$400 on Pacers -1

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  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #36
    not a good call on indy. hansborough and george played well but looks like no one else stepped up.

    chargers and jr have nothing to say when i hit the last 2 plays but show up when i lose. its all good.

    let me know when you guys even have the balls to post your plays like i do everyday, even when i'm banned i find a way to.
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
    Comment
    • Goat Milk
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-24-10
      • 25850

      #37
      why did collison only play 20 minutes? it looks like he was playing good. did he get injured?
      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
      Comment
      • Truth Be Told
        SBR Sharp
        • 05-06-10
        • 321

        #38
        Originally posted by Truth Be Told
        6ers are a lock.
        Comment
        • Pauulzcappin
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-23-10
          • 20295

          #39
          Tough luck brother. Told you it was a difficult spot for the Pacers.
          Comment
          • JR007
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-21-10
            • 5279

            #40
            Originally posted by suicidekings
            Very easy to to come in and gloat after a play fails, especially when you yourself are not putting your opinions out there until after the fact... And it's also one of the worst elements of this forum offers. I'm going to eat my loss on the Pacers tonight, as I know Goatmilk will. Life goes on.
            sorry you lost your play SK..but you seem to have a "short memory"...this poster over the past year has continously ridiculed myself and others for trying to make "positive' contributions in other threads..he is long on cybertalk but short on substance, no...angles, no trends, no line movement analysis....hey, how many times has the guy had problems here ?? record speaks for itself....respect given is respect recieved in return...I have no problem....giving him a little of what he dished out to others....I agree this is one of the worst elements of this forum...rat,demens,ronjon and goatie....you are calling out the wrong guy here........ me......
            Comment
            • JR007
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-21-10
              • 5279

              #41
              Originally posted by Hoopster17
              knows the nba better then anyone else
              I agree..in fantasy leagues...not wagering
              Comment
              • Dexter
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-24-08
                • 25829

                #42
                Originally posted by JR007
                sorry you lost your play SK..but you seem to have a "short memory"...this poster over the past year has continously ridiculed myself and others for trying to make "positive' contributions in other threads..he is long on cybertalk but short on substance, no...angles, no trends, no line movement analysis....hey, how many times has the guy had problems here ?? record speaks for itself....respect given is respect recieved in return...I have no problem....giving him a little of what he dished out to others....I agree this is one of the worst elements of this forum...rat,demens,ronjon and goatie....you are calling out the wrong guy here........ me......
                let it go....this is not life or death
                Comment
                • JR007
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-21-10
                  • 5279

                  #43
                  CORRECT..... DEX.....BUT YOU SEE WHAT HAPPENED TO lYON/LAKERBOY THREAD.......GETS OLD.....DESTROYS WHAT COULD BE AN EXCELLENT FORUM
                  Comment
                  • Goat Milk
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-24-10
                    • 25850

                    #44
                    JR says hes been gambling everyday for 30 years yet never posted 1 play in his life. you copy and paste writeups from other analysts. You are worthless.
                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                    Comment
                    • JR007
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-21-10
                      • 5279

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                      JR says hes been gambling everyday for 30 years yet never posted 1 play in his life. you copy and paste writeups from other analysts. You are worthless.
                      SO GOAT.... WHAT YOU ARE SAYING IS THAT PEOPLE WHO DO NOT POST PLAYS ARE WORTHLESS???.....i AM NOT PRETENTIOUS ENOUGH TO THINK THAT I KNOW MORE THAN THE ODDSMAKERS....WHO HAVE...CONSULTANTS, COMPUTER PROGRAMMERS, ETC......EVERYTHING IS FACTORED INTO THE LINE...INCLUDING PUBLIC PERCEPTION.....BUT YOU KNOW MORE THAN THEM.....THAT'S IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN 40 YEARS OF GAMBLING VERSUS ONE YEAR.....I TRY TO WIN A PLAY BASED ON INTELLIGENT ANALYSIS.....IE, TRENDS , ANGLES, LINE MOVEMENT,SCHEDULING, REVENGE ETC......KEEP FLIPPING COINS
                      Comment
                      • Goat Milk
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-24-10
                        • 25850

