BL WNBA 09 Picks - Thread for the record

BL · 09-18-09, 09:40 PM

this one is getting ugly

BL · 09-19-09, 05:54 AM

no time will update board later!

Phoenix-SA UNDER 182

Phoenix -7

each 2 units

**SportsTerminator** · 09-19-09, 05:03 PM

BL who do you like for the LA vs. Seattle game?

**SportsTerminator** · 09-19-09, 05:04 PM

And I like the under too it seems like whenever the bookies set it in the 180's it goes under.

**corona** · 09-19-09, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by SportsTerminator

I might bet my biggest bet of the WNBA and tease Indiana and Phoenix. Because you know those two will win it's just how much.

i followed this thinking.

indy gave me a scare. now just need phoenix to win by a couple points. shouldn't be that tough....i hope.

**SportsTerminator** · 09-19-09, 11:39 PM

Originally posted by corona

i followed this thinking.

indy gave me a scare. now just need phoenix to win by a couple points. shouldn't be that tough....i hope.

BL · 09-20-09, 04:15 AM

Originally posted by SportsTerminator

BL who do you like for the LA vs. Seattle game?

Sparks Chicken Dinner tonight !!

Will update everything later, I am on a trip so I couldn't do it until now. If anybody likes to update the board for me:

Tonight it's

Sparks ML 2 Units

**SportsTerminator** · 09-20-09, 02:14 PM

**SportsTerminator** · 09-20-09, 02:17 PM

From LA +1.5 to -2.5... WOW lol.

**SportsTerminator** · 09-20-09, 02:18 PM

And look at this PHX MERCURY GM3 -8½-110... I think that's way too much. I mean San Antonio is fighting from elimination. They should keep it under 8...

BL · 09-20-09, 04:40 PM

Finally I am back home. Heres my updated board. Let's hope Sparks will make us proud

Seattle -2,5 2 Units LOSER
Phoenix-SA UNDER 182 2 Units LOSER
Phoenix -7 2 Units WINNER

LA Sparks ML 2 Units PENDING

>>> Overall record: 40-21 +40,54 Units (65,57%)

BL · 09-20-09, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by SportsTerminator

And look at this PHX MERCURY GM3 -8½-110... I think that's way too much. I mean San Antonio is fighting from elimination. They should keep it under 8...

Yeah, this is way too much. After this exorbitant loss I can't see them loosing by DDs again. Let's hope the public raises the line even more for us. For sure they will pound Phoenix!

BL · 09-20-09, 06:16 PM

LA Sparks ML 2 Units WINNER

Went 6-2 in the playoffs with tonights winner.
There is a quite interesting match tomorrow.. SA +9 looks like the right call for me right now but I am not sure about it yet. Sparks blowing the Shock out like nothing made me think about it twice. Phoenix could make it happen...
Will get you to know my leans and plays tomorrow.

>>> Overall record: 41-21 +42,36 Units (66,13%)

**SportsTerminator** · 09-20-09, 06:49 PM

BL · 09-21-09, 06:13 AM

Well, after looking at this match twice I changed my mind and will go for another chicken dinner in this years playoffs! For sure, laying 8,5 points in a close out game is not that easy. I would have taken the points with any other team - but I can't take them with San Antonio playing! They really suck on the road and do not have the ability to hold a game close. They win or they loose by DD. That's SilverStars-Style. Get this one early, public is already pounding PHX hard too.

Phoenix -8,5 2 Units

**RoagBettor** · 09-21-09, 01:29 PM

BL, I can't pull the trigger myself, but I hope you cash it!

BL · 09-21-09, 02:30 PM

Yeah, it looks like a chicken dinner run in the playoffs if this one cashes. I am quite confident on this one. Let's hope the best.
I am already looking at tomorrows game... tough one

any thoughts?

**RoagBettor** · 09-21-09, 02:41 PM

Detroit/Indiana is on Wednesday. The line is Detroit -1 right now and I expect it to go to -2 or -2.5 by Wednesday. Indiana pounded them at Indiana earlier in the season and they played an OT game last time at Detroit, so I think that's why the line is so low.

The o/u is currently 147 which I think is high. Indiana is not healthy and had trouble scoring even against a weak Washington team.

I'm thinking a 2 team/5 pt teaser of Detroit +4 and the under 152 might be the play, if the current lines hold before I make a final decision.

