NBA East Cleveland vs. Boston playoffs Under getting absolutely hammered

**7secondsOrLess** · 05-13-10, 05:35 PM

dont know why its dropping so much i got 1.5 dimes O193

**uanl** · 05-13-10, 05:35 PM

or maybe a cleveland blowout?? hmmm lol

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by uanl

or maybe a cleveland blowout?? hmmm lol

Sharps are hammering Boston as well, but they're just pummeling this under.

**vitalogist** · 05-13-10, 05:41 PM

Sharps on the under as well. Elimination games trend toward the under, Per Chad Millman's article...

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**shoebox** · 05-13-10, 05:42 PM

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 05:43 PM

I don't remember the last time I've seen such a violent swing in a line over the course of hours.

Then again, I'm relatively new to this game.

**shoebox** · 05-13-10, 05:44 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I don't remember the last time I've seen such a violent swing in a line over the course of hours.

Then again, I'm relatively new to this game.

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 05:45 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

More than 2.5 or even 3 points? Really?

**shoebox** · 05-13-10, 05:46 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

More than 2.5 or even 3 points? Really?

**suicidekings** · 05-13-10, 05:47 PM

Playing anything based on line movement in this game is a mistake.

**The General** · 05-13-10, 05:47 PM

I think the under is a good play, but if I was going to bet the total now, I could not take the under anymore after such a move. You'd be getting the worst of that bet for certain. It will be interesting to see how tight the number ends up being now.

**msubulldog** · 05-13-10, 05:48 PM

got it early at 196; think under is right side unless we get another 60 plus 4th quarter,

good luck

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by msubulldog

got it early at 196; think under is right side unless we get another 60 plus 4th quarter,

good luck

Sharps are obviously anticipating this one to be decided well before the fourth.

**shoebox** · 05-13-10, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Sharps are obviously anticipating this one to be decided well before the fourth.

look at past pistons/spurs/cavs/boston games in the playoffs

**Goat Milk** · 05-13-10, 05:52 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

Playing anything based on line movement in this game is a mistake.

**suicidekings** · 05-13-10, 05:53 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Sharps are obviously anticipating this one to be decided well before the fourth.

Not every line move indicates a winner...

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

look at past pistons/spurs/cavs/boston games in the playoffs

I guess two of Boston's three wins in the series have gone under, so if the sharps like the Celtics, the under is a distinct possibility.

I just think that if it's a relatively close game, it's going to be hard to see it stay under 195+.

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

Not every line move indicates a winner...

Never said it did -- just an observation.

**kobefanatic** · 05-13-10, 06:11 PM

damn fuk i got the over

**shoebox** · 05-13-10, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I guess two of Boston's three wins in the series have gone under, so if the sharps like the Celtics, the under is a distinct possibility.

I just think that if it's a relatively close game, it's going to be hard to see it stay under 195+.

do your homework

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 06:18 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

do your homework

I have, shoe. I like the over, and so do a lot of other well-respected posters here. I'm not saying I'm right or they are, but it's not exactly a stretch to say this game could end up 102-95 or 106-90.

**iceminers26** · 05-13-10, 06:19 PM

I am on under 196.5, got it at BM last night, I still think it stays under the 193.5 being offered now but don't know if I would still play it because lost some value.

**shoebox** · 05-13-10, 06:19 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I have, shoe. I like the over, and so do a lot of other well-respected posters here. I'm not saying I'm right or they are, but it's not exactly a stretch to say this game could end up 102-95 or 106-90.

well respected posters

A few guys that post a few winners for a month and now their respected

do your homework

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

well respected posters

A few guys that post a few winners for a month and now their respected

do your homework

I respect a lot of people on this site. Just because they don't necessarily have a record of longevity spanning multiple years doesn't mean I don't value their capping skills. You, LB and SJ are the top three on this board, IMHO, but that doesn't mean I don't consider what others have to say.

So the under is that cut and dry to you?

**shoebox** · 05-13-10, 06:26 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I respect a lot of people on this site. Just because they don't necessarily have a record of longevity spanning multiple years doesn't mean I don't value their capping skills. You, LB and SJ are the top three on this board, IMHO, but that doesn't mean I don't consider what others have to say.

So the under is that cut and dry to you?

Sais the guy that freaks out every hour on the hour, do your homework, cap the game yourself and dont look at what "he"/ "she" is on that will cloud your judgements

**goldengoat** · 05-13-10, 06:26 PM

celts will finish the cavs

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 06:28 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

Sais the guy that freaks out every hour on the hour, do your homework, cap the game yourself and dont look at what "he"/ "she" is on that will cloud your judgements

I have capped it, and I think it will go over.

Your response to that is "do your homework," which I'm assuming means you think I'm dead wrong.

That may be, but let's get one thing straight -- I'm not tailing anyone with this pick. I have the game capped with a total of 198. I think Cleveland will fight like hell and I think it will go over with a 52+ point fourth quarter. If I'm wrong, so be it. But I'm not a blind follower, shoe. Please don't assume that.

**shoebox** · 05-13-10, 06:40 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I have capped it, and I think it will go over.

Your response to that is "do your homework," which I'm assuming means you think I'm dead wrong.

That may be, but let's get one thing straight -- I'm not tailing anyone with this pick. I have the game capped with a total of 198. I think Cleveland will fight like hell and I think it will go over with a 52+ point fourth quarter. If I'm wrong, so be it. But I'm not a blind follower, shoe. Please don't assume that.

reasoning: how did you come up with 198

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

reasoning: how did you come up with 198

My personal capping system came up with a 101-97 final. Took past series history into account, as well as officials and how close/desperate I feel the teams will be in the fourth quarter, with fouls and free throws. I have Cleveland coming out strong in the first, Boston taking the second like they typically do and leading by 2 at half, extending that advantage in the third, then hanging on down the stretch. My quarter point totals are 25-22 Cleveland, 28-23 Boston, 25-23 Boston, and a 26-26 fourth.

I'm no expert, though.

**shoebox** · 05-13-10, 06:55 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

My personal capping system came up with a 101-97 final. Took past series history into account, as well as officials and how close/desperate I feel the teams will be in the fourth quarter, with fouls and free throws. I have Cleveland coming out strong in the first, Boston taking the second like they typically do and leading by 2 at half, extending that advantage in the third, then hanging on down the stretch. My quarter point totals are 25-22 Cleveland, 28-23 Boston, 25-23 Boston, and a 26-26 fourth.

I'm no expert, though.

did you factor a teams tempo into play?

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 06:56 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

did you factor a teams tempo into play?

Yes.

Where do you see me going wrong?

Again, I'm not even going to begin to claim I'm an expert, or necessarily right about this particular game. That's just what I came up with.

**shoebox** · 05-13-10, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Yes.

Where do you see me going wrong?

Again, I'm not even going to begin to claim I'm an expert, or necessarily right about this particular game. That's just what I came up with.

Theres no way you can come up with that figure if you factored in team tempo

**No coincidences** · 05-13-10, 07:00 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

Theres no way you can come up with that figure if you factored in team tempo

Well again, it's hard to get a read on this series, given the fact that basically nothing's gone according to script scoring-wise or even results-wise since jump.

**shoebox** · 05-13-10, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Well again, it's hard to get a read on this series, given the fact that basically nothing's gone according to script scoring-wise or even results-wise since jump.

Theres a pattern if you dig deep enough, stop being a square you been hanging around here long enough. Step your game up!