Basketball Parlay of the Day Contest - Tuesday, 1/29/08

[awhitejackson]

Tennesee -3.5....I bet big on UT against Kentucky and lost but still have great respect and confidence in this team. Top to bottom, coaches to reserves, this team is a definate final four contender. Need road wins to prove it though.
V tech....Hopefully they can learn from the bad loss at home to duke...Notice the small d in duke...boooo

[eidolon]

New York Knicks +9½ Under 206½
Knicks have been playing better ball lately, while the Lakers are still trying to figure out how to dominate without Bynum.
Lakers only seem to put up high numbers against high offensive caliper teams. I see both these teams scoring less then 100.

[rugbybdyb]

Dam I suck at this....well Im getting the kinks out before next month starts.

[babaoriley]

OK, I'm going ahead and getting this in here:

SEA +7.5 --- Plenty of red flags here:
-2nd half of a back-to-back (their second back-to-back in the last 5 days) and a b-2-b road trip as well (see 11/26 @Minn for similar situation)...
-Rodeo road trip with a game at PHO looming ahead should mean the Spurs rest up their starters if this one is out of hand early... -Everyone is on the Spurs to bounce back tonight with a win and ATS cover against arguably the worst team in the league...
-owned the Sonics in their previous meeting at Seattle, BUT, again their are red flags: The Spurs shot 51.3% to the Sonics 52.6%. The Spurs were a ridiculous 23-24 from the FT line (96%) and even more ridiculous 11-19 from downtown (58%) and won by 15. Anyone expecting them to match that shooting performance is loony.

-Spurs/SEA Under 194 (or whatever is posted)- Spurs last 10 games have all been 194 or Under, and 17 of their last 19 have been 194 or under. The Spurs have played back-to-back road games twice this season, losing both of the second games (at Sac and at GS). Also, see above for the ridiculous numbers the Spurs posted last game at SEA, then factor in that the Sonics shot 52.6% from the field, 40% from downtown, and 83% from the FT line. If this game goes over, it's going to squeak by the over, not soar over it as it did the last time these two teams met. Pop has to get these guys playing sound D and playing slower if he hopes to emerge with a .500 record on this road trip.

I normally hate boasting, but I have this Spurs team figured out at the moment. That's 4-0 in posted plays here, but if I go back and check my record, I'm 11-1 on my last 12 Spurs wagers dating back to last Wednesday:

Had both side and over tonight (2-0)
Had both side and over last night (4-0)
Had both side and over against N.O. (6-0)
Had N.O. ML (7-0) ^^^
Had right side in MIA (+9.5)-SA (8-0)
Had Under 197 against LAL last Wed, but missed side (9-1)
Kobe +38.5 P+R+A (ended up with 46) (10-1)
Duncan +11.5 Reb (ended up with 17) (11-1)

I would never recommend blindly tailing me, but right now, I feel like I have these guys figured out. Without Parker, the line change against PHO is going to be based more on Parker's absence than actual performance, which is a shame. I'm thinking the line may still be too conservative (Phoenix -6.5 or 7, maybe???). We'll see...

[babaoriley]

[B]
Hey Baba! You want to take tomorrow night's UT-A&M game blind? I'll take the Aggies, you take the Horns and we can make up our own mind about the total if there is one posted in tomorrow's parlay if you're game.

Just saw this Willie...
I'm listening... What do you propose?

[LT Profits]

gizmo2431,

You are correct, and I fixed your records.

Sorry.

[Willie Bee]

Just saw this Willie...
I'm listening... What do you propose?

You take your Horns and I'll swallow the chalk on the Aggies (why are we favored and why is the chalk on A&M being bet up?). If they get the totals up in time, we'll just make our picks on that. If the totals aren't up in time, we can trade off taking one sire or the other in the KU/K-State game maybe.