Best System/Formula/Plan

[genius]

I Wanna Hear You Guys And The Best Plans/Systems You All Utilize In Order To Get Your Picks Right Almost Like A Set Of Laws And What Are The Types Of Bets To Stay Away From

[HoulihansTX]

-Play on teams that have gotten blown out in their previous game.

-Play the UNDER when the matchup has two teams that scored an obscene amount of points in their previous game.

One more secret...

-Play the 2nd half against teams that on on their last game of a 4-6 game road trip.

No more from me. Send me a paycheck, and i will release more. HAHA

[genius]

sharp Tips thanks

[genius]

also never bet Nets
and I usually dont play the last game of the night im 0-4 so im cool unless its a good one

[HoulihansTX]

Today's angle at play is playing Denver in the 2nd Half, since teams that come into Denver on a B2B campaign become fatigued in the 2nd half.

[bustabook]

play against underdogs who are public favorites..

[doubledime]

Today's angle at play is playing Denver in the 2nd Half, since teams that come into Denver on a B2B campaign become fatigued in the 2nd half.

HTX Do you bet the 2nd half before you know the results of the 1st half?

[HoulihansTX]

HTX Do you bet the 2nd half before you know the results of the 1st half?

Of course not. The 2nd Half lines aren't generated until the completion of the 1stH. Although I keep my angle in mind as the 1stH is in play to see If I follow through.

Here's something to remember about betting 2nd Halves: Dont take into consideration how the teams are playing when betting 2nd Halves. Its all about Value.

Ex. Last night Clippers are getting +9, and are up by 9pts at the end of the 1stH. The second Half line comes out at Cavs -8.5. Which means that all the Cavs have to do is win by a point. So the books went from making the Cavs 9pt favs to 0.5pt favs. That is extreme value. I took the Cavs second Half, and was able to middle the game. I cashed a Clippers +9 ticket, and a Cavs -8.5 2ndH ticket. Value betting is key.

So I will be betting the Nuggs only if I'm getting value.

PS: Never bet full game favs in the second half if they are already covering the spread, by Halftime. Books will make them favs in the 2ndH, only making the full game spread even larger.

Ex. Team (A) is favored by -10 for the game. They are leading by 13 at Halftime, and really dominating the game. Books send out a 2ndH line of Team (A) favored by -3. That makes Team (A) -16 favs for the game. Its an obvious trap to a veteran bettor, but squares will run to the window thinking they are getting a deal on the game.

[sprasad03]

nice post tx, I never thought about that for 2H. I barely do them but good to know

[doubledime]

Of course not. The 2nd Half lines aren't generated until the completion of the 1stH. Although I keep my angle in mind as the 1stH is in play to see If I follow through.

Here's something to remember about betting 2nd Halves: Dont take into consideration how the teams are playing when betting 2nd Halves. Its all about Value.

Ex. Last night Clippers are getting +9, and are up by 9pts at the end of the 1stH. The second Half line comes out at Cavs -8.5. Which means that all the Cavs have to do is win by a point. So the books went from making the Cavs 9pt favs to 0.5pt favs. That is extreme value. I took the Cavs second Half, and was able to middle the game. I cashed a Clippers +9 ticket, and a Cavs -8.5 2ndH ticket. Value betting is key.

So I will be betting the Nuggs only if I'm getting value.

PS: Never bet full game favs in the second half if they are already covering the spread, by Halftime. Books will make them favs in the 2ndH, only making the full game spread even larger.

Ex. Team (A) is favored by -10 for the game. They are leading by 13 at Halftime, and really dominating the game. Books send out a 2ndH line of Team (A) favored by -3. That makes Team (A) -16 favs for the game. Its an obvious trap to a veteran bettor, but squares will run to the window thinking they are getting a deal on the game.

HTX Thanks I guess I did not make my question clear. (too early in the AM) What I meant to say is if the the first half result affected your second half bet and you pretty much answered it. Thanks again for you valuable insight.

[MrSleepy]

Of course not. The 2nd Half lines aren't generated until the completion of the 1stH. Although I keep my angle in mind as the 1stH is in play to see If I follow through.

Here's something to remember about betting 2nd Halves: Dont take into consideration how the teams are playing when betting 2nd Halves. Its all about Value.

Ex. Last night Clippers are getting +9, and are up by 9pts at the end of the 1stH. The second Half line comes out at Cavs -8.5. Which means that all the Cavs have to do is win by a point. So the books went from making the Cavs 9pt favs to 0.5pt favs. That is extreme value. I took the Cavs second Half, and was able to middle the game. I cashed a Clippers +9 ticket, and a Cavs -8.5 2ndH ticket. Value betting is key.

