Williams22's NBA Thread

williams22 · 03-08-10, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

Thats what you would think or play spurs right? My style is not for everyone and if you see my picks usually are on the opposite side of most on this site. I have placed over 300 documented wagers on SBR and I would think if I wasnt analyzing my angles properly my luck would of ran out by now if I was throwing darts. Im not telling anyone to play it but if you like it tail if not fade its your $$

I always respect your angles and opinions shoes. However, I think you may be undervaluing Lebron's importance to this team. It's not the scoring that concerns me, it's the fact that their entire offense runs through him. He has scored or assisted on over 50% of his team's points in February...that's outrageous! Because of his effect on defenses and his great vision he instantly makes everyone on the court a threat. Without Lebron, guys like JJ, Varejao, Parker, Jawad, etc. struggle to get shots on their own. Mo, Delonte and Jamison are the only guys who can create. Mo's confidence is as low as it's been all season, and he's never been a true PG in the sense of creating for others. I just don't think this team can find good lucks against a good defense without Lebron.

Also, remember that the Cavs are without a true Center right now and Lebron has been picking up some of the rebounding slack.

williams22 · 03-08-10, 06:27 PM

San Antonio ML (+100) - 3 units
Cleveland TT Under 96 - 3 units
Dallas -6 - 3 units
New Orleans -6 - 2 units

phillybadboy · 03-08-10, 06:37 PM

there are lots of different ways to analyze game shoebox,williams22, lots of different angles to look at ,sometimes this angle hits,sometimes that angles, no single one angle is gona hit all the time, thats why no one is 100% that's we're all only 55% to 65%.lots of different ways to cap games. good luck bros

williams22 · 03-08-10, 06:38 PM

Adding a unit to San Antonio ML

Also:
San Antonio 1Q Pk - 4 units

AzNDooM · 03-08-10, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by williams22

Adding a unit to San Antonio ML

Also:
San Antonio 1Q Pk - 4 units

I think SAS got this easy... but then again its in CLE and even without Lebron, they still have a decent bench. Mo/Varejo/Jamison/Hickson - 1 of these guys have to step it up.

Wish I could tail unfortunately the books i use dont offer 1Q, seriously need to change to a new book that will pay out Australia.

ParlayKing · 03-08-10, 07:13 PM

damn shouldve bought the spurs at +5.5 when i had the chance.. now i got em at -2

williams22 · 03-08-10, 09:38 PM

Haha figures, I bet against my own team and get buried. I can't even be mad though, Cavs played a hell of a game.

shoebox · 03-08-10, 10:07 PM

Originally posted by williams22

Haha figures, I bet against my own team and get buried. I can't even be mad though, Cavs played a hell of a game.

Have faith in your boys the books cleaned up on that one

williams22 · 03-08-10, 10:44 PM

My own team killed me. I'm happy to see them pull off a big victory without a lot of key players though. But Varejao, did you really have to hit those FTs at the end and kill my team total as well? Time to rebound tomorrow.

Current Record:
32-18 +49.91 units

makemerich · 03-08-10, 10:45 PM

Originally posted by williams22

My own team killed me. I'm happy to see them pull off a big victory without a lot of key players though. But Varejao, did you really have to hit those FTs at the end and kill my team total as well? Time to rebound tomorrow.

Current Record:
32-18 +49.91 units

im with u all the way tomorrow. lets get them bookies. goooooooooo williams!!!

MexicanStallion · 03-08-10, 10:50 PM

How did you do tonight Williams?

williams22 · 03-08-10, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

How did you do tonight Williams?

Miserable, 1-4. 3 of the losses came from betting the Cavs game (TT, Spurs ML, Spurs 1Q). The Cavs looked like a completely different team from the one that showed up against the Bucks. At least my Dallas call was dead on. Hornets had the lead for most of the game but didn't cover in the end.

MexicanStallion · 03-08-10, 10:58 PM

Originally posted by williams22

Miserable, 1-4. 3 of the losses came from betting the Cavs game (TT, Spurs ML, Spurs 1Q). The Cavs looked like a completely different team from the one that showed up against the Bucks. At least my Dallas call was dead on. Hornets had the lead for most of the game but didn't cover in the end.

Sorry Williams. I think it might be me being in this thread ha. I am a fade material. Good luck with the card tomorrow.

