Trying to help everyone make $$$$$$$$$

**bygspenda** · 06-14-10, 11:45 PM

Actually looks like a pretty good idea. As long as you can get the +250 for the Celts in game 7, it's perfect.

**scholesy** · 06-14-10, 11:49 PM

you forgot to subtract the Celtics ML loss on Game 6, so you will lose $750 if Celtics win series ($900 x 2.5 - $2000 - $1000)

**PROfitableEnergy** · 06-14-10, 11:53 PM

haha i think it's obvious 8ball isn't an authority in anything profitable.

**carbonero77** · 06-15-10, 12:01 AM

never do facts the odds are the same the two games left

**ThaTopMoron** · 06-15-10, 12:17 AM

you would have to bet less on the LA series and then wait until game 6...Celtics i don't see how they don't get down early in this game and in live wagering their ML will be higher than 250... that is when you jump on it. then depending on how game 6 ends you figure out what you need to bet to end up with a little profit.

the only factor you need to count on happening is the Celtics being down early to the Lakers... I think their is a high probablility of that happening. How in the world could they lead the entire game 6 on the road with LA fighting for their lives & the refs favoring the home team?

SR · 06-15-10, 12:24 AM

heres how to make money....bet lakers to win the series, boston is not getting one in LA

**ThaTopMoron** · 06-15-10, 12:31 AM

Chasing my 1st year betting Losses w/LA gm 6

Going to charge up 3k of my 5k limit on CC and place it on a bunch of LA bets

some on LA ML gm 6 / smaller amount on spread / some on 1q / 1h

some on LA series bet / parlay of LA + the Over

Now if I lose most of it...

NOT SO FAST!

I will be jumping all over this new CC offer in the mail

0% APR on balance transfers until 12/01/11!

if i lose i have almost 18 months with 0 APR on those losses transfered over so it will be easy to pay it off with future winnings.

I love new CC offers!!!

oh...

If the Lakers win

**bygspenda** · 06-15-10, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by scholesy

you forgot to subtract the Celtics ML loss on Game 6, so you will lose $750 if Celtics win series ($900 x 2.5 - $2000 - $1000)

It's +250, not $2.50 to 1. 8ball's maths are correct.

**ThaTopMoron** · 06-15-10, 01:19 AM

2k on LA series
1k on Bos +250

you are good if Boston wins game 6 +500

if Boston loses game 6, move on to 7.

Now if Boston lost, you are out that 1k plus if LA loses gm 7 you are down the 2k LA series bet now, that is 3k.

You would have to wager enough on Boston gm 7 to make over 3k

say that is 1250 +250 = 3125 Bos ML gm 7 win - 3k Losses = 125 profit

if you put 1250 Bos gm 7 & LA wins, you lose 1250 + 1000 = 2250 but only profit LA series bet of 1800ish

lol

**bygspenda** · 06-15-10, 03:17 AM

Originally posted by ThaTopMoron

say that is 1250 +250 = 3125 Bos ML gm 7 win - 3k Losses = 125 profit

Once again, its +250, not 2.5:1 (2.5:1 = +150)

A bet of $900 on Boston for game 7 is plenty to turn a profit either way, assuming you can actually get the +250.

**Haydos** · 06-15-10, 03:23 AM

Originally posted by ThaTopMoron

2k on LA series
1k on Bos +250

you are good if Boston wins game 6 +500

if Boston loses game 6, move on to 7.

Now if Boston lost, you are out that 1k plus if LA loses gm 7 you are down the 2k LA series bet now, that is 3k.

You would have to wager enough on Boston gm 7 to make over 3k

say that is 1250 +250 = 3125 Bos ML gm 7 win - 3k Losses = 125 profit

if you put 1250 Bos gm 7 & LA wins, you lose 1250 + 1000 = 2250 but only profit LA series bet of 1800ish

lol

So, worst case scenario is Lakers win game 6&7, you will be down your 2250 + profit of series win of 1800ish. You lose 400...

