OverUnder's Over/Under Formula (First Time Going Public)

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  • cashil
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-23-10
    • 466

    #36
    Bad luck. I'm with you though I made the same play
    Comment
    • IWinMyBets
      Restricted User
      • 01-23-10
      • 106

      #37
      It's OK OverUnder. You are still looking good since the release.

      You've got about 9 games to go with on Monday. Let us know so we can keep up with ya.
      Comment
      • Z_Wipf
        SBR MVP
        • 01-15-10
        • 1131

        #38
        How would your system do with a teaser?
        Comment
        • djcliks
          SBR Rookie
          • 01-18-10
          • 46

          #39
          any reads for tommorow?
          Comment
          • mlb
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-04-09
            • 10509

            #40
            good job man .. cant wait to take a closer look into this!
            Comment
            • OverUnder
              SBR MVP
              • 12-31-09
              • 3126

              #41
              Alright I will be posting my plays tonight, going to work out the formulas now.

              16-8 so far lets have a good day tomorrow.
              Comment
              • OverUnder
                SBR MVP
                • 12-31-09
                • 3126

                #42
                January 25 Plays

                Indiana Pacers @ Philadelphia 76ers
                The Formula: 200.5
                The Line: 206
                The Play: Under 206
                Analysis: Indiana is only averaging 95 points per game on the road this season, and Philadelphia is only averaging 98 points per game at home this season. Both teams have suspect defenses, but Hibbert should not yield too many easy buckets in this match up.


                Cleveland Cavaliers @ Miami Heat
                The Formula: 199
                The Line: 190
                The Play: Over 190
                Analysis: Do not let these occasional low scoring Miami games scare you. They can shoot the basketball. The Cavaliers are scary good right now offensively especially when Daniel Gibson shoots well he takes a lot of pressure of LeBron. The key proponent for the over in this game though is the teams previous match up this season. They scored a combined total of 215. Over all day here.


                Atlanta Hawks @ Houston Rockets
                The Formula: 202
                The Line: 196.5
                The Play: Over 196.5
                Analysis: Okay I am done taking the under against the rockets, although they have no true identity on offense their lack of defense (allowing 100.6 points per game at home) is what allows me to take the over on this one. The Hawks are a great team, and I will continue to make money off of them until the public catches on. Atlanta has just as much potential fire power on offense as Orlando, and you will see in the near future they will consistently have the 200+ over/under's on their games.


                Phoenix Suns @ Utah Jazz
                The Formula: 218
                The Line: 220.5
                The Play: Under 220.5
                Analysis: The suns have hit a plateau this season, and I will continue to make money off of them until Vegas catches on. They do score a lot of their points in their games due to the amount of turnovers and lack of defense, but the problem for the over in this game is how well Utah is defensively. If Utah can dictate the pace at home in this match up with their more successful slow style of play this will be a huge victory for the under, which is what I expect.
                Comment
                • Jon825
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-06-10
                  • 744

                  #43


                  Im pretty sure you are just using these home ppg stats and taking the average of both teams ((Team1+Team2)/2)

                  My thread shows im 17-8 with over/unders but this isnt much of a formula
                  sbr
                  Comment
                  • OverUnder
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-31-09
                    • 3126

                    #44
                    No I am not, but I do take those into account to verify my solution. You are 17-8 nice work. Thanks for the link though that is a much easier way of seeing tons of statistics.
                    Comment
                    • OverUnder
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-09
                      • 3126

                      #45
                      According to your method you would have like 205 for the Utah and Phoenix game, that does not seem like an accurate solution. BOL though with your plays.
                      Comment
                      • Fed_42420
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-12-09
                        • 976

                        #46
                        Dude, all your "formalu" has done so far is go Under in games where the total is O 200, and go Over in games where the total is U 200. Theres only 1 exception where you went Over in a game O 200. Hope your not wasting a bunch of time calculating this "formula" LOL BOL!!!
                        Comment
                        • ron.angeles
                          Restricted User
                          • 12-28-09
                          • 209

                          #47
                          thanx bro!!!!
                          pounding all of it!!!!
                          Comment
                          • OverUnder
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-31-09
                            • 3126

                            #48
                            Stay cool brahs guess I will stop posting now.
                            Comment
                            • MV
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-06-09
                              • 290

                              #49
                              no need to hate in this forum brotha, if you dont like it, then ignore or fade at your own will. no one is forcing you to read/tail the plays..
                              Comment
                              • OverUnder
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-31-09
                                • 3126

                                #50
                                Gave him some SBR points for his trouble. LOL
                                Comment
                                • vic
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-16-09
                                  • 176

                                  #51
                                  Just irgnore him bro., formula or not. You give your opinion on why you lean on the game.
                                  Comment
                                  • Sumo
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-13-09
                                    • 222

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by OverUnder
                                    January 25 Plays

                                    Indiana Pacers @ Philadelphia 76ers
                                    The Formula: 200.5
                                    The Line: 206
                                    The Play: Under 206
                                    Analysis: Indiana is only averaging 95 points per game on the road this season, and Philadelphia is only averaging 98 points per game at home this season. Both teams have suspect defenses, but Hibbert should not yield too many easy buckets in this match up.


