Why Suns -3?

**firemann** · 05-20-10, 06:49 PM

yea

**frostno98** · 05-20-10, 07:32 PM

The Suns shoot a million times better from the 3 at home, that's why.

**suicidekings** · 05-20-10, 08:12 PM

This is actually the smallest fave the Suns have been at home in the playoffs, and simultaneously the only time this season that the Suns have been favoured at home vs the Lakers (Dec 28: +1, Mar 12: +1). The thing is, the Suns have been steadily improving since the All Star break, with that improvement being much more apparent in their home games. IMO, a fair line for a game between these two teams as they stand today based just on the stats (before considering the specific matchup issues), sits at around PHX -4.5.

PHX -3 is right where it should be, as the Lakers can't really be favoured without the books showing their opinion. Public money will flow in on the Lakers and beat that number down to a spread that will essentially be a one possession game. This one's not really about playing a spread, but rather picking an outright winner. The spread won't matter.

**shari91** · 05-20-10, 08:16 PM

Well, the line's now +2.5 here so I jumped on that and the LA ML. I will never pass by the chance to take LA + points. Have learned my lesson before and I don't need to be re-educated again.

**fresnosurf** · 05-20-10, 08:26 PM

Lakers ML and OVA

**LT Profits** · 05-20-10, 08:31 PM

Suns win Game 3, Lakers win next two.

**GoGoGadget** · 05-20-10, 08:46 PM

Lakers get at least 1 in Phoenix. Lakers ml, if they lose ml game 4 x 2.

**balman** · 05-20-10, 09:05 PM

a lot of times people pull out meaning less regular season stats like "suns home record" or "magic havent lost back to back since... bla bla bla" however these stats are skewed. thoses stats are no longer valid because in the playoffs all teams are equal in travel n time off etc... it's not like lakers have been on the road for a week and this 2nd night of a back to back... or the Magic stat which said they hadnt lost back to back.. but as another poster pointed out, they didnt play boston back to back...

so take the the lakers ML, based on whats happened in the 1st 2 games... this coming from a SUNS fan

.... i wish suns could pull it out but my money would be on the lakers and celtics...

cheers

**KyleG44** · 05-20-10, 09:12 PM

I like the Suns in this one.

**Naz18** · 05-20-10, 09:44 PM

Line seems right..

**No coincidences** · 05-20-10, 10:47 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Suns win Game 3, Lakers win next two.

Couldn't agree more.

**iceminers26** · 05-20-10, 10:52 PM

Leaning to Suns in game 3, but not sure if I can pull the trigger on them, Lakers looked good the first two games of this series.

**MIKEo** · 05-20-10, 10:54 PM

Lakers just have too much length.
Stoudemire being shown up

**MIKEo** · 05-20-10, 10:54 PM

home court does not cause a 10 point swing. no need to think about it.
Lakers with the points

**ProfaneReality** · 05-20-10, 11:01 PM

suns -3

**SportsTerminator** · 05-20-10, 11:04 PM

I say Phoenix is out matched, Lakers sweep.

**Sunde91** · 05-20-10, 11:05 PM

Just have to factor in the likelihood that teams will bounce back at home. Chanes are better that a team doesn't get swept and wins at least one at home than not.

**ZetaPsi808** · 05-20-10, 11:06 PM

i think lakers sweep this series

**t-wizzle** · 05-20-10, 11:07 PM

If Phoenix steals one, this will be it. I still would lean LA.

**Mikail** · 05-20-10, 11:07 PM

Gonna take the Lakers and the points. If they lose I chase in game 4

**eberetta1** · 05-20-10, 11:12 PM

I can see an 8 point swing, but not 10 point swing.

**PureGuava** · 05-20-10, 11:17 PM

this might be the only game the suns take

**The General** · 05-20-10, 11:24 PM

I hope phoenix gives us something to be optimistic about as someone who wants a competitive series yet. LA does just seem to good, though. Every angle has LA looking the team to beat here and they seem very tough to bet against at this time. I tried going against in game 2, but failed miserably. I really thought after the tie at end of the 3rd we had a chance, but LA took over and dominated, being able to turn up the heat at will.

**2daBank** · 05-20-10, 11:26 PM

no damn way i would put my money on the Suns but this may be the 1 game i pass on a side but i will stick with over, 219 isnt high enough... i decided after the 1st half of game 1 they would have to post up a total of at least 225 for me to even think twice about it..

**lakerfan420** · 05-20-10, 11:26 PM

can someone explain to me how a team goes from losing both games by DD then are favored by 3 in their first game back at home after awhile? i just dont see suns winning a game based on how they have been playing. sure they play different at home but how are you going to argue that the lakers are just going to give 1 up? this lakers team has dominated the suns and threw them around like rag dolls. ill be glad to jump on and grab the pts but just cant back the suns here.

**suicidekings** · 05-20-10, 11:30 PM

Originally posted by eberetta1

I can see an 8 point swing, but not 10 point swing.

The lines in the BOS/ORL series also swung 10 points. What's so unusual about it?

**letitburn** · 05-20-10, 11:31 PM

suns won't even win a game

**masr** · 05-20-10, 11:34 PM

Phoenix lost for the first time in these playoffs when scoring 30-or-more points in two periods...Phoenix has lost its last seven Western Conference Final tilts versus the Lakers
remember Utah series ?

**lakerfan420** · 05-20-10, 11:38 PM

Originally posted by letitburn

suns won't even win a game

agreed. how does a team just all of a sudden turn things around? they lost by double digits both games and will continue to lose.. lakers will sweep.. only reason why i see lakers giving a game is if they decide to take it easy but you can see it in everyones eyes that their not going to take it easy n give the suns a chance... especially LO... not after with amare said about him and the lakers will stand by LO to show amare and the suns whats up

**Bankroll$10** · 05-20-10, 11:39 PM

Let's go and make that money

**lakerfan420** · 05-20-10, 11:40 PM

roll with the trend.. lakers and the overrrr

**2daBank** · 05-20-10, 11:42 PM

Originally posted by lakerfan420

agreed. how does a team just all of a sudden turn things around? they lost by double digits both games and will continue to lose.. lakers will sweep.. only reason why i see lakers giving a game is if they decide to take it easy but you can see it in everyones eyes that their not going to take it easy n give the suns a chance... especially LO... not after with amare said about him and the lakers will stand by LO to show amare and the suns whats up

Amare is Gasol's BITCH

**DarkMage** · 05-21-10, 12:07 AM

Line is as puzzling as the BOS at +7 after beating Orlando pretty good. I liked Bos +7 there and I like Lakers +3 here. Suns are a joke

**in2thethickofit** · 05-21-10, 12:12 AM

Suns are the better team, that's why....