Over/under predictions

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  • Crawfishxboy
    SBR Hustler
    • 01-06-14
    • 71

    #316
    Next to surity is going to cash
    Comment
    • Psycho792
      SBR Rookie
      • 12-13-13
      • 39

      #317
      Originally posted by Crawfishxboy
      Next to surity is going to cash
      nope. 1-2 there
      Comment
      • alamo
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-21-09
        • 7131

        #318
        2W - 3L on the night with a miraculous push on the Knicks game. No idea how that stayed at 194 esp when game went to OT. Will take it though!
        Comment
        • humbleyouth
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-03-14
          • 101

          #319
          Originally posted by Psycho792
          nope. 1-2 there
          Lost the other two game by a combine of 7 point. Could have gone either but i lost.
          Comment
          • humbleyouth
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-03-14
            • 101

            #320
            Originally posted by humbleyouth
            Nba predictions 13.01.2014


            games before 9:00pm
            raptors vs bucks over 188
            celtics vs rockets over 205.5
            knicks vs suns under 194----PUSH
            bulls vs wizards over 182
            pelicans vs spurs over 198.5
            mavericks vs magic over 198.5




            next to surity game (s)
            raptors vs bucks over 188
            pelicans vs spurs over 198.5
            mavericks vs magic over 198.5
            I went 2-3-1, while i lost a few games they were close.

            RECORD FOR POSTINGS ON HERE: 38-27-2.
            NEXT TO SURITY GAME IS: 11-7-1


            Comment
            • humbleyouth
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-03-14
              • 101

              #321
              Nba predictions 14.01.2014


              record for postings on here: 38-27-2.
              Next to surity game is: 11-7-1
              lastnight record: 2-3-1


              games before 9:00pm
              bobcats vs knicks over 188
              pacers vs kings over 195
              grizzlies vs thunder over 195


              next to surety game (s)
              pacers vs kings over 195
              Last edited by humbleyouth; 01-14-14, 11:53 AM. Reason: format
              Comment
              • JAnthony
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-25-13
                • 635

                #322
                Originally posted by humbleyouth
                Nba predictions 14.01.2014


                record for postings on here: 38-27-2.
                Next to surity game is: 11-7-1
                lastnight record: 2-3-1


                games before 9:00pm
                bobcats vs knicks over 188
                pacers vs kings over 195
                grizzlies vs thunder over 195


                next to surety game (s)
                pacers vs kings over 195
                Those are some rough lines you got there.
                Comment
                • drunkencow
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 01-13-14
                  • 11

                  #323
                  Originally posted by humbleyouth
                  Nba predictions 14.01.2014


                  record for postings on here: 38-27-2.
                  Next to surity game is: 11-7-1
                  lastnight record: 2-3-1


                  games before 9:00pm
                  bobcats vs knicks over 188
                  pacers vs kings over 195
                  grizzlies vs thunder over 195


                  next to surety game (s)
                  pacers vs kings over 195
                  Why over on the pacers kings? Doesn't make sense seeing as how pacers have been doing fantastic defensively and the kings are dead last
                  Last edited by drunkencow; 01-14-14, 12:29 PM.
                  Comment
                  • RollinDo
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-04-13
                    • 13322

                    #324
                    Originally posted by drunkencow
                    Why over on the pacers kings? Doesn't make sense seeing as how pacers have been doing fantastic defensively and the kings are dead last
                    That one has me stumped too. I'll be playing the Under for sure tonight.
                    Pacers do not score 100 much and if they win by 5 or more, the Under should hit.
                    I'll wait until movement up stops though.

                    Since Dec. 8th a Pacers total has only gone above 195 two times. I'll take my chances.
                    Last edited by RollinDo; 01-14-14, 12:44 PM.
                    Comment
                    • humbleyouth
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-03-14
                      • 101

                      #325
                      Originally posted by drunkencow
                      Why over on the pacers kings? Doesn't make sense seeing as how pacers have been doing fantastic defensively and the kings are dead last
                      I see you're new here. Welcome. Goodluck to you later. It might not make sense to you but it does to me.
                      Comment
                      • alamo
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-21-09
                        • 7131

                        #326
                        Originally posted by humbleyouth
                        I see you're new here. Welcome. Goodluck to you later. It might not make sense to you but it does to me.
                        Cheers dude. Why does it makes sense to you ? Interested in your reasoning on this...
                        Comment
                        • RollinDo
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-04-13
                          • 13322

                          #327
                          Originally posted by alamo
                          Cheers dude. Why does it makes sense to you ? Interested in your reasoning on this...
                          Yes, please elaborate if you have time. Thanks!
                          Comment
                          • humbleyouth
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-03-14
                            • 101

                            #328
                            Originally posted by RollinDo
                            Yes, please elaborate if you have time. Thanks!
                            I owe no one an explanation. Its all FREE info. No one forces you to play them.
                            Comment
                            • RollinDo
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-04-13
                              • 13322

                              #329
                              Originally posted by humbleyouth
                              I owe no one an explanation. Its all FREE info. No one forces you to play them.
                              Fine dude. May wanna think of a name change though.
                              Just asking - you and me are both on this board, but if someone asked for my rationale, not gonna turn them down. It's not like we're pros here.