                                    Cleveland Cavaliers @ Miami Heat
                                    The Formula: 199
                                    The Line: 190
                                    The Play: Over 190
                                    Analysis: Do not let these occasional low scoring Miami games scare you. They can shoot the basketball. The Cavaliers are scary good right now offensively especially when Daniel Gibson shoots well he takes a lot of pressure of LeBron. The key proponent for the over in this game though is the teams previous match up this season. They scored a combined total of 215. Over all day here.


                                    Atlanta Hawks @ Houston Rockets
                                    The Formula: 202
                                    The Line: 196.5
                                    The Play: Over 196.5
                                    Analysis: Okay I am done taking the under against the rockets, although they have no true identity on offense their lack of defense (allowing 100.6 points per game at home) is what allows me to take the over on this one. The Hawks are a great team, and I will continue to make money off of them until the public catches on. Atlanta has just as much potential fire power on offense as Orlando, and you will see in the near future they will consistently have the 200+ over/under's on their games.


                                    Phoenix Suns @ Utah Jazz
                                    The Formula: 218
                                    The Line: 220.5
                                    The Play: Under 220.5
                                    Analysis: The suns have hit a plateau this season, and I will continue to make money off of them until Vegas catches on. They do score a lot of their points in their games due to the amount of turnovers and lack of defense, but the problem for the over in this game is how well Utah is defensively. If Utah can dictate the pace at home in this match up with their more successful slow style of play this will be a huge victory for the under, which is what I expect.
                                    Good luck my man! Great work so far with 16-8.
                                    Comment
                                    • OverUnder
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-31-09
                                      • 3126

                                      #53
                                      1-3 tonight. Not necessarily a bad thing because I have been making plays every day. I will no longer be posting my formula plays, just my "picks" as apparently according to some there is not a formula at all. Due for a big night tomorrow I will post my plays and units shortly.
                                      Comment
                                      • Wade Dwayne
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-07-10
                                        • 907

                                        #54
                                        that 2nd quarter in the suns game was a burner. It screwed up my whole night and urs too
                                        Comment
                                        • OverUnder
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-31-09
                                          • 3126

                                          #55
                                          Wow I just saw that 79 points scored in one quarter lol. 45 by the Suns. Unbelievable.
                                          Comment
                                          • OverUnder
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-31-09
                                            • 3126

                                            #56
                                            Lakers vs. Wizards Over 199 2U
                                            Timberwolves vs. Knicks Over 207 5U
                                            Bucs vs. Mavericks Under 197 1U
                                            Charlotte vs. Phoenix Under 210 2U
                                            Comment
                                            • ron.angeles
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 12-28-09
                                              • 209

                                              #57
                                              i went 0-4 yesterday damn i actually got houston 197.5 i lost by .5
                                              BUT THEN OVER/UNDER hope we KILL THE BOOKS TOM!!! .. the picks u just posted are ur picks nt formulas ryt?? LETS BRING IT ON!!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • kingsr
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-23-10
                                                • 1983

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by Fed_42420
                                                Dude, all your "formalu" has done so far is go Under in games where the total is O 200, and go Over in games where the total is U 200. Theres only 1 exception where you went Over in a game O 200. Hope your not wasting a bunch of time calculating this "formula" LOL BOL!!!
                                                Don't follow or hate if you don't like it you banana
                                                Comment
                                                • OverUnder
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-31-09
                                                  • 3126

                                                  #59
                                                  they are the formula, but I won't bother posting that since what I am doing is nonsense according to some.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • khaden
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-19-09
                                                    • 1864

                                                    #60
                                                    I with on the lakers/wizs gl
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bozeman
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-11-09
                                                      • 2162

                                                      #61
                                                      I am on on Milwalkee under 100% with ya. Consider you have one play cashed already! Good luck on the rest three!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fed_42420
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-12-09
                                                        • 976

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by kingsr
                                                        Don't follow or hate if you don't like it you banana
                                                        Um I wasn't "hating" , sry anyone took it that way. All I did was point out some factual info. Just trying to help out really.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • OverUnder
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-31-09
                                                          • 3126

                                                          #63
                                                          haha cant believe you kept those points. loser.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Fed_42420
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-12-09
                                                            • 976

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by OverUnder
                                                            haha cant believe you kept those points. loser.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • OverUnder
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-31-09
                                                              • 3126

                                                              #65
                                                              2-2 last night, once again i get screwed with a game going to overtime where i took the under. 3rd time that has happened unbelievable.

                                                              19-13
                                                              Comment
                                                              • OverUnder
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-31-09
                                                                • 3126

                                                                #66
                                                                Miami vs. Toronto Under 204 (2U)

                                                                Los Angeles vs. Indiana Over 210 (1U)

                                                                Minnesota vs. Cleveland Under 200 (4U)

                                                                Memphis vs. Detroit Under 196.5 (3U)

                                                                Atlanta vs. San Antonio Under 195.5 (1U)

                                                                Denver vs. Houston Over 208.5 (2U)

                                                                Utah vs. Portland Under 195.5 (1U)

                                                                New Orleans vs. Golden State Over 215 (1U)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • rumple
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-19-07
                                                                  • 2499

                                                                  #67
                                                                  I picked a bad day to tail , yikes.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dogs1972
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-22-09
                                                                    • 509

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by rumple
                                                                    I picked a bad day to tail , yikes.
                                                                    same.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • soli
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-10-06
                                                                      • 2503

                                                                      #69
                                                                      I can't see playing all unders regardless
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • OverUnder
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                                        • 3126

                                                                        #70
                                                                        4-4 last night sorry guys
                                                                        Comment
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