of the week can be notorious for public slaughter. I would not take these four sides if I were you:

                    SA +4
                    BOS -5.5
                    DEN +2.5
                    GS +1

                    Just my opinion. Not saying I'd necessarily go big on Heat, Nets, Hornets and Kings, but I think all four are the right side and the above teams are landmines Monday. Take it for what it's worth. I was wrong about Spurs and that funny line Saturday, so I'm far from perfect sniffing these out.

                    Whats the Angle? . Public bets win at a 50 % clip look it up there's a science to this shi* . If you bet the public your gurranteed to lose and if you fade the public your gurranteed to lose to.
                    Comment
                    • anjaru
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-27-10
                      • 558

                      #11
                      Spurs +4? I haven't smelled anything this fishy since I went down on my ex's sister.
                      Comment
                      • twelvejewelz
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-29-11
                        • 2388

                        #12
                        Originally posted by m4rka
                        nets+5.5 is the play
                        I cant take the nets knowing that boston is 3-0 so far against them this season thats a no play for me. They won by 14, 6 and 25 points
                        Comment
                        • suicidekings
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-23-09
                          • 9962

                          #13
                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                          SA +4
                          BOS -5.5
                          DEN +2.5
                          GS +1
                          There's absolutely nothing conspicuous about any of these lines. The Miami line is a little inflated due to their previous meeting, DEN & BOS are bang on where they should be, and the GS line is appropriate following their recent success, being on their 5th in 7, and on the road. The Spurs are a bad bet tomorrow, but the rest are viable.
                          Comment
                          • EBDOGGN
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-21-09
                            • 563

                            #14
                            I havnt taken the heat just yet. I like them alot in this spot. Regardless of his many banwagen fans we hVe the arena gets ridiculously crazy down here during big games. That being said. I dont know what'll happen to miamis rep if they drop this game.. considering their worst lost off the season was to th spurs. apparently from what I've seen on sbr thus far mostly everyone has the same perception. Im starting to get a weird feeling that mia -4 looks a little to easy and in fact be the fishy line in this game.
                            Comment
                            • gv12
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-05-10
                              • 459

                              #15
                              Boston line definitely looks fishy so it's probably good to stay away, good luck today noco
                              Comment
                              • lakerboy
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-02-09
                                • 94379

                                #16
                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                There's absolutely nothing conspicuous about any of these lines. The Miami line is a little inflated due to their previous meeting, DEN & BOS are bang on where they should be, and the GS line is appropriate following their recent success, being on their 5th in 7, and on the road. The Spurs are a bad bet tomorrow, but the rest are viable.

                                Boston hasnt been less than 6.5 in NJ in the last 3 years. SO why do you say they are right on with this line? Its not the b2b thing either. NJ has covered 6 of 10 versus Bston.
                                Comment
                                • tshizzle
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 07-26-10
                                  • 298

                                  #17
                                  i like boston the best out of these picks.
                                  Comment
                                  • thebestthereis
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-01-09
                                    • 11459

                                    #18
                                    lines are a power rating/guess. they are there to have people guessing and forming an opinion on both sides. if you think they are wrong, bet the other way it is very simple. don't give the linesmaker more credit than they deserve. you cannot make the right like. the spurs were -3 vs the heat last meeting and got throttled by 30 tears, it happens every night except for the tears (unless you are on the heat).
                                    Comment
                                    • Pauulzcappin
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-23-10
                                      • 20295

                                      #19
                                      dynamite is gonna have a field day with this thread
                                      Comment
                                      • DemoralizdDreamr
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-04-11
                                        • 4319

                                        #20
                                        what about the hornets -3, it looks good because 70% of the public early on is on Denver and the line hasnt moved a bit??
                                        Comment
                                        • suicidekings
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-23-09
                                          • 9962

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                                          Boston hasnt been less than 6.5 in NJ in the last 3 years. SO why do you say they are right on with this line? Its not the b2b thing either. NJ has covered 6 of 10 versus Bston.
                                          Well, I would argue that games prior to the 09-10 season are irrelevant as Brook Lopez is the only player thats still on the roster, so we're talking about the last 7 games. Of those, the Nets were +5.5 home dogs this year on Dec 5th (getting beaten down 100-75) and otherwise have averaged a spread of +11 points to work with in those games, going 4-2 ATS and in the games they covered, needing most of those 11 points to cover. The line opened at BOS -5 with New Jersey on a 4 game win streak (against crap opponents, i know), Boston suffering a couple of tough losses recently, and Deron Williams back in action. So this line is really not coming out of left field here. Mine came out as BOS -4.5 from pure stats and I feel like anything else would just be correction for public opinion. I'm not advocating one side or the other here, but I feel like this line is reflective of the two teams' current form.

