ConleyPicks 2022-23 NBA/NCAAB Selections

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  • ConleyPicks
    SBR MVP
    • 01-09-21
    • 1288

    #1
    ConleyPicks 2022-23 NBA/NCAAB Selections
    I am still going to be active on my NFL (will try to get more of those out) and NCAAF (most active now) threads but I will this year start up my thread for the 2022-23 season of NBA and NCAAB which the NBA kicks off tomorrow night and the NCAAB kicks off November 7th!

    Good luck to everyone and I hope to bring you all winning plays here!
  • ConleyPicks
    SBR MVP
    • 01-09-21
    • 1288

    #2
    NBA 10/18
    Current Record: 0-0-0 +0

    100* Alt Total: Phi 76ers/Bos Celtics Under 220.5 -160

    3 of my models are projecting totals of 207.89 195.77 and 212.39 so the UNDER play looks very solid!

    Good luck everyone!
    Comment
    • hunt3rtheone
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-14-08
      • 140

      #3
      I wanted to go with the UNDER as well, 220.5 looks very good here, the only thing is that it's the first match and I was afraid that they score will be higher but defo a very good pick here Conley... good luck!

      ps: I went with Philadelphia +6,5
      Comment
      • ConleyPicks
        SBR MVP
        • 01-09-21
        • 1288

        #4
        Originally posted by hunt3rtheone
        I wanted to go with the UNDER as well, 220.5 looks very good here, the only thing is that it's the first match and I was afraid that they score will be higher but defo a very good pick here Conley... good luck!

        ps: I went with Philadelphia +6,5
        Thank you sir! Yea that was my only thought about this pick was "Do I sit out for the first night?" And I said no way let's get a play out of the way! Good luck with your selection tonight too!
        Comment
        • hunt3rtheone
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-14-08
          • 140

          #5
          I added one more bet with the UNDER 221.5 points. we are not sitting this out, let's cash in... speak after the results, all the best
          Comment
          • ConleyPicks
            SBR MVP
            • 01-09-21
            • 1288

            #6
            Originally posted by hunt3rtheone
            I added one more bet with the UNDER 221.5 points. we are not sitting this out, let's cash in... speak after the results, all the best
            LET'S GO!!!
            Comment
            • ConleyPicks
              SBR MVP
              • 01-09-21
              • 1288

              #7
              Originally posted by ConleyPicks
              NBA 10/18
              Current Record: 0-0-0 +0

              100* Alt Total: Phi 76ers/Bos Celtics Under 220.5 -160 LOSS -160

              3 of my models are projecting totals of 207.89 195.77 and 212.39 so the UNDER play looks very solid!

              Good luck everyone!
              At 3-4 minutes left in the 4Q it was sitting at 219 for a while but then the points kept on coming to get 243 total points in the game 22 more points that we didn't need anyways let's shake this one off and look forward to winning our next game!

              New record: 0-1-0 -160
              Comment
              • ConleyPicks
                SBR MVP
                • 01-09-21
                • 1288

                #8
                NBA 10/21
                Current Record: 0-1-0 -160

                Lean Play- New Orleans/Charlotte Over 229

                The 3 models all have the total pts in game being 243.93

                *Leans are not official plays but they will be accounted for in a separate record*
                Comment
                • ConleyPicks
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-09-21
                  • 1288

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ConleyPicks
                  NBA 10/21
                  Current Record: 0-1-0 -160

                  Lean Play- New Orleans/Charlotte Over 229 WON +100

                  The 3 models all have the total pts in game being 243.93

                  *Leans are not official plays but they will be accounted for in a separate record*
                  The lean play ended up winning easily in the 4th quarter as both teams played well to get over the total of 229
                  Would have been nice to have that as a real official play but just didn't have enough data (for backing up model) to make it one

                  New Record: 0-1-0 -160
                  New Lean Record: 1-0-0 +100
                  Comment
                  • ConleyPicks
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-09-21
                    • 1288

                    #10
                    NBA 10/25
                    Current Record: 0-1-0 -160
                    Current Lean Record: 1-0-0 +100

                    Lean Play- Dallas/New Orleans Over 220.5

                    The models have 3 projected totals of 227.25 239.48 and 234.58 so the Over looking pretty good!
                    Will try to have a graded play out sometime this week just don't feel like making this a wager rn
                    Comment
                    • hunt3rtheone
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 12-14-08
                      • 140

                      #11
                      Waiting for your next pick Conley...
                      Comment
                      • ConleyPicks
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-09-21
                        • 1288

                        #12
                        Originally posted by ConleyPicks
                        NBA 10/25
                        Current Record: 0-1-0 -160
                        Current Lean Record: 1-0-0 +100

                        Lean Play- Dallas/New Orleans Over 220.5 WON +100

                        The models have 3 projected totals of 227.25 239.48 and 234.58 so the Over looking pretty good!
                        Will try to have a graded play out sometime this week just don't feel like making this a wager rn
                        Great game last night between these 2 teams with scoring 224 points in the game
                        Another win on the Lean plays wish that went towards our record but a win is a win here!

