Maseda17

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  • maseda17
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-17-09
    • 781

    #36
    Not a long of attractive lines for me tonight. I am probably going ML with the Patriots but there is one total that entices me.

    11/30:

    Memphis/Utah Under 207.5

    This seems like a big total for these two teams. Memphis played last night and only put up 88 against the Clips with an awful 2nd half. I see Utah getting around 100 but Memphis in the low 90s at best. Look for another 2nd half collapse with Memphis.
    Comment
    • maseda17
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-17-09
      • 781

      #37
      0-1 Last night to 19-17.

      I read Memphis fairly well but Utah blew that total completely out of the water.

      12/1:

      Washington +7/Toronto

      Boston/Charlotte Under 178.5

      Phoenix -7/New York

      Golden State/Denver Under 233.5


      Washington hasn't played since Saturday and I think they match up very well with Toronto. I see a big night out of Gilbert with Calderon not being able to guard him. Haywood will frustrate Bosh in the paint. This should be a close game and the Wizards ML play could be viable here.

      Boston and Charlotte will play an ugly defensive game tonight. Charlotte's offense is beginning to emerge with SJax but nothing comes easy tonight against Boston. This O/U is probably right on target but I think Charlotte reverts back to its lack of scoring against this level of defense Boston brings.

      Phoenix will run New York out of MSG in an easy game.

      Golden State played last night and Ellis had a monster game and seems to be the majority of the GS offense right now. I don't see him doing it back to back and that keeps this game under the monster 233.5 total. Denver -13 is tempting here as well.
      Comment
      • maseda17
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-17-09
        • 781

        #38
        Owtch took it on the chin last night going 1-3 which has me at 20-20.

        12/2:

        Toronto/Atlanta -9

        New York +13.5/Orlando

        Atlanta is well rested having last played Sunday in a losing effort on the road. I expect them to play some inspired basketball and I am not jumping off their bandwagon. I think their ATS domination gets back on track tonight.

        New York is just staying in every game. They played Orlando at home on Sunday and lost by 12 but were only down 1 at half. Larry Hughes took a facilitator role in the game last night distributing and I see him carving out this role with the team. Not expecting 12 dimes a night, but 4-6. New York hangs in this one.

        Quite a few other lines haven't come out yet so will have a couple others at that time.
        Comment
        • maseda17
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-17-09
          • 781

          #39
          I am also on the following:

          Detroit +7.5/Chicago

          Houston -2.5/LAC
          Comment
          • maseda17
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-17-09
            • 781

            #40
            3-1 Last night (23-21)

            Knicks nearly had a backdoor cover as well. I was fortunate to get in on Detroit early before the line trimmed down to 6.5. I had a PM from someone encouraging me to highlight the game I feel especially strong about so I will begin doing that game in the color green and will keep separate track of how that record goes. That said I want to see what the Houston/GS #'s look like before declaring my games.
            Comment
            • maseda17
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-17-09
              • 781

              #41
              12/3:


              Houston -2/Golden State

              Boston/San Antonio Over 187.5

              I don't follow these small road lines for Houston. This is the same spread as last night against the Clips only a worse team. I know its a back to back but I see Houston scoring far too easily on one end and Golden State facing some defense on the other end. How that equates to only a 2 point lead I don't know. Houston with confidence.

              San Antonio is only a middle of the road defensive club at this point. Boston showed against the best defensive scoring PPG team in the league last night that they can put up a ton of points on anyway. Very unselfish play with the ball touching everyone's hands. I see this as a 105-95 type of game.
              Comment
              • SpreadSniper
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-17-09
                • 6125

                #42
                Double fade....
                Comment
                • ngates815
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-01-09
                  • 13845

                  #43
                  Originally posted by SpreadSniper
                  Double fade....

                  Agreed. Maybe not on the SA/Bos Over. But then again, I'm not touching either of the games.
                  Comment
                  • maseda17
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-17-09
                    • 781

                    #44
                    Looks like Fading was the right play last night. I was fortunate enough to get the push with Houston. 0-1-1 for the night.

