NBA Player Props?

**gregmav1** · 01-17-14, 08:17 PM

11 points and 1 assist at half, 5 more to cash

**DUBnation** · 01-17-14, 08:33 PM

I'm just starting to get into player props and they're a lot of fun and pretty easy to hit, although I only really feel comfortable with teams that i follow regularly. A thread like this is a good place to share ideas though! Tonight I got Steph Curry over 23.5 points vs. OKC. He hasn't been shooting great lately (even though he's been putting up decent numbers) and they've had super competitive games with the Thunder so far this season where Steph put up big numbers, even though he was being guarded by Westbrook (who is obviously not playing tonight). I think Steph should be at his Steph-iest tonight and knock down a bunch of 3's!

**gregmav1** · 01-17-14, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by DUBnation

I'm just starting to get into player props and they're a lot of fun and pretty easy to hit, although I only really feel comfortable with teams that i follow regularly. A thread like this is a good place to share ideas though! Tonight I got Steph Curry over 23.5 points vs. OKC. He hasn't been shooting great lately (even though he's been putting up decent numbers) and they've had super competitive games with the Thunder so far this season where Steph put up big numbers, even though he was being guarded by Westbrook (who is obviously not playing tonight). I think Steph should be at his Steph-iest tonight and knock down a bunch of 3's!

Yeah i don't know the one thing I try to be cautious about is taking the "over" plays on star players, ya know? I think Vegas definitely puts it a few points above his average because people will always do the over and not the under on those huge name players. But, I did almost think about taking that play too and I wish you luck bro! Steph's on my fantasy team so I hope you win haha.

**DUBnation** · 01-17-14, 08:47 PM

Yeah totally agree, a lot of times it's risky to take the over in those cases..for example Kevin Durant's overs have been around 32-33 and I think I even saw 35 or 36 the other day! Sure, he can hit those easy, but that's way too high for me!

**gregmav1** · 01-17-14, 09:08 PM

Woo! 16 points 2 assists with 5 minutes to spare! Easy cash... Much easier than trying to predict a spread or over/unders... Might start keeping a tally here

1-0!

**gregmav1** · 01-17-14, 10:57 PM

Curry with 22 in the first half... Looks like you're safe haha

**gregmav1** · 01-18-14, 05:35 PM

YTD 1-0 +.9 units

Tonight, Dwayne Wade out so you know James'll be taking shots - Lebron James Points Over 26.5 - 2 units
Kemba Walker Rebounds + Assists over 9.5 - He's been hot recently with the assists, so I'll take the over here - 1 unit

**gregmav1** · 01-18-14, 08:08 PM

Kemba at 6 assists + 1 rebound at end of 1st, Lebron at 10 points at end of 1st... Both looking good

**Vinnie Paz** · 01-18-14, 09:08 PM

I crushed these at the beginning of season but been struggling lately . I play a lot of rebound props too. Where do you guys play them at? I just got a 5dime account, I dont mind their selection but the prices are pretty awful . Everytine i see one I love I look over ans its juiced to hell lol . If you can get on bet365 they're way better

**KRIT** · 01-18-14, 09:11 PM

Originally posted by gregmav1

I love player props... I hit about 66% on them, as opposed to 45-50% going on over/unders and spreads. I think people should utilize them more.

Anyways, tonight, DJ Augustin over 16.5 assists/points looks great. Kid has been on fire lately and 8 times out of 10 this hits I think. Worth throwing money down on.

Anyone else ever do things like this? Agree? Picks?

I do well on props too. I'd say I hit at least 60-65% but the problem is I'm paying -115 to -125 juice. As good as it feels to win, I think in the end I'm barely profiting, which is why I pretty much stick to spreads at low juice. G/L though.

**gregmav1** · 01-18-14, 09:16 PM

I hate the juice too man... Kemba went down with 8 assists and 1 rebound with 6 minutes left in the 3rd... Awful awful luck.

**gregmav1** · 01-18-14, 09:18 PM

Yep. sprained ankle out the rest of the game. Needed one more, that blows. Oh well, as long as Lebron's hits still up.

**gregmav1** · 01-18-14, 09:40 PM

And Lebron nails it! YTD 3-1. Should be 4-0 with Kemba's shitty injury. Follow for money boys

**KRIT** · 01-18-14, 09:46 PM

Originally posted by gregmav1

I hate the juice too man... Kemba went down with 8 assists and 1 rebound with 6 minutes left in the 3rd... Awful awful luck.