                        New Record: 0-1-0 -160
                        New Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200
                        Comment
                        • ConleyPicks
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-09-21
                          • 1288

                          #13
                          Originally posted by hunt3rtheone
                          Waiting for your next pick Conley...
                          Thank you I will release a Official play sometime this week BE READY!
                          Comment
                          • ConleyPicks
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-09-21
                            • 1288

                            #14
                            NBA 10/28
                            New Record: 0-1-0 -160
                            New Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200

                            100* Indiana/Washington Over 229 -110

                            1 model has 226.01 which is Under the total but the other 2 have 244.94 and 254.59
                            Favouring the Over in this game according to stats too so that boosts the confidence!

                            Good luck everyone!
                            Comment
                            • ConleyPicks
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-09-21
                              • 1288

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ConleyPicks
                              NBA 10/28
                              New Record: 0-1-0 -160
                              New Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200

                              100* Indiana/Washington Over 229 -110 WON +100

                              1 model has 226.01 which is Under the total but the other 2 have 244.94 and 254.59
                              Favouring the Over in this game according to stats too so that boosts the confidence!

                              Good luck everyone!
                              One of our models got the exact projected pts in the game with 244! Yea!
                              Finally getting a victory in the win column here and couldn't be more happier right now for the way these 2 teams played!

                              New Record: 1-1-0 -60
                              New Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200
                              Comment
                              • hunt3rtheone
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-14-08
                                • 140

                                #16
                                nice one Conley!!!
                                Comment
                                • ConleyPicks
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-09-21
                                  • 1288

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by hunt3rtheone
                                  nice one Conley!!!
                                  Thanks hunt3rtheone! Yea great pick last night hope you were on it!
                                  Comment
                                  • ConleyPicks
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-09-21
                                    • 1288

                                    #18
                                    Hi everyone sorry for the inactivity on the Football/Basketball selections I have been working a lot and have not been able to put out selections on the forum but I do have some time today to post a selection for opening night for NCAAB! Good luck

                                    NCAAB 11/7
                                    Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
                                    Current Lean Record: 0-0-0 +0

                                    Lean Play- Memphis/Vanderbilt Under 140

                                    The model says 136.32 go easy here (that is why I put it as a Lean Play) as these are last years stats
                                    Comment
                                    • ConleyPicks
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-09-21
                                      • 1288

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ConleyPicks
                                      Hi everyone sorry for the inactivity on the Football/Basketball selections I have been working a lot and have not been able to put out selections on the forum but I do have some time today to post a selection for opening night for NCAAB! Good luck

                                      NCAAB 11/7
                                      Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
                                      Current Lean Record: 0-0-0 +0

                                      Lean Play- Memphis/Vanderbilt Under 140 LOSS -100

                                      The model says 136.32 go easy here (that is why I put it as a Lean Play) as these are last years stats
                                      This one was very close to actually going under the number but they ended up scoring 143 points argh!

                                      Close on but we will try again tonight with a play I like

                                      Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
                                      Current Lean Record: 0-1-0 -100
                                      Comment
                                      • ConleyPicks
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-09-21
                                        • 1288

                                        #20
                                        NCAAB 11/11
                                        Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
                                        Current Lean Record: 0-1-0 -100

                                        Lean Play- West Virginia/Pittsburgh Under 139.5

                                        The model says 137.08 which is just under the total I have above

                                        Going to be doing a few more lean plays until there is enough info from this year to make accurate predictions (using last years stats so far)
                                        Liked this play earlier in the week when the line was at 139 1/2 but now I see 134 in all books so good thing I got a good number early!
                                        Good luck all!
                                        Comment
                                        • Fred The Hammer
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-13-13
                                          • 11581

