Orlando +11.5 Tonight

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  • infamousbacardi
    SBR MVP
    • 03-16-08
    • 4556

    #1
    Orlando +11.5 Tonight
    The Orlando Magic are coming off of the heels of perhaps their biggest win of the season. They recently just beat the L.A. Lakers in Orlando, in what should amount to a little confidence builder for them. As they fly high going into tonight's game, the same can't be said for their opponent tonight, the other team from L.A., the Clippers. The lowly Clippers are giving new meaning to the term, "cover machine"...that is, everyone who plays them has been easily covering. The Clippers enter Orlando tonight coming off the heels of three straight games where their smallest margin of defeat has been 17 points. They've lost their last 3 contests by a total of 64 points. So, what's it mean tonight that the Clippers are only getting 11.5 points? Well, it basically means the Magic will cover easy...but let's do the usual work anyway.

    Sagarin rankings show us exactly what we already knew. The Magic are ranked 3rd in the league, while the Clippers check in tonight at 22nd. The Clippers are 5-19 SU vs the NBA's top 10 teams, and the Magic are 21-12 againts the NBA's bottom 16 teams. This means that the Magic are 23-8 SU against the NBA's worst 14 teams. This should come as no surprise, but nonetheless the way these two teams stack up tonight. It's also worthy of noting that, ATS, the Magic are the 14th ranked team in the NBA, while the Clippers are 22nd ranked. In terms of Home and Away being a matter when considering ATS numbers, the Magic are 16-14-1 ATS at home, while the Clippers are 12-19 ATS away from L.A.

    As I mentioned before, these two teams couldn't be any more opposite than they are right now in terms of form and recent performances. While the Magic appear to be in complete cruise control mode right now, the Clippers are a crowd pleasing 5-15 their last 20 games, and at this point should really start considering mailing it in. By no means do I condone that type of play or anything, but I mean, it isn't as though teams don't do this, or at least consider doing this. Sure, they'll have to play competitively against the poorer teams they face, or risk being criticized by the league, etc etc etc...however, against teams like the Magic, in Orlando, this team should be in near full lay-down mode. Now, will they be? You would certainly think not, but what happens when this Clippers team gets down by 10 points before halftime? What if they are down 15? Certainly, they will then lack the intensity to keep fighting.

    I think the Magic are riding a high wave right now, and rather than a let down, I think we'll see a lot of that energy flow over into this game and the adrenaline of the Magic should carry them to an easy victory, and a solid cover. I think this line should be closer to 14 points...so, get on it now, and let's enjoy a solid victory tonight as the Magic thump the Clippers in Orlando. BOL all.

    My Pick: Orlando -11.5 at home vs. Clippers tonight. GL.
  • infamousbacardi
    SBR MVP
    • 03-16-08
    • 4556

    #2
    Sorry, I just realized I put +11.5 in the title of the thread...if a mod or someone can change that to -11.5, that would be great.
    Comment
    • infamousbacardi
      SBR MVP
      • 03-16-08
      • 4556

      #3
      Hope that doesn't confuse anyone..line is obviously -11.5 to Magic
      Comment
      • infamousbacardi
        SBR MVP
        • 03-16-08
        • 4556

        #4
        Line is holding steady at 11.5 for now.
        Comment
        • robert_wrath
          SBR MVP
          • 07-16-09
          • 2122

          #5
          I'm on the same boat with you Captain. Heavy lean on Orlando just like Dallas.
          Comment
          • FadeCommonSense
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-24-09
            • 238

            #6
            I like Orlando too but Im just worried about the mentality factor. Magic just came off a huge win and this is a classic let down spot.
            Comment
            • cala56
              SBR MVP
              • 02-25-10
              • 4231

              #7
              I like orlando too,
              Comment
              • nickmanning214
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-12-08
                • 285

                #8
                Got the Clippies.
                Comment
                • thebestthereis
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-01-09
                  • 11459

                  #9
                  Never lay double digits in the NBA, mark it down for future encounters (but not of the 3rd kind). Good luck!
                  Comment
                  • Mac4Lyfe
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-04-09
                    • 48383

                    #10
                    Originally posted by infamousbacardi
                    Line is holding steady at 11.5 for now.
                    Up to -12 now... I'm leaning Magic 1st quarter and 1st half.
                    Comment
                    • thebertshow
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-30-07
                      • 645

                      #11
                      Def like the clips
                      Comment
                      • Fieldysnuts44
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-02-08
                        • 1592

                        #12
                        I was thinking same thing. Classic let down spot.I think Orlando will cover but Im staying away just in case of let down and 12pts is alot. Good Luck boys.
                        Comment
                        • infamousbacardi
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-16-08
                          • 4556

                          #13
                          GL guys!!
                          Comment
                          • infamousbacardi
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-16-08
                            • 4556

                            #14
                            I guess not many mods are too active currently...sorry about the "+11.5" again guys, it kind of bugs me...oh well.
                            Comment
                            • infamousbacardi
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-16-08
                              • 4556

                              #15
                              Alright...gl tonight guys...I'll be around later. Let's get this one!