Yes, never been a fan of laying juice above -115. I still play props from time to time (probably just a couple a week), but usually they're just too juicy for me. I see great looking props all the time, but I really have no desire to play them at high juice.

**gregmav1** · 01-18-14, 09:50 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Yes, never been a fan of laying juice above -115. I still play props from time to time (probably just a couple a week), but usually they're just too juicy for me. I see great looking props all the time, but I really have no desire to play them at high juice.

Same when I'm like "oh that looks nice!" and then I see it's -125 it's just like come on... but I don't know, if I'm really confident i.e. it's going to 75-80% of the time hit, I'll still play it, easy money normally.

**gregmav1** · 01-19-14, 04:35 PM

3-1 so far... Tonight: Jared Sullinger over 8.5 Rebounds. Should get 10-12 rebounds.

**gregmav1** · 01-19-14, 08:41 PM

8 Rebounds, ouch, 1 shy... YTD 3-2

**gregmav1** · 01-20-14, 04:33 PM

Plays for today: Anthony Davis over 20.5 points
Dwayne Wade under 20.5 points

3-2 YTD.

Edit: Looks like Wade's sitting tonight so that will be a push.

**gregmav1** · 01-20-14, 04:39 PM

Due to D-Wade sitting, I like Bosh to be the 2nd option, take him over 23.5 points + rebounds. 1 unit on that play and the Davis play.

**Harun** · 01-20-14, 04:44 PM

where did you take davis 20.5 , everywhere 22

**jimmy007oc** · 01-20-14, 04:53 PM

5D man

**brodie** · 01-20-14, 05:55 PM

tailed the bosh... looks good... i like lamarcus aldridge over 4.5 free throws made as well

**gregmav1** · 01-20-14, 05:57 PM

I got 20.5 at Bovada but yeah he's 2 for 8 from the field, hopefully can turn it up in the 2nd half

**gregmav1** · 01-20-14, 06:04 PM

Gosh just AWFUL shooting from Davis right now, 2 for 11, only 6 points in the first half, he should be at 12 at least... Bosh pick is looking good right now though, 3 rebounds 5 points after 1st quarter.

**gregmav1** · 01-20-14, 06:52 PM

And BOOM! Davis gets 15 points in the 3rd and our bet cashes before the start of the 4th quarter.

**gregmav1** · 01-20-14, 07:32 PM

And Bosh cashes with 10 minutes left in the 4th

Congrats to those who followed, 2-0 on the day

5-2 YTD, might have a late play tonight

**jimmy007oc** · 01-20-14, 07:35 PM

good job man. more props for those night game??

**gregmav1** · 01-20-14, 07:42 PM

One play tonight, Aldridge over 11.5 rebounds. He had 25 rebounds against rockets last time he played them, Rockets and Trailblazers will be really high scoring = lots of shots and rebounds, hopefully Lamarcus can gobble some of those up.

YTD 5-2.

**gregmav1** · 01-20-14, 08:28 PM

7 Rebounds after 1st quarter... Looking great!

**gregmav1** · 01-20-14, 09:01 PM

Aldridge with 13 rebounds in the first half! Didn't even need the 2nd half to cash this one, on fire baby!

YTD 6-2.

**DUBnation** · 01-20-14, 09:09 PM

Nice! I got Lillard over 20.5 points, hope he turns it up in the second half!

**gregmav1** · 01-20-14, 09:09 PM

Since I'm 3-0 today I'm going to add one more for the late game, IND @ GS, going with Hibbert over 12.5 points. He's been in a slump and I think this is a good game for him to hit the over on this. GS plays fast, and their big men Lee and Bogut aren't great defenders, I think he should be able to get some baskets here. Good luck, let's make it 4-0 on the day!

edit: DUBnation yeah i almost took that as well but didn't pull the trigger, good luck on it

**gregmav1** · 01-21-14, 12:43 AM

Boom! Called it, straight cash boys! 7 of 8 shooting (as I type this with 7 minutes left in the game), told ya those GS big guys can't defend too well... 4-0 on the day, 7-2 YTD. Great day, made about 3 units today alone.

**gregmav1** · 01-21-14, 06:20 PM

Okay guys, back again tonight I got just one play I like, Joe Johnson over 7 assists + rebounds, and I'm making it a two-unit play, I feel good about it. Brooklyn really playing well and should move the ball well against this bad Orlando team, and I'm seeing something like 6 rebounds and 5 assists for Johnson. 7-2 on the year, let's keep it going.