Depends on how you think the Lakers will fare in the next two games. Bit of a risk for small total gain. Not for my liking.

**Preston09** · 06-15-10, 03:33 AM

no fault makes sense to me.

**magic8ball** · 06-15-10, 07:36 AM

Originally posted by scholesy

you forgot to subtract the Celtics ML loss on Game 6, so you will lose $750 if Celtics win series ($900 x 2.5 - $2000 - $1000)

wrong

**magic8ball** · 06-15-10, 07:38 AM

Originally posted by PROfitableEnergy

haha i think it's obvious 8ball isn't an authority in anything profitable.

Ask everyone again what ATS means, and then know you are WRONG.

**magic8ball** · 06-15-10, 07:39 AM

Originally posted by bygspenda

It's +250, not $2.50 to 1. 8ball's maths are correct.

Thank you sir for pointing out others poor gazintas.

**magic8ball** · 06-15-10, 07:44 AM

Originally posted by Haydos

So, worst case scenario is Lakers win game 6&7, you will be down your 2250 + profit of series win of 1800ish. You lose 400...

Depends on how you think the Lakers will fare in the next two games. Bit of a risk for small total gain. Not for my liking.

I disagree. Worst case scenario, you lose nothing, or a hundredish (depending on all lines). Best case, you win 4-5 hundred. (Sorry for the multiple threads. I can't figure out how to multiple quote in 1 post. In any event, I was trying to help. If people feel the need to shoot shit down with no thought, or arrogant stupidity, that's your loss. Continue using your eenee meenee systems.

**magic8ball** · 06-15-10, 08:34 AM

I was just trying to show how you could wager the rest of the series with little risk and possible decent rewards. Myself, I am going to put 10x on LA series tonight. If they win, I place a 5x on Boston ml game 7. It in essence is giving me a 5x bet on the Lakers tonight at even money. Please read what I wrote before saying it does not work out. Save yourself from ignorance. Again just trying to help here.

**BookieOweMe** · 06-15-10, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by ThaTopMoron

2k on LA series
1k on Bos +250

you are good if Boston wins game 6 +500

if Boston loses game 6, move on to 7.

Now if Boston lost, you are out that 1k plus if LA loses gm 7 you are down the 2k LA series bet now, that is 3k.

You would have to wager enough on Boston gm 7 to make over 3k

say that is 1250 +250 = 3125 Bos ML gm 7 win - 3k Losses = 125 profit

if you put 1250 Bos gm 7 & LA wins, you lose 1250 + 1000 = 2250 but only profit LA series bet of 1800ish

lol

ok captain

**sharpcat** · 06-15-10, 10:16 AM

If it goes to game 7 Boston will not be anywhere near +250, probably more like +150.

**magic8ball** · 06-15-10, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by sharpcat

If it goes to game 7 Boston will not be anywhere near +250, probably more like +150.

I disagree Sharp. The ml and spreads have stayed very contant in regards to each home team throughout the playoffs. It may not be 250, but it wont stray as far as you suggest. If that were the case it would be a lakers -2 1/2 spreadin game 7. I don't see it. Could be wrong though. I'm gonna take it plus a smaller bet on la -6. Good luck if you bet.

**bygspenda** · 06-15-10, 02:57 PM

My apologies guys, it figures you will actually be down since the $900 at +250 will cover the $3000 already wagered but not the $900 used to make the game 7 bet. So in actual fact, you would be down $750 if Boston won game 7 as scholesy correctly stated. Sorry to scholesy, TopMoron and anyone I may have confused. I'm gonna pull my head in now and go find a maths tutor. Looked like a good idea 8ball, but maybe just better to take this game by game.

**SparJMU** · 06-15-10, 03:13 PM

This strategy is a terrible idea.

