With my new system, I track how well it performs predicting straight up winners. I also can use my college basketball system here too, because it predicts straight up much better than ATS. Anyways, looking at the first week of my system last night, I saw that it started 41-13 (76%) in predicting winners straight up. When I took only teams it said would win by more than 5, the record became a remarkable 26-2 (92.9%). Of course almost all of these were playing favorites, which got me to wondering just how profitable one could be playing moneylines when the vast majority of their picks are favorites. I'm going to use $100 for just this purpose, to see how much money I can turn it into by the end of the season. My early goal is $500, I should have a good idea after a couple weeks just how realistic that is. I may throw some parlays in before everything is over with, but to begin with I'm just going to do straight bets. So, here we go!
$100 Moneyline Experiment
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kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#1$100 Moneyline Experiment2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSTags: None -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#2Monday:
Cavaliers -3500 ($40.00 to win $1.14)
Lakers -360 ($10.00 to win $2.78)
Rockets -200 ($10.00 to win $5.00)
Suns -310 ($10.00 to win $3.23)
One more note, yes, I'll be playing ridiculous lines like the Cavs from time to time. It all adds up in the long run...2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
superslinkySBR Hustler
- 02-19-09
- 61
#3Well all I can say is good luck.Comment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#4lol thanks, i may bust in a couple weeks who knows but its only $100 bucks so figured i'd give it a shot just for the fun of it2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
VesuviusSBR MVP
- 02-19-08
- 3886
#5So basically what you are saying is if this game was played over 35 times, the Cavs would win every single one to profit. Sorry but this has bust written all over it.Comment -
BLUUR05SBR Rookie
- 02-21-09
- 26
#6kory y dont you parlay them all into one.. i think its like 1-1.59
instead you would have
risk $70
Cavaliers -3500
Lakers -360
Rockets -200
Suns -310
win 111
i mean if its 26-2 then you have no worries!Comment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#7haha i'm not a huge fan of large parlays, i don't like going over 3 teams very much. and i'd like more than a week of results before i decide to start doing them. yeah its 26-2, but i'm a big believer that past results don't guarantee future performance. i'll start this out a bit on the conservative side, in a week or so though parlays will probably be a bigger part of this thread.2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#8Adding:
2 Team Parlay:
Suns -325 & Lakers -370 ($10.00 to win $6.61)
2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
icemantbiSBR Wise Guy
- 07-18-07
- 944
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kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#10wow very good thought, i'll watch for that in the future it didn't even cross my mind i just stopped by very briefly to make the play. i said this is the moneyline thread though, in the future i'll just put those teasers in my other thread and keep dumb parlays like that outta here2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#11
Straight Wagers: 4-0
Parlays: 1-0
Bankroll: $118.762011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#12Alright big day, I have three plays I'm very confident in, and I'm adding another two because they make the cut, but barely. I'm going to go a bit parlay crazy in addition to my straight wagers today, I'd be pretty surprised if it isn't another profitable night. Here's what I've got:
Clemson -600 ($12.00 to win $2.00)
Mavericks -335 ($12.00 to win $3.58)
Pacers -330 ($12.00 to win $3.64)
Celtics -500 ($12.00 to win $2.40)
Magic -145 ($12.00 to win $8.28)
76ers -195 ($12.00 to win $6.15)
Parlay: Mavericks -335 and Celtics -500 ($12.00 to win $6.70)
Parlay: Pacers -330 and Celtics -500 ($12.00 to win $6.76)
Parlay: Celtics -500, Pacers -330, and Mavericks -335 ($12.00 to win $12.36)
That's it for tonight, good luck with your betting guys.2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
dmf5075SBR Rookie
- 02-18-09
- 19
#13bol with ur new system.. sounds kick assComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#14looks like my fate for the day hinges on the celtics... i'm pissed i didn't have the discipline to hold off on the clemson play but whatcha gunna do, thank god i didn't throw them in any parlays. anyways, as long as boston takes care of business it'll be another profitable day, otherwise things could get pretty ugly pretty quick2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#15
Clemson -600 ($12.00 to win $2.00)Loss
Mavericks -335 ($12.00 to win $3.58)Win
Pacers -330 ($12.00 to win $3.64) Win
Celtics -500 ($12.00 to win $2.40) Loss
Magic -145 ($12.00 to win $8.28) Win
76ers -195 ($12.00 to win $6.15) Win
Parlay: Mavericks -335, Celtics -500 ($12.00 to win $6.70) Loss
Parlay: Pacers -330, Celtics -500 ($12.00 to win $6.76) Loss
Parlay: Celtics -500, Pacers -330, and Mavericks -335 ($12.00 to win $12.36) Loss
CBB: 0-1
NBA: 8-1
2 Team Parlays: 1-2
3 Team Parlays: 0-1
Bankroll: $80.412011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
ATB515Restricted User
- 01-08-09
- 734
#16put 40 on L.A
Wont win much though
Well, all I can say eff the Celtics, totally screwed my day. This is why I should stay away from parlays, ugh. Well I may be back tomorrow to dig myself out of this hole, I don't know if I'll have any plays though with the limited number of NBA games.