                                          So I think this line is uninteresting and not a priority for me, but that the Celtics will almost definitely cover, despite it likely being a heavy public play. The Celtics need wins to hold on to their #1 seeding for home court.
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #22
                                            boston is 3-10 ats on btb this year....that scared me away from taking them. older team, gets tired 2nd night. makes sense..
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by suicidekings
                                              There's absolutely nothing conspicuous about any of these lines. The Miami line is a little inflated due to their previous meeting, DEN & BOS are bang on where they should be, and the GS line is appropriate following their recent success, being on their 5th in 7, and on the road. The Spurs are a bad bet tomorrow, but the rest are viable.
                                              IMHO, I thought Miami would be -2, BOS would at least be -6 or even 7, NO would be a PK and GS would be -1 or 2. Again, this is just my opinion.
                                              Comment
                                              • ThingsFallApart
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-24-10
                                                • 880

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Dexter
                                                boston is 3-10 ats on btb this year....that scared me away from taking them. older team, gets tired 2nd night. makes sense..
                                                Yesterdays game was more of a light scrimmage. Their bench logged a ton of time, Rondo only played 26 minutes, don't factor in B2B here like you would normally.
                                                Im just going to stay away.
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #25
                                                  My big play -- and possibly only play -- of the night is a parlay, believe it or not:

                                                  LAL/MEM/MIA ML. Pays +192. If one of those teams loses, so be it. I don't think they will. I also think you could add HOU and OKC to it and be OK.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MadMajor
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 01-07-11
                                                    • 111

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by anjaru
                                                    Spurs +4? I haven't smelled anything this fishy since I went down on my ex's sister.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • obamaismyuncle
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-31-08
                                                      • 17801

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                      My big play -- and possibly only play -- of the night is a parlay, believe it or not:

                                                      LAL/MEM/MIA ML. Pays +192. If one of those teams loses, so be it. I don't think they will. I also think you could add HOU and OKC to it and be OK.

                                                      good luck, I have a funny feeling about the Lakers tonight, and Kobe's ankle is ****** up too.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
                                                        good luck, I have a funny feeling about the Lakers tonight, and Kobe's ankle is ****** up too.
                                                        Could be right. Lakers coming home from a big road swing.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • obamaismyuncle
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-31-08
                                                          • 17801

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          Could be right. Lakers coming home from a big road swing.
                                                          Kobe Bryant - G - Lakers

                                                          In a recent interview with reporters, Kobe Bryant shared that the ankle injury suffered in Saturday's game against the Mavericks as the most painful he has encountered to date.

                                                          "I thought I was done, like done," Bryant said. "We were all pretty scared … to be honest with you because it looked horrible and it felt worse." Bryant has shown to be incredibly resiliant to injury in the past and will try to give it a go Monday night but remains a game time decision. If Bryant doesn't go, he will have five days to rest the ankle. If he decides to sit, give Shannon Brown a look.
                                                          Related: Shannon Brown

                                                          Source: Orlando Sentinel
                                                          Mar 14, 11:00 AM
                                                          Comment
                                                          • M.W.
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-07-08
                                                            • 1668

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by ThingsFallApart
                                                            Yesterdays game was more of a light scrimmage. Their bench logged a ton of time, Rondo only played 26 minutes, don't factor in B2B here like you would normally.
                                                            Im just going to stay away.
                                                            I couldn't disagree more. Yesterday was total domination, and it takes a lot of effort to dominate like that.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dynamite140
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-05-08
                                                              • 4958

                                                              #31
                                                              Oh dear another thread about TRAP PLAYS AND Fade the Public from no coincidences
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dynamite140
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-05-08
                                                                • 4958

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by DemoralizdDreamr
                                                                what about the hornets -3, it looks good because 70% of the public early on is on Denver and the line hasnt moved a bit??

                                                                What do you think?


                                                                Every thread no coincidence post is going to be either line movement, trap plays or fade the public plays. You were expecting something different from him? Besides that and the creating threads everytime his bet is down, you going to expect him to post insight?


                                                                All No Coincidences does is stare at the lines for 12 hours a day and complaining because they trying to fix a total in the last 2 minutes . To anyone that saw that magic/suns game yesterday, this guy complained they called a fake foul with 8 seconds left in a blowout when it was 100 PERCENT a foul. Of course he will lie and say he saw the game like he did last time with the clippers/bobcats game and said they called 6 phantom fouls when probably all of them were legitimate. If anyone of you read his thread yesterday, its pretty obvious he don't even watch the games on tv and just says they rig totals when it was obvious a foul occurred
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by dynamite140
                                                                  Oh dear another thread about TRAP PLAYS AND Fade the Public from no coincidences
                                                                  Fade all of them. Go 4-0.

                                                                  Simple strategy.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mcmc
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-09-09
                                                                    • 763

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                    Boston hasnt been less than 6.5 in NJ in the last 3 years. SO why do you say they are right on with this line? Its not the b2b thing either. NJ has covered 6 of 10 versus Bston.
                                                                    I saw that also in USA today website. Just doesn't sit right with me. BOL if you play it
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • rnunez91
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-27-11
                                                                      • 1590

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Dexter
                                                                      boston is 3-10 ats on btb this year....that scared me away from taking them. older team, gets tired 2nd night. makes sense..
                                                                      for the your info, the main 4 played about 25 mins a piece last nite... And the flight from boston to jersey is about an hour. There is no b2b theory for today, scratch that off... Boston are 1-2 past 3 games.. There half a game ahead of chicago. They wont let up in this game and they should play like the champions they are. Line is at -6 now at some places.. U should have taken celtics. Remember this post
                                                                      Comment
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