                        #46
                        haha. you think trends and line movement is how you win in the nba? these things should be 15% at most of your analysis. If thats how you win why aren't guys like Lakerboy thriving this year , and an matchup analyst like sweet jones is? I'm quite certain that I have been gambling the NBA longer than 90% of posters here. If you have been gambling for 40 years you should know more than all of us but you tail guys that have been gambling for a couple years. Sweet jones has been gambling the nba for 2 years and he is better than all of us. I will be the first to admit

                        this is going to be a repeat of last year JR when we headed into the playoffs and you and the whole thread got buried for following line movement every game. If it weren't for lakersboys 10,000k play you would be toast.

                        thanks
                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                        Comment
                        • Dexter
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-24-08
                          • 25829

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                          haha. you think trends and line movement is how you win in the nba? these things should be 15% at most of your analysis. If thats how you win why aren't guys like Dexter and Lakerboy thriving this year (no offense Dex- you are the man), and an matchup analyst like sweet jones is? I'm quite certain that I have been gambling the NBA longer than 90% of posters here. If you have been gambling for 40 years you should know more than all of us but you tail guys that have been gambling for a couple years. Sweet jones has been gambling the nba for 2 years and he is better than all of us. I will be the first to admit

                          this is going to be a repeat of last year JR when we headed into the playoffs and you and the whole thread got buried for following line movement every game. If it weren't for lakersboys 10,000k play you would be toast.

                          thanks
                          i bet with trends and line movement? i use light trends and hardly never look at line movement in the nba. wow...i may mention that a line moved in my favor, but im not betting nba off line movement

                          about 5% of the people on this forum have the fkin balls to do what i do. post every play and keep an accurate record.

                          but everyone is a gambling genius...its pretty comical
                          Comment
                          • Dexter
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 25829

                            #48
                            .....................
                            Comment
                            • hawley
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-10-10
                              • 14270

                              #49
                              This kid is unbelievable

                              Goat didnt you play lakers ML in game 7 last year?
                              Comment
                              • Dexter
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-24-08
                                • 25829

                                #50
                                ......................
                                Comment
                                • Dexter
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 25829

                                  #51
                                  [.........................
                                  Comment
                                  • Dexter
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-24-08
                                    • 25829

                                    #52
                                    so goat, besides being mislabeled as a line movement guy, you also classified me as a trends player.

                                    when do i mention shit like this in my reasoning??!!

                                    ATS Trends

                                    Chicago
                                    • Bulls are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.
                                    • Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
                                    • Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
                                    • Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
                                    • Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
                                    • Bulls are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS loss.
                                    • Bulls are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
                                    • Bulls are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
                                    • Bulls are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games playing on 1 days rest.
                                    Comment
                                    • Goat Milk
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-24-10
                                      • 25850

                                      #53
                                      yes i did hawley. what an amazing call it was to take the ML. i won every game in the nba finals because i studied film and avoided line movement. the playoffs are all about matchups, thats why i always say line movement is only importnat during the regular season. you can pick your own style. most in this section has been gambling nba for a couple of years and now they think they know everything

                                      dexter where did all this come from. you follow those ats trends all the time. every play you make has a reasoning with ats trends. settle down did i even say anything wrong?

                                      i will start a thread tomorrow just to prove you wrong about keeping a record. its not a big deal. you are taking what i said completely the wrong way
                                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                      Comment
                                      • Goat Milk
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 03-24-10
                                        • 25850

                                        #54
                                        i edited it out. settle down jesus
                                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                        Comment
                                        • Dexter
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-24-08
                                          • 25829

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                          yes i did hawley. what an amazing call it was to take the ML. i won every game in the nba finals because i studied film and avoided line movement. the playoffs are all about matchups, thats why i always say line movement is only importnat during the regular season. you can pick your own style. most in this section has been gambling nba for a couple of years and now they think they know everything

                                          dexter where did all this come from. you follow those ats trends all the time. every play you make has a reasoning with ats trends. settle down did i even say anything wrong?