                                          #21
                                          GL this season! Can you believe Vandy is on a 15-3 Over streak. S Miss is also on a 11-2 Over streak so I played Over 135.5 tonight. I realize Pippen Jr is gone for Vandy and why does a streak matter that goes back to last year with all the transfers, etc. My thinking is they always set such low numbers for S Miss totals and they actually got in a bunch of transfers that can score a little bit this year. Wonder what your model says?
                                          Comment
                                          • ConleyPicks
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-09-21
                                            • 1288

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                            GL this season! Can you believe Vandy is on a 15-3 Over streak. S Miss is also on a 11-2 Over streak so I played Over 135.5 tonight. I realize Pippen Jr is gone for Vandy and why does a streak matter that goes back to last year with all the transfers, etc. My thinking is they always set such low numbers for S Miss totals and they actually got in a bunch of transfers that can score a little bit this year. Wonder what your model says?
                                            Thanks Fred! The model is saying 144 points in that game so yes the over is looking (hopefully) good here!
                                            Best of luck man! Let's win our games tonight!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • ConleyPicks
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-09-21
                                              • 1288

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ConleyPicks
                                              NCAAB 11/11
                                              Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
                                              Current Lean Record: 0-1-0 -100

                                              Lean Play- West Virginia/Pittsburgh Under 139.5 WON +100

                                              The model says 137.08 which is just under the total I have above

                                              Going to be doing a few more lean plays until there is enough info from this year to make accurate predictions (using last years stats so far)
                                              Liked this play earlier in the week when the line was at 139 1/2 but now I see 134 in all books so good thing I got a good number early!
                                              Good luck all!
                                              I feel dumb looking back at this play because I said I have a "better line" at 139 1/2 with a projected total of 137 (which was RIGHT ON btw) even though the total yesterday was 134 so it would have been better to actually say "Over 134" than the "Under 139 1/2"

                                              Regardless of what line or play I would have done or should have done then they both won so congrats to everyone!

                                              Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
                                              Current Lean Record: 1-1-0 +0
                                              Comment
                                              • ConleyPicks
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-09-21
                                                • 1288

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by ConleyPicks
                                                Thanks Fred! The model is saying 144 points in that game so yes the over is looking (hopefully) good here!
                                                Best of luck man! Let's win our games tonight!!!
                                                Sorry Freddy that one was a stinker only 108 total points in the game they didn't have the scoring pace that I thought they would be having
                                                Next time my friend if you have a play that you like I can run it through my model and hopefully it can CA$H!
                                                Comment
                                                • ConleyPicks
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-09-21
                                                  • 1288

                                                  #25
                                                  NCAAB 11/12
                                                  Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
                                                  Current Lean Record: 1-1-0 +0

                                                  Lean Play- Washington St/Boise St Under 135

                                                  The model says 129.50 which is way below the 135 total I have above
                                                  Looking to get 1 more win on the Leans before our 1st Official play starting after this play so be ready! Good luck all!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ConleyPicks
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-09-21
                                                    • 1288

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by ConleyPicks
                                                    NCAAB 11/12
                                                    Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
                                                    Current Lean Record: 1-1-0 +0

                                                    Lean Play- Washington St/Boise St Under 135 WON -100

                                                    The model says 129.50 which is way below the 135 total I have above
                                                    Looking to get 1 more win on the Leans before our 1st Official play starting after this play so be ready! Good luck all!
                                                    Ring up the register!!! Another CBB winner!!! Was sweating this out the entire 2nd half and got very close to the 135 but they stopped before that at 132 for a nice Under win!!! Congratulations if you were on this play and once again thanks to everyone who views my threads!!!

                                                    Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
                                                    Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ConleyPicks
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-09-21
                                                      • 1288

                                                      #27
                                                      NBA 11/13
                                                      Current Record: 1-1-0 -60
                                                      Current Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200

                                                      Lean Play- Golden State/Sacramento Over 233

                                                      2 models say Overs 240.52/235.81 and 1 says Under 231.34 so if all 3 were on Over than it would be an Official Play but since all 3 don't agree I won't push the play and take it as a Lean Play Good luck all!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ConleyPicks
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-09-21
                                                        • 1288

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ConleyPicks
                                                        NBA 11/13
                                                        Current Record: 1-1-0 -60
                                                        Current Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200

                                                        Lean Play- Golden State/Sacramento Over 233 WON +100

                                                        2 models say Overs 240.52/235.81 and 1 says Under 231.34 so if all 3 were on Over than it would be an Official Play but since all 3 don't agree I won't push the play and take it as a Lean Play Good luck all!
                                                        Hey now! We are on a roll here with another basketball winner last night cashing in on the Over 233 and the gaming going to 237 total points!
                                                        I will try my best to continue this streak and actually have a "real" play over a Lean Play but still who can deny the winners regardless?

