Bucks +7.5 @ home to the Celtics?

[djpremier36]

This match up may not look very intriguing at first glance but if you look closer at the numbers I think you have to take the Shmucks, err I mean Bucks here. Celtics have got a ton of new players finding their way, along with nagging injuries to Shaq, West and Davis. Bucks are not talented enough on paper (with or without Bogut) to hang with the Celtics but I feel they will play the Celtics with enough drive that will allow them to cover the 7.5. Majority likes the Celtics but the line isn't budging which helps the cause. I'll follow the line to see if I can get 8 or > and determine if I will make this more than one unit.

Here are a few stats that I am looking at:

• Bucks are 8-1 ATS against Atlantic division opponents.
• Bucks are 6-1 ATS versus the Celtics over the last 3 seasons.
• Celtics are 2-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season.
• Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.
• Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

BOL to whatever you choose!

[djpremier36]

Here's a few links to my previous threads FYI

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/970215-2-totals-tonight.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...-clippers.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...ver-211-a.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...der-199-a.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...home-nets.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...ver-212-a.html

[EastOakland]

You are right it is tempting 8 points at home is a lot

[seau45]

anyone like the over in this game?

[MONEY32]

the over looks real good. this game should hit 200 pts. GL

[djpremier36]

anyone like the over in this game?

Both teams could struggle to score 85 points each IMO.

[NYSportsGuy210]

No way MONEY32...the UNDER is the more lucrative play here. Expect something like a 92-87 type of score at most here. Anthoer reason why the spread seems to high for such a low scoring type of affair.

[sneak-a-peak]

Ya the +7.5 for the bucks is generous enough for a medium size play for me.

GL to us.

[MB]

No Shaq (again), West, Davis... Low scoring close game

[Wiscsportsfan92]

Overs always scare me with this years Bucks team because theres just something about their offense this year that just isnt clicking

[djpremier36]

OK I'm gonna play this one for 4 units.

[yisman]

I like Milwaukee here as well.

[djpremier36]

Pinnacle offering Celtics -7.5 @ +111 LOL.

GO BUCKS!

[texhooper]

the bucks now look like the play. i have to hang onto my celts moneyline against my will. may we all profit and prosper tonight.

[uhuhahah]

Bucks is the play

[yisman]

if line movement means anything, Bucks were the play. Pinnacle moved big in the final minutes.

[legendmatt34]

lookin good..

[djpremier36]

[GAMBLOR777]

lucky the refs didn't call a foul in those last seconds

great call nonetheless

[alamo]

I thought Pierce's layup and ONE was going to cost us the cover. Thk Goodness the Bucks ignored the crowds cries to foul with 10s to go

[djpremier36]

lucky the refs didn't call a foul in those last seconds great call nonetheless

What a dumbass play by Keyon Dooling to give Pierce an and 1?

Where does Milwaukee find these bums?

[djpremier36]

Kind of like the Bobcats tomorrow but absolutely love the THUNDER!

[texhooper]

Kind of like the Bobcats tomorrow but absolutely love the THUNDER!

thinking the same thing chief. about the thunder.

[alien296]

nice call on this one tonight....was close but nice call

[yisman]

that foul on pierce, letting him get the and-1, was pretty awful.

I had a bunch of live bets on Milwaukee at various spreads.

[Soon2BRich]

hey djpremier, i noticed that you stopped posting regularly on your thread and instead a few times you use a whole thread for one game instead. is this because the games which you dedicate an entire thread to you're really confident about? and if im not mistaken in everygame which you use a seperate thread for you've won? is that right? i only ask becuase im looking to tail you as well