NBA 2017-2018 Total Points Over/Under

[allnighter]

Now that the teams have a few games under the belt, it's time to bet ! (hopefully I won't go bust by mid-season)Only Over/Under Total points, pre-match, straight-bets, flat stake: 1u is 1% of bankroll.Wil try to post each game-day but wih NBA you have to be slave of the game so I might miss some games.For today:Charlotte Hornets - Houston Rockets - Under 211.5 @1.9New York Knicks - Brooklyn Nets - Under 220.5 @1.92

[bjb7223]

you using a formula?

[allnighter]

It's not really a formula.
I look at recent PACE and total points scored in the last games

[allnighter]

W 2
L 0
P 0
Units 1.82
Hitrate 100.0%

[allnighter]

For today:

New Orleans Pelicans - Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 217.5 @1.89
Chicago Bulls - Oklahoma City Thunder - Over 204.5 @1.96
Memphis Grizzlies - Houston Rockets - Under 205.5 @1.87

Miami Heat Boston Celtics - Under 206.5 @1.87
Utah Jazz - Los Angeles Lakers - Under 202.5 @1.87

Los Angeles Clippers - Detroit Pistons - Under 206.5@1.95

[allnighter]

New Orleans Pelicans - Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 217.5 @1.89
Chicago Bulls - Oklahoma City Thunder - Over 204.5 @1.96
Memphis Grizzlies - Houston Rockets - Under 205.5 @1.87

Miami Heat Boston Celtics - Under 206.5 @1.87
Utah Jazz - Los Angeles Lakers - Under 202.5 @1.87

Los Angeles Clippers - Detroit Pistons - Under 206.5@1.95

W 6L 2P 0Units Won 3.38Hitrate 75.0%

[allnighter]

For today:

Atlanta Hawks - Milwaukee Bucks - Under 201.5 @ 1.93

Charlotte Hornets - Orlando Magic - Under 209.5 @ 1.92

Cleveland Cavaliers - New York Knicks - Over 209.5 @ 1.95

Golden State Warriors - Detroit Pistons - Under 222.5 @ 1.93

[allnighter]

Atlanta Hawks - Milwaukee Bucks - Under 201.5 @ 1.93

Charlotte Hornets - Orlando Magic - Under 209.5 @ 1.92

Cleveland Cavaliers - New York Knicks - Over 209.5 @ 1.95

Golden State Warriors - Detroit Pistons - Under 222.5 @ 1.93


W 7
L 5
P 0
Units Won 1.31

Hitrate 58.3%

[allnighter]

For today:

Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves - Over 215.5 @1.88

New York Knicks - Denver Nuggets - Under 208.5 @1.96

New Orleans Pelicans - Orlando Magic - Under 225.5 @1.94

Utah Jazz - Dallas Mavericks - Over 191.5 @1.87

Portland Trail Blazers - Toronto Raptors - Under 214.5 @1.95

Los Angeles Clippers - Golden State Warriors - Under 220.5 @1.96

[allnighter]

Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves - Over 215.5 @1.88

New York Knicks - Denver Nuggets - Under 208.5 @1.96

New Orleans Pelicans - Orlando Magic - Under 225.5 @1.94

Utah Jazz - Dallas Mavericks - Over 191.5 @1.87

Portland Trail Blazers - Toronto Raptors - Under 214.5 @1.95

Los Angeles Clippers - Golden State Warriors - Under 220.5 @1.96

W 11L 7P 0Units Won 2.95Hitrate 61.1%

[allnighter]

For today:

Los Angeles Lakers - Detroit Pistons - Under 207.5 @1.96

[allnighter]

Los Angeles Lakers - Detroit Pistons - Under 207.5 @1.96

W 12
L 7
P 0
Units Won 3.91
Hitrate 63.2%

[gopolks]

nice win/ loss ratio!!

[allnighter]

thanks ! I'm sure this will go down as we go deep in the season. But hey, one can only hope

nice win/ loss ratio!!

[allnighter]

For today:

Philadelphia 76ers - Atlanta Hawks - Over 209.5 @1.87

Boston Celtics - Sacramento Kings - Under 199.5 @1.87

Miami Heat - Chicago Bulls - - Under 200.5 @1.91

New Orleans Pelicans - Minnesota Timberwolves - Under 223.5 @1.94

New York Knicks - Houston Rockets - Under 212.5 @1.96

Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks - Over 204.5 @1.94

[allnighter]

Philadelphia 76ers - Atlanta Hawks - Over 209.5 @1.87
Boston Celtics - Sacramento Kings - Under 199.5 @1.87
Miami Heat - Chicago Bulls - - Under 200.5 @1.91
New Orleans Pelicans - Minnesota Timberwolves - Under 223.5 @1.94
New York Knicks - Houston Rockets - Under 212.5 @1.96
Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks - Over 204.5 @1.94
W 17
L 8
P 0
Units Won 7.44
Hitrate 68.0%

