Celts at Pistons U188

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  • SolidDala
    SBR MVP
    • 12-14-09
    • 1696

    #1
    Celts at Pistons U188
    Under last 5 meetings in Detroit, Pierce out, KG not hitting over 20 lately, except last game. Refs for the under, don't know about foul scenario here... Seems like a solid play here.
  • Gopi-1
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-27-10
    • 952

    #2
    I think Pierce's playing --> http://www.boston.com/sports/basketb...e_looks_ready/
    Comment
    • krazey47409
      Restricted User
      • 11-04-09
      • 2431

      #3
      under looks good to good
      Comment
      • THEGREAT30
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-04-08
        • 8970

        #4
        kinda like over but I will not be putting anything on it, just opinion, good day
        Comment
        • crazymilkman
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-15-10
          • 434

          #5
          over it is
          Comment
          • SolidDala
            SBR MVP
            • 12-14-09
            • 1696

            #6
            Collecting opinions and thoughts is reason behind this thread .. Wouldn't post any if I was sure to bet the under
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              I'm not buying this. Seems too obvious. General public thinks the Pistons still play good D, which they don't (not like they used to).

              I could see this getting into the 190-195 range easy.
              Comment
              • Hebodk
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-06-10
                • 321

                #8
                I'm leaning over as well.
                Comment
                • SolidDala
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-14-09
                  • 1696

                  #9
                  Yer, I hear you, thats why I started the thread, its to obvious for going under, to much of a warning sign here. Thx for all input not gonna touch the under play, but Boston -4.5 could be a play as long as it stays and doesn't move to -3.5!

                  Checked thespread.com for public and 80% is backing celtics. Where do You find that pistons is publics eye candy sir?
                  Comment
                  • maseda17
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-17-09
                    • 781

                    #10
                    I got under 188, its up to 189.5 tho in some spots.
                    Comment
                    • krazey47409
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-04-09
                      • 2431

                      #11
                      Originally posted by SolidDala
                      Yer, I hear you, thats why I started the thread, its to obvious for going under, to much of a warning sign here. Thx for all input not gonna touch the under play, but Boston -4.5 could be a play as long as it stays and doesn't move to -3.5!

                      Checked thespread.com for public and 80% is backing celtics. Where do You find that pistons is publics eye candy sir?

                      yea i still llike th eunder in boston cant let peoples opeinion fool you unless their a good capper i seen lb likes the over so prob better to stay away but dont worry about public eye candy i tracked public betting for over 350 games and and plays with only 10-20% of public on them were about even w/l plays with 40 to 49% of public on them had the highest ats win % at 58% over a 375 game test
                      Comment
                      • Cyborg9
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 01-13-10
                        • 95

                        #12
                        I am liking this big time LB
                        sbr
                        Comment
                        • ClipCan
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 02-23-10
                          • 133

                          #13
                          Over is the play.
                          Comment
                          • carbonero77
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-19-10
                            • 327

                            #14
                            bostor bad defense ,,over here
                            Comment
                            • BEANTOWNJIM
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-12-05
                              • 4610

                              #15
                              THE LINE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE OVER ITS AT 189 1/2 RIGHT NOW
                              Comment
                              • Extra Innings
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-26-10
                                • 15058

                                #16
                                Originally posted by maseda17
                                I got under 188, its up to 189.5 tho in some spots.
                                Originally posted by BEANTOWNJIM
                                THE LINE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE OVER ITS AT 189 1/2 RIGHT NOW
                                Comment
                                • Shifty107
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-05-10
                                  • 1582

                                  #17
                                  If Pierce is suiting up it will be for his defensive contributions. His offence will definately be cold from the layoff. Also Boston play better D on the road.
                                  Comment
                                  • RbN
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-02-10
                                    • 1514

                                    #18
                                    Over is a sure winner.
                                    Comment
                                    • JoeC
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 10-18-07
                                      • 101

                                      #19
                                      Just because the line is moving against the under doesn't mean the over will cover. Raptors vs rockets over under line yesterday moved from 212 1/2 to 214 1/2 and it still went under and there are numerous games like that all the time. I'll be taking the under tonight 188 since the pistons play good d at home and the celtics also play good defense as well on the road. Throw in the slow pace of detroit and shaky scoring of the celtics i wouldn't touch the over with a 20 feet pole.
                                      Comment
                                      • AzNDooM
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-29-08
                                        • 1611

                                        #20
                                        There has been excellent in this feedback and speculation shows that the thread is leaning towards the OVER.
                                        I have to tend to disagree and state the play to be a UNDER at 189.5. Although Paul Pierce coming back from his thumb injury will be an injection of points on the offense for BOS, I fail to see Detroit who is the second lowest scoring team to score any points against the top defensive team. Points will be a struggle for Detroit and as much respect as I have for Rip/Stuckney/Villeneua, There game has gone south and I just cant see that many points being put up in the paint with Glen David/Perkins/Garnett at the helm.

                                        In additon, following trends, the last 6 games played in Detroit, combined average of point is 170. Boston has a hard time scoring points in Detroit for some reason and I believe the trend will continue to follow.
                                        Plus give the upside that BOSTON is on the road, the Total ahs gone UNDER in 8 of 12 of Detroits last 12 games at home and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of BOSTON'S last 6 games on the road, I will look for this trend to continue.