                              Comment
                              • MrTwiz
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-26-10
                                • 913

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                Up to -12 now... I'm leaning Magic 1st quarter and 1st half.
                                Dwight Howard will eat up Kaman, just like Turiaf. 1st Quar, 1st half. Money B
                                God hates cowards
                                Comment
                                • infamousbacardi
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-16-08
                                  • 4556

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by MrTwiz
                                  Dwight Howard will eat up Kaman, just like Turiaf. 1st Quar, 1st half. Money B
                                  I agree...I think the Clippers can be effective against teams who don't have an answer for Kaman...but clearly the Magic do...I still think Magic should win this one going away.
                                  Comment
                                  • HustleGetPaid
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-28-09
                                    • 1199

                                    #18
                                    Like Orlando in this one also, will probably play the 1st half and wait to see if I make any action on the 2nd half.
                                    Comment
                                    • frostno98
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-11-07
                                      • 9769

                                      #19
                                      Huge fav's usually cover in the first half. Might have a let down here, after a huge victory vs LA.
                                      Comment
                                      • infamousbacardi
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-16-08
                                        • 4556

                                        #20
                                        I like good starts...keep this going and I'll be o.k. with that
                                        Comment
                                        • Intangible
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 12-09-09
                                          • 337

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by infamousbacardi
                                          I like good starts...keep this going and I'll be o.k. with that
                                          Just keep the lead now
                                          Comment
                                          • infamousbacardi
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-16-08
                                            • 4556

                                            #22
                                            Haha...it's a good problem to have though!
                                            Comment
                                            • Mac4Lyfe
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-04-09
                                              • 48383

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by MrTwiz
                                              Dwight Howard will eat up Kaman, just like Turiaf. 1st Quar, 1st half. Money B
                                              Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                              Up to -12 now... I'm leaning Magic 1st quarter and 1st half.
                                              Let's cash this bitch MrTwiz...
                                              Comment
                                              • infamousbacardi
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-16-08
                                                • 4556

                                                #24
                                                well...1q and 1h were golden...now let's keep this big half time lead and get that easy cover we wrote about this morning!!
                                                Comment
                                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-04-09
                                                  • 48383

                                                  #25
                                                  I'm all over Clipper's 2nd half pickem. Orlando will win but doubt they can keep the +26 point lead.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • infamousbacardi
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-16-08
                                                    • 4556

                                                    #26
                                                    I don't put it past them...I mean, you do have the favor of garbage time for Clips coming back a little bit, but I think the Magic win this one by about 20 yet.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bigboyfosho
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-19-09
                                                      • 1576

                                                      #27
                                                      good luck
                                                      Comment
                                                      • infamousbacardi
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-16-08
                                                        • 4556

                                                        #28
                                                        ty bigboy...looking good to this point
                                                        Comment
                                                        • infamousbacardi
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-16-08
                                                          • 4556

                                                          #29
                                                          Good to get one here...gl rest of the night guys.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-04-09
                                                            • 48383

                                                            #30
                                                            I still can't believe I pushed on Clips 2nd half. Those bastards kept missing layups. Baron Davis was fuking horrible tonight. They had 3 chances at the end to make a shot and couldn't do it. That was a push that actually hurt. Only the Clips could suck that bad.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • infamousbacardi
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-16-08
                                                              • 4556

                                                              #31
                                                              Haha...sorry about your bet...I'm just glad they didn't catch the spread.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-04-09
                                                                • 48383

                                                                #32
                                                                Well I should look on the bright side... at least it didn't lose. Clippers usually take my money so i can't be too upset.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Time is Money
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-03-07
                                                                  • 2255

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Good call
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Saunders FTW
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-10-08
                                                                    • 986

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Time is Money
                                                                    Good call

                                                                    yep
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • STAY STRONG
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-07-10
                                                                      • 2498

                                                                      #35
                                                                      nice call!
                                                                      Comment
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