                              Thanks anyways for your hard work.
                              Comment
                              • Noleafclover
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-06-13
                                • 1349

                                #330
                                I honestly think some of these accounts are put up here by affiliates, make solid picks until they get a following, then bad ones. I said earlier I'd seen a lot of threads like this not turn out well, and as the followers come, the picks start to fail. Again, hope I'm wrong for the faithful. GL.
                                Comment
                                • RollinDo
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-04-13
                                  • 13322

                                  #331
                                  Originally posted by Noleafclover
                                  I honestly think some of these accounts are put up here by affiliates, make solid picks until they get a following, then bad ones. I said earlier I'd seen a lot of threads like this not turn out well, and as the followers come, the picks start to fail. Again, hope I'm wrong for the faithful. GL.
                                  Seen it too in just a short time reading these posts.
                                  I like to determine beforehand which plays I like and if they line up, then I tail. Otherwise, you regret the play if it loses.
                                  Comment
                                  • bihon
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-03-09
                                    • 731

                                    #332
                                    Originally posted by humbleyouth
                                    I owe no one an explanation. Its all FREE info. No one forces you to play them.
                                    Right, don't question the guru. You either play the games exactly as posted or f.ck off from this thread.
                                    Otherwise you'll be stoned.
                                    Comment
                                    • RollinDo
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-04-13
                                      • 13322

                                      #333
                                      Originally posted by bihon
                                      Right, don't question the guru. You either play the games exactly as posted or f.ck off from this thread.
                                      Otherwise you'll be stoned.
                                      Guru???
                                      What I don't like is someone thinking they're all that because they hit some Under plays for a week and then fell off from his throne three straight days. Just bein real here.
                                      Nobody should be treated with any more royalty than anyone else on here just because of a slightly better record.

                                      I know a posters who are hitting everything now and gladly share their reasoning. To each his own.

                                      Thought we were all trying to help each other out here.
                                      Comment
                                      • Milanboy
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-09-10
                                        • 214

                                        #334
                                        Originally posted by RollinDo
                                        That one has me stumped too. I'll be playing the Under for sure tonight.
                                        Pacers do not score 100 much and if they win by 5 or more, the Under should hit.
                                        I'll wait until movement up stops though.

                                        Since Dec. 8th a Pacers total has only gone above 195 two times. I'll take my chances.
                                        maybe look at how many times the kings have gone over that number since Dec. 8. 15 above 2 below.
                                        Comment
                                        • humbleyouth
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 01-03-14
                                          • 101

                                          #335
                                          Originally posted by Noleafclover
                                          I honestly think some of these accounts are put up here by affiliates, make solid picks until they get a following, then bad ones. I said earlier I'd seen a lot of threads like this not turn out well, and as the followers come, the picks start to fail. Again, hope I'm wrong for the faithful. GL.
                                          From day one, you had nothing but negatives to contribute. Look at all of the posts you made here.
                                          Comment
                                          • humbleyouth
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-03-14
                                            • 101

                                            #336
                                            Originally posted by Milanboy
                                            maybe look at how many times the kings have gone over that number since Dec. 8. 15 above 2 below.
                                            Leave them alone and let them talk.

                                            I refused to answer b/c the dude just joined the forum today and all of a sudden he's questioning picks. Did he looked at my previous posts? Isn't my picks about how i see the games?
                                            Comment
                                            • oiler
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-06-09
                                              • 6585

                                              #337
                                              its not like your a long time member either.seem the newbies need to learn manners
                                              Comment
                                              • RollinDo
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-04-13
                                                • 13322

                                                #338
                                                Originally posted by humbleyouth
                                                Leave them alone and let them talk.

                                                I refused to answer b/c the dude just joined the forum today and all of a sudden he's questioning picks. Did he looked at my previous posts? Isn't my picks about how i see the games?
                                                Thanks for clarifying humble...but really - he just wanted to know why - no harm done.
                                                Comment
                                                • Noleafclover
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-06-13
                                                  • 1349

                                                  #339
                                                  Originally posted by humbleyouth
                                                  From day one, you had nothing but negatives to contribute. Look at all of the posts you made here.
                                                  Believe I've posted twice whether there were over/under (high foul/low foul) refs on games, not sure if those were for or against your picks (I recall 1 being against, it's possible the other was as well) but I don't see how adding information is negative.

