celtics3388 2013/2014 NBA Thread

[celtics3388]

Getting a late start on SBR this year. I've had a few successful NBA threads in the past which I'll post below. In 2011/2012 I finished up over 33 units. In 2012/2013 I was basically even, up 1.69 units to be exact. My big thing here is transparency, as I can't stand wondering if someone's record is legit or not.

I've placed less than 5 NBA bets so far this season, so I wouldn't say I have a great feel for the teams and how they are being valued in the marketplace at this point. Hopefully that will come sooner than later. I've been messing around a bit on Fanduel (fukk that place btw... juice is ridic) so I've been keeping up with the NBA through that. Anyways hopefully this thread is a success and, as always, I'd love to get some discussion going on in here so feel free to jump in with your input.

11/12:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/1472225-2011-2012-nba-picks-thread-p18.html

12/13:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/1972522-celtics3388-nba-thread-12-13-a-p9.html#post21278858

[celtics3388]

3/1/2014:

Cavs +8.5 (-102) - 1x

[FistOfFreedom]

thoughts on pacers tonight?

[celtics3388]

thoughts on pacers tonight?

It's not really my betting style to lay a lot of points on the road. With that being said, in recent comparable games, Indiana has shown they are capable of covering as a large road fave: They've beaten the Lakers by 12 points, lost to Orlando by 1, and beat Milwaukee by 10. I think the Celtics are marginally better than all 3 of those teams at this point in the season, especially if Sullinger goes tonight.

In my opinion, the Celtics are in the better spot tonight. They have had a few days to recover from their west coast road trip, and are in the second game of a lengthy home stand. Indiana has one less day of rest than Boston, and this is a road game sandwiched in between 4 home games, which is a less than ideal situation.

From a talent standpoint, Indiana is clearly superior, and should dominate inside the paint on both sides of the floor. For that reason, I think Boston's chance of winning this game straight up is very low as it will be difficult for them to execute down the stretch in a close game. Additionally, I don't expect George Hill's absence to have any effect on the outcome.

I'll be staying away from this game, mainly because I'm unsure of how reasonable a 7.5 point line is. In past seasons, I'd lean towards Boston because of the situation, but because of all the tanking this year, the talent disparity between playoff and lottery teams is so huge that a 7.5 point line here might warranted.

I hope this helps with your decision tonight!

[FistOfFreedom]

It's not really my betting style to lay a lot of points on the road. With that being said, in recent comparable games, Indiana has shown they are capable of covering as a large road fave: They've beaten the Lakers by 12 points, lost to Orlando by 1, and beat Milwaukee by 10. I think the Celtics are marginally better than all 3 of those teams at this point in the season, especially if Sullinger goes tonight.

In my opinion, the Celtics are in the better spot tonight. They have had a few days to recover from their west coast road trip, and are in the second game of a lengthy home stand. Indiana has one less day of rest than Boston, and this is a road game sandwiched in between 4 home games, which is a less than ideal situation.

From a talent standpoint, Indiana is clearly superior, and should dominate inside the paint on both sides of the floor. For that reason, I think Boston's chance of winning this game straight up is very low as it will be difficult for them to execute down the stretch in a close game. Additionally, I don't expect George Hill's absence to have any effect on the outcome.

I'll be staying away from this game, mainly because I'm unsure of how reasonable a 7.5 point line is. In past seasons, I'd lean towards Boston because of the situation, but because of all the tanking this year, the talent disparity between playoff and lottery teams is so huge that a 7.5 point line here might warranted.

I hope this helps with your decision tonight!

Thanks for the write-up and I agree, went bigbigbigbig on Pacers M/L

[celtics3388]

Blazers -11 (-108) - 1x
Nuggets TT u102.5 (-110) - 1.5x

[celtics3388]

Pacers/Celtics 2H u98 (-110) - 1x

[celtics3388]

Portland didn't come to play tonight, and Memphis' D was too much for Cleveland in the second half.

2013/2014 Regular Season:
2-2, +0.4 units

[celtics3388]

3/2/2014:

Warriors/Raptors u202 (-105) - 1.5x

[celtics3388]

Mavs/Spurs u210.5 (-106) - 1x

[celtics3388]

Suns -8 (-105) - 1x

[celtics3388]

2013/2014 Regular Season:
3-3-1, +0.34 units

[celtics3388]

3/3/2014:

T'Wolves -6.5 (-105) - 1x

[celtics3388]

Knicks/Pistons o208 (-108) - 1x

[celtics3388]

Grizzlies/Wizards u191 (-105) - 1x

[celtics3388]

struggling with the totals, T'Wolves was right side but the foul game worked for Denver and we miss the cover

2013/2014 Regular Season:
3-6-1, -2.84 units

[celtics3388]

3/4/2014:

Clippers -3.5 (-103) - 1.5x
Lakers -2 (-101) - 2x

[celtics3388]

Heat/Rockets o210 (-108) - 1x

[celtics3388]

2013/2014 Regular Season:
4-8-1, -4.44 units

[celtics3388]

3/7/2014

Pacers/Rockets u201.5 (-105) - 1.5x

[celtics3388]

2013/2014 Regular Season:
5-8-1, -2.94 units

[celtics3388]

3/8/2014

Spurs -16 (-107) - 1.5x

[celtics3388]

2013/2014 Regular Season:
5-9-1, -4.54 units