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  • QUEEN OF HEARTS
    SBR Rookie
    • 07-06-09
    • 35

    #3781
    Originally posted by jcygts6
    Hey SexyMit. I think tomarrow we need to go heavy on the Scaramento.
    The true line for the game should have Phoenix favored by -4, but the line is 6 points off.. The linemakers know something we dont. The public are pounding Phoenix.
    Sac has Phx 's # just like Golden state has the mavs. bad game ...stay away.

    Now i am just curious. it seemed that the first day i read this thread ...there was a lot of positive vibes, good imfo, decent research....what happened ? it like went to shit in 48-72 hours.

    Sexy i think you should clean this thing up. first of all that guy talking about his penis...**** that !!!
    ( definitely not something we want to hear about....he makes your home look dirty and childish. i would have him removed for painting that picture in your readers mind.)
    secondly, that guy big money ...hes boasting himself in your thread....he needs to move on and start his own thread. Very disrespectful.



    The other forum that you mentioned, pick of the day or something...is that where you post your plays and only your plays? i am personaly interested in your plays only ( but not only your plays !!! HA!!). I do think that you are interested in winning and only winning. ...I think that you could care a less about the attention , # of reads, replys, glory, glamour ...and all that garbage.


    I read your thread yesterday and could not find your plays. I am absolutely not a lazy person. I can filter thru the junk in a thread better than anyone....but.....yours is pretty tough.

    BTW....I agree with ya...no play today in the WNBA ( unless, washington is your choice)...and i apologize for getting out of hand a few nights ago....too many coronitas...wont happen again.
    Comment
    • pho3nix32
      SBR MVP
      • 01-09-09
      • 1465

      #3782
      Originally posted by RoagBettor
      Hey, I like Big, but he attacked me first. How can someone say line movement is not a factor and then call himself the master of line movement?

      I'm the first to admit I'm not a capper, but I've called my fair share of games and I'm up for the year.

      Gee, why don't we have a challenge? My weak-ass dumb-ass skills against your mastery of movements that don't exist? And I'll post my plays before CK and SM do, so you can't claim I'm merely following them.

      By the way, you also PM'd me a few weeks ago and said to tail you if I wanted to make money. Had I done so I'd be living under an overpass right now with a cardboard sign. Thanks for the offer though.
      keep your cool roag, it's not worth it, i guess he's just like the way he is. he came into my nba thread once and called me a "joke" out of nowhere. i don't think i deserved that. just ignore.
      Comment
      • pho3nix32
        SBR MVP
        • 01-09-09
        • 1465

        #3783
        totals for tomorrow:

        la@was 146 under
        det@conn 150 over
        atl@ny 149 over
        pho@sac 173.5 under

        GL friends!
        Comment
        • GGPLAYER
          SBR MVP
          • 03-26-09
          • 2981

          #3784
          Pho +1.5?? Should'nt they kill Sac Town?
          Comment
          • TheLemonDropKid
            SBR MVP
            • 02-02-09
            • 1501

            #3785
            Originally posted by QUEEN OF HEARTS
            Sac has Phx 's # just like Golden state has the mavs. bad game ...stay away.

            Now i am just curious. it seemed that the first day i read this thread ...there was a lot of positive vibes, good imfo, decent research....what happened ? it like went to shit in 48-72 hours.

            Sexy i think you should clean this thing up. first of all that guy talking about his penis...**** that !!!
            ( definitely not something we want to hear about....he makes your home look dirty and childish. i would have him removed for painting that picture in your readers mind.)
            secondly, that guy big money ...hes boasting himself in your thread....he needs to move on and start his own thread. Very disrespectful.



            The other forum that you mentioned, pick of the day or something...is that where you post your plays and only your plays? i am personaly interested in your plays only ( but not only your plays !!! HA!!). I do think that you are interested in winning and only winning. ...I think that you could care a less about the attention , # of reads, replys, glory, glamour ...and all that garbage.


            I read your thread yesterday and could not find your plays. I am absolutely not a lazy person. I can filter thru the junk in a thread better than anyone....but.....yours is pretty tough.

            BTW....I agree with ya...no play today in the WNBA ( unless, washington is your choice)...and i apologize for getting out of hand a few nights ago....too many coronitas...wont happen again.

