Phoenix -3 @ Sac; Too Good to be True?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • TGoat
    Restricted User
    • 08-07-09
    • 612

    #1
    Phoenix -3 @ Sac; Too Good to be True?
    Phoenix -3 at Sacramento really does look too good to be true. If I (putting on my "Joe Public" hat) think that this number should be higher and that it should be a cakewalk for Phoenix, then that must be how all of my Joe Public friends must think.

    It's 12:18 am PST and 93% of the bets are on Phoenix.

    Everything points to Phoenix blowing out Sacramento...therefore, I'm leaning Sacramento.
  • traxmub
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-25-10
    • 433

    #2
    hard game but phoenix must win
    Comment
    • Mac4Lyfe
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-04-09
      • 48383

      #3
      Comment
      • Busterflywheel
        SBR MVP
        • 12-13-09
        • 3991

        #4
        Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
        Comment
        • vic
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-16-09
          • 176

          #5
          Originally posted by TGoat
          Phoenix -3 at Sacramento really does look too good to be true. If I (putting on my "Joe Public" hat) think that this number should be higher and that it should be a cakewalk for Phoenix, then that must be how all of my Joe Public friends must think.

          It's 12:18 am PST and 93% of the bets are on Phoenix.

          Everything points to Phoenix blowing out Sacramento...therefore, I'm leaning Sacramento.
          Yeah-Line are dropping. Some one mentioned must win for Phoe-Why?
          Comment
          • lakerboy
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-02-09
            • 94379

            #6
            Kings will win easy
            Comment
            • bigboyfosho
              SBR MVP
              • 02-19-09
              • 1576

              #7
              this is one of my leans
              Comment
              • Quagmire27
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-30-09
                • 626

                #8
                Dragic is out of control

                But this trap looks very comfortable to me. Last game before the break, the won 4 / lost 4 streaks should grow. Queens will find a way to lose this game.
                Comment
                • khaden
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-19-09
                  • 1864

                  #9
                  I might get caught in this trap but oh well--i refuse to put money on sac. Phoenix is the better team and are hot right now--sac stinks.
                  Comment
                  • 905prodigy
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-08-09
                    • 247

                    #10
                    take Kings for sure
                    Comment
                    • lyon804
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-02-09
                      • 6526

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Quagmire27
                      Dragic is out of control

                      But this trap looks very comfortable to me. Last game before the break, the won 4 / lost 4 streaks should grow. Queens will find a way to lose this game.



                      As you know by now I am not gonna join the trap Suns. Playing the cheap road favorites as you do will prove costly in the long run. That being said I am not gonna join the Sharps and play the Kings either.. The Kings is the right play, but my holdup is this..... They don't know how to win. They work fine until it's time to cash a check..Also, if the Suns come close to matching the intensity they played with against Denver... watch out!! The Suns were actually playing defense and rebounding, blocked some shots. The only way to play the Kings in this spot is take the ++ML. Other than that it's a lose because more than likely if they lose +2.5 will be no good. This game is one I just pass on.
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        Originally posted by lyon804



                        As you know by now I am not gonna join the trap Suns. Playing the cheap road favorites as you do will prove costly in the long run. That being said I am not gonna join the Sharps and play the Kings either.. The Kings is the right play, but my holdup is this..... They don't know how to win. They work fine until it's time to cash a check..Also, if the Suns come close to matching the intensity they played with against Denver... watch out!! The Suns were actually playing defense and rebounding, blocked some shots. The only way to play the Kings in this spot is take the ++ML. Other than that it's a lose because more than likely if they lose +2.5 will be no good. This game is one I just pass on.
                        Couldn't agree more. The Kings are borderline-embarrassing at closing out games, and that +3 could disappear in a hurry because of it. Can't believe LB's considering going back to that well.
                        Comment
                        • darrell74
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-16-07
                          • 14648

                          #13
                          Line is dropping.

                          Wait for some value.

                          I'll get it at -2, eventually.

                          Besides, Suns are carving up everybody, lately.

                          Golden State hasn't beaten anybody with a winning record since Christmas.
                          Comment
                          • Quagmire27
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-30-09
                            • 626

                            #14
                            Originally posted by lyon804
                            Playing the cheap road favorites as you do will prove costly in the long run.
                            As I do I had the Blazers last night

                            I am not scared of cheap road favorites, but I don't play too many of them like you are implying. I pick my spots carefully. More goes into me choosing the Suns in this spot. Amare finally seems happy as a Sun, I think he thinks he is going to stay there. Lopez didn't play in their recent match, he should create more match-up problems for the Kings. Dragic was -8 in the last match, he is playing much better now. The Suns are old enough to know how important the last game before the break is. Likely just another game to the young Kings. I don't expect this game to be close, but if it is, I figure the Kings will find a way to lose it.
                            Comment
                            • MAESTRO1
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 01-31-10
                              • 141

