20 points > Avg & Blown Out Theory Thread

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  • HoulihansTX
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-12-09
    • 30566

    #1
    20 points > Avg & Blown Out Theory Thread
    When teams score more than 20 point above their avg per game....

    --- I bet the Under in their next game. I have not keep stats, but it has been profitable for me.


    When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...

    --- I bet them next game. No matter the spread, but preferably as Dogs.



    Betting all Double digit Dogs of 10+

    --- Per TGoats stats this has been a profitable betting strategy this year. +26 Units.
    ________________________________________

    I am going to use this thread to keep track of those types of bets. I need to keep track of my methodology behind my bets in order to keep from making the same mistakes anyway.

    GL to all

  • HoulihansTX
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-12-09
    • 30566

    #2
    Tuesday 2/16

    When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...

    Clippers in previous game were destroyed by the Warriors 102-132. 30pt defeat

    Rockets lost 66-99. 33pt defeat


    Double Digit Dogs

    New Jersey

    _________________________________

    Tuesdays bets are Houston/Clippers/New Jersey --- Closing lines since they are dogs.

    Comment
    • UnstoppableForce
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-10-10
      • 364

      #3
      Sounds interesting. Good luck with it.
      Comment
      • laziie
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-16-09
        • 207

        #4
        might try it out next time
        Comment
        • youngerthree
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-13-10
          • 570

          #5
          This is awesome!

          Do you think the point differentials will stay have the same effect since no games have been played since last week?
          Comment
          • SpreadSniper
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-17-09
            • 6125

            #6
            Originally posted by HoulihansTX

            Betting all Double digit Dogs of 10+

            --- Per TGoats stats this has been a profitable betting strategy this year. +26 Units.

            WOW - I knew they were doing good, but didnt realize this good. Last years blow outs really inflated the numbers this year.
            Comment
            • JRswish
              SBR Sharp
              • 02-08-10
              • 257

              #7
              i'm a little worried about AllStar break making the players forget about thier last game ... i think it's an intersting strat to try out next week.
              Comment
              • suicidekings
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-09
                • 9962

                #8
                Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                When teams score more than 20 point above their avg per game....

                --- I bet the Under in their next game. I have not keep stats, but it has been profitable for me.
                I just ran this scenario through my database. It's 15-12-2 so far this season, but 1-5 when the second game is B2B with the first one. Interesting angle.

                My comparisons are based on each team's current avg ppg though so there may be some discrepancies.
                Comment
                • HoulihansTX
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-12-09
                  • 30566

                  #9
                  Originally posted by suicidekings
                  I just ran this scenario through my database. It's 15-12-2 so far this season, but 1-5 when the second game is B2B with the first one. Interesting angle. My comparisons are based on each team's current avg ppg though so there may be some discrepancies.
                  I have done this the whole year, but I decided to share a couple of my angles. Since I'm seeing threads with people who obviously bet with no angles, just for the hell of it.


                  Thank you for the numbers.
                  Comment
                  • cinaj05
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-12-10
                    • 325

                    #10
                    BOL mate
                    Comment
                    • pats3peat
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-23-05
                      • 1163

                      #11
                      Originally posted by suicidekings
                      I just ran this scenario through my database. It's 15-12-2 so far this season, but 1-5 when the second game is B2B with the first one. Interesting angle.

                      My comparisons are based on each team's current avg ppg though so there may be some discrepancies.
                      Plus involving "no matter the spread" might be an area to improve on
                      what if u take just dogs, no b2b, +7 or higher
                      Comment
                      • HoulihansTX
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-12-09
                        • 30566

                        #12
                        Tuesday 2/16

                        When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...

                        Clippers +7

                        Houston +3.5




                        Double Digit Dogs

                        New Jersey +11

                        I really hate this play, but rules are the rules
                        Golden St. +13.5

                        All plays are to win 1U
                        Comment
                        • HoulihansTX
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-12-09
                          • 30566

                          #13
                          Tuesday 2/16

                          When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...
                          (0-2)

                          Clippers +7 L

                          Houston +3.5 L




                          Double Digit Dogs
                          (2-0)

                          New Jersey +11 W

                          I really hate this play, but rules are the rules
                          Golden St. +13.5 W

                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #14
                            Wednesday 2/17

                            When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...

                            Minnesota
                            -Blown out by 23pts on 2/16

                            New York
                            - Blown out by 33pts on 2/16

                            Clippers
                            -Blown out by 22pts on 2/16

                            Philly
                            - Blown out by 27 pts on 2/16

                            Double Digit Dogs

                            Detroit +11

                            Comment
                            • Nimo
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 01-22-10
                              • 105

                              #15
                              What I have noticed is the margin over the spread that they win or lose by. Another site shows the margin, if it's +/- over 25 then watch the next game.
                              Comment
                              • HoulihansTX
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-12-09
                                • 30566

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Nimo
                                What I have noticed is the margin over the spread that they win or lose by. Another site shows the margin, if it's +/- over 25 then watch the next game.
                                What is the site?
                                Comment
                                • Nimo
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-22-10
                                  • 105

                                  #17
                                  Covers
                                  Comment
                                  • youngerthree
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-13-10
                                    • 570

                                    #18
                                    Good luck tonight!
                                    Comment
                                    • HoulihansTX
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 02-12-09
                                      • 30566

                                      #19
                                      Wednesday 2/17

                                      When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...