ParlayKing · 03-09-10, 12:00 AM

Yeah i backed the spurs tonight.. shouldve played them yesturday at + points instead of -

Early leans for me are...
Cats -3
Cats/Heat under 185
Lakers ML
Buck -1

Any feedback to any of em would be nice!

makemerich · 03-09-10, 12:02 AM

Originally posted by ParlayKing

Yeah i backed the spurs tonight.. shouldve played them yesturday at + points instead of -

Early leans for me are...
Cats -3
Cats/Heat under 185
Lakers ML
Buck -1

Any feedback to any of em would be nice!

like all cept bucks. bol. also like houston

phillybadboy · 03-09-10, 12:04 AM

you couldn't play them yesterday because you just found lebron was out today,there are lots of different angles to cap games

williams22 · 03-09-10, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by phillybadboy

you couldn't play them yesterday because you just found lebron was out today,there are lots of different angles to cap games

AzNDooM · 03-09-10, 12:19 AM

Originally posted by williams22

Thanks guys

I cashed GSW -4, 3rd quarter under, and 4th quarter under but unfortunately only played them for points and not money. At least I'm 250 points richer

Apologise for the late donations, not much coming in on the thread. So giving you what was provided for the past week. Keep the picks coming and im thinking ive served my time as a ROOKIE and going to start listing picks. I should of tailed you this month as your on fire, im not doing so hot of late but yeah.. hopefully ill be motivated to catch on fire like yourself. Hope the studies are coming along well bud and Las Vegas treating you well.

shoebox · 03-09-10, 12:21 AM

Originally posted by AzNDooM

Apologise for the late donations, not much coming in on the thread. So giving you what was provided for the past week. Keep the picks coming and im thinking ive served my time as a ROOKIE and going to start listing picks. I should of tailed you this month as your on fire, im not doing so hot of late but yeah.. hopefully ill be motivated to catch on fire like yourself. Hope the studies are coming along well bud and Las Vegas treating you well.

AzNDooM dont feel like you have to prove yourself or put in your time before you have ###'s of posts. Post em play em and let that do the talking

on your venture

cinaj05 · 03-09-10, 12:23 AM

wil any leans for tomorrow?

crinkledaces · 03-09-10, 12:56 AM

does anyone like the under in the pacers phil game the game has gone under in there 9 out of 10 of there last meetings

colts · 03-09-10, 12:37 PM

Williams - rough night last night. I know you will come back strong!

Just a bump in the road. What do you think of the Bobcats tonight?

williams22 · 03-09-10, 04:49 PM

Philadelphia ML - 4 units
Charlotte -3.5 - 3 units
Boston +2 - 2 units
Washington +4.5 - 2 units

crinkledaces · 03-09-10, 05:10 PM

i dont want to sound like a asshole but why do u like these games. If your busy i understand but a write up would be nice. By no means am I trying to be rude. But i like a few of your picks and i want to know if we have the same reasons for liking them

tealish · 03-09-10, 05:15 PM

Originally posted by williams22

Philadelphia ML - 4 units
Charlotte -3.5 - 3 units
Boston +2 - 2 units
Washington +4.5 - 2 units

Nice, I really like Charlotte and Boston too. Philly I can definitely see winning here with Indy missing Granger, but I just can't put 4 units on the Sixers myself... Washington, I'll have to respectfully disagree

williams22 · 03-09-10, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by crinkledaces

i dont want to sound like a asshole but why do u like these games. If your busy i understand but a write up would be nice. By no means am I trying to be rude. But i like a few of your picks and i want to know if we have the same reasons for liking them

Philadelphia is a better team than Indy to begin with and without Granger I expect Indy to look lost tonight. Indy is very soft and Brand And Iggy should be able to take advantage of that.

Charlotte has been incredibly strong at home and has enough length on the wings to cause lots of trouble for Wade. They have beaten Miami in both matchups this year including a 39-point victory at home. Also, Charlotte needs every win they can get right now to help earn a playoff spot.

I firmly believe that, when healthy, Boston is a team that plays up or down to their competition as much as anyone. Having barely escaped with a win against Washington recently, I expect a much better effort tonight. The Bucks have been successful with the play of Bogut and Jennings and I think Boston is well-equipped to guard them with Rondo and Perkins.

