vs new orleans
whyd the orlando line move 2 pts
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pats3peatSBR MVP
- 10-23-05
- 1163
#1whyd the orlando line move 2 ptsTags: None -
kingsrSBR MVP
- 01-23-10
- 1983
#2Because alot of money went on orlandoComment -
pats3peatSBR MVP
- 10-23-05
- 1163
#3how muchComment -
pats3peatSBR MVP
- 10-23-05
- 1163
#455% of money on magic atm, prob was like 70% before, not eonugh to move it to 2 pointsComment -
Jshap1515SBR MVP
- 02-16-09
- 1023
#5Orlando will crush the Hornets. Dwight is gonna get his normal 20 10Comment -
Noles506SBR Rookie
- 01-28-10
- 38
#7
^ You talk like the Magic ALWAYS cover, which they don't....Okafor is going to give Howard some problems down low.....Magic will more than likely win, but not cover...I have no idea why it jumped so much, last time i saw that was when Billups & Carmelo didn't play last game.Comment -
Superman455SBR Sharp
- 09-23-08
- 366
#8I dont think the Magic cover here as wellComment -
pats3peatSBR MVP
- 10-23-05
- 1163
#9youd think fkn public perception ... no average bettor perception (giving public too much credit) would be on the hornets
just played a hard game vs charlotte won, have a day rest. Orlando no rest, Beat boston oh wow...
maybe thornton was confirmed out agn therefore line moveComment -
Noles506SBR Rookie
- 01-28-10
- 38
#10A lot of time i think they do it to really f**k with people, with the number being nearly 10...lot of people say, well N.O has no chance! The smart people out there don't look at any game this way.......I don't know if Thornton being in or out would warrant much of a line change.
Just my 2 cents...I'm looking at New Orleans @ +9.5Comment -
pats3peatSBR MVP
- 10-23-05
- 1163
#11A lot of time i think they do it to really f**k with people, with the number being nearly 10...lot of people say, well N.O has no chance! The smart people out there don't look at any game this way.......I don't know if Thornton being in or out would warrant much of a line change.
Just my 2 cents...I'm looking at New Orleans @ +9.5
its ****ed, but new orleans im with yaComment -
krazey47409Restricted User
- 11-04-09
- 2431
#12i have just reviewed my data starting from dec 29 09 on line movement on spreads of at least 5 points and with a min 2 point upward movement and this is the results
i am currnetly reviewing past line movements jazz went from -8 to -10 and pushed couple nights ago. on jan 30 new orleans went from +5 to +7.5 with the public on the opposite side and new orleans coverd on. jan 23 the public was on hornets then nuggets then public closed on hornets.nuggets were -9.5 and went to -12 and did not cover vs the hornets. on jan 20 majic were -10 and went to -12 and covered vs the pacers. on jan 9 pacers opened +9 with public not on them went to +11 and covered. on jan 3 utah started -5 went to -7.5 and did not cover
as you can see this research heavily favors the hornets the past two times they were dogs with this type of movement they covered and 5 out of the last 6 times this type of line movement occured the dog covered except once with the majic who covered vs pacers im on hornetsComment -
CrayzeeSBR MVP
- 10-27-06
- 4945
#13the casual observer sees no having no chance without paul
vegas lives for these games
no coversComment -
kingsrSBR MVP
- 01-23-10
- 1983
#14Take Magic to win by under 10.5 +170Comment -
cinaj05SBR Sharp
- 01-12-10
- 325
#15I see a probability NOH will this SU because of super bowl motivation.Comment -
gizmo2431SBR Wise Guy
- 01-11-08
- 971
#16I like New Orleans to cover, but overall the game is a no play for me because if I was from New Orleans I would have been partying last night after the Superbowl. No action.Comment -
tltaylor89SBR Posting Legend
- 06-19-09
- 19610
#17Somebody just slammed itComment -
krazey47409Restricted User
- 11-04-09
- 2431
#18i dont know why the books would do this if they think hornets will cover this movement made betters bet on hornets they are at 47% now either vegas dont care or their just bad at predicting games or theirs something else we dont know about to itComment -
bnaid8SBR Hustler
- 01-25-10
- 61
#19I just can't get myself to like the Magic. I know they have a nice record but any team that has a selfish inconsistent jump shooter like Vince Carter who thinks he should still be putting up shots like he is a top 10 player then they have a chance to play poorly on any given nightComment -
NYSportsGuy210SBR Posting Legend
- 11-07-09
- 11347
#20Just play a teaser on Bodog like I did.....two games paying 1 to 1.1....last night I got Orlando (-3.5) and Dallas (-.5).Comment -
pats3peatSBR MVP
- 10-23-05
- 1163
#21i have just reviewed my data starting from dec 29 09 on line movement on spreads of at least 5 points and with a min 2 point upward movement and this is the results
i am currnetly reviewing past line movements jazz went from -8 to -10 and pushed couple nights ago. on jan 30 new orleans went from +5 to +7.5 with the public on the opposite side and new orleans coverd on. jan 23 the public was on hornets then nuggets then public closed on hornets.nuggets were -9.5 and went to -12 and did not cover vs the hornets. on jan 20 majic were -10 and went to -12 and covered vs the pacers. on jan 9 pacers opened +9 with public not on them went to +11 and covered. on jan 3 utah started -5 went to -7.5 and did not cover
as you can see this research heavily favors the hornets the past two times they were dogs with this type of movement they covered and 5 out of the last 6 times this type of line movement occured the dog covered except once with the majic who covered vs pacers im on hornets
pretty sweet... where did you get this @?
youd think the smart sharps be slammin new orleans to not increase any more than 8.5...Comment -
pats3peatSBR MVP
- 10-23-05
- 1163
#22ya im playing Spurs +7.5, hornets +13.5 sbrbook LolComment -
CrayzeeSBR MVP
- 10-27-06
- 4945
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AaronTheGamblerSBR Hustler
- 01-25-10
- 81
#27to let us middle itComment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#28I think we're probably overestimating how much the books care about individual games like this one. It's not a high profile game, and the simplest solution is most likely the correct one in this case. The books just wanted to even out the betting to guarantee their profit from the vig. Simple as that...Comment -
easyaxessSBR High Roller
- 03-26-07
- 164
#29HAHAHA!!Comment -
pats3peatSBR MVP
- 10-23-05
- 1163
#30lookin good LOL (no jinx). wouldnt have guessed this start haha ... 48-42 hornetsComment -
Noles506SBR Rookie
- 01-28-10
- 38
#31damn, they were up big, now its 77-73...aw well, still up by 14 or so as far as betting...I even took another bet with New Orleans as a teaser at 13.5.
Good LuckComment
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