So I will be betting the Nuggs only if I'm getting value.

PS: Never bet full game favs in the second half if they are already covering the spread, by Halftime. Books will make them favs in the 2ndH, only making the full game spread even larger.

Ex. Team (A) is favored by -10 for the game. They are leading by 13 at Halftime, and really dominating the game. Books send out a 2ndH line of Team (A) favored by -3. That makes Team (A) -16 favs for the game. Its an obvious trap to a veteran bettor, but squares will run to the window thinking they are getting a deal on the game.

these are great tips to keep in mind. I like the way you think TX...

TX, do you have a senario for the nuggets game tonite? What do you consider "value"? Is there different levels of value you go by to determine how much you will bet on the 2nd halves?

[PatrickBateman]

Some interesting stuff here, betting 2nd halves can be very profitable...thanks for the advice

[genius]

how do you determine who the public favors before making a bet?

[HoulihansTX]

these are great tips to keep in mind. I like the way you think TX... TX, do you have a senario for the nuggets game tonite? What do you consider "value"? Is there different levels of value you go by to determine how much you will bet on the 2nd halves?

Well...

I just got back from the Book, and I bet Georgetown -3 2ndH. They were down by 15, and it made them +12 Dogs. RIDICULOUS. That's high Value.

Now the Mich/ UCONN game had UCONN -3 for the second half. Down by 9 at half it made UCONN +6 Dogs for the game. Also it switched UCONN from being favored in the game to being DOGs. Extreme Value.

The best bets are when you can get a favorite that is a huge fav, lets say Double digits. They are down at halftime, and the book puts out a 2nd half that makes them a 0.5 favs. Astronomical Value.

But remember Value doesn't = Easy wins. Its just a tried and true method for a high winning %.

[HoulihansTX]

how do you determine who the public favors before making a bet?

Sports insights.com

Sign up for free account, and look at the betting % on each game. You'll learn how to predict line movement, and that will help immensely.

[HoulihansTX]

Tip of the Day

*MLK Day* is upon us, and my man from the Rampart Casino passed this on to me....

Take the UNDER in every game on the board in the NBA. The OVER has gone 7-6 once in ten years.

[MrSleepy]

nice tip. lets see if it holds water this year

[genius]

really? we gotta see this!

[michalis]

gambling is a sin

[SpreadSniper]

Fade the Cavs when I am playing them..... Fade the Cavs when laying DD's, fade the Cavs when on the road and fav's of 6+

[smallball]

Take a look at teams playing their 3rd in 4 nights at utah/denver, or 2nd game of a B2B at utah/denver

[genius]

what about over/unders?

[genius]

never bet on phx when on tnt
0-18

[HoulihansTX]

what about over/unders?

7- UNDERs

5-OVERS

2 more games should have been UNDERS, but Overtime spurned the opportunities.

[Busterflywheel]

-Play on teams that have gotten blown out in their previous game.

-Play the UNDER when the matchup has two teams that scored an obscene amount of points in their previous game.

One more secret...

-Play the 2nd half against teams that on on their last game of a 4-6 game road trip.

No more from me. Send me a paycheck, and i will release more. HAHA

These are some damn good pointers..

[Jiggy Fly]

Good stuff TX. Never wager halves too much but will keep this stuff in mind.

[Jiggy Fly]

Found some value on a couple of 2nd half games tonight and hit both. Good stuff TX. Thanks again for the tips.

[genius]

Tx denver and gsw always score high you think over 230? These are 2 high scoring teams

[HoulihansTX]

Tx denver and gsw always score high you think over 230? These are 2 high scoring teams

I dont bet OVER passed 210+, but You cant bet under when these two teams meet. Bet small.

[HoulihansTX]

Found some value on a couple of 2nd half games tonight and hit both. Good stuff TX. Thanks again for the tips.

Congrats. Keep up the success

[MrSleepy]

HTX- thanks for the 2nd half tips. I actually hit a couple the past 2 days. I would like to go more into this but is there anything else to it besides what you have stated?

[HoulihansTX]

HTX- thanks for the 2nd half tips. I actually hit a couple the past 2 days. I would like to go more into this but is there anything else to it besides what you have stated?

The only other caveat is OVER/UNDER betting. I only bet UNDER's, and I do it when teams have amazing 1stHalf shooting percentages. It doesn't happen everyday, but I win those at a high rate. I don't post them b/c I am at the book when I bet those.

[riverja]

What is an amazing shooting %? Anything over 55% for example?

[HoulihansTX]

What is an amazing shooting %? Anything over 55% for example?

OVer 45% from the 3pt line, and 50% FG.

[goldseeker]

Thanks Houli, you are one of the best contributors to this forum!