**Time is Money** · 06-15-10, 03:17 PM

just take it one game at a time... boston and points tonight

**magic8ball** · 06-15-10, 03:22 PM

Regardless of what you see as the profitability of the full option. My play as stated is going to be 10x on LA series with either a Boston ml bet, a no bet, or a Boston with points for a middle if there is a game 7. Simply put, If I make my 10x (without 6 points) and the Lakers win, I am plus money at worst for game 7 with a 5x bet on Boston ml regardless of who wins. So if lakers win tonight, I win money without laying 6 points or 300 juice.

**spongerat** · 06-15-10, 04:06 PM

good plan except the celts are going to close it out tonight!

**rkelly110** · 06-15-10, 04:53 PM

Agreed, Sponge. Boston's done playing w/LA, Series over tonight!

Magic 8, wow, that's alot of money to lay out for so little in return. What would the pay
back be, $.20 on the dollar? Not busting on ya. I didn't do the math, but the return is
pretty small. If you want a small return but want to win money and not lose. Parlay each
team w/ the O/U.

**sharpcat** · 06-15-10, 04:57 PM

If we see a game 7 with a win or go home scenario, a game of that magnitude I do not see the lakers being anything more than -200 (66.67% chance of winning) in a series that would have proved to be 50/50 so far. If the books suggest a 70% win probability or better for the lakers in game 7 I will be hitting boston pretty hard, home court advantage is not worth 20% in the NBA and this has proven to be a pretty even match-up so far. LA is 2-4-1 ATS so far this year against boston which suggests that they are overvalued as usual, but I would suspect that much like the superbowl game 7 is going to be a very sharp efficient line, especially if LA fails to cover the spread again tonight.

**magic8ball** · 06-15-10, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by sharpcat

If we see a game 7 with a win or go home scenario, a game of that magnitude I do not see the lakers being anything more than -200 (66.67% chance of winning) in a series that would have proved to be 50/50 so far. If the books suggest a 70% win probability or better for the lakers in game 7 I will be hitting boston pretty hard, home court advantage is not worth 20% in the NBA and this has proven to be a pretty even match-up so far. LA is 2-4-1 ATS so far this year against boston which suggests that they are overvalued as usual, but I would suspect that much like the superbowl game 7 is going to be a very sharp efficient line, especially if LA fails to cover the spread again tonight.

So if the lakers win tonight, even by as little as 1-2 points, you see the spread for game 7 dropping from 6 1/2 to 3 or 3 1/2? I don't see it myself. And tht's IF they only win by 2. IF they win by 12 it could be 7 points. I think it presents value, and no not .20 cents on the dollar. If you do the math it does make sense. At least on my abacus anyway. We will see in about 5 hours. Good luck to everyone.

**JDUB07** · 06-15-10, 05:34 PM

Lake Show going to get curb stomped by Boston tonight. It ends hear as nobody outside Kobe is good enough. the whole squad is ridiculously soft.

**magic8ball** · 06-15-10, 06:15 PM

Kind of amazing how short everyones memory is. After game 1 Boston was done, then after game 3 LA was done, and so on. I have won on every game except game 1, by simply going against what everyone was figuring to be done. I said it before and I'll say it again. After Vegas got crushed by squares all playoff long, and the NBA getting fukt on sweepish series, what better way to make it up if Vegas/NBA has ANY control on the outcome of the "perfect" scenario with LA/Celtics than a zigzag type of series. It was not perfect zigzag, but if you went against the public, you won EVERY game after game 1. And yes, I know the Cavs would have been more perfect than the Celtics, but I don't think the NBA is shedding too many tears with this series. Boston could certainly win tonight, but I'm betting they don't.

**miley** · 06-15-10, 06:20 PM

Lakers win game 6, but Celtics will win next game.

**sweethook** · 06-15-10, 09:55 PM

yea they all want the 7 game deals nowdays

**pittmatt80** · 06-15-10, 10:10 PM

Don't know about your theory but I think it's best to go with Lakers in game 6 and 7, or just the under. That's what I'm rolling with though. Good Luck to All

**COOGI** · 06-15-10, 10:28 PM

Why don/; u just bet laker win the series....so after game six bet boston win the the series u will make some juice for sure