Sj55 nba playoff picks

**sweetjones55** · 06-06-10, 04:29 PM

Originally posted by bolekblues

1Q seem to have been going too much to the home team in this year playoffs... I don't have a stat on score or lines, but how many times have we seen the odds on 1Q line go down, like even to -135. And the Lakers are great 1Q team, but can this trend continue? The line for todays game is (right now at pinny) -1,5 -123 so it is not a -105 proposition... What u think guys?

Lakers have covered every single 1Q at home in the playoffs.

**gshock1** · 06-06-10, 04:38 PM

Got the TT at 93. Thanks for the tip and hope this cashes!

**Laker_crazy** · 06-06-10, 04:57 PM

Good luck tonight SJ bro,Hope you kill the books.

**h3da** · 06-06-10, 05:11 PM

>.> celtics went up to 93.5... Way too high now.. maybe i should take lakers first quarter -2?

**sweetjones55** · 06-06-10, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by Laker_crazy

Good luck tonight SJ bro,Hope you kill the books.

Thanks my man

**Goat Milk** · 06-06-10, 05:36 PM

**rvfrank** · 06-06-10, 05:39 PM

following you on boston over 93 got it on my local GL SJ

**Goat Milk** · 06-06-10, 06:12 PM

I told you the Lakers would fade the triangle offense at times, its going to be all bryant iso on the elbow and two man pick and roll iso sets on 1 side of the floor this whole series.

**dume walker** · 06-06-10, 07:39 PM

Your first instincts were right, SJ. We rode that 1Q pony once too often -- or at least I did. Oh, well... Let's keep good thoughts for the Boston team over.

**fly fisher** · 06-06-10, 09:39 PM

great call on the celtics over 92 SJ. Good call on not playing the lakers 1st quarter, I played it though and lost so your instincts were right on.

will send some points your way on your next post.

**sharper2** · 06-06-10, 09:46 PM

damn SJ just produces winners

**rvfrank** · 06-06-10, 09:49 PM

Thank u sj

**smcc716** · 06-06-10, 09:54 PM

Solid pick once again SJ!! Have you abandoned the WNBA picks during the Finals?? Have not seen any posts recently.

**h3da** · 06-06-10, 09:56 PM

Took first quarter.. Lost But bounced back by taking celtics full game

...

**sweetjones55** · 06-06-10, 10:16 PM

Originally posted by fly fisher

great call on the celtics over 92 SJ. Good call on not playing the lakers 1st quarter, I played it though and lost so your instincts were right on.

will send some points your way on your next post.

Me laying off the LA 1Q was more gratifying than hitting the Boston Team Total OVER 92. It was very hard to ignore the LA 1Q numbers tonight but I am happy I did.

**sweetjones55** · 06-06-10, 10:18 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Boston Team Total OVER ANYTHING (91.5-92) LOCKED WINNNER!!

I am really liking this play for Game 2. I will wait this line out as I think it will go down as the total will go down. Boston played absolutely terribly offensively in Game 1 and still scored 89 points. I think they will have adjusted at least two buckets worth offensively and will go OVER 92. These have been their scoring outputs so far in these playoffs.

If you take a good look at these scores you will notice that Boston is 13-2-3 OVER 92 points. Both UNDERS came in the first series vs Miami, a great defensive team who loves playing very slow. LA has been running a little bit so I don't think that with the amount of shots being taken that LA can hold them under 92 again. Boston has not gone UNDER 92 twice in a row in the playoffs yet.

Heat Series 3-2-1 OVER/UNDER 92
Game 1 85-76 WIN UNDER 92
Game 2 106-77 WIN OVER 92
Game 3 100-98 WIN OVER 92
Game 4 92-101 LOSS PUSH 92
Game 5 85-76 WIN UNDER 92

Cavs Series 6-0 OVER/UNDER 92
Game 1 93-101 LOSS OVER 92
Game 2 104-86 WIN OVER 92
Game 3 95-125 LOSS OVER 92
Game 4 97-87 WIN OVER 92
Game 5 120-88 WIN OVER 92
Game 6 94-85 WIN OVER 92

Magic Series 4-0-2 OVER/UNDER 92
Game 1 92-88 WIN PUSH 92
Game 2 95-92 WIN OVER 92
Game 3 94-71 WIN OVER 92
Game 4 96-92 WIN OVER 92
Game 5 92-113 LOSS PUSH 92
Game 6 96-84 WIN OVER 92

Easyyyy MONEYYYYY!!!

**dume walker** · 06-06-10, 10:18 PM

Another great call on the TT over. Thanks for the winner, SJ.

**sweetjones55** · 06-06-10, 10:19 PM

Originally posted by sharper2

damn SJ just produces winners

Originally posted by rvfrank

Thank u sj

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Originally posted by rvfrank

following you on boston over 93 got it on my local GL SJ

Originally posted by fly fisher

great call on the celtics over 92 SJ. Good call on not playing the lakers 1st quarter, I played it though and lost so your instincts were right on.

will send some points your way on your next post.

