feneks nba betting [2010/11 season thread]

[fenek]

WELCOME TO MY NBA SEASON THREAD !!!


thanks for stopping by. the preseason is over, now is the time for the teams to show up. we start the season with a fantastic opener. like i mentioned before i´ll be following the games via my new 42" tv with the nba ilp in HD quality.


inputs & thoughts are always welcome in here, feel free to be a part of it.

[fenek]

leans for tuesday 10/26/2010


mia heat @ bos celtics

this perfect opener for this years season is tough to bet at the first look, but with exactly this situation it´s clear which side you should take: it´s the hometeam, which fits together, knowing the systems to play and want to beat this years "team-to-beat" in front of their homecrowd. with 58% of the public on the heat the line moved at my book from +1 to -1. bos celtics -1@ 1.90 is the play for me with 1unit.


phx suns @ por trailblazers

i´m surprised by the fact that 60% (!) of the public are backing the suns with 7.5points added. i can see a blowout loss for the suns in this game. the trailblazers have to show up this season and i think they will start with it straight in the first game at home. i´m glad to have the possibility buying points at my book (bet365). my play is por trailblazers -9.5 @ 2.10 for a unit.


these are my leans. the exactly units and lines will be posted as soon as i locked them on my book, will wait a bit for news. thanks for reading and with your decisions.

[MB]

I'm with you on both games, but I got the Blazers @ 7.5. Hopefully that won't matter. Blowout? GL

[RayzHELL]

??????

leans for tuesday 10/26/2010


mia heat @ bos celtics

this perfect opener for this years season is tough to bet at the first look, but with exactly this situation it´s clear which side you should take: it´s the hometeam, which fits together, knowing the systems to play and want to beat this years "team-to-beat" in front of their homecrowd. with 58% of the public on the heat the line moved at my book from +1 to -1. bos celtics -1@ 1.90 is the play for me with 1unit.


phx suns @ por trailblazers

i´m surprised by the fact that 60% (!) of the public are backing the suns with 7.5points added. i can see a blowout loss for the suns in this game. the trailblazers have to show up this season and i think they will start with it straight in the first game at home. i´m glad to have the possibility buying points at my book (bet365). my play is por trailblazers -9.5 @ 2.10 for a unit.


these are my leans. the exactly units and lines will be posted as soon as i locked them on my book, will wait a bit for news. thanks for reading and with your decisions.

You are mistaken on both plays!

Because the public is on the HEAT the line moved from Boston CELTICS -1 to +1.

And if you bought 2 points on the Portland TRAILBLAZERS you would have moved it from -7.5 to -5.5.

[SiMON2g]

You are mistaken on both plays!

Because the public is on the HEAT the line moved from Boston CELTICS -1 to +1.

And if you bought 2 points on the Portland TRAILBLAZERS you would have moved it from -7.5 to -5.5.

He is buying points against Portland in expectation of a blow out.

[fenek]

You are mistaken on both plays!

Because the public is on the HEAT the line moved from Boston CELTICS -1 to +1.

And if you bought 2 points on the Portland TRAILBLAZERS you would have moved it from -7.5 to -5.5.

hello RayzHELL, thanks for stopping by !

but i have to say that you are mistaken with the correction of my two plays. please visit Bet365 to check the boston line, it opened with boston +1 two days ago, now you get them -1, with public on the heat. maybe our books show different line-movement, but i´m not mistaken ! and the portland handicap is like SiMON2g said correct, i added these two points to the handicap that i get them -9.5 with a 2.10 line.

He is buying points against Portland in expectation of a blow out.

[SolidDala]

Celts been -1 for some days now, but public is generous to us and gives us the better line >> pk instead .. BOL this season

[fenek]

the heat@celtics line is in action right now.

found some time to check sbr sportsbookreview and decided to open up a new account @ pinnacle. am excited about it, the lines look very good.

[CollegePro]

You are mistaken on both plays!

Because the public is on the HEAT the line moved from Boston CELTICS -1 to +1.

And if you bought 2 points on the Portland TRAILBLAZERS you would have moved it from -7.5 to -5.5.

pleae know what you are talking about before you make it bold and fancy..

[fenek]

tuesday 10/26/2010

mia heat @ bos celtics, 1.00 to win 1.03
phx suns @ por trailblazers -8, 1.00 to win 1.16

[fenek]

10/26/2010: 2-0 [+2.19units] 100.00%
total: 2-0 [+2.19units] 100.00%

[fenek]

wednesday 10/27/2010

bos celtics -4 @ cle cavaliers, 4.00 to win 3.86
ny knicks ml @ tor raptors, 1.00 to win 0.95

[miyakuza]

Careful with Celtics tonight Fenek.

