Monday: Suns/Warriors Total = 244

**PlatinumBerg** · 03-22-10, 02:49 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

This is why 90% of the public will be on the under because it makes no sense to bet the over and I would not be surprised if the line increases from the public pounding the under you know the old reverse psychology trick plus after the poor scoring performance they had last night is the perfect set up

You should be able to tell by looking at the percentages right? How reliable are the public consensus percentages here at SBR Live Odds?

**PlatinumBerg** · 03-22-10, 02:50 AM

Originally posted by Wade Dwayne

dont understand why public is loving the under here. Do most people who gamble on basketball even watch games. Phoenix put up 150 somthing on minesota the other day and golden has been able to score regularly in the 120 for the past two weeks or so. All i know is this game should go big as long as both teams dont go cold.

Are you betting this game or stay away from it?

**PAULYPOKER** · 03-22-10, 02:52 AM

Originally posted by PlatinumBerg

You should be able to tell by looking at the percentages right? How reliable are the public consensus percentages here at SBR Live Odds?

not to reliable because they take to long to update them

**PlatinumBerg** · 03-22-10, 02:59 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

not to reliable because they take to long to update them

Do you know of a reliable site to get live public consensus percentages?

**PAULYPOKER** · 03-22-10, 03:08 AM

stat fox is pretty reliable most of the time

**Wade Dwayne** · 03-22-10, 03:14 AM

Originally posted by PlatinumBerg

Are you betting this game or stay away from it?

Over for sure as it appears as of now all of the money is being thrown on the under.

**PAULYPOKER** · 03-22-10, 03:34 AM

last 2 times they played at golden state the line was 233 and the final score was 259 for the one and in the other the line was 244.5 and the final score was 284

**PlatinumBerg** · 03-22-10, 03:40 AM

Is Stephen Curry playing and is he 100%?

**PAULYPOKER** · 03-22-10, 03:43 AM

News: Curry (ankle) returned to the court Saturday night, but scored only nine points with six assists and four boards in 25 minutes of play.
Spin: Curry was able to play, which is a step in the right direction. But he was obviously not himself and only played 25 minutes, which suggests that he is still dealing with the injury. Keep an eye out to make sure that he did not suffer any setbacks, and if not expect him to start seeing more minutes very soon.

**anjaru** · 03-22-10, 04:46 AM

The worst feeling ever it to bet the UNDER on a GSW game. You feel absolutely helpless as they run back and forth and score at will, and at the same time allowing the other team to score at will. I've never seen anything like this before. They allowed the Spurs to score 147 last week, and we all know what kind of an offense the Spurs run at half court. This game will be 260+.

**jojo85** · 03-22-10, 07:11 AM

It's gotta go over really, horrible defences

**maseda17** · 03-22-10, 07:11 AM

This is an inflated line. Books must be losing money on GS over plays. A no play here for me.

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 08:57 AM

Total of the year gs/phx o/u 243.5

I've already Team Total of the Year with the Nuggets and my College Basketball game of the Year with Wake Forest which were both big winners (so far my only of the year plays). Both of these plays are documented on that other site that I can't mention around here because it will just be erased. Today I give you my Total game of the year!

Phoenix @ Golden State O/U 243.5

The last time I saw a total this high between these two teams (244 O/U 3/15/2009) I thought to myself, "Jesus Christ, the totals between these two teams are always in the 230-237 range, how in the world are they going to score 245+ points combined. The result that night was a 130-154 Phoenix win @ GS. I think this was the highest combined score of any two teams in god knows how long.

Tonight I am asking myself the same question. Three out of the last four games between these two teams have gone under including their last game in Phoenix which only combined for 215 and went wayyy under the posted total of 233. The last O/U between these two teams all average to around 234.

So what does Vegas do tonight admist these two teams going under mostly lately and going way under last game? THey put out the highest total ever in the last 2 years at 244. Sure enough the public is pounding this total to the tune of 75% on the under, 25% on the over.