BL · 09-21-09, 03:38 PM

Oh of course you're right. Wednesday it is. And yes, I like the under too. Plus I am leaning Indiana. If the line will move some points it should be the right call. Sure, it's better not to bet against the campion at home. But if theres a team who knows to beat them on the road its the Fever. For the first half Detroit should be the team to bet on.
Let's wait till Wednesday and watch the line movements

**RoagBettor** · 09-21-09, 05:46 PM

This is why I hate the thought of betting a Phoenix under:

Coach Corey Gaines was happy to see the Mercury get back to their high-scoring, fast-breaking ways.

**ztballer** · 09-21-09, 05:54 PM

That's their plan to win games. I remember reading how they were 14-2 early in the season if they got up to 90pts or something like that. It was in a game in Seattle where they were held to a certain number and it was a struggle for them to get rhythm and what not

BL · 09-21-09, 10:35 PM

WOW ! You can't win a game by doubledigits against an opponent who scores almost 70% from downtown! all my respect to SilverStars. This is a great game to watch

BL · 09-21-09, 11:00 PM

OMG this really sucks! Phoneix winning by 8! SA hits 65% from downtown and destroying a higher Phoenix-Win this way....

Phoenix -8,5 2 Units LOSER

>>> Overall record: 41-22 +40,36 Units (65,08%)

**RoagBettor** · 09-21-09, 11:03 PM

Sorry BL. That's why I laid off this game, I had a bad feeling about it. The 2H bet I made was stupid, the 1H total wasn't high enough to play the under.

Let's get'em Wednesday!

**ztballer** · 09-21-09, 11:03 PM

Hey BL, have you tried LiveBetting? I had Phoenix 8.5, then I hedged it with live betting.

Ended the day with
2 units @ 8.5
2 units @ 7.5
2 units @ 6.5
2 units @ +1
2 units @ -2
4 units o174
2 units o183

onto the next one!

**ztballer** · 09-21-09, 11:06 PM

I'm finally in positive units LOL +6

I've been down 30 units since June.

BL · 09-22-09, 03:04 AM

Yes for sure I do live betting at 365. But in most cases I don't like hedging my project plays as far it is no "sure bet". Can be worse loosing your first and your "hedge".

**ztballer** · 09-22-09, 03:52 AM

Yeah that's true. I've just gotten lucky lately with live betting. Usually, they give the worst odds.

Phoenix games on bet365 are a gift. I always want the other team to come strong when the spread is high like -8.5, because we know Phoenix CAN come back in the blink of an eye.

Anyway, playoffs have been good to me, more so than regular season.

**thisle89** · 09-22-09, 06:47 AM

What are the plays for today let's sweep today

BL · 09-22-09, 07:10 AM

Originally posted by thisle89

What are the plays for today let's sweep today

There are no WNBA games tonight. But I am already studying tomorrows games. Time to move on and get a sweep again, you're right!

**RoagBettor** · 09-22-09, 08:05 AM

As I predicted, the Detroit line has now moved to -2 and it could go higher before gametime.

I really don't see how Detroit loses this game. Both teams have been going in opposite directions and Detroit is ready to defend their title.

**Emily_Haines** · 09-22-09, 08:41 AM

Detroit is playing better but they were just 1-3 this season against Indiana and needed OT to get the one win. Indiana will be a large favorite in the series.

**RoagBettor** · 09-22-09, 09:33 AM

Well, the first 2 games were in June so I discount those. Indiana beat them easily 82-59 on August 15th, but they were lights out from the 3 point line in that game. Also, Detroit was playing their 4th road game within a week.

Detroit manhandled a tough Atlanta team and has won 11 of 13, while Indiana struggled against Washington and is 5-7 in their last 12.

BL · 09-22-09, 10:09 AM

where are the lines for Sparks-Mercury ??
I don't know if Detroit will win that easy.. but I have no serious early leans yet. Will look at it later.

BL · 09-22-09, 03:42 PM

Here we go. My first pick for tomorrows 8pm game is Detroit winning the first half against Indiana. The Shock got all the momentum they need to win this. They are playing like champions and will come out hot on the court right from the beginning. They know if they want to have a chance to win the series they have to play tough starting with winning the jumpball ;-) I don't see a clear win for the Shock in this one, better said I don't know who will win this. So I am happy as far as Detroit covers the first half!
For the statistic fans: Detroit is 7-3 SU in first halfes playing Indiana at home.

1st Half Detroit -1 2 Units