First NBA RLM I've caught this year

**dskibin2** · 10-28-10, 11:13 AM

looks good, jazz will bounce back from last nigth

**thebestthereis** · 10-28-10, 02:13 PM

Under

**linewiz** · 10-28-10, 02:31 PM

Glad to see an RLM thread for NBA. Interested in seeing where it goes. Good luck tonight.

**RLM_Tracker** · 10-28-10, 02:46 PM

Thanks guys, hopefully it'll be beneficial for folks here one way or another, whether it's a fade or follow thing.

**sharper2** · 10-28-10, 03:17 PM

like it, goodluck

**chaseman** · 10-28-10, 04:50 PM

interesting, thanks

**Plu$Money** · 10-28-10, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

Under

Opened at 209.5 and now is at 208 with 70% on the over.. Under is the play GL

**Johnny 55** · 10-28-10, 04:55 PM

65% of the public have never been on Phoenix, it is currently 67% on the Jazz and it has never been less than 50% on the Jazz, so the line move from -6 to -7.5 is not RLM.

**BettingWizard** · 10-28-10, 04:57 PM

Jazz cover and RLM might be the most overrated tool in sports capping

**RLM_Tracker** · 10-28-10, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by Johnny 55

65% of the public have never been on Phoenix, it is currently 67% on the Jazz and it has never been less than 50% on the Jazz, so the line move from -6 to -7.5 is not RLM.

http://www.pregame.com/EN/main/sport...-spy-insights/ this says 62% on the Suns right now..... guess it all depends on what numbers you look at

Originally posted by BettingWizard

RLM might be the most overrated tool in sports capping

Feel free not to use it then

**demens** · 10-28-10, 05:39 PM

HA. Its funny, i just learned what RLM is today and spotted this one )))

**Gee** · 10-28-10, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by RLM_Tracker

http://www.pregame.com/EN/main/sport...-spy-insights/ this says 62% on the Suns right now..... guess it all depends on what numbers you look at

yup, every book is going to have different action. its important to look across a variety of sites.

Where i'm looking says 60% on the Jazz ML and line moving accordingly. there is some small RLM on the spread (with my info saying 52% on suns and 48% on jazz right now), but that doesn't mean much when you look at the ML movement IMO.

not enough for me justify a RLM play for me, although i like a Utah/Magic tease.

**RLM_Tracker** · 10-28-10, 11:02 PM

**thebestthereis** · 10-29-10, 06:30 AM

you don't cap games, that is already done in the line. you bet against the numbers and against logic. if it was the other way around everyone would be rich. don't make this harder than it already is.

**RLM_Tracker** · 10-29-10, 12:44 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

you don't cap games, that is already done in the line. you bet against the numbers and against logic. if it was the other way around everyone would be rich. don't make this harder than it already is.

I understand if you aren't a huge fan of RLM, but it has worked for me for a while. My profit may not exactly be huge, but it's been there at the end of the year ever since I've been doing it (as opposed to having to add a bit more to my account to keep going when capping games on my own

).

It's all good though, best of luck to ya

**demens** · 10-29-10, 12:49 PM

Originally posted by RLM_Tracker

I understand if you aren't a huge fan of RLM, but it has worked for me for a while. My profit may not exactly be huge, but it's been there at the end of the year ever since I've been doing it (as opposed to having to add a bit more to my account to keep going when capping games on my own

).

It's all good though, best of luck to ya

Check the Nuggets, looks like RLM to me.

Is this all you play? Just whenever you see RLM?

**RLM_Tracker** · 10-29-10, 01:03 PM

Originally posted by demens

Check the Nuggets, looks like RLM to me. Is this all you play? Just whenever you see RLM?

Yep, some RLM there. Probably be a small play on NO tonight.

And yes, I pretty much just follow RLM.

**demens** · 10-29-10, 01:07 PM

Originally posted by RLM_Tracker

Yep, some RLM there. Probably be a small play on NO tonight.

And yes, I pretty much just follow RLM.

Wait, timeout. (still learning the RLM concept), The RLM is in the Nuggs favor isn't? People are betting on them yet their line is getting better so why are you going with NO?

**RLM_Tracker** · 10-29-10, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by demens

Wait, timeout. (still learning the RLM concept), The RLM is in the Nuggs favor isn't? People are betting on them yet their line is getting better so why are you going with NO?

More people are betting on the Nuggets, but the line isn't moving the way you would expect, right? This would indicate that big/sharp money in Vegas is going to the Hornets. So in my mind, I'm following people who know what they are doing a hell of a lot more than me

**demens** · 10-29-10, 01:19 PM

Just to rehash to make sure i got this.

Last night. Public on Suns, line movement favoring Suns = RLM bet opposite of public Utah
Tonight. Public on Nuggs, line movement favoring Nuggs = RLM bet opposite of public NO.

**RLM_Tracker** · 10-29-10, 01:30 PM

Originally posted by demens

Just to rehash to make sure i got this. Last night. Public on Suns, line movement favoring Suns = RLM bet opposite of public Utah Tonight. Public on Nuggs, line movement favoring Nuggs = RLM bet opposite of public NO.

Right, for example for last night games the lines opened at most of the offshores at -6 or -6.5 Jazz, but as the day went on, the line moved to -7.5. This happened despite more bets coming in on the Suns side. So you certainly do lose some value in the picks.

And that's why many people choose not to lose RLM.... you do lose value in the process of it. Some say it makes RLM an irrelevant tool, which I certainly understand