                                          i will start a thread tomorrow just to prove you wrong about keeping a record. its not a big deal. you are taking what i said completely the wrong way
                                          -i look at spread ratios and how teams perform ats in those situations..

                                          -i look at back to back records su and ats

                                          -i look at some historical matchups between the 2 teams

                                          when do i ever mention any of the useless *trends* that you find in covers.com? those trends can create an argument either way for both teams. you will always find a trend to back up any play.

                                          im a situational sports bettor more then anything, and if you cant see that from the writeups i do, then i dont know what to say....

                                          in baseball i'm more quant oriented with the formulas i use for my autobets....the system spits out the play, and thats it.

                                          nfl im a situational bettor as well but also have quant oriented autobets based on formulas i came up with.

                                          the 2 sports i rely on line movement are ncaab and ncaaf.....and only b/c i dont follow the players like i do in pro sports....and i usually pay the price in college
                                          Comment
                                          • hothandsmgee
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 06-08-09
                                            • 371

                                            #56
                                            Wow that was a call
                                            Comment
                                            • 8ArIvd5
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-24-10
                                              • 3175

                                              #57
                                              Sharp as ever, Goat. Keep up the good work.
                                              Comment
                                              • Inspirited
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 06-26-10
                                                • 1789

                                                #58
                                                kind of was an easy choice for me but i'm a sixers fan so...
                                                Comment
                                                • jsmithj88
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-27-08
                                                  • 3591

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                  $440 to win $400 on Indy -1 This game could move to a PK but it will not matter. The pacers are coming off a couple of bad losses and have not been playing good defense lately. I have been a big fan of the 76ers since before the season started when I said they would make the playoffs even after starting 3-13. With 2 straight triple doubles from Andre, and Philly's bench scoring 50+ a game lately, it's going to be a tough spot for indy no doubt. But with their recent success we could see more motivation from Indy tonight, that combined with the fact that the game will be televised in Vogel's old town makes it "extra special" as he mentioned. Collison is going to pick Philly's D apart tonight. They do not like playing against quick pg's. Granger always has solid games against the 76ers and I expect guys like Hibbert, George, and Rush to all step in and play well. I like the fact that Dunleavy will not play here because it allows George to come off the bench and get more minutes with Rush, both these guys are long and athletic and they matchup well with guys like Thaddeus Young and Evan Turner. I think that Indy has a pretty significant advantage in the paint tonight. If Philly starts to settle for jump shots, which they sometimes do, this game could get out of hand quickly. Either way, I like Indy's presence in the paint tonight with Collison creating a lot and Hibbert down there getting offensive positioning for a board or bunny shot once the defense collapses on Collison or Granger.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sweethook
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-21-07
                                                    • 12667

                                                    #60
                                                    nba is tuff ,lets gettem ,gl.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • NBA_Brosuf
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 02-14-11
                                                      • 2489

                                                      #61
                                                      When you make a big write up and you still loses then what does that say about your write up? Kinda has that no taste and less filling in your beer doesn't it?

                                                      Write less and bet more...that's the ticket. So even if you loose, you didn't spend half of your brain in writing a book for losers.

                                                      Just saying.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JR007
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-21-10
                                                        • 5279

                                                        #62
                                                        You bet 400.00..what book ?????....i don't think so...ALL YOU ARE IS NONSENSE...AND ANYONE WHO FOLLOWS
                                                        YOUR PLAYS AND "LOGIC"......HAVE TO BE COMPLETE IDIOTS......FANTASY LEAGUES ARE FOR YOU
                                                        Comment
                                                        • shari91
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-23-10
                                                          • 32661

                                                          #63
                                                          Hey everyone.

                                                          Please remember this is the NBA Handicapping forum and while we may agree or disagree with plays posted or even get a bit irked by each other from time to time, the goal in this area of SBR is to share plays and to discuss games/lines and their outcomes.