[allnighter]

No plays for today

[allnighter]

For today:

Philadelphia 76ers - Indiana Pacers - Under 219.5 @1.87
Washington Wizards - Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 222.5 @1.9
New York Knicks - Phoenix Suns - Over 220.5 @1.89
Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans - Over 210.5 @1.91
San Antonio Spurs - Charlotte Hornets - Over 198.5 @1.96
Oklahoma City Thunder - Boston Celtics - under 204.5 @1.95
Orlando Magic - Chicago Bulls - under 204.5 @1.91

[allnighter]

Philadelphia 76ers - Indiana Pacers - Under 219.5 @1.87
Washington Wizards - Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 222.5 @1.9
New York Knicks - Phoenix Suns - Over 220.5 @1.89
Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans - Over 210.5 @1.91
San Antonio Spurs - Charlotte Hornets - Over 198.5 @1.96
Oklahoma City Thunder - Boston Celtics - under 204.5 @1.95
Orlando Magic - Chicago Bulls - under 204.5 @1.91
W 21
L 11
P 0
Units Won 8.15
Hitrate 65.6%

[allnighter]

For today:

Detroit Pistons - Sacramento Kings - Over 195.5 @1.96
Denver Nuggets - Golden State Warriors - Under 227.5 @1.97

[allnighter]

Detroit Pistons - Sacramento Kings - Over 195.5 @1.96
Denver Nuggets - Golden State Warriors - Under 227.5 @1.97

W 22
L 12
P 0
Units Won 8.11
Hitrate 64.7%

[allnighter]

For today:

Cleveland Cavaliers - Atlanta Hawks - Over 219.5 @1.94
Orlando Magic - Boston Celtics - Under 207.5 @1.96
Houston Rockets - Utah Jazz - Over 203.5 @1.96
Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 209.5 @1.91

[allnighter]

Cleveland Cavaliers - Atlanta Hawks - Over 219.5 @1.94
Orlando Magic - Boston Celtics - Under 207.5 @1.96
Houston Rockets - Utah Jazz - Over 203.5 @1.96
Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 209.5 @1.91
W 26
L 12
P 0
Units Won 11.88
Hitrate 68.4%

[allnighter]

For today:

Atlanta Hawks - Boston Celtics - Over 204.5 @1.91

[J.M. Disciple]

Thanks for posting. Only been following for a few days but hopefully season stays 60%+

[allnighter]

I'm not that optimistic. I expect somewhere around the 55 - 54 mark

Thanks for posting. Only been following for a few days but hopefully season stays 60%+

[allnighter]

Atlanta Hawks - Boston Celtics - Over 204.5 @1.91

W 27
L 12
P 0
Units Won 12.79
Hitrate 69.2%

[allnighter]

For today:

Cleveland Cavaliers - Milwaukee Bucks - Over 219.5 @1.91
Washington Wizards - Dallas Mavericks - Over 213.5 @1.91
New York Knicks - Charlotte Hornets - Over 210.5 @1.95
Toronto Raptors - Chicago Bulls - Under 202.5 @1.91

[J.M. Disciple]

Do you use your system (formula) for other sports or only for NBA?

What factors are you looking at for averages? Last 3, 5, 10 games? Guessing you have a cushion for your totals combined vs spread Vegas gives. Please share more details if you can.

[allnighter]

Only NBA. I don’t really use a formula. But you are correct – one of my major factors is the last 3 games total points averages. Then I look at the PACE of the teams and based on these two factors, I make my pick. I don’t use a point limit / cushion anymore compared to Vegas lines because, my experience is that if I limit my number of plays then I don’t spread the risk enough and I’ll end-up having a nice win % with a relatively mediocre ROI BUT open to risk. Therefore I bet on every game I think I have edge on (can even be 0.5 points) and rely on the large sample size of bets and…obviously LUCK 

Do you use your system (formula) for other sports or only for NBA?

What factors are you looking at for averages? Last 3, 5, 10 games? Guessing you have a cushion for your totals combined vs spread Vegas gives. Please share more details if you can.

[allnighter]

Cleveland Cavaliers - Milwaukee Bucks - Over 219.5 @1.91
Washington Wizards - Dallas Mavericks - Over 213.5 @1.91
New York Knicks - Charlotte Hornets - Over 210.5 @1.95
Toronto Raptors - Chicago Bulls - Under 202.5 @1.91
W 29
L 14
P 0
Units Won 12.65
Hitrate 67.4%

[allnighter]

I have no plays for today

[awon23]

Good stuff though allnighter

[allnighter]

Good stuff though allnighter

thanks man

[allnighter]

For today

Toronto Raptors - New Orleans Pelicans - Under 214.5 @1.91
Sacramento Kings - Philadelphia 76ers - Over 206.5 @1.96
Denver Nuggets - Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 213.5 @1.93