                    Season Total: 23-22-1
                    Play of the Day: 0-0-1


                    12/4:


                    Miami/LAL -11.5


                    Chicago/Cleveland Under 190

                    Dallas -5/Memphis

                    Milwaukee +4.5/Detroit


                    Miami is playing their 3rd game in 4 nights on the road. The Lakers will win this by 20+. This is one of those games where from the outset the outcome will never be in doubt.

                    The 190 line in the Chicago game seems high. This is going to very much be a half court game and I expect the score to reflect it. I like Chicago getting the 12 here as well.

                    Dallas is on the road to play a struggling Memphis team. The Grizz managed a SU win in Minnesota Wednesday but barely. Dallas has really hit its stride over the past 10 days and I think they will win this relatively comfortably.

                    I like anyone getting points against Detroit right now who seems to struggle to score even 90 points. They will probably defend their home court but this will go down to the wire.

                    Comment
                    • WhatAboutMeBitch
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-02-09
                      • 1294

                      #45
                      like the chicago under
                      Comment
                      • ngates815
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-01-09
                        • 13845

                        #46
                        Originally posted by maseda17


                        Milwaukee +4.5/Detroit



                        I like anyone getting points against Detroit right now who seems to struggle to score even 90 points. They will probably defend their home court but this will go down to the wire.


                        I think Milwaukee is +4.5 because Rip Hamilton and Tayshaun are supposed to be back, after practicing yesterday. Charlie Villenuava(sp) is supposed to be back also. I'd take Milwaukee if Rip and Tayshaun weren't playing, but with them, who knows its their first game back, they may not even play. But don't really like this game.
                        Comment
                        • maseda17
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-17-09
                          • 781

                          #47
                          I knew about Rip and Vill but I heard Prince can still barely move around. I read that info yesterday. I don't suspect Prince will be playing. Nevertheless, first game back for Rip and Vill I am not sure if that will equate to a dominating Detroit performance.
                          Comment
                          • ngates815
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-01-09
                            • 13845

                            #48
                            Originally posted by maseda17
                            I knew about Rip and Vill but I heard Prince can still barely move around. I read that info yesterday. I don't suspect Prince will be playing. Nevertheless, first game back for Rip and Vill I am not sure if that will equate to a dominating Detroit performance.

                            Ohh I agree, Rip probably won't do much being his first game back(if he plays). Rip/Tayshaun are listed as questionable. While I was just reading something, it mentioned that they are both likely to play tonight, since they were both back at practice yesterday.

                            I just don't know if I'd touch this game, I like Milwaukee to win, but Jennings is on a BIG slump.

                            I like your other bets though ESPECIALLY Dal-5, and the Cle/Chi Under looks good. Being from Chicago, I catch pretty much every Bulls game, and 190 looks good for an under.



                            EDIT: I ended up teasing it. Took Milwaukee +9/Dallas -1 for 120 to win 100. I'm looking for Jennings to go off and break out of his slump.
                            Last edited by ngates815; 12-04-09, 10:23 AM.
                            Comment
                            • maseda17
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-17-09
                              • 781

                              #49
                              GL man
                              Comment
                              • ngates815
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-01-09
                                • 13845

                                #50
                                Originally posted by maseda17
                                GL man

                                The more I look at it, I really like all your bets, but will probably Tease them 10 pts each. 200 to win 160
                                Comment
                                • maseda17
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-17-09
                                  • 781

                                  #51
                                  Went 1-3 on Friday night to bring me to:

                                  24-25-1

                                  0-1-1 (Strong Play)

                                  12/7:

                                  Denver/Philadelphia Under 217

                                  Golden State +7.5/OKC

                                  Hopefully this gets me back going again.

                                  Comment
                                  • ngates815
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-01-09
                                    • 13845

                                    #52
                                    Denver/philly nice call.

                                    Golden state playing again without Morrow, I wouldn't touch them without him.
                                    Comment
                                    • maseda17
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-17-09
                                      • 781

                                      #53
                                      Ya, I had heard Morrow would make it to the game but oh well.