            Well I'm an adult and not some punk kid, so all that is necessary is a polite verbal "check" and I make the necessary adjustments.......just like Sexy did last night when he said we were getting off the path and I agreed and changed my tune immmediately. My apologies to you for offending you......I'm not accustomed to having a woman frequenting our pages. I will be more mindful of your presence in the future and show the respect that you deserve. I think you are a little out of line for requesting me to be banned though.....especially since I have been participating in these particular forums a lot longer than you have. With that said....have a great day and good luck.
            Comment
            • sweetjones55
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-07-09
              • 5257

              #3786
              Sexymit, don't second guess your gut on that play of the month. Think about this. The Monarchs spankeddd Phoenix by 19 @ home June 12th. The very next day the Monarchs traveled to Phoenix to play them there. Now I thought that for sure Phoenix would pound Sacramento after that horrific losss and look at what happened. Sacramento is a terrible road team and it took Phoenix OT and 115 points to beat Sacramento @ home (most points ever scored in a game). I am liking Monarchs big time here and there is also RLM. 60% on Phoenix and line goes to Sac -2.
              Scared money don't make money

              182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
              37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
              Comment
              • QUEEN OF HEARTS
                SBR Rookie
                • 07-06-09
                • 35

                #3787
                Originally posted by sweetjones55
                Sexymit, don't second guess your gut on that play of the month. Think about this. The Monarchs spankeddd Phoenix by 19 @ home June 12th. The very next day the Monarchs traveled to Phoenix to play them there. Now I thought that for sure Phoenix would pound Sacramento after that horrific losss and look at what happened. Sacramento is a terrible road team and it took Phoenix OT and 115 points to beat Sacramento @ home (most points ever scored in a game). I am





                liking Monarchs big time here and there is
                also RLM. 60% on Phoenix and line goes
                to Sac -2.
                Excellent point and post
                Comment
                • QUEEN OF HEARTS
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 07-06-09
                  • 35

                  #3788
                  No problem, lemon drop.

                  Take a note.... "Respect, honesty,contribution, and positive vibes are what build intercity and class in a handicapping forum..... Not volume of post. I will contribute to this thread ... I just can't seem to get the streak alive... No worries tho,

                  These guys in this house are very wise and if all the useless post would dissolve, I think y'all will get more in return. Just trying to help.

                  I was not offended ... Just kind of like... WTF...
                  Comment
                  • SexyMit
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-12-06
                    • 6139

                    #3789
                    Ok guys I have a few ideas and since CK is not here I want peoples feed back! Today I'm looking at 2 games, of course everyone knows that one of them is the Sacramento game, and the other one is the Detroit game! I want peoples opinions and break downs of these games in their own words. This is a community thread, I already know who I'm liking in those games! But I want peoples views on these games!
                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                    Comment
                    • oda11
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-05-09
                      • 3250

                      #3790
                      Det/Conn
                      The lines opened at LSVC at Sun -5 and 148.5. Comparing to Pinnacle's opening lines of Sun -4.5 and 150. The lines quickly moved to Sun -6.5 and 147.5 on some sites as the public is pounding Detroit and the over, at least according to bet tracker... So I like the line movement here for Sun and the under. Also, I like the fact that Conn has better defense and a better bench.

                      My pick: Under as I don't expect Det to shoot as well as they did last time against Conn when Det were home.

                      Phx/Sac
                      No opinions on the over/under, but I like Sac here because the RLM as the public is pounding Phx but the line has moved from Sac PK (LSVC open) to Sac -2 on some sites. Then I thought about this... The bookies KNOW the public will pound Phx's spreads and ML no matter what ESPECIALLY if they are given points, as the only way the bookies make money here is for Sac to win a close game at the end. Same as the Sun, Sac has a much better defense and bench than Phx, more to that, they can outrebound Phx for sure.

                      My pick: Sac

                      Just my two cents!
                      Comment
                      • xXxBallin21xXx
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 07-11-09
                        • 590

                        #3791
                        Hey guys, i am new into this but I have been tailing CK and Sms pick for a while now (thanks by the way), and as for today, I like:

                        Picks:
                        Detroit +6.5 (they let Conn have it to over time last game and Detroit will show no mercy)
                        Atlanta +5 (1pt buy...with the return of Holdsclaw, Atl has been playing great)
                        Phoenix +4 (2pt buy...Phoenix is the superior team but Sac is at home so game will be close at the end but Phoenix will cover the spread)

                        Leans:
                        Washington -2.5 (Even though LA has been playing well lately, Washington is in a losing
                        streak and had 3 days to prepare against LA...if Lennox plays like how she's
                        been playing lately (fast), Wash will be in trouble)

                        GL to ALL =)


                        Comment
                        • RoagBettor
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-20-09
                          • 8355

                          #3792
                          The best bet will be Connecticut 2H IF Detroit keeps it close in the 1H.

