Don't Let the Bucks +7 Fool You Tomorrow

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  • GiveMeaBJ
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-08-09
    • 8449

    #1
    Don't Let the Bucks +7 Fool You Tomorrow
    Sure they have been playing great but is it because they are that much better with the new additions? No. Last 10 games:

    Last 10 Games
    @ Miami W
    @ Ind W
    vs NO W
    @ NY W
    vs Cha W
    @ Det W
    vs Hou L
    @ NJ W
    vs Det L
    vs Ind W

    The most impressive win for me is winning @ Cha. New Orleans is a very soft road team. Pretty much none of these wins convince me this team has turned a corner. I think the Hawks -7 are the play. You are getting a point or two of value just based on how "hot" the Bucks have been.

  • SolidDala
    SBR MVP
    • 12-14-09
    • 1696

    #2
    A long road win streak will end tonight, ATL have won last 5 meetings in ATL and gonna win tonight. Think Bucks will save energy till their homgame? Also the totals have in all these meetings gone over todays line. Hawks have won 4-1 with 4 buckets or more
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94379

      #3
      I agree- they are begging you to take mil
      Comment
      • StraitShooter
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-22-09
        • 10464

        #4
        i smell a trap too
        Comment
        • CLASSIC ROCK
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 07-23-09
          • 574

          #5
          like it
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #6
            Atl should be ready to take the dal loss out on someone
            Comment
            • easyaxess
              SBR High Roller
              • 03-26-07
              • 164

              #7
              Its ATL or nothing in this one
              Comment
              • nulldah
                SBR MVP
                • 01-27-10
                • 1473

                #8
                stay away game for me. hawk probably will win SU, but spread will be 50/50. see in last few games, hawk tends to relax after a big lead, letting the team coming back
                Comment
                • ngates815
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-01-09
                  • 13845

                  #9
                  Should be a pretty good game. Illyasova plays some weird harrassing defense, and he can stay with josh smith. If Bogut can stay outta foul trouble, he should be a beast down low. Probably won't play it though. Milwaukee has been making me lots of money as of late.
                  Comment
                  • SpreadSniper
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-17-09
                    • 6125

                    #10
                    yup.... with many loosing money on ATL on FRI public perception will probably be to pound the shit outta MIL since they catching so many points
                    Comment
                    • bookie
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 2112

                      #11
                      Atlanta 1Q & 1H...they'll be looking to throw a punch and Milwaukee can't be ready. They will play to the bell, though, and could easily close six points in the last meaningless 90 seconds.
                      Comment
                      • gshock1
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-04-09
                        • 5366

                        #12
                        Spread has bumped ot +8.5/9 in some books... +7 looked somewhat attractive, but now is a pass for me. Maybe it comes down a bit before tipoff. GL to you on this pick though.
                        Comment
                        • Dexter
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-24-08
                          • 25829

                          #13
                          Originally posted by StraitShooter
                          i smell a trap too
                          well, the line is up to 8. a trap in which sense? because the hawks should be favored by more or less?

                          i had my projected at 8.5, so this line seems about right to me...

                          are the books begging for bucks money by dangling a lot of points or are they trying to trick you by posting a low line and making like milw is the play?

                          i love these debates - all people do is make a case for which way they actually like the game.

                          if someone likes atlanta, they'll say "reverse trap by the books - they want us to think milw is the play but atl is"

                          if someone likes milw they'll say "why is the line so low - bucks must be the play"

                          trying to guess when the books are tricking you could drive you nutz....
                          Comment
                          • JerseyLove
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-15-10
                            • 2183

                            #14
                            Agree good points
                            Comment
                            • thebestthereis
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-01-09
                              • 11459

                              #15
                              the line should not be 8 or 8.5 right now. in a vacuum maybe atlanta is an 8 point favorite but right now they are not, plain and simple. milwaukee is a cash machine right now. it isn't about anything but right now and how teams are playing currently, this game at this time...milwaukee is playing better than anyone. that being said milwaukee is playing their 4th game in 5 days and bookmakers no sharp players almost always bet against that angle..it is a winning angle and they know it. good luck!
                              Comment
                              • Dexter
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-24-08
                                • 25829

                                #16
                                Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                the line should not be 8 or 8.5 right now. in a vacuum maybe atlanta is an 8 point favorite but right now they are not, plain and simple. milwaukee is a cash machine right now. it isn't about anything but right now and how teams are playing currently, this game at this time...milwaukee is playing better than anyone. that being said milwaukee is playing their 4th game in 5 days and bookmakers no sharp players almost always bet against that angle..it is a winning angle and they know it. good luck!
                                so you're saying "sharp" players would play milw tonight?
                                Comment
                                • thebestthereis
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-01-09
                                  • 11459

                                  #17
                                  i am saying professionals that bet NBA use scheduling spots like this one, just like i did last night on golden state. teams playing 4 games in 5 nights have a disadvantage, they are humans and legs get tired. it isn't perfect but it is an edge when these situations come up. it's not brain surgery.

