Game 5 a perfect storm for the books

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Game 5 a perfect storm for the books
    What's your initial reaction to Game 5? Pound the Lakers at home, right? Huge play? Lock of the year?

    Books cleaned up in Games 3 and 4. Cleaned up last night in the Orlando-Boston game. Notice a trend?

    Tread carefully. I don't think the Lakers will lose, but whatever the line is, something tells me they'll conveniently win by 1 or 2 less.
  • shoebox
    Restricted User
    • 11-26-08
    • 5710

    #2
    I love you guys and your conspiracy theories
    Comment
    • ThaTopMoron
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-30-10
      • 27020

      #3
      So pound the ML? take a deep breath and sit back and pull your hair out for 3 hours lol c'mon LA just win by 1 lol
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by shoebox
        I love you guys and your conspiracy theories
        I'm not claiming conspiracy. I'm saying the books know what they're doing with the number, and they'll set it so that you'll sweat it out. Lakers will win, but it won't be the blowout everyone is going to expect IMHO.
        Comment
        • shoebox
          Restricted User
          • 11-26-08
          • 5710

          #5
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          I'm not claiming conspiracy. I'm saying the books know what they're doing with the number, and they'll set it so that you'll sweat it out. Lakers will win, but it won't be the blowout everyone is going to expect IMHO.

          Suns by 4 you heard it first!
          Comment
          • spongerat
            SBR MVP
            • 10-01-08
            • 2023

            #6
            LA and BOS in the finals
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by shoebox
              Suns by 4 you heard it first!



              Did you post this because of my post in the other thread?
              Comment
              • suicidekings
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-09
                • 9962

                #8
                Suns ML (+305) x3 right away. Then taking time to think about it some more.
                Comment
                • jboy4
                  Restricted User
                  • 02-18-10
                  • 1950

                  #9
                  Lakers win easy.
                  Comment
                  • Junkyard Dog
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-12-07
                    • 4552

                    #10
                    leaning phx and the points
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by suicidekings
                      Suns ML (+305) x3 right away. Then taking time to think about it some more.
                      Really?

                      The Lakers are a different beast at home, which means if they need to make defensive stops, they'll get them. And they'll be ready to roll mentally here.

                      Suns still have to prove something on the road to take them in this spot IMHO.
                      Comment
                      • shoebox
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-26-08
                        • 5710

                        #12
                        Originally posted by No coincidences


                        Did you post this because of my post in the other thread?

                        Carryover effect for role-players come on no coin I can't give away all my secrets
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Originally posted by shoebox
                          Carryover effect for role-players come on no coin I can't give away all my secrets
                          I'm just saying I posted the exact same thing in a different thread at almost the exact same time.

                          Are you OK with being in the same boat as me?

                          Comment
                          • suicidekings
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-23-09
                            • 9962

                            #14
                            Originally posted by No coincidences

                            Really? The Lakers are a different beast at home, which means if they need to make defensive stops, they'll get them. And they'll be ready to roll mentally here. Suns still have to prove something on the road to take them in this spot IMHO.
                            When I look at this series, I see the Suns averaging 113 points per game against a team that I've been told repeatedly should be able to shut down the Suns offense anytime it wants. Gentry has made adjustments while Phil has fallen short (regardless of who was expected or likely to win Games 3&4, the Lakers -except for Kobe- were ineffective, period). The Suns confidence is through the roof right now, and the Lakers are frustrated. Bynum is hurt, and dragging the Lakers down with his lack of speed. The Suns are inside Odom's head. Without those two playing effectively, Gasol is getting double and triple teamed at times.

                            The Lakers -7 / ML (-350) is too steep because the books know that the Lakers are going to get hammered, and they're charging a premium for it. They're daring you to take the Lakers on faith.

                            So yeah. I'll put early money on the PHX ML and then watch what happens for the next 2 days.
                            Last edited by suicidekings; 05-25-10, 11:32 PM.
                            Comment
                            • lakerboy
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-02-09
                              • 94379

                              #15
                              Cant take Lakers -7.
                              Comment
                              • nbarlotta3
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 04-11-10
                                • 451

                                #16
                                The Lakers will win big. The Suns bench cannot play this well the rest of the playoffs. The games in Phx were close untilt he 4th quarter.
                                Comment
                                • Teaser Sucker
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-07-10
                                  • 453

                                  #17
                                  I see PHO covering at +7 (value)
                                  Comment
                                  • dbldown
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-09-08
                                    • 1055

                                    #18
                                    Since "everyone" knows the Lakers will win.. is a good reason not to bet on them.
                                    Comment
                                    • mr. leisure
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-29-08
                                      • 17507

                                      #19
                                      Early lean suns +the points
                                      Comment
                                      • t-wizzle
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-18-09
                                        • 38099