                                                          Even though I realise there are arguments here going back months, etc, please keep the name calling to either Player's Talk or The Saloon. This area of the forum is moderated more heavily than others as it's meant to be purely for handicapping and I hope that we can all agree or disagree with a modicum of respect shown for our fellow poster, regardless of how we go about things.

                                                          Best of luck with your bets everyone.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JR007
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-21-10
                                                            • 5279

                                                            #64
                                                            "PHILADELPHIA 76ers continue to hold onto the top spot in our ATS Countdown with an overall record of 37-21-1 ATS for 63.8 percent winners. They used a 13-9 ATS run since our last installment and this was enough to hold off the hard charging Memphis Grizzlies. The 76ers came back down to earth on their home floor where in our first issue they had a record of 12-4 ATS for 75 percent winners but their recent 6-6 ATS mark gives them a still respectable 18-10 ATS record for 64.3 percent winners. The road is where Philadelphia improved they were ranked ninth with a record of 12-8-1 ATS in our first issue but they have posted a record of 7-3 ATS over their last ten road games to give them an overall road record of 19-11-1 ATS for 63.3 percent and a solid fifth place ranking. KEY ANGLE: The Philadelphia 76ers are 11-0 ATS (+13.7 ppg) since January 16, 1996 with two or more days of rest after a home loss in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was less than four."

                                                            SOMETHING TO READ
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lyon804
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-02-09
                                                              • 6526

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by shari91
                                                              Hey everyone. Please remember this is the NBA Handicapping forum and while we may agree or disagree with plays posted or even get a bit irked by each other from time to time, the goal in this area of SBR is to share plays and to discuss games/lines and their outcomes. Even though I realise there are arguments here going back months, etc, please keep the name calling to either Player's Talk or The Saloon. This area of the forum is moderated more heavily than others as it's meant to be purely for handicapping and I hope that we can all agree or disagree with a modicum of respect shown for our fellow poster, regardless of how we go about things. Best of luck with your bets everyone.


                                                              I am still patiently awaiting my first infraction from you
                                                              Comment
                                                              • t-wizzle
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-18-09
                                                                • 38099

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                                haha. you think trends and line movement is how you win in the nba? these things should be 15% at most of your analysis. If thats how you win why aren't guys like Lakerboy thriving this year , and an matchup analyst like sweet jones is? I'm quite certain that I have been gambling the NBA longer than 90% of posters here. If you have been gambling for 40 years you should know more than all of us but you tail guys that have been gambling for a couple years. Sweet jones has been gambling the nba for 2 years and he is better than all of us. I will be the first to admit

                                                                this is going to be a repeat of last year JR when we headed into the playoffs and you and the whole thread got buried for following line movement every game. If it weren't for lakersboys 10,000k play you would be toast.

                                                                thanks
                                                                I like SJ and i think he is good but for a guy hitting at 60% he should be up far more than 30 units on the year.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Gee
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-08-10
                                                                  • 4547

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by shari91
                                                                  Hey everyone. Please remember this is the NBA Handicapping forum and while we may agree or disagree with plays posted or even get a bit irked by each other from time to time, the goal in this area of SBR is to share plays and to discuss games/lines and their outcomes. Even though I realise there are arguments here going back months, etc, please keep the name calling to either Player's Talk or The Saloon. This area of the forum is moderated more heavily than others as it's meant to be purely for handicapping and I hope that we can all agree or disagree with a modicum of respect shown for our fellow poster, regardless of how we go about things. Best of luck with your bets everyone.
                                                                  we're allowed to name call in players talk?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • demens
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-22-10
                                                                    • 2785

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                                    I like SJ and i think he is good but for a guy hitting at 60% he should be up far more than 30 units on the year.
                                                                    He sticks to 1 or 2 plays a day if that, so the 60% wont build up the BR that quick. But 30x ain't bad at all.
                                                                    Comment
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