[fenek]

Careful with Celtics tonight Fenek.

now it´s to late. thought this was one of the games not to worry about, let´s move on.

wednesday 10/27/2010

bos celtics -4 @ cle cavaliers, 4.00 to win 3.86
ny knicks ml @ tor raptors, 1.00 to win 0.95

10/27/2010: 1-1 [-3.05units] 50.00%
total: 3-1 [-0.86units] 75.00%

[fenek]

my lean for today is the utah jazz -7 @ 1.909

i don´t think we get a sign of life from the suns today, maybe with their home-opener, but not today. with that said i watch the lines, going to work now and when i come back it will be locked.

what do you think about the magic spread, can the wizards cover a +14 spread? that´s very much for a season opener.. we have to see, maybe a little play for me here. good luck with your decisions

[fenek]

thursday 10/28/2010

utah jazz ml + under 208 (suns@jazz), 2.07 to win 3.00

[fenek]

10/28/2010: 0-1 [-2.07units] 00.00%
total: 3-2 [-2.93units] 60.00%



terrible the last two days, hope to bounce back with a big friday card !

[fenek]

funny how some things develop. couldnt find the time to post my plays yesterday, and surprise, surprise, i picked a winning parlay to make a little profit in the total record. will upload a screenshot when i get to a notebook.

i know a guy who is sure that if he doesnt post or tell his picks, they will hit ... felt the same way today.

[fenek]

here is the link from the parlay two days ago, just wanted to post instead of writing down my winnings without posting them before.




dont have a lot of time last days, didnt place a bet yesterday. i think i will have a pick or two for today.

[fenek]

sunday 10/31/2010

uta jazz @ okc thunder -7, 1.50 to win 1.56

[fenek]

10/31/2010: 0-1 [-1.50units] 00.00%
total: 3-3 [-4.43units] 50.00%



ouch.. 40% shooting from the thunder and a hug performance from paul millsap continues my loosing streak with posted picks. hope to bounce back !

[fenek]

monday 11/01/2010


por trailblazers ml + sac kings ml, 3.00 to win 5.58

[fenek]

11/01/2010: 0-1 [-3.00units] 00.00%
total: 3-4 [-7.43units] 42.86%

[fenek]

thats what i call bad luck. had a 5team parlay running yesterday, hit the 3 nba games (incl a lucky one with the wizards), won the first of two tennis matches to loose the parlay with the biggest favorite tennismatch.....

did a lay bet of course but only to get my wager back, here is a screenshot of it + my hawks -3 bet from yesterday, hadnt time to post.

[fenek]

wednesday 11/03/2010


atl hawks -7 first half, 4.46 to win 5.00
cha bobcats -2 @ nj nets, 4.54 to win 5.00
bos celtics ml + okc thunder ml + gs warriors ml, 2.00 to win 3.01

[fenek]

11/03/2010: 0-2-1 [-6.46units] 00.00%
total: 3-6 [-13.89units] 33.33%

[fenek]

ok, the start of this thread is the worst i could imagine.. my bankroll took a hit, but today we gonna start picking winners.

first of all start this (you should use a good soundsystem)




checking the lines, checking the threads. drinking some coffee. my leans before checking info are chi -7 and por -5.5. we´ll see

[fenek]

thursday 11/04/2010

ny knicks @ chi bulls -6, @1.917 to win 5.00units
bulls ml + trailblazers ml, @2.01 to win 10.01units

[fenek]

11/03/2010: 0-2 [-15.45units] 00.00%
total: 3-8 [-29.34units] 27.27%




one word: terrible


am going to come back today after taking a few days off.

[fenek]

Monday 11/08/2010

San Antonio Spurs -4 @1.94, 1.00 to win .94
Denver Nuggets @2.33, 1.00 to win 1.33
Phoenix Suns +5 @1.94, 1.00 to win .94
Boston Celtics @2.37, .73 to win 1.00

[fenek]

11/08/2010: 0-3-1 [-2.73units] 00.00%
total: 3-11-1 [-32.07units] 20.00%

[fenek]

11/12/2010

Utah Jazz @ 2.35, 1.00 to win 1.35
Washington Wizards @ 1.95, 2.00 to win 1.90
New York Knicks -3.5 @ 1.86, 1.00 to win .86

[Tommy_de1st]

HEy Fenek, good luck on your thread

[fenek]

11/12/2010

Utah Jazz @ 2.35, 1.00 to win 1.35
Washington Wizards @ 1.95, 2.00 to win 1.90
New York Knicks -3.5 @ 1.86, 1.00 to win .86

11/08/2010: 1-2 [-1.65units] 33.33%
total: 4-13-1 [-33.72units] 22.22%


can´t get a + day since opening night....

[fenek]

HEy Fenek, good luck on your thread

thank you, watch the results so you can see that i need a lot of luck and time to get back in the black.