NBA road dogs of 10+

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  • Cheese1976
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-17-09
    • 667

    #1
    NBA road dogs of 10+
    [ATTACH]9661[/ATTACH]
  • kingsr
    SBR MVP
    • 01-23-10
    • 1983

    #2
    Maybe filter the top home teams playing crap teams, (e.g. NY @ Cle plyed earlier tonight)

    Nice work mate Appreciate the info!
    Comment
    • Intangible
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-09-09
      • 337

      #3
      Nice one
      Comment
      • Cheese1976
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-17-09
        • 667

        #4
        Originally posted by Cheese1976
        [ATTACH]9661[/ATTACH]
        Originally posted by Intangible
        Nice one
        Thanks Intangible, that's really cool of you!
        Comment
        • freeVICK
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-21-08
          • 7114

          #5
          small sample size tho. would love to see this theory backtested over a couple of full seasons
          Comment
          • Wilforth
            Restricted User
            • 05-10-08
            • 16309

            #6
            Nice one.

            By the time we filter out some bad road teams or some bad DD home favorites (e.g. Dallas), the percentage should go up.
            Comment
            • kingsr
              SBR MVP
              • 01-23-10
              • 1983

              #7
              I'm sure this info is attainable for tracking the past few seasons. Anyone know where?
              Comment
              • tealish
                SBR MVP
                • 02-02-10
                • 3386

                #8
                Filter bad road teams? Where do you think road dogs of 10+ come from?
                Comment
                • Wilforth
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-10-08
                  • 16309

                  #9
                  Originally posted by tealish
                  Filter bad road teams? Where do you think road dogs of 10+ come from?


                  I get your point but some teams are better at covering than others.
                  Comment
                  • freeVICK
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-21-08
                    • 7114

                    #10
                    does this work for college as well?
                    Comment
                    • tbonmusikman
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-25-09
                      • 706

                      #11
                      Probably not, I would imagine college would have to be a significantly different number with many filters seeing as how there are a LOT more teams, and therefore more disparity in talent/skill.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        This has not worked in past seasons, so it is probably just an anomely.

                        NBA Road Underdogs of 10+
                        2007-08 104-114, 47.7%
                        2008-09 105-97, 51.2%
                        Comment
                        • Cheese1976
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-17-09
                          • 667

                          #13
                          Originally posted by tbonmusikman
                          Probably not, I would imagine college would have to be a significantly different number with many filters seeing as how there are a LOT more teams, and therefore more disparity in talent/skill.
                          I posted the NCAAB sheet in the NCAAB handicapping section, in case someone might get upset if I posted it here. Using road dogs of 20+ for NCAAB (instead of 10+ in NBA)
                          Comment
                          • stealthyburrito
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 05-12-09
                            • 21562

                            #14
                            good work on the dogs research
                            Comment
                            • robert_wrath
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-16-09
                              • 2122

                              #15
                              Good to see your tracking you stats. Most players refuse to spend the time recording earnings. WTG!
                              Comment
                              • freeVICK
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-21-08
                                • 7114

                                #16
                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                This has not worked in past seasons, so it is probably just an anomely.

                                NBA Road Underdogs of 10+
                                2007-08 104-114, 47.7%
                                2008-09 105-97, 51.2%

                                how did you get the info so fast LT?
                                Comment
                                • SolidDala
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-14-09
                                  • 1696

                                  #17
                                  Looked at march 2009 for DD roaddogs when having lunch:

                                  GAME: 21-20
                                  1H : 23-18

                                  Homedogs DD only vs CLE witch both two covered 1H and Game
                                  Comment
                                  • Z_Wipf
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-15-10
                                    • 1131

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Cheese1976
                                    I posted the NCAAB sheet in the NCAAB handicapping section, in case someone might get upset if I posted it here. Using road dogs of 20+ for NCAAB (instead of 10+ in NBA)

                                    I have used these two all year. It sucks to see that the NBA doesnt backtest well. For college if I know nothing about either team and they are no name colleges with one getting 20+ points I always take it. It almost never fails me.
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by freeVICK
                                      how did you get the info so fast LT?
                                      It's a quick look-up with WinPicks
                                      Comment
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