                          Oda, I think you meant the public is pounding Connecticut, not Detroit, right?
                          Comment
                          • Tennispro
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-13-09
                            • 512

                            #3793


                            My plays tonight Mystics -2 and Connecticut -6 gl all.
                            Comment
                            • Abrcrom12
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 04-14-09
                              • 345

                              #3794
                              Originally posted by sweetjones55
                              Sexymit, don't second guess your gut on that play of the month. Think about this. The Monarchs spankeddd Phoenix by 19 @ home June 12th. The very next day the Monarchs traveled to Phoenix to play them there. Now I thought that for sure Phoenix would pound Sacramento after that horrific losss and look at what happened. Sacramento is a terrible road team and it took Phoenix OT and 115 points to beat Sacramento @ home (most points ever scored in a game). I am liking Monarchs big time here and there is also RLM. 60% on Phoenix and line goes to Sac -2.
                              I think that this pretty much sums it up for me on this game. Good job SJ!!
                              If you don't hang your balls out there and just do it, you'll never know what might have happened...
                              -- Valentino Rossi
                              Comment
                              • oda11
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-05-09
                                • 3250

                                #3795
                                Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                The best bet will be Connecticut 2H IF Detroit keeps it close in the 1H.

                                Oda, I think you meant the public is pounding Connecticut, not Detroit, right?
                                Lol, iono i saw that on bet tracker 88% are on detroit...
                                Comment
                                • SexyMit
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-12-06
                                  • 6139

                                  #3796
                                  I'm thinking that Sacramento is going to be the play for today! Going to wait a bit longer but I really don't see a whole lot of anything else today! These are just leans today, like Washington, Atlanta, Detroit and Sacramento! With Sacramento being the best play that I like! Lets see at the end of the night of these 4 how many of them would have won since I picked every game!
                                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                  Comment
                                  • Tennispro
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-13-09
                                    • 512

                                    #3797
                                    Weird movement on Sac game but i just can't see Phx losing the game, staying away from that game.
                                    Comment
                                    • oda11
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-05-09
                                      • 3250

                                      #3798
                                      Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                      The best bet will be Connecticut 2H IF Detroit keeps it close in the 1H.

                                      Oda, I think you meant the public is pounding Connecticut, not Detroit, right?
                                      Originally posted by SexyMit
                                      I'm thinking that Sacramento is going to be the play for today! Going to wait a bit longer but I really don't see a whole lot of anything else today! These are just leans today, like Washington, Atlanta, Detroit and Sacramento! With Sacramento being the best play that I like! Lets see at the end of the night of these 4 how many of them would have won since I picked every game!

                                      Now the line for Sac is moving according to the public, weird. The bookies are pulling out all sorts of tricks. Any leans on the totals SM?
                                      Comment
                                      • Tennispro
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-13-09
                                        • 512

                                        #3799
                                        Phoenix line down to +1 thats a green light for me adding Phoenix +1 also to my plays tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • SexyMit
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-12-06
                                          • 6139

                                          #3800
                                          I want to see the line flip flop and then I will unload on Sacramento! Remember the other night when Atlanta played Conn and Atlanta opened up as a fave and then by game time Conn was a fave. Well we all know what happend in that game, all though Atlanta almost blew the game they still covered the win!
                                          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                          Comment
                                          • manong36
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 10-22-08
                                            • 31

                                            #3801
                                            connecticut, washington, sacramento.
                                            gl and thanks to all
                                            Comment
                                            • RoagBettor
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-20-09
                                              • 8355

                                              #3802
                                              Sacramento is down to -1 on Bookmaker. The o/u is down to 171.5.
                                              Comment
                                              • SexyMit
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-12-06
                                                • 6139

                                                #3803
                                                I just don't see Sparks winning B2B road games! They were 0-5 until the other night when they beat the Liberty! Washington is a better team then last yr, and I just can't see Washington losing at home against the Sparks bad road team!
                                                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                Comment
                                                • ChiTownEntourage
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-18-08
                                                  • 218

                                                  #3804
                                                  What sites can you see what % of bettors are on both sides? Thanks for the help!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • obamaismyuncle
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-31-08
                                                    • 17801

                                                    #3805
                                                    Originally posted by ChiTownEntourage
                                                    What sites can you see what % of bettors are on both sides? Thanks for the help!
                                                    bettracker
                                                    Comment
                                                    • obamaismyuncle
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-31-08
                                                      • 17801

                                                      #3806
                                                      Booked:

                                                      07/11/2009 14:02:57 Wagered $220.00 to win $200 on CONNECTICUT -6.0 Unsettled WB 53 7/11 DETROIT AT CONNECTICUT
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sweetjones55
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-07-09
                                                        • 5257

                                                        #3807
                                                        Sparks will hang around in the 1st half and blow it in the 2nd half. I can't come up with a good lean/play without knowing the real consensus on that det game. Sacrento is the only play I feel strongly about. Public is pounding phx as prescribed.
                                                        Scared money don't make money

                                                        182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                        37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SportsTerminator
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-18-09
                                                          • 5179