Houston is being favored on the road again? Seriously? Houston's 2 wins in their last 5 games have come against a Jefferson-less Minnesota team and a Bosh-less Toronto team. Andray Blatche is the real deal and will cause problems for Houston. Also, after watching Houston's pitiful offensive display down the stretch against Detroit I can't justify taking them.

aunty jack · 03-09-10, 05:43 PM

thanx for the picks - and especially the early posting. makes it so much easier to juggle work, life and sport (not necessarily in that order!)

yesterday was just a pothole on the money highway. good things await today.

cheers.

QUEST001 · 03-09-10, 05:53 PM

Nice write up Williams GL...

lakerboy · 03-09-10, 05:55 PM

Originally posted by williams22

Philadelphia is a better team than Indy to begin with and without Granger I expect Indy to look lost tonight. Indy is very soft and Brand And Iggy should be able to take advantage of that.

Charlotte has been incredibly strong at home and has enough length on the wings to cause lots of trouble for Wade. They have beaten Miami in both matchups this year including a 39-point victory at home. Also, Charlotte needs every win they can get right now to help earn a playoff spot.

I firmly believe that, when healthy, Boston is a team that plays up or down to their competition as much as anyone. Having barely escaped with a win against Washington recently, I expect a much better effort tonight. The Bucks have been successful with the play of Bogut and Jennings and I think Boston is well-equipped to guard them with Rondo and Perkins.

Houston is being favored on the road again? Seriously? Houston's 2 wins in their last 5 games have come against a Jefferson-less Minnesota team and a Bosh-less Toronto team. Andray Blatche is the real deal and will cause problems for Houston. Also, after watching Houston's pitiful offensive display down the stretch against Detroit I can't justify taking them.

Willy i couldnt have said it any better. I like them all except charlotte.

crinkledaces · 03-09-10, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by williams22

Philadelphia is a better team than Indy to begin with and without Granger I expect Indy to look lost tonight. Indy is very soft and Brand And Iggy should be able to take advantage of that.

Charlotte has been incredibly strong at home and has enough length on the wings to cause lots of trouble for Wade. They have beaten Miami in both matchups this year including a 39-point victory at home. Also, Charlotte needs every win they can get right now to help earn a playoff spot.

I firmly believe that, when healthy, Boston is a team that plays up or down to their competition as much as anyone. Having barely escaped with a win against Washington recently, I expect a much better effort tonight. The Bucks have been successful with the play of Bogut and Jennings and I think Boston is well-equipped to guard them with Rondo and Perkins.

Houston is being favored on the road again? Seriously? Houston's 2 wins in their last 5 games have come against a Jefferson-less Minnesota team and a Bosh-less Toronto team. Andray Blatche is the real deal and will cause problems for Houston. Also, after watching Houston's pitiful offensive display down the stretch against Detroit I can't justify taking them.

i was uncertain about the phil game but everything else you said was right on with what i was thinking. So ill piggy back u on the phil game.

Lets cash on all 4

AzNDooM · 03-09-10, 07:07 PM

Wow, I agree with all plays except Miami. Im going to have to fade you on this. Although you are correct in saying that Miami has problems in Charlotte and they are very strong at home, Miami is a covering machine on opponents of .500 and above. In addition, if ur doing stats alone, my model has Miami on a slight edge of 2 percent at ML, I like the match ups of Beasley/Haslem/Wade vs Wallace/Jackson/Diop as in my opinion and I just dont see Miami letting up on this as they are in a play off hunt as well.

Plus add revenge factor as they got smacked by them 104-65 last time and current form/momentum I think Miami takes this by 2 points. This isnt one of my favourite cards to play, but I just think the slight edge favours Miami here.

williams22 · 03-09-10, 08:18 PM

Houston/Washington 2H Under 96.5 - 3 units

williams22 · 03-09-10, 08:20 PM

Hmm Azn and LB don't like the Charlotte pick and that seems to be a bad sign so far. Hopefully Charlotte can straighten things out in the second half.

cinaj05 · 03-09-10, 09:27 PM

We got it Will I'm on the CHA too thanks for the richardson late foul he want cha to cover.

williams22 · 03-09-10, 09:54 PM

Sacramento +9 - 2 units