CBB: 0-1
NBA: 9-1
2 Team Parlays: 1-2
3 Team Parlays: 0-1
Bankroll: $80.41Comment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#17ya looks like LA is gunna be a play, just waiting on the line2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#18After the Celtics debacle last night, combined with my inability to get to the Lakers line quickly, I decided against making it a straight play. However, I threw a "Money in the wind" parlay together that I actually feel like has great shot at hitting. if it doesn't, oh well, at least I can say I had fun. Here's what I've got.
Parlay: Lakers -800, Wake Forest -800, Illinois -335, Washington U. -165 ($10.41 to win $17.07)2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#19
Bankroll: $97.482011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
ATB515Restricted User
- 01-08-09
- 734
#20nice work
Another nice day, all four of my system money line plays hit and snagged me a pretty nice parlay. Early indications are that I'll have a whole lot of NBA tomorrow, probably won't do anything too crazy and just straight wager all of them we'll see. I'll have them posted late tonight or tomorrow afternoon.
Bankroll: $97.48Comment -
MrMonkeySBR MVP
- 11-09-08
- 2278
#21Good job Kroy! Keep plugging away my friend!
MrMonkeyComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#22Okay well I weeded out one play today just because the injury situation is up in the air, but that still leaves 8 nice ones. I'm gunna keep it simple today and straight wager them all. Here's what I've got:
Hornets -525 ($10.00 to win $1.90)
Magic -525 ($10.00 to win $1.90)
Bulls -200 ($10.00 to win $5.00)
Celtics -925 ($10.00 to win $1.08)
Hawks -215 ($10.00 to win $4.65)
Trailblazers -200 ($10.00 to win $5.00)
Mavericks -500 ($10.00 to win $2.00)
Warriors EV ($10.00 to win $10.00)
2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#23Hornets -525 ($10.00 to win $1.90) Win
Magic -525 ($10.00 to win $1.90) Loss
Bulls -200 ($10.00 to win $5.00) Loss
Celtics -925 ($10.00 to win $1.08) Win
Hawks -215 ($10.00 to win $4.65) Win
Trailblazers -200 ($10.00 to win $5.00) Win
Mavericks -500 ($10.00 to win $2.00) Win
Warriors EV ($10.00 to win $10.00) Loss
Hawks -175 ($10.00 to win $5.71)
Spurs -380 ($10.00 to win $2.63)
Longhorns -385 ($10.00 to win $2.60)
Parlay Longhorns, Hawks, and Spurs ($10.00 to win $15.01)2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#24
NBA SU: 79-30
NBA Top SU: 49-8
NBA ATS: 64-45
NCAA Best SU: 56-11
I'm kind of at a loss what to do right now, NCAA is awful ATS so i'll just keep riding it's best ATS plays i guess. As for NBA, it has been very solid straight up but its reaching a point ATS where i feel like i need to start making plays off of it. i'm going to look a little further into it and see if winning % ATS increases with strength like my NFL system did. Meanwhile, we'll keep this thread going and hopefully make some significant gains with our bankroll in the next few weeks. cya all tomorrow2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#25Rockets -475 ($10.00 to win $2.11)
Bucks -175 ($10.00 to win $5.71)
Magic -285 ($10.00 to win $3.51)
2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#262011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment
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