                                                        Congrats to all who were on this play last night and thank you to everyone who views my threads!!!

                                                        Current Record: 1-1-0 -60
                                                        Current Lean Record: 3-0-0 +300
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ConleyPicks
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-09-21
                                                          • 1288

                                                          #29
                                                          NCAAB 11/17
                                                          Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
                                                          Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100

                                                          100* Boise St/Charlotte Over 131 (-125)

                                                          The model says 131.97 which is pretty well 1 point above the total
                                                          This is our first "Official Play" so we are hoping to get out on the right track here! Good luck all!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ConleyPicks
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-09-21
                                                            • 1288

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by ConleyPicks
                                                            NCAAB 11/17
                                                            Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
                                                            Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100

                                                            100* Boise St/Charlotte Over 131 (-125) LOSS -125

                                                            The model says 131.97 which is pretty well 1 point above the total
                                                            This is our first "Official Play" so we are hoping to get out on the right track here! Good luck all!
                                                            Well not how I wanted to start off officially for the NCAAB season the 1H was downright embarrassing 28-11 Charlotte at that time but they got it rolling in the 2H only to see 96 points in the game Bad loss but I will take the loss and look forward to the next play!

                                                            New Record: 0-1-0 -125
                                                            Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ConleyPicks
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-09-21
                                                              • 1288

                                                              #31
                                                              NCAAB 11/22
                                                              Current Record: 0-1-0 -125
                                                              Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100

                                                              100* San Diego St/Arizona Under 166 (-135)

                                                              The model says 125.82 which is way Under the total and lots of good angels leaning towards the Under too so I feel good about this one!
                                                              Good luck to all and let's make this our 1st winner of the year in CBB!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ConleyPicks
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-09-21
                                                                • 1288

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by ConleyPicks
                                                                NCAAB 11/22
                                                                Current Record: 0-1-0 -125
                                                                Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100

                                                                100* San Diego St/Arizona Under 166 (-135) WON +100

                                                                The model says 125.82 which is way Under the total and lots of good angels leaning towards the Under too so I feel good about this one!
                                                                Good luck to all and let's make this our 1st winner of the year in CBB!
                                                                Hey getting the 1st win of the season for my plays feels great this morning! 157 total points in the game which was well Under the total
                                                                Trying to get a few more plays this weekend but depending on work (not this work lol) schedule I will let everyone know what is up

                                                                New Record: 1-1-0 -25
                                                                Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ConleyPicks
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-09-21
                                                                  • 1288

                                                                  #33
                                                                  NCAAB 11/27
                                                                  Current Record: 1-1-0 -25
                                                                  Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100

                                                                  100* 3-Way Line: Gonzaga-7 (-110)

                                                                  I will still be doing totals for NBA and NCAAB but would like to start playing other markets as well such as moneylines or spreads
                                                                  Gonzaga looks strong in this effort and the model says 7.88 pts for the win here. Good luck to all!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ConleyPicks
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-09-21
                                                                    • 1288

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by ConleyPicks
                                                                    NCAAB 11/27
                                                                    Current Record: 1-1-0 -25
                                                                    Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100

                                                                    100* 3-Way Line: Gonzaga-7 (-110) LOSS -110

                                                                    I will still be doing totals for NBA and NCAAB but would like to start playing other markets as well such as moneylines or spreads
                                                                    Gonzaga looks strong in this effort and the model says 7.88 pts for the win here. Good luck to all!
                                                                    This one was a weird one to watch as Gonzaga was up 40-34 at half (6 pt lead) but then in the 2nd quarter it was a back and forth game with Xavier scoring one minute then Zaga the next; They were actually up by 7 at one point but only managed to squeak out a win for only 4 points
                                                                    88-84

                                                                    Bad loss but we will live for another play sometime this week

                                                                    New Record: 1-2-0 -135
                                                                    Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ConleyPicks
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-09-21
                                                                      • 1288

                                                                      #35
                                                                      NCAAB 12/1/2022
                                                                      New Record: 1-2-0 -135
                                                                      Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100

                                                                      Lean Play- Alt Point Spread: Creighton+8.5

                                                                      Both these teams are very solid and will possibly have to come down to the wire to decide this one out
                                                                      Don't think that Texas can cover today so I'll take the dog in this one but using Alt spread just in case! Good luck!
                                                                      Comment
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