                                                  Twice now I have voiced skepticism, based off what I've seen in the past. The quoted post notes the same trend that makes me suspicious of affiliates beginning here. It's an observation, it does happen to be negative, but if the facts fit...

                                                  Both times I said I hope I'm wrong for the tired masses' sake.
                                                  Last edited by Noleafclover; 01-14-14, 04:22 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • humbleyouth
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 01-03-14
                                                    • 101

                                                    #340
                                                    Originally posted by oiler
                                                    its not like your a long time member either.seem the newbies need to learn manners
                                                    I'm a newbie and you following my posts? If you don't know how something started. Don't speak about it. Give Thanks.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • alamo
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-21-09
                                                      • 7131

                                                      #341
                                                      Originally posted by humbleyouth
                                                      Leave them alone and let them talk.

                                                      I refused to answer b/c the dude just joined the forum today and all of a sudden he's questioning picks. Did he looked at my previous posts? Isn't my picks about how i see the games?
                                                      Jeez dude, All i asked was why you liked the Kings under and was interested as to your reasoning
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ncurrie33
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 01-07-14
                                                        • 9

                                                        #342
                                                        Originally posted by humbleyouth
                                                        Nba predictions 14.01.2014


                                                        record for postings on here: 38-27-2.
                                                        Next to surity game is: 11-7-1
                                                        lastnight record: 2-3-1


                                                        games before 9:00pm
                                                        bobcats vs knicks over 188
                                                        pacers vs kings over 195
                                                        grizzlies vs thunder over 195


                                                        next to surety game (s)
                                                        pacers vs kings over 195
                                                        Lets go 3-0 tonight humble! You can do it again!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • m9hrdad
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 11-25-13
                                                          • 32

                                                          #343
                                                          I love the knicks/bobcats game going over. Knicks are playing well, Chandler is coming back tonight, and the Bobcats have also got some good scorers in Kemba, Al and GH.

                                                          BOL guys!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Crawfishxboy
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 01-06-14
                                                            • 71

                                                            #344
                                                            Yeah!!!! Lets get this movement restarted!!! F the nay sayers!!!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • killacappapilla
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-01-13
                                                              • 881

                                                              #345
                                                              Lets do this
                                                              Comment
                                                              • YTC
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 12-31-13
                                                                • 12

                                                                #346
                                                                Indy is scoring alot against SAC, over for sure. BTW, I appreciate humbleyouth's picks. I do my own analysis of O/U using statistics such as ppg, oppg, pace factor, turnover/assist and such (a lot of others too). Then I take a look at humble's and if the end results match up, I bet on it. And it has to be a game where my analysis is higher confidence in the result.

                                                                Today I predicted 202.9 for SAC@IND, which is over the vegas lines by a lot (hence my own confidence). Compounded with humbleyouth's "over" prediction, cashing it in later.

                                                                humbleyouth gets asked a lot and sometimes in a negative tone. Give him some space to breath for posting his picks. Also, if you are asking for why humble thought IND would go "over", my opinion is that this information is personal. Surely you can understand why our formula's (whether they work or not) are personal. It took hard work to decide on which factors to use, what weight to give them and such.

                                                                I used to bet over/under based on "gut feel". IND played yesterday, IND doesn't score a lot, IND has the best defense, hence this game is going under. Vegas moves the lines lower than it should be because they have bettors like me. I recommend to serious people to put more importance in the numbers rather than gut feel. Even if IND does score lower and has good defense, calculate it out, formulate and evolve a mathematical base if you have 30 minutes a day.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • comon kryptonite
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 01-14-14
                                                                  • 95

                                                                  #347
                                                                  thanks from this rookie

                                                                  im a rookie regarding the nba and will admit dont know shit about the line but have been doing well thanks to humbles picks... i have actually done better by hitting his picks as a teaser!!i hit my last two plays which consisted of the overs...just wanted to say thanks and keep the suggestions coming..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Crawfishxboy
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 01-06-14
                                                                    • 71

                                                                    #348
                                                                    Made a profit today. Thanks humble
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Time is Money
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-03-07
                                                                      • 2255

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Originally posted by comon kryptonite
                                                                      im a rookie regarding the nba and will admit dont know shit about the line but have been doing well thanks to humbles picks... i have actually done better by hitting his picks as a teaser!!i hit my last two plays which consisted of the overs...just wanted to say thanks and keep the suggestions coming..
                                                                      teasing totals is a complete sucker bet. I don't even like teasing spreads but I do occasionally, nba totals? never.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Noleafclover
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 06-06-13
                                                                        • 1349

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Originally posted by YTC
                                                                        I used to bet over/under based on "gut feel". IND played yesterday, IND doesn't score a lot, IND has the best defense, hence this game is going under.
                                                                        From my observations, tired teams slack on defense more than offense. Hope this helps. Of course, it's just one factor, yada yada.
                                                                        Comment
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