                                      1-1 for the night

                                      25-26-1


                                      1-1-1

                                      12/8:

                                      New Jersey/Chicago Under 192

                                      Denver -3/Charlotte

                                      Denver is playing so well right now. It is on a back to back and Charlotte is rested having last played Saturday but I think they take care of business again tonight. If this was the last game on their road trip I would take pause, but they are in Detroit Thursday so it will be business as usual.

                                      Chicago just is playing DREADFUL lately and is having a difficult time getting going offensively. I think New Jersey has a chance to win this outright but nevertheless both teams will be under 100.




                                      Comment
                                      • benjy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-19-09
                                        • 2158

                                        #54
                                        I completely agree with your analysis on the total. Neither team can score. Why the total is moving up eludes me. I'll be fading this later.

                                        Not sure why you like the Nugs: your write-up seems to indicate that Charlotte should win (Den b2b, on road). I've nabbed some B-cats+4.

                                        GL
                                        Comment
                                        • maseda17
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-17-09
                                          • 781

                                          #55
                                          Well Charlotte is probably the sharp play. I would skew towards them if it was +6, but my book has it down to +3 at this point and I rarely take the dog with such few points unless I feel they will win outright. I don't see Charlotte knocking down a team who is playing at an extremely high level right now.
                                          Comment
                                          • ngates815
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-01-09
                                            • 13845

                                            #56
                                            Taking Denver also, but going to tease it, and also taking the Chicago/NJ Under, but teasing that also.
                                            Comment
                                            • maseda17
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-17-09
                                              • 781

                                              #57
                                              I am continuing to get owned, so fade to get in the $.

                                              0-2 last night

                                              25-27-1

                                              0-2-1

                                              Cleveland -2/Houston

                                              Golden State/New Jersey -1.5

                                              Chicago/Atlanta OVER 196


                                              Cleveland is coming off a loss to Memphis last night. I expect them to play very well tonight and get back on track.
                                              New Jersey I am a believer in. I think there are a couple teams worse than them in the league and will win tonight and make it 3 out of 4. I don't see GS being able to slow Lopez at all. Ironicially all the action is going to GS yet the line is moving in the other direction. The books see this going New Jersey's way tonight too.
                                              Comment
                                              • djpremier36
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-11-08
                                                • 3479

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by maseda17
                                                New Jersey I am a believer in. I think there are a couple teams worse than them in the league and will win tonight and make it 3 out of 4. I don't see GS being able to slow Lopez at all. Ironicially all the action is going to GS yet the line is moving in the other direction. The books see this going New Jersey's way tonight too.

                                                I totally agree. GL to us.
                                                Comment
                                                • SpreadSniper
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-17-09
                                                  • 6125

                                                  #59
                                                  Morrow is listed as probable. Only reason he didn't play Monday was due to his plane being late and seeing as how you are on NJ I think I'll gladly take GS here - lol

                                                  GL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • maseda17
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-17-09
                                                    • 781

                                                    #60
                                                    This has been a dreadful week. Took the night off last night.

                                                    Went 1-2 on Wednesday Night, but continuing to miss on my lock.

                                                    26-29-1

                                                    0-3-1

                                                    12/11:

                                                    Charlotte/San Antonio -7.5

                                                    Golden State/Chicago Under 213.5

                                                    OKC +1.5/Memphis

                                                    Lets get back to winning some money.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LTCOL27
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-03-09
                                                      • 511

                                                      #61
                                                      Maseda, I really love the Spurs -7.5 pick. I am a Bobcats fan, but this is a tough spot for them tonight. They don't match up well against the Spurs, and I think that the Spurs cover the number and take this one by double digits.