                                        The only upside for the OVER is that the people's champion LB has a tip on the OVER which will have to make you reconsider, however his edge is based on the movement of the line which he is correct in calling as it has gone UP to 189.5 from an open of 188, however percentage correction of this attained value to assess his bet is only to be 3.5% edge in favour of his call, thus this weighed option is not a validity bet in my opinion and would require to hit 192 for LB to make the call an OVER.

                                        However, that's just my two sense and im just a SBR Rookie, I have more overdraft views, but BOS to win this easily with a call of UNDER is my call.
                                        Comment
                                        • krazey47409
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-04-09
                                          • 2431

                                          #21
                                          this games under all day i might buy on it now it was my strongest lean earlier just seen dat the over under champ of sbr jon is on the under here to should be $$$$$$$$$
                                          Comment
                                          • spargament
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-22-09
                                            • 1739

                                            #22
                                            perkins is out?
                                            Comment
                                            • cappinthepigs
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-07-09
                                              • 1864

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by AzNDooM
                                              There has been excellent in this feedback and speculation shows that the thread is leaning towards the OVER.
                                              I have to tend to disagree and state the play to be a UNDER at 189.5. Although Paul Pierce coming back from his thumb injury will be an injection of points on the offense for BOS, I fail to see Detroit who is the second lowest scoring team to score any points against the top defensive team. Points will be a struggle for Detroit and as much respect as I have for Rip/Stuckney/Villeneua, There game has gone south and I just cant see that many points being put up in the paint with Glen David/Perkins/Garnett at the helm.

                                              In additon, following trends, the last 6 games played in Detroit, combined average of point is 170. Boston has a hard time scoring points in Detroit for some reason and I believe the trend will continue to follow.
                                              Plus give the upside that BOSTON is on the road, the Total ahs gone UNDER in 8 of 12 of Detroits last 12 games at home and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of BOSTON'S last 6 games on the road, I will look for this trend to continue.

                                              The only upside for the OVER is that the people's champion LB has a tip on the OVER which will have to make you reconsider, however his edge is based on the movement of the line which he is correct in calling as it has gone UP to 189.5 from an open of 188, however percentage correction of this attained value to assess his bet is only to be 3.5% edge in favour of his call, thus this weighed option is not a validity bet in my opinion and would require to hit 192 for LB to make the call an OVER.

                                              However, that's just my two sense and im just a SBR Rookie, I have more overdraft views, but BOS to win this easily with a call of UNDER is my call.
                                              Record Since 21/01/2010
                                              Win Percentage 44.31% | 183-230-8 +102.3 UNITS


                                              THAT IS YOUR SIG..

                                              You've bet on 421 games in the last 40 days? Dude, that is some seriously ****ed up action. How in the hell are you not dead of a stroke by now??
                                              Comment
                                              • QUEST001
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 04-01-09
                                                • 779

                                                #24
                                                Under for me on this game capped it earlier..Boston D should be good 2nit. I believe it's a solid play GL..
                                                Comment
                                                • big0mar
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-09-09
                                                  • 3374

                                                  #25
                                                  Hammering this over tonight...
                                                  [B][B]They key isn't getting rich quick. The key is getting rich slowly, and enjoying it.

                                                  [/B][/B][SIZE=1][URL="http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/490161-points-available-loan.html#post4633361"][/URL][/SIZE]
                                                  Comment
                                                  • aca
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-20-06
                                                    • 2111

                                                    #26
                                                    Best of Luck!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • AzNDooM
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-29-08
                                                      • 1611

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by cappinthepigs
                                                      Record Since 21/01/2010
                                                      Win Percentage 44.31% | 183-230-8 +102.3 UNITS


                                                      THAT IS YOUR SIG..

                                                      You've bet on 421 games in the last 40 days? Dude, that is some seriously ****ed up action. How in the hell are you not dead of a stroke by now??
                                                      Its actually alot higher then that, I havent updated as my records only reflect to February 7th. I will update the last month when I have time, just a tad busy. What can I say I love sports and cause im in Australia our time zones have more selection of choice, in the mornings we do american sports, in the evenings we do Tennis/Soccer/NRL etc...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BD2ND
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 01-26-10
                                                        • 39

                                                        #28
                                                        Under seems to easy, kinda feels like a trap game..Could totally see this one finishing real close to the number either way...Im staying away, I think there are better plays on the board....BOL anyway
                                                        Comment
                                                        • beerman2619
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-24-09
                                                          • 7752

                                                          #29
                                                          like the over here
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Saunders FTW
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 03-10-08
                                                            • 986

                                                            #30
                                                            GL.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Edluva33
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 11-12-09
                                                              • 81

                                                              #31
                                                              I like the UNDER as well. Good Luck!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • maseda17
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-17-09
                                                                • 781

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by BD2ND
                                                                Under seems to easy, kinda feels like a trap game..Could totally see this one finishing real close to the number either way...Im staying away, I think there are better plays on the board....BOL anyway

                                                                Trap? its almost a 50/50 split looking at this thread.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SolidDala
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-14-09
                                                                  • 1696

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I agree half n half in here! First instinct were under 188 and gonna stick by it got damn it, like my chances here

                                                                  U189.5 Here we go
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pokerpro44
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-20-07
                                                                    • 3138

                                                                    #34
                                                                    i really like the under.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RbN
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-02-10
                                                                      • 1514

                                                                      #35
                                                                      As expected ofcourse this went over. Easy pick imo.
                                                                      Comment
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