                                                          #3808
                                                          I smell a home cookin' day. Connecticut squeaked out with a win in Detroit in Overtime last week. Connecticut will be at home so I expect them to feed off of home court momentum and grab a win. Sacramento beat Phoenix by 19 at home this season. I think Sacramento gives Phoenix matchup problems like Atlanta with Fever. So I'm confident that Sacramento will grab another win at home against Phoenix despite Phoenix being a really good team. I think Washington is too much for the LA Sparks to handle offensively so I expect them to win. And I like NY to win over Atlanta. NY Liberty owned Atlanta last time they played IN Atlanta. So I'm leaning Connecticut or NY Liberty moneyline. So again I smell a home cookin' day.
                                                          Bet To Win
                                                          Comment
                                                          • obamaismyuncle
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-31-08
                                                            • 17801

                                                            #3809
                                                            Originally posted by SportsTerminator
                                                            I smell a home cookin' day. Connecticut squeaked out with a win in Detroit in Overtime last week. Connecticut will be at home so I expect them to feed off of home court momentum and grab a win. Sacramento beat Phoenix by 19 at home this season. I think Sacramento gives Phoenix matchup problems like Atlanta with Fever. So I'm confident that Sacramento will grab another win at home against Phoenix despite Phoenix being a really good team. I think Washington is too much for the LA Sparks to handle offensively so I expect them to win. And I like NY to win over Atlanta. NY Liberty owned Atlanta last time they played IN Atlanta. So I'm leaning Connecticut or NY Liberty moneyline. So again I smell a home cookin' day.
                                                            Connecticut had a shit load of turnovers in that game in Detroit as well, Conn will blow Detroit away by double digits.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • peeiempee
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-21-09
                                                              • 2750

                                                              #3810
                                                              In that 19pt win, Pho shot an uncharacteristic 40% from the field, and 21% from beyond the arc. It went under cause it was a blowout game. Since then Pho has played better and shot better, while Sac still can't get their act together. I'm gonna have to go Pho and the Over today. Since it doesn't look like I have SM's blessing, its gonna be a 1 Unit play for me, but I just can't lay anymore money on Sac. Think I'm 1-3 betting on them ATS for the whole game. BOL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SportsTerminator
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-18-09
                                                                • 5179

                                                                #3811
                                                                Originally posted by xXxBallin21xXx
                                                                Hey guys, i am new into this but I have been tailing CK and Sms pick for a while now (thanks by the way), and as for today, I like:

                                                                Picks:
                                                                Detroit +6.5 (they let Conn have it to over time last game and Detroit will show no mercy)
                                                                Atlanta +5 (1pt buy...with the return of Holdsclaw, Atl has been playing great)
                                                                Phoenix +4 (2pt buy...Phoenix is the superior team but Sac is at home so game will be close at the end but Phoenix will cover the spread)

                                                                Leans:
                                                                Washington -2.5 (Even though LA has been playing well lately, Washington is in a losing
                                                                streak and had 3 days to prepare against LA...if Lennox plays like how she's
                                                                been playing lately (fast), Wash will be in trouble)

                                                                GL to ALL =)


                                                                Chamique Holdsclaw played against the NY Liberty (June 21st), and they still lost that game by 12 IN Atlanta. Holdsclaw had 17 points even though she only made 6 out of 18 field goals.

                                                                Another good fact is the Atlanta Dream has NEVER beaten the NY Liberty in WNBA. So I do not expect them to beat NY now IN NY.
                                                                Bet To Win
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RICHIE801
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 05-25-09
                                                                  • 393

                                                                  #3812
                                                                  Originally posted by SportsTerminator
                                                                  Chamique Holdsclaw played against the NY Liberty (June 21st), and they still lost that game by 12 IN Atlanta. Holdsclaw had 17 points even though she only made 6 out of 18 field goals.

                                                                  Another good fact is the Atlanta Dream has NEVER beaten the NY Liberty in WNBA. So I do not expect them to beat NY now IN NY.
                                                                  SA also dropped 12 straight at Minny and they got a dub last night.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SportsTerminator
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-18-09
                                                                    • 5179

                                                                    #3813
                                                                    Originally posted by RICHIE801
                                                                    SA also dropped 12 straight at Minny and they got a dub last night.
                                                                    Yea, but again NY Liberty beat Atlanta IN Atlanta by 12 last month. So I don't expect Atlanta to steal one.
                                                                    Bet To Win
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RoagBettor
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                                      • 8355

                                                                      #3814
                                                                      You guys are thinking like the public, that's how you lose money. Atlanta is better than NY this year. The line just is 5.5 on Bookmaker for that game, it's a tough call.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sweetjones55
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-07-09
                                                                        • 5257

                                                                        #3815
                                                                        Pho/Sac O/U just dropped 3 points to 170. Good sign for Sacramento IMO.
                                                                        Scared money don't make money

                                                                        182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                                        37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                                        Comment
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