                                                      Hang in there with this dreadful week my friend. I think the Spurs will help get you going back in the right direction tonight... Good luck.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LTCOL27
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-03-09
                                                        • 511

                                                        #62
                                                        Nice 3-0 night Maseda! I am glad the Spurs did exactly as expected against the Bobcats! Way to bounce back after the tough week!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • maseda17
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-17-09
                                                          • 781

                                                          #63
                                                          Much appreciated LT. 3-0 on the night. Time to keep it going in that direction! Some square plays tonight look enticing but stay away from that Laker line with them getting +2. It is not Kobe's finger that worries me there so much as Utah's home dominance and coming off a bad loss in LA earlier in the week.

                                                          29-29-1
                                                          1-3-1

                                                          12/12:

                                                          Boston -9.5/Chicago

                                                          Portland/Milwaukee Over 190.5

                                                          Indiana/Washington Under 207


                                                          Don't have time for a writeup but GL tonight guys.


                                                          Comment
                                                          • maseda17
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-17-09
                                                            • 781

                                                            #64
                                                            2-1 Last night gets me over .500 for the year. I'd rather be than good as is evident by the Portland/Milwaukee over in 2nd OT! ha. Tonight I like both of my plays on the same game.

                                                            31-30-1

                                                            2-3-1

                                                            12/13:

                                                            Memphis +6.5/Miami

                                                            Memphis/Miami Under 198

                                                            GL men, and best of luck with your pigskin picks and Fantasy playoffs!



                                                            Comment
                                                            • LTCOL27
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 12-03-09
                                                              • 511

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by maseda17
                                                              2-1 Last night gets me over .500 for the year. I'd rather be than good as is evident by the Portland/Milwaukee over in 2nd OT! ha. Tonight I like both of my plays on the same game.

                                                              31-30-1

                                                              2-3-1

                                                              12/13:

                                                              Memphis +6.5/Miami

                                                              Memphis/Miami Under 198

                                                              GL men, and best of luck with your pigskin picks and Fantasy playoffs!


                                                              Damn Maseda, I wish I had seen this earlier. I played Miami -6.5, along with the Hawks -13. Felt great about the Hawks, but was a little on the fence with Miami. Memphis is up 8 right now, and looking good early.

                                                              Oh well, at least one of us will cash. I would have preferred tailing you though...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • maseda17
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-17-09
                                                                • 781

                                                                #66
                                                                1-1 last night. I have gone 3 straight on my Pick of the Day so let's keep that rolling. My one piece of advice tonight is to avoid that Celtics -7.5 on the road. Memphis is just red hot right now and I think that # reflects Boston's winning streak only because Memphis is playing much better than a 7.5 dog at home despite playing last night.

                                                                32-31-1

                                                                3-3-1

                                                                12/14:

                                                                New Orleans +8/Dallas

                                                                Minnesota/Utah Over 200.5

                                                                Going to wait on those two other games to see if there is any further action I'd like.


                                                                Comment
                                                                • maseda17
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-17-09
                                                                  • 781

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Also like..

                                                                  Indiana/Orlando Under 211
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ngates815
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-01-09
                                                                    • 13845

                                                                    #68
                                                                    I really like New Orleans +8
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • maseda17
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-17-09
                                                                      • 781

                                                                      #69
                                                                      The beat rolls on. 3-0 last night and 9-2 in the last 3 days, has me at:

                                                                      35-31-1

                                                                      4-3-1

                                                                      We'll see whats in store for today's action!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • maseda17
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 11-17-09
                                                                        • 781

                                                                        #70
                                                                        12/15:


                                                                        Lakers -10/Chicago

                                                                        Toronto/Miami Over 202.5

                                                                        New Jersey/Cleveland Under 193.5

                                                                        The Lakers are coming off a bad loss to Utah, I think Kobe plays better tonight than that game despite getting IV fluids yesterday from a stomach ailment.

                                                                        Toronto and Miami played a score totaling over 230 I believe last month. I think there will be plenty of scoring in this one as well. Big night out of Wade tonight.

                                                                        Cleveland will dominate New Jersey tonight as this is NJ's last game on their brief road trip before returning home for a home game tomorrow against Utah. I think they will mail this one in and the 14 points seems like a Cleveland cover as well but we'll stick with this under. New Jersey will struggle to score 80 tonight.
                                                                        Comment
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