                                  also when teams go in and out of denver and utah and play the following night it is a disadvantage due to the air in those cities. little things like this you need to pay attention to, they are a factor.
                                  Comment
                                  • Dexter
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-24-08
                                    • 25829

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                    i am saying professionals that bet NBA use scheduling spots like this one, just like i did last night on golden state. teams playing 4 games in 5 nights have a disadvantage, they are humans and legs get tired. it isn't perfect but it is an edge when these situations come up. it's not brain surgery.

                                    also when teams go in and out of denver and utah and play the following night it is a disadvantage due to the air in those cities. little things like this you need to pay attention to, they are a factor.
                                    trust me - everything you said in this post lines up with angles im a firm believer of.

                                    hawks - 97
                                    bucks - 84
                                    Comment
                                    • Bones402
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 02-02-10
                                      • 697

                                      #19
                                      I think the over is a good one its 190 and the over is 7-3 when these two play each other in their last 10 and these two teams average about 200 when they have played. What do you guys think?
                                      Comment
                                      • Wilforth
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-10-08
                                        • 16309

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by nulldah
                                        stay away game for me. hawk probably will win SU, but spread will be 50/50. see in last few games, hawk tends to relax after a big lead, letting the team coming back
                                        Very true.
                                        Comment
                                        • whatsgood5
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 10-13-09
                                          • 15359

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by easyaxess
                                          Its ATL or nothing in this one
                                          Agreed, leaning towards the Hawks here, but this one may end up as a no play for me.
                                          Comment
                                          • robert_wrath
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-16-09
                                            • 2122

                                            #22
                                            Giving the Bucks +8.5 is too many. I may have taken Atlanta by 5-6.
                                            Comment
                                            • MemphisBean
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 02-26-10
                                              • 12

                                              #23
                                              The bottom line should be to stay away from game...bucks are playing good right now and have been a cash machine like thebest said. but atl at home is so tough...you never want to go against a hot team...and you rarely want to go against atl at home....about 62% of public is on atl...shaky shaky shaky game
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #24
                                                I think they're begging you to take the over here too, which means the under is the play.
                                                Comment
                                                • NickS8753
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 02-25-10
                                                  • 106

                                                  #25
                                                  I agree, good points, its all in the eyes of the perceiver
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jerrod
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-01-09
                                                    • 373

                                                    #26
                                                    glad everyone likes atlanta makes me feel better takin mil
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cala56
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-25-10
                                                      • 4231

                                                      #27
                                                      Lol, me too, everybody likes hawk, so im sure buck win tonight. Maybe lost by 5.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tomasitas
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-17-10
                                                        • 1174

                                                        #28
                                                        agree,Hawks all day long
                                                        Comment
                                                        • WillC
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-10-09
                                                          • 1831

                                                          #29
                                                          No ones being fooled here, in fact 60% are on the Hawks. Yesterday, 75% was on Miami according to SBR Odds.

                                                          Bucks are on fire. Sure, they haven't played any quality ... but they've consistently been dominant, always leading by 8+ points going into the 4th Q in their last 6 games. I've been watching all Bucks games and they hustle their asses of on D, and the inclusion of Salmons who is now there 2nd/3rd best player is one of the reasons why they're playing great

                                                          8.5 is about right.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • og4667
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-17-09
                                                            • 2438

                                                            #30
                                                            no way I lay 8.5 pts with a Hawks team that can't close out games right now. The Bucks are too fundamentally sound and they have a great coach. They play well on b2b's and the Bucks have one of my new fav players Ersan Ilyasovia that guy is money along with a bunch of other guys like Bogut, Jennings, Salmons, Stackhouse. If these two teams meet in the playoffs, the Bucks would win.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kingofgamble
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 02-08-10
                                                              • 475

                                                              #31
                                                              atl
                                                              Comment
                                                              • john99
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 09-10-09
                                                                • 274

                                                                #32
                                                                big battle between bogut and horford

                                                                bogut has been playing amazingly lately and I think he would be extra keen to outplay horford
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Gopi-1
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-27-10
                                                                  • 952

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Don't 2nd guess yourselves gentlemen, play the totals if you can't
                                                                  stay out of this game. I took the OVER (189.5) and prayed over...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • NDawg
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 12-03-09
                                                                    • 43

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Stackhouse is back... bucks all day
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • THA_DIESEL
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-23-10
                                                                      • 3632

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Books give out another easy winner in the Bucks getting points...but we as bettors make too much of the line instead of focusing on how the teams have been playing as of late and get burned

                                                                      The correct play was the obvious play
                                                                      Comment
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