This line is a pure trick. Dont be fooled folks. The thunder havent done enough to be 6 point favs on the road. Dont laugh before you respond. The Mavs were a -7 fav in NJ. Do you really think the Mavs are only 1 point better than the Thunder.
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Good observation. Will look into this game tomorrow.Comment -
LB - On a 1-10 scale how much would you be playing (Where 10x is a Warrior type play from the other night!)Comment -
Shite! I stuck a 150euros on it. Ah well will let it ride. I'm confident its a good line. Thx for your input !Comment -
Sup LB!!
Definitely not going to laugh at a man that is hitting like 97% of his picks. Valid points made in your post about the spread difference in relation to OKC Vs what it was with Dallas. You very well might be right here. Keep in mind a couple of things though... Dallas won that game by 16pts and in all reality the game wasn't even that close. That being said OKC doesn't have to be as good as Dallas to cover the number listed. If OKC plays as well as they have lately they take that number out as they are currently a surging team. Probably why you are seeing what appears to be an inflated number by a "young" team on the road. The Nets are coming off a good "showing" as they covered the 8 given by the Rockets. In all reality do what you do. In order for you to keep in the zone you must not try to assign value to teams and spreads. That's not what has you picking like 97% winners is it?? At the end of the day I agree with you on the line being a little pricey, but certainly not enough that makes me want to put money to work on a team that is 2-28 SU and 9-20-1 ATS this season. I have to believe there will be easier money made tommorow rather than wandering if the Nets show up to play a game are not. Personally, I am a line watcher just like you.. Maybe not as good as you because line watching is not the end all be all for me picking a winner. To me the line is very sharp. Spot on!! Meaning not really any value for me. Put me on the spot I take OKC! If you disagree with everything I say that's understandable, but stay away from the Nets!
Love your work by the way!!
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I'm just gonna go and take the ****ing Nets ML, fuvk itComment -
very cool observation laker, this is the kind of stuff I need to pick up on.Comment -
I completely agree with Lyon. This game may very well be covered by the Nets, but seriously are you going to put your hard earned money on the Nets and have them MAYBE show up to play?Comment -
This line should not be -6 for a team that just beat the Suns in their yard and covered easily vs. the Lakers in Tinsletown... totaling an ATS record of 18-11.
It might be because the Nets have covered and won straight up the last two vs. OKC in the city of swamp.
Watch this line boys...something is up!Comment -
To be honest I think the Thunder should win by double digits. And didn't Dallas beat the Nets by like 20 or 30 smthn lol.Bet To WinComment -
This goes to one of the golden rules of sports betting, that alot of people don't seem to know, Bet bad teams!! If the public see a team as horrible, NJ, the line will often be inflated, which is why you should bet bad teams. GL everyone!!Comment -
the nets have been playing better with YI back. LB has a good eye for these type games.
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Nets due to get the right bounces and a S/U winComment -
watch vegas drop the line to about 3 before tip off-sometimes vegas likes you to think a ton of money is going on a cetain team.Comment -
The Thunder are clearly better and can cover 6. The question is will the Thunder get up for the game. After almost beating the Lakers in LA and beating the Suns in Phoenix they may be feeling over confident. It wouldn't be a shocker to see the Nets keep it close or even win straight up. Look at the Celtics last night. The Celtics beat the Magic in Orlando on X Mas day and didn't show up last night and lost to the Clippers in LA.Comment -
Lakerboy,
First of all, I salute your capping skills. But one thing about this game is that it won't be like yesterday's Boston/LAC or Saturday's Houston/NJ game. If there's one team that plays to the full measure of their ability in every game, it is OKC. They're not an elite team by any means. They're not a "blowout" team by any stretch of imagination, but if they play to the full measure of their potential, then 6 points won't be too much for them to cover. Methinks if OKC wins, they'll cover the spread. So it's either OKC -6 or NJ ML and there's no question as to which is the more feasible of the two. BOL to those having action on the game.Comment -
Sup LB!! Definitely not going to laugh at a man that is hitting like 97% of his picks. Valid points made in your post about the spread difference in relation to OKC Vs what it was with Dallas. You very well might be right here. Keep in mind a couple of things though... Dallas won that game by 16pts and in all reality the game wasn't even that close. That being said OKC doesn't have to be as good as Dallas to cover the number listed. If OKC plays as well as they have lately they take that number out as they are currently a surging team. Probably why you are seeing what appears to be an inflated number by a "young" team on the road. The Nets are coming off a good "showing" as they covered the 8 given by the Rockets. In all reality do what you do. In order for you to keep in the zone you must not try to assign value to teams and spreads. That's not what has you picking like 97% winners is it?? At the end of the day I agree with you on the line being a little pricey, but certainly not enough that makes me want to put money to work on a team that is 2-28 SU and 9-20-1 ATS this season. I have to believe there will be easier money made tommorow rather than wandering if the Nets show up to play a game are not. Personally, I am a line watcher just like you.. Maybe not as good as you because line watching is not the end all be all for me picking a winner. To me the line is very sharp. Spot on!! Meaning not really any value for me. Put me on the spot I take OKC! If you disagree with everything I say that's understandable, but stay away from the Nets!
Love your work by the way!!
