(4x) magic +3 - orlando has quickly gone from the class of the east to 3 pt dogs when down 0-2? vegas may telling us something, but im backing the magic who have won their last 3 visits in boston by 10ppg. public appears to be on boston yet the line hasnt budged yet at the major shops.
(5x) under magic 190 - the last 5 games orl @ boston have avg'd 183 pts.
Comment
mehow
SBR Wise Guy
01-26-09
698
#323
heh you and me are a majic belivers, i got burned in last two games with them, having temptation to play them again, as people say third time lucky
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#324
Sun 5/23:
(5x) over suns 219 - back home and down 0-2, i feel the suns will really try and play their *7 seconds or less* style to blow this game open. we all know the lakers are fully capable of playing any type of game.
lakers 120 suns 117
Comment
Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#325
Dex I don't think the Lakers will beat the Suns at their own game at home. It won't happen. Lakers will win these games on the road by holding the Suns to less than 105. If it becomes a shootout, Lakers not winning this in PHX. I'm on PHX game 3 though so over should be solid.
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
Comment
Dexter
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12-24-08
25829
#326
Originally posted by Goat Milk
Dex I don't think the Lakers will beat the Suns at their own game at home. It won't happen. Lakers will win these games on the road by holding the Suns to less than 105. If it becomes a shootout, Lakers not winning this in PHX. I'm on PHX game 3 though so over should be solid.
yeah, i obviously dont have as much confidence in LA - but i think the over s/b good.
Comment
Dexter
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12-24-08
25829
#327
Originally posted by Dexter
Week 5 Playoffs: 1-4 (-17 units)
Playoffs Cumulative: 32-32 (-18 units)
Week 6 Playoffs: 4-2 (+10.1 units)
Playoffs Cumulative: 36-34 (-7.9 units)
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#328
Mon 5/24:
(3x) under celtics 188
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#329
Nice hit on the OVER yesterday, GL with the UNDER. I think you got the right call there, all three refs favor the under btw.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
Dexter
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12-24-08
25829
#330
Originally posted by sweetjones55
Nice hit on the OVER yesterday, GL with the UNDER. I think you got the right call there, all three refs favor the under btw.
thx - yeah, im starting to incorporate umpire trends into my baseball plays. its obviously foolish not to.
if a ref favors the under in a hoops game, what would they do to make the game stay low? call more or less fouls?
was thinking about this last night - not as clear cut as in baseball where you have an ump with a small strike zone.
Comment
shoebox
Restricted User
11-26-08
5710
#331
Originally posted by Dexter
thx - yeah, im starting to incorporate umpire trends into my baseball plays. its obviously foolish not to.
if a ref favors the under in a hoops game, what would they do to make the game stay low? call more or less fouls?
was thinking about this last night - not as clear cut as in baseball where you have an ump with a small strike zone.
..............
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#332
It should never make or break your plays but the refs are nice to have in your favor instead of not.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#333
Originally posted by shoebox
..............
i miss you shoe
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#334
Originally posted by sweetjones55
It should never make or break your plays but the refs are nice to have in your favor instead of not.
what are your thoughts on the nba? like i said, in baseball it would really make sense since umps with larger strike zones would favor the over, and small zones the under. how would a ref whos games tend to stay under be justified? calling more fouls does slow down the pace of the game, but it also increases FT's attempted.
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#335
If they are calling less shooting fouls then there are less free throws.
Also if they are just calling less fouls then the teams don't get into the penalty and get all the free throws at the end.
It's not a coincidence that Bavettas games tend to go under every year. He is influencing the total.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#336
Originally posted by sweetjones55
If they are calling less shooting fouls then there are less free throws.
Also if they are just calling less fouls then the teams don't get into the penalty and get all the free throws at the end.
It's not a coincidence that Bavettas games tend to go under every year. He is influencing the total.
i would agree with that, though an argument can slightly be made that calling fouls slows down the tempo of the game. but foul shots hold much more weight.
Comment
shoebox
Restricted User
11-26-08
5710
#337
The NBA will become very hard to cap next season, the Feds are watching like a hawk. Were all ready seeing it in this years playoffs
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#338
Tue 5/25:
(4x) over suns 221.5
Comment
Goat Milk
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03-24-10
25850
#339
Originally posted by shoebox
The NBA will become very hard to cap next season, the Feds are watching like a hawk. Were all ready seeing it in this years playoffs
Study up on your game playa. That's better for people like us who dissect matchups. None of that bullshit fixes.
People who rely strictly on line movement will have a tough time capping NBA in the future.
Sweet Jones- Bavetta influences the total because he's old school. He allows the physicality. There is no other reason. He doesn't fix any total.
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#340
ahhh..OT
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#341
ha - greatest push i can remember
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#342
Wed 5/26:
(5x) magic -4
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#343
Originally posted by Dexter
Tue 5/25:
(4x) over suns 221.5
(3x) lakers -130
Comment
shoebox
Restricted User
11-26-08
5710
#344
Originally posted by Dexter
(3x) lakers -130
Comment
Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#345
I bet you Shoe is an amzing poker player, you can never get a read on the guy he has so many damn emotions
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
Comment
I am Happy
SBR Wise Guy
02-11-10
597
#346
Originally posted by Goat Milk
I bet you Shoe is an amzing poker player, you can never get a read on the guy he has so many damn emotions
I've actually thought the same about Shoe. He's the man.
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#347
Originally posted by shoebox
please don't pull that sarcastic crap on plays i make - like most degenerate gamblers, im superstitious.
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#348
Originally posted by I am Happy
I've actually thought the same about Shoe. He's the man.
Comment
I am Happy
SBR Wise Guy
02-11-10
597
#349
Gonna be a tight one....Here we go LakeShow and OVER