                              #15
                              I like phx here way better team。 line should be phx- 8
                              sbr
                              Comment
                              • TGoat
                                Restricted User
                                • 08-07-09
                                • 612

                                #16
                                Originally posted by MAESTRO1
                                I like phx here way better team。 line should be phx- 8
                                If the line should be -8, then why isn't it???
                                Comment
                                • Dexter
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 25829

                                  #17
                                  suns will be up 25 at one point.....final score:

                                  kings 121
                                  suns 118
                                  Comment
                                  • Dexter
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-24-08
                                    • 25829

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by TGoat
                                    If the line should be -8, then why isn't it???
                                    actually, i would say a line of 4 should be right.

                                    this is the definition of a clear trap game. suns look so easy, but the books are obviously looking for suns money. sharps are all over the kings here with 85% on phx and the line dipping from 3.5 to 2.5. some heavy cash was laid down on the kings tonight. including my whopping $200
                                    Comment
                                    • Quagmire27
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-30-09
                                      • 626

                                      #19
                                      Line should be 3.5, where it was before the "sharps" pounded the Queens. Kings winning record at home, Suns losing record on the road. Kings just lost by only 2 to the overrated Spurs....
                                      Comment
                                      • lyon804
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-02-09
                                        • 6526

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Quagmire27
                                        As I do I had the Blazers last night

                                        I am not scared of cheap road favorites, but I don't play too many of them like you are implying. I pick my spots carefully. More goes into me choosing the Suns in this spot. Amare finally seems happy as a Sun, I think he thinks he is going to stay there. Lopez didn't play in their recent match, he should create more match-up problems for the Kings. Dragic was -8 in the last match, he is playing much better now. The Suns are old enough to know how important the last game before the break is. Likely just another game to the young Kings. I don't expect this game to be close, but if it is, I figure the Kings will find a way to lose it.

                                        All valid points that makes me stay away from the Kings. The Suns do know how to win if they get to that situation tonite. If the Kings get to that situation they will still lose. The Kings simply don't know how to close out a game against a decent opponent. End of story.
                                        Comment
                                        • 2PLAYSMAX
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 07-14-08
                                          • 459

                                          #21
                                          I may go Suns here
                                          Comment
                                          • anthonyc023
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-25-09
                                            • 2733

                                            #22
                                            just a little reminder

                                            01/05/10 covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/results/2009-2010/boxscore780776.html PHO -2.5 U 226
                                            Comment
                                            • anthonyc023
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-25-09
                                              • 2733

                                              #23
                                              same situation tonight but suns are even hotter now
                                              Comment
                                              • nbaprofosor
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-22-10
                                                • 3519

                                                #24
                                                kings will burn the sun today go king goooooooooooooooooooo
                                                Comment
                                                • GGPLAYER
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-26-09
                                                  • 2981

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by MAESTRO1
                                                  I like phx here way better team。 line should be phx- 8

                                                  Actually last time these two played was 1/5/10 and the line was Pho -2.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dynamite140
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-05-08
                                                    • 4958

                                                    #26
                                                    suns win
                                                    Comment
                                                    • peeiempee
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-21-09
                                                      • 2750

                                                      #27
                                                      Sounds too good to be true
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jcygts6
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-05-09
                                                        • 3316

                                                        #28
                                                        suns win this EZ... put your whole bankroll on the suns -3.

                                                        DO WORK + KROW OD
                                                        do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                                        od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Cornerback
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-15-09
                                                          • 653

                                                          #29
                                                          easy peasy
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Cyborg9
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 01-13-10
                                                            • 95

                                                            #30
                                                            love this play
                                                            sbr
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Quagmire27
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-30-09
                                                              • 626

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by jcygts6
                                                              suns win this EZ... put your whole bankroll on the suns -3.

                                                              That jinx won't even be enough for the Kings tonight.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-04-09
                                                                • 48383

                                                                #32
                                                                I'm starting to lean the Sun's 1st half...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • khaden
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-19-09
                                                                  • 1864

                                                                  #33
                                                                  THIS GAME SHOULD BE PLAYED ON SUNDAY MORNING---IT WILL BE THAT EASY!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • natelli1
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-01-08
                                                                    • 251

                                                                    #34
                                                                    suns and over!! reverse it and winn double the money!, i might go crazy and reverse suns and over for 1st half and game! this is too good to be true
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • anthonyc023
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-25-09
                                                                      • 2733

                                                                      #35
                                                                      how is it too good to be true this same line of -2.5 happened a month to the day. you people make no sense
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...