Ok now why do I absolutely love this play? Well the fact that this total is so much higher than all the others is a huge sign to me to take the over. Why would Vegas put this total so high knowing that the public will for sure be on the under? My answer is because they think it's going to be a high scoring affair. Now why do I think it's going to be a high scoring affair? It's pretty plain and simple, Golden State has been allowing EVERYONE to score at will on them lately. The biggest exampleo of this was just 3 days ago when they allowed the Spurs, who are by no means a great offensive team, score 147 points on them. They also allowed N.O to score 130 on them twice in the last month, another team that isn't so hot on offense. Now here come in the Suns who are THE high scoring team in the NBA, who are really feeling themselves lately winning their last 4 games. I don't see any reason why the Suns won't score at least 130 points on GS. I think GS will be themselves at home and also go out there and score 120+ especially since they have had a extra day of rest for this game and have Monta, Steph, and Maggette all healthy for tonight.

Suns/Warriors OVER 243.5 HUGE
Suns/Warrors 1st Half OVER 123 (projected) HEAVY

**Domestic** · 03-22-10, 09:00 AM

Best of luck.
Taking the under.

**masterinsport** · 03-22-10, 09:20 AM

over for me

**Zubi** · 03-22-10, 09:49 AM

3 of the GS's last 4 games have gone over this total.

**NBAwinner** · 03-22-10, 09:56 AM

i like it under

**lakerboy** · 03-22-10, 10:13 AM

if you take the under in this game you will be asking yourself why did i do that 6 mins in when you type in the # into your calculator and it show 265 projection with no hope of getting lower. be smart.

**kidcd** · 03-22-10, 10:16 AM

You make a very good argument to the under just be careful Warriors games have averaged over 240 L5 and the Suns are the one team that likes to run with them. Warriors play nooooooo defense. Good luck.

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 10:20 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

if you take the under in this game you will be asking yourself why did i do that 6 mins in when you type in the # into your calculator and it show 265 projection with no hope of getting lower. be smart.

This is exactly what I did last time the total was 244, I swear they were on pace to score 300 6 minutes into the 1st quarter. Track back the play by play from that game. I was killing myself for just staying away from the total that night.

**cecbo** · 03-22-10, 10:25 AM

It's already at 246 in my book.

**lyon804** · 03-22-10, 10:27 AM

I have made this my biggest bet last nite for tonites card. I love the over for all the reasons you mentioned and i am on the same page with you. I would not be shocked if these teams approach 300 pts tonite. The pace will be there for 300 pts, if the shooting is there you might see something in the historical range.

**eviltsi** · 03-22-10, 10:31 AM

i might have to aggree with you on this one. the problem would be even if the suns score 130, can the warriors score 115?!?!? this total is more realistic if steph curry is playing imo. the suns didn't shoot well at all last night, especially the 3 ball, so I think they come out on fire tonight

gl

**Powderguy** · 03-22-10, 10:34 AM

WOW, what a huge ass total.

**danvan3000** · 03-22-10, 10:42 AM

the suns was held to less than 100 points and they play again tonite.
yet we still think they'll score a lot?

**kobefanatic** · 03-22-10, 10:43 AM

guys is over 244 good enough to play 5x above on it?

**lyon804** · 03-22-10, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by danvan3000

the suns was held to less than 100 points and they play again tonite.
yet we still think they'll score a lot?

don't fool yourself bro-that was against a good team that plays defense and dictates a slower pace.. there will not be either tonite. the pace will be there to go over the total easily-just a matter of how many shots are made.

**CashMoney27** · 03-22-10, 10:46 AM

Sweetjones55 im kinda leaning toward the over. your right there has to be something that vegas knows about this game that would make them make this the biggest o/u in the history of these 2 teams

**lyon804** · 03-22-10, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by kobefanatic

guys is over 244 good enough to play 5x above on it?

play it Kobe.

**DMB40** · 03-22-10, 10:47 AM

246 now

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by kidcd

You make a very good argument to the under just be careful Warriors games have averaged over 240 L5 and the Suns are the one team that likes to run with them. Warriors play nooooooo defense. Good luck.

My whole argument is for the OVER lol.

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by eviltsi

i might have to aggree with you on this one. the problem would be even if the suns score 130, can the warriors score 115?!?!? this total is more realistic if steph curry is playing imo. the suns didn't shoot well at all last night, especially the 3 ball, so I think they come out on fire tonight

gl

Steph Curry IS playing.

**kobefanatic** · 03-22-10, 10:50 AM

Originally posted by lyon804

play it Kobe.

yup i played it, but i'm planning to hammer it

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by kobefanatic

yup i played it, but i'm planning to hammer it

Hammer it!

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 11:11 AM

I appreciate all the comments whether you are tailing or fading, keep them coming. You can never have enough info on a game.