Originally posted by sharper2

damn SJ just produces winners

**sweetjones55** · 06-06-10, 10:24 PM

35-19-1 (64%) is my record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS.
35-14-1 (71%) my last 50 NBA playoff plays
65-32-1 (67%) my last 99 plays
2-0 NBA FINALS PLAYS
180-119-6 (60%) total 2009-2010 NBA record over 305 plays

**BamaCBass** · 06-06-10, 10:48 PM

That's awesome Sweet! Great job man. I really look forward to next year. Hope we can cash some ACC and WNBA as well.

**sweetjones55** · 06-06-10, 11:20 PM

Originally posted by BamaCBass

That's awesome Sweet! Great job man. I really look forward to next year. Hope we can cash some ACC and WNBA as well.

**sweetjones55** · 06-06-10, 11:21 PM

Originally posted by smcc716

Solid pick once again SJ!! Have you abandoned the WNBA picks during the Finals?? Have not seen any posts recently.

Ya pretty much. I want to let that season start up a little bit before I start making plays on a daily basis. I am far from an expert in the WNBA so I like to have a little data from the season to help make my plays.

**jpot34** · 06-06-10, 11:35 PM

Great jpb, Sweet!!!!!! Playing game 3 Tues????

**PAULYPOKER** · 06-06-10, 11:40 PM

Great call SJ on the over 92!!!

You are one of the very few who I respect in NBA Capping world of opinions....

**sweetjones55** · 06-06-10, 11:48 PM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Great call SJ on the over 92!!!

You are one of the very few who I respect in NBA Capping world of opinions....

I appreciate that Pauly

**bygspenda** · 06-06-10, 11:54 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

35-19-1 (64%) is my record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS.
35-14-1 (71%) my last 50 NBA playoff plays
65-32-1 (67%) my last 99 plays
2-0 NBA FINALS PLAYS
180-119-6 (60%) total 2009-2010 NBA record over 305 plays

Your record is awesome SJ. What I most admire about your capping though is your patience. Every one of your plays seems to be extremely well thought out. You're a valuable asset to this forum. Keep it up!

**sweetjones55** · 06-07-10, 12:12 AM

Originally posted by bygspenda

Your record is awesome SJ. What I most admire about your capping though is your patience. Every one of your plays seems to be extremely well thought out. You're a valuable asset to this forum. Keep it up!

Thanks, I appreciate that. I do try to think my plays out as much as possible, you don't really get too many gut feeling plays from me. I usually have at least 3 good reasons for any certain play.

**bobbyhazell** · 06-07-10, 05:15 AM

Thanks very much SJ, tailed a few of your plays in the playoffs, excellent work. Points on the way.

**WiseGrumpy** · 06-07-10, 05:22 AM

Very nice play on a pathetic game.
SJ who do you think wins it all?

**pako74** · 06-07-10, 07:05 AM

Great call SJ. Boston TT was a solid pick.

**sweetjones55** · 06-07-10, 07:58 AM

Originally posted by jpot34

Great jpb, Sweet!!!!!! Playing game 3 Tues????

Yes more than likely.

**sweetjones55** · 06-07-10, 07:59 AM

Originally posted by bobbyhazell

Thanks very much SJ, tailed a few of your plays in the playoffs, excellent work. Points on the way.

Originally posted by pako74

Great call SJ. Boston TT was a solid pick.

**sweetjones55** · 06-07-10, 05:17 PM

I am highly considering playing Boston 2Q -0.5. LA lost their last 1st quarter but don't lose too many 1Q's in a row. Boston is far from a great 1Q team but are the best 2Q team in the NBA. Boston is 3-0 SU their last 3 2nd quarters at home vs LA. LA has not been a good 2Q team at all in the playoffs. Boston has been great overall in the 2Q in the playoffs. If someone can come up with LA's 2Q numbers and Boston's 2Q numbers for these playoffs that would be great, if not I will get to that tomorrow morning. If someone does do it please factor in the fact that LA was favored by 1.5 on a lot of 2Q's at home against PHX, OKC, and Utah. The line won't be out for a while so it's not too big a deal. I can just see LA probably coming out and putting pressure on the Celtics and winning the 1Q as they usually do and then Boston coming out and doing what they do in the 2Q and winning it.

The big thing with 2Q's is a lot of it rides on the benches/role players and these particular players play much, much better at home than they do on the road. Players like Tony Allen, Big Baby, Nate Robinson, even Perkins play soo much better at home. Lamar Odom is a much better home player than road player as is Vujacic and Shannon Brown. Kobe Bryant plays the full 1Q but sits out the first 6 minutes of the 2Q so that's another + to this bet. Boston doesn't sit it's starters for as much of the 2Q as the Lakeshow does. I haven't taken this 2Q bet yet but I have been banging myself on the head soooo much because I always want to play it but just don't because I haven't played much 2Q's all year long. I have been mostly a 1Q guy.

**NorwegianDude** · 06-07-10, 05:23 PM

Amazing stats, SJ, no doubt that you are one of the best, if not the best, capper on this forum. Keep up the good work!

**dume walker** · 06-07-10, 05:31 PM

SJ, after watching last night's game, how are you feeling about your other official pick -- Lakers for the series?