                                      Minnesota +5.5

                                      New York -2.5

                                      Clippers +6

                                      Philly
                                      - Blown out by 27 pts on 2/16

                                      Double Digit Dogs

                                      Detroit +11

                                      Comment
                                      • HoulihansTX
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-12-09
                                        • 30566

                                        #20
                                        Wednesday 2/17
                                        (0-5)
                                        When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...

                                        Minnesota +5.5 L

                                        New York -2.5 L

                                        Clippers +6 L

                                        Philly
                                        - Blown out by 27 pts on 2/16

                                        Double Digit Dogs
                                        (2-1)
                                        Detroit +11 L
                                        Comment
                                        • HoulihansTX
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-12-09
                                          • 30566

                                          #21
                                          Thursday 2/18

                                          When teams score more than 20 point above their avg per game....

                                          Houston scored 127pts, but their avg is 101.

                                          When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...

                                          Philly
                                          - Blown out by 27 pts on 2/16

                                          Kings
                                          -blown out by 32pts on 2/17

                                          Bucks
                                          -Blown out by 26pts on 2/17

                                          Pistons
                                          -blown out by 25pts on 2/17
                                          Comment
                                          • JP10
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 11-21-09
                                            • 216

                                            #22
                                            Will keep my eye on Houston for the next game. both Buck and King been beat up real bad last night. Let see what's happen!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • HoulihansTX
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-12-09
                                              • 30566

                                              #23
                                              Friday 2/19

                                              When teams score more than 20 point above their avg per game....

                                              Houston scored 127pts, but their avg is 101.

                                              When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...

                                              Philly +3.5

                                              Kings
                                              -blown out by 32pts on 2/17

                                              Bucks -1

                                              Pistons +1

                                              Comment
                                              • HoulihansTX
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-12-09
                                                • 30566

                                                #24
                                                Friday 2/19

                                                When teams score more than 20 point above their avg per game....

                                                Houston scored 127pts, but their avg is 101.

                                                When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...
                                                (2-6)
                                                Philly +3.5 W

                                                Kings
                                                -blown out by 32pts on 2/17

                                                Portland
                                                - Blown out by 20 on 2/19

                                                Bucks -1 W

                                                Pistons +1 L
                                                Comment
                                                • HoulihansTX
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-12-09
                                                  • 30566

                                                  #25
                                                  Saturday 2/20

                                                  When teams score more than 20 point above their avg per game....

                                                  Houston scored 127pts, but their avg is 101.

                                                  When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...

                                                  Kings
                                                  -blown out by 32pts on 2/17

                                                  Portland
                                                  - Blown out by 20 on 2/19

                                                  Double Digit Dogs

                                                  Miami
                                                  Comment
                                                  • HoulihansTX
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-12-09
                                                    • 30566

                                                    #26
                                                    Saturday 2/20

                                                    When teams score more than 20 point above their avg per game....

                                                    Houston scored 127pts, but their avg is 101.

                                                    Houston/Indy 209 UNDER 2/20

                                                    When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...

                                                    Kings -1 2/20

                                                    Portland
                                                    - Blown out by 20 on 2/19

                                                    Double Digit Dogs

                                                    Miami +10 2/20
                                                    Comment
                                                    • og4667
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-17-09
                                                      • 2438

                                                      #27
                                                      these angles make sense, DD dogs have been pretty good this year. good luck.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • HoulihansTX
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 02-12-09
                                                        • 30566

                                                        #28
                                                        Saturday 2/20

                                                        When teams score more than 20 point above their avg per game....

                                                        Houston scored 127pts, but their avg is 101.

                                                        Houston/Indy 209 UNDER 2/20 L

                                                        (0-1)

                                                        When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...

                                                        Kings -1 2/20 L

                                                        Portland
                                                        - Blown out by 20 on 2/19

                                                        Double Digit Dogs
                                                        (3-1)
                                                        Miami +10 2/20 W
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HoulihansTX
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-12-09
                                                          • 30566

                                                          #29
                                                          Sunday 2/21

                                                          When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...
                                                          (2-7)

                                                          Portland PK
                                                          - Blown out by 20 on 2/19

                                                          Double Digit Dogs
                                                          (3-1)

                                                          Sacramento +10
                                                          Comment
                                                          • whatsgood5
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 10-13-09
                                                            • 15359

                                                            #30
                                                            Good luck on the Kings, went the opposite way here though. Like the Suns to blow 'em out,...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • HoulihansTX
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-12-09
                                                              • 30566

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by whatsgood5
                                                              Good luck on the Kings, went the opposite way here though. Like the Suns to blow 'em out,...
                                                              I'm not playing all these games. Only keeping track of the plays that my theory puts out.

                                                              All of my plays are posted in my NBA Thread
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kchien
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 07-18-09
                                                                • 149

                                                                #32
                                                                On the teams getting blown out by 20 theory, what about playing the 1H instead of the entire game?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HoulihansTX
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 02-12-09
                                                                  • 30566

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Sunday 2/21

                                                                  When teams get blown out by at least 20 points...
                                                                  (2-8)

                                                                  Portland PK L
                                                                  - Blown out by 20 on 2/19

                                                                  Double Digit Dogs
                                                                  (3-2)

                                                                  Sacramento +10 L
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • HoulihansTX
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 02-12-09
                                                                    • 30566

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Monday 2/22

                                                                    When teams score more than 20 point above their avg per game....

                                                                    Chicago scored 122 pts on 2/20, which is 26 pts higher than their avg of 96.6
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • blix177
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 09-20-08
                                                                      • 1520

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I think your on to something. Might have pride or something to do with it.
                                                                      Comment
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