Experimental 1H dog plays

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  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #1
    Experimental 1H dog plays
    Anyday there are less than 10 games in the NBA, almost all dogs tend to cover the 1H spread. I'll test this trend starting today with the following 1H dog plays:

    Indiana +7 (-110)
    GSW +3 (-115)
    Memphis +4 (-110)
    NO +5 (-110)
    Minn +7.5 (-115)
    OKC +5.5 (-110). I doubt this one!
    Washington +1 (-110)


  • vinny808
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-27-09
    • 588

    #2
    Have you ever tried experimenting 2H under plays?
    Comment
    • vinny808
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-27-09
      • 588

      #3
      The 1H score can total 110, yet the 2H has a very good chance of being under 94.
      Comment
      • BL
        SBR MVP
        • 05-11-09
        • 4070

        #4
        simply backtest and see it doesn't work.....
        Comment
        • landers781
          SBR MVP
          • 02-27-09
          • 4774

          #5
          Vinny, I almost always play 2nd h unders and they seem to come in more often than not unless an OT. A couple of times the over hits but not by much
          Comment
          • Wilforth
            Restricted User
            • 05-10-08
            • 16309

            #6
            Originally posted by vinny808
            Have you ever tried experimenting 2H under plays?
            It depends on the teams involved. Teams like Orlando, LAL and Portland tend to be more defensive in 2Hs, especially when they play against offensively potent teams.
            Comment
            • vinny808
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-27-09
              • 588

              #7
              I took the under for GSW/PHL game. -104.5
              Comment
              • darkenergy
                SBR MVP
                • 01-08-09
                • 4013

                #8
                I do this often with NCAAB, and outcome has been fairly good.
                Games that jump out of me are the favorites giving 4 points or more ( I preferred 8, 9 or more. I stay away from take dog against top 10 teams though.) for the whole game, with majority of public on them (65% or more) and the line is slightly drop. I took dog for 1H. If covered, I put .5 of my winning on the favorite on 2H if the spread no bigger than the whole game.
                I don't keep track the record, but win very often.......then I take all my winning money gave back to my bookie by betting football.
                Never try on NBA.....you should keep this thread going
                Comment
                • boba
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-12-07
                  • 147

                  #9
                  Originally posted by landers781
                  Vinny, I almost always play 2nd h unders and they seem to come in more often than not unless an OT. A couple of times the over hits but not by much

                  its very true.
                  Comment
                  • Wilforth
                    Restricted User
                    • 05-10-08
                    • 16309

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Wilforth
                    Anyday there are less than 10 games in the NBA, almost all dogs tend to cover the 1H spread. I'll test this trend starting today with the following 1H dog plays:

                    Indiana +7 (-110) WIN
                    GSW +3 (-115) LOSS
                    Memphis +4 (-110) WIN
                    NO +5 (-110) LOSS
                    Minn +7.5 (-115) WIN
                    OKC +5.5 (-110). LOSS
                    Washington +1 (-110) WIN


                    Dogs went 4-3 (+0.70) in the 1H.
                    Comment
                    • Wilforth
                      Restricted User
                      • 05-10-08
                      • 16309

                      #11
                      2nd day of 1H dogs experiment:

                      NJ +7.5 (-105)
                      NYK +2.5 (-110)
                      Toronto +3.5 (-110)
                      Chicago +6 (-110)
                      Detroit +2.5 (-110)
                      SA +1.5 (-110)
                      Sacramento +3.5 (-110) I like this one the most.
                      Comment
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