                                        #20
                                        Lakers will play better at home but they are being exploited right now... With Phoenix in this zone defense, LA will be forced to hit their outside shots and we've all seen how bad guys like Odom and Artest have been from outside in the last two games. I think they make more of them from outside at home, but not sure if it will be enough to win by 7. Leaning a close game here with LA pulling it out late.
                                        Comment
                                        • shari91
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-23-10
                                          • 32661

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by nbarlotta3
                                          The Lakers will win big. The Suns bench cannot play this well the rest of the playoffs. The games in Phx were close untilt he 4th quarter.
                                          Don't be so sure about that. PHO ML and a larger bet on the points for me when it comes out here. If I change my mind closer to game time and buy them back, so be it but I'm not laying 7 with LA in this one.
                                          Comment
                                          • suicidekings
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-23-09
                                            • 9962

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by shari91

                                            Don't be so sure about that. PHO ML and a larger bet on the points for me when it comes out here. If I change my mind closer to game time and buy them back, so be it but I'm not laying 7 with LA in this one.
                                            Shari, I thought you were going to open up an account at Pinnacle?

                                            Betting against the Suns bench playing at a high level is a poor risk to take.
                                            Last edited by suicidekings; 05-25-10, 11:53 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • bygspenda
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-25-09
                                              • 909

                                              #23
                                              All of a sudden, LA face a must win game. No way they want to be heading back into that orange sea 2-3 down.
                                              Comment
                                              • Donkwin47
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-12-10
                                                • 2851

                                                #24
                                                Good point
                                                Comment
                                                • shari91
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-23-10
                                                  • 32661

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                  Shari, I thought you were going to open up an account at Pinnacle? Betting against the Suns bench playing at a high level is a poor risk to take.
                                                  I've opened it, just haven't deposited in it yet but will when the French Open is over. Too many good tennis props in one of the books here, I get a push no matter when a player retires and the lines are better, while the other has great odds and live betting. I don't want to have money spread out over 3 in case I want to make a big play on something.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PlatinumBerg
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-01-10
                                                    • 1058

                                                    #26
                                                    Lakers are going to win at home during game 5 and the series.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • samdapatriotsfan
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-10-08
                                                      • 1585

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                      Lakers will play better at home but they are being exploited right now... With Phoenix in this zone defense, LA will be forced to hit their outside shots and we've all seen how bad guys like Odom and Artest have been from outside in the last two games. I think they make more of them from outside at home, but not sure if it will be enough to win by 7. Leaning a close game here with LA pulling it out late.

                                                      I agree T-Wiz, and with a close game PHO could win with a Laker mistake or a last second 3. I don't think the Suns are going to go to LA and all of sudden forget how to play defense.

                                                      With Bynum hurting, Artest and Odom have to hit their shots. If anything I will just put a small play on PHO and hammer the over.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Goat Milk
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 03-24-10
                                                        • 25850

                                                        #28
                                                        oh so now you're all suns believers?

                                                        Careful guys, PHX loses game 6. Plus 7-8 will be good.
                                                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ScarFace_1990
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 04-08-10
                                                          • 531

                                                          #29
                                                          i like the lakers here....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                            oh so now you're all suns believers?

                                                            Careful guys, PHX loses game 6. Plus 7-8 will be good.
                                                            Game 5, you mean?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • PAULYPOKER
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-06-08
                                                              • 36581

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by shoebox
                                                              Suns by 4 you heard it first!
                                                              Boy I hope your right on this one Shoe cause if they win this game I'm cashing in on both my HUGE series plays
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Goat Milk
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 03-24-10
                                                                • 25850

                                                                #32
                                                                pauly if suns win gm 5 la will win two straight and i'm going to hit the fatest lick if that happens.
                                                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PAULYPOKER
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-06-08
                                                                  • 36581

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                                  pauly if suns win gm 5 la will win two straight and i'm going to hit the fatest lick if that happens.
                                                                  I don't think Suns are going to win game 5 but if they do You are smoking crack in its purist form if you think the fake show will bounce back from that hit

                                                                  Lakers are going down hill fast because if they don't get the championship which they won't,, either the Suns or the Celtics will give them the boot and they can't afford Jackson no more so he is going to leave for the $ and I say he goes to Chicago and reals King James in on his way
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Goat Milk
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                                    • 25850

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                                                    I don't think Suns are going to win game 5 but if they do You are smoking crack in its purist form if you think the fake show will bounce back from that hit

                                                                    Lakers are going down hill fast because if they don't get the championship which they won't,, either the Suns or the Celtics will give them the boot:yes: and they can't afford Jackson no more so he is going to leave for the $ and I say he goes to Chicago and reals King James in on his way
                                                                    The Celtics will fool you. PHX will smack the Celtics, Celtics can't hang with a fast tempo team. LA is learning to play fast tempo through all 3 series'.
                                                                    Suns offense is unstoppable- they would make the celtics look like frauds.
                                                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PAULYPOKER
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-06-08
                                                                      • 36581

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Now I didn't look at a possible match-up of the Suns and Celtics so I'll have to look into it and get back to ya on that one my man but you definitely just made me start thinking about it..............
                                                                      Comment
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