Ive followed LB of the late and must say Ive made some $$$, but I agree with you on this game here. I got OkL - 5... OKL dominates across the board on this match up and should be able to cover in long run.
LB much respect none the less
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The line is down to 5 and the books are begging for more okc action. Lets see how it goes.Comment -
You called it LB! Strong RLM trend right here. Books do want more OKC action. Your right about the direction of the line and now all you have to do is be right about the game... Shouldn't be hard at all... Taking the Nets..
If the greedy fukks at The Greek show -4.5 I might be a buyer.
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I hope you did so on your own account rather than me playing Devil's advocate to LB. LB is hot right now, but I just wanted to shed my "limited" insight on this game. In all honesty I am not a fan of this game playing either side. OKC is surging currently, but are a young team playing on the road... Even against a shitty opponent like the Nets they may not cover or even win the game. That's one opinion there. The other, the Nets are 2-28Su and 9-20-1 ATS...... Enough Said!!Comment -
Lyon you know this is the game all the guys on the board are looking at closely.Comment -
why even bother betting on the Nets who knows what team will show upComment -
tell em champ!
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Good point I suppose. I'll probably stay away but I love GS tonight. Seems like a really solid playComment -
Douglas-Roberts and Alston are listed as day-to-day but with the line movement I expect them to play. Nets looked pretty decent against the Rockets the other night with Yi in the lineup. OKC is due for a letdown after big games against the Lakers and Suns, having to travel to the East Coast.
Then again, these are the Nets, it's hard to say this turnaround the last 2 games is a trend. I'm laying off the game until I see how they play over their next several.Comment -
Sure, I see that! For me I am not interested. Just so you know I realize you and other sharps here and by judging by line action movement I would agree that NJ Nets are the play... All that being said I am not here to be the 'hero' to my sportsbook and take the Nets. Good sports gamblers are not trying to prove any points to the books are anybody else... Just trying to take the books money. There is nothing that makes me want to take the Nets other than 'line action' and I don't soley make a play based on line action. The Nets need to show me they are in "better form" before I jump on. They covered there last time out against the Rockets.. Line was 8 and they lost by 5... That might be partly due to the fact the Rockets were 'looking ahead' to the drumming they were about to recieve the next nite in Cleveland... Which was last nite. When I take a dog ATS... I like for it to be a "live dog". I can't say the Nets 2-28 SU would constitute a 'live dog' play here. By taking a dog I like to think they can win the game so that gives me more opportunity to cover the spread rather than just relying they lose by less than the posted number. No play here for me!! Good Luck though to you and the other sharps on NJ Nets and if you are right about this LB I will come back and give you a just like I have been!! If your wrong I won't say shit.
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Thanks Lyon you are making me think twice. Lets see how the day goes.
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Bingo! That is one of the more profound comments I've ever seen posted here. When I play my teasers and parlays, I like to take dogs that I think can/will win the game, so getting that extra 8 pts to me is huge.
Yesterday I took the Clips in my teaser getting 16.5 pts. I could have taken the Celtics and all they had to do is win the game, but as I said yesterday, I felt the Clips could win outright, which they did.
Nice assessment lyon.
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Bingo! That is one of the more profound comments I've ever seen posted here. When I play my teasers and parlays, I like to take dogs that I think can/will win the game, so getting that extra 8 pts to me is huge.
Yesterday I took the Clips in my teaser getting 16.5 pts. I could have taken the Celtics and all they had to do is win the game, but as I said yesterday, I felt the Clips could win outright, which they did.
Nice assessment lyon.
Thanks to both of you for the respect. Keep in mind this... I am not a professional! I still have a 'day job' Bottomline.. If you like the Nets, by all means take the Nets. I have no clue or a strong feeling about this game. Do not let me or anybody else talk you out of your way of thinking.. Especiallly you LB!! No offense Roag, but I don't know your track record like LB's. You might be sharp as well, but I haven't followed your work. I know LB's winning more units than me. I just made my comments to play a devils advocate and shed some light on my opinions. While it's true shit teams can make you money and OKC is due for a let down right here as Road elluded to in another post. The Nets are however 2-28 SU and 9-20-1 Ats. I am not sure bookmakers have yet cought up to there abysmal season yet. All that being said... DO NOT LET ME TALK YOU OUT OF YOUR PLAY!! I AM FAR FROM A PROFESSIONAL!! The Nets seem like a 'hero' type play to me though. I don't need to be a hero.
I love the discussion here by the way. We all learn more when we converse in a civil manner. If the Nets win S/U tonite or cover the spread I am gonna want to know why. So that will lead me to dig deeper and learn what you guys train of thinking is here. I haven't looked at this game closely. I know this much and this much only about tonites game.. OKC has been in top form lately, but possibly due for a let down here. NJN are 2-28 SU.... Enough said for me! I will not bet against the sharp money and take OKC here. I will stand down and make no play here. I will be back to congragulate you if you win. I will not say shit if you lose.. Not my style.. I do run my mouth at people like Brakon and other fake wannabe touts, but not players. I know LB is a player and Roag most likely is as well. I just don't know Roag. Good Luck Gentleman!Comment -
Really great thread, thanks for all inputs. Definitely watching the line on this one but scared to back the Nets against the Thunder!Comment
