2013-14 NBA picks

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  • ebbearsfb1
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-07-08
    • 18815

    #316
    Originally posted by Tommy Karate
    fade that home fav -3 or <......47-39 ats YTD. profitable angle..
    Where did you get that from?
    Comment
    • Tommy Karate
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-12-13
      • 13445

      #317
      Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
      Where did you get that from?
      im like rain man mike - i just remember stats and #'s
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #318
        Originally posted by KRIT
        Yes, short home faves almost never cover in NBA. OKC was -1 for most of today, however GS just crossed the zero and moved to -1. I'd love to see the ATS on a team going from dog to fave, probably almost as bad as the short home fave. I'm on GSW small, woulda felt better if GS stayed at +1.

        G/L with your plays guys.
        I honestly don't remember the last time a team has gone from a dog to a fave and won -- pro or college.

        Looks like the Warriors are going to continue that trend tonight.
        Comment
        • RavensFan2k3
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-12
          • 17378

          #319
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          I honestly don't remember the last time a team has gone from a dog to a fave and won -- pro or college.

          Looks like the Warriors are going to continue that trend tonight.
          Are you serious? It happens all the time
          Comment
          • ebbearsfb1
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-07-08
            • 18815

            #320
            not to get off topic but in college basketball

            teams who open -1 to -3 in 2013-2014

            Record:

            82-66, 55.4%Margin:

            0.2Money Won:

            +$1,161ROI:

            7.8%Grade:

            A-




            but last year this same data was -4389
            Comment
            • KRIT
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-11-14
              • 12877

              #321
              Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
              Are you serious? It happens all the time
              Naw bro. No Coincidence's is right, it's a deathwish in both college and NBA. Hopefully GS proves it wrong tonight.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #322
                Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                Are you serious? It happens all the time
                The last eight times I've bet on a dog that moved to a fave in college/pro hoops, that team has lost.
                Comment
                • lunch
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-20-13
                  • 681

                  #323
                  road teams made a killing tonight. still questioning your GSW bet, there's no way you bet real money
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #324
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    The last eight times I've bet on a dog that moved to a fave in college/pro hoops, that team has lost.
                    Case in point: Warriors tonight.
                    Comment
                    • lunch
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-20-13
                      • 681

                      #325
                      Originally posted by lunch
                      Is Durant out? +1?
                      what did you see in this game?
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #326
                        Originally posted by lunch
                        there's no way you bet real money
                        What do you mean by that?
                        Comment
                        • lunch
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-20-13
                          • 681

                          #327
                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                          What do you mean by that?
                          You bet GSW at PK in OKC, what more do i need to tell ya?
                          Comment
                          • Seto
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-16-11
                            • 12906

                            #328
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            I honestly don't remember the last time a team has gone from a dog to a fave and won -- pro or college.

                            Looks like the Warriors are going to continue that trend tonight.
                            I actually had that impression coming into the season as well but I've found it's actually happened quite often this year.

                            Maybe many cases came when you took your break.
                            Comment
                            • BigDofBA
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-30-09
                              • 19311

                              #329
                              I took under 2nd half. Looked great until the refs started blowing the whistle every possession and the teams scored like 21 points the final three minutes.

                              How many of those were free throws? It had to be at least like 12 points.

                              Damn.
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #330
                                Originally posted by lunch
                                You bet GSW at PK in OKC, what more do i need to tell ya?
                                So because I made that bet, I don't bet with real money? I still don't understand what you're saying.
                                Comment
                                • BigDofBA
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-30-09
                                  • 19311

                                  #331
                                  No coin probably bets more "real" money than most people on this site it's just spread out.

                                  Even if his units are $20 he probably still wagers thousands monthly.

                                  Of course most people on here won't understand the math and I'm not going to bother to explain.
                                  Comment
                                  • lunch
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-20-13
                                    • 681

                                    #332
                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                    So because I made that bet, I don't bet with real money? I still don't understand what you're saying.
                                    Could care less about your status, why the hell do you bet against OKC at home on Friday night? give me a 20$ bettor tip
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #333
                                      Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                      Even if his units are $20 he probably still wagers thousands monthly.
                                      Sadly, that's correct. Just spread out over way too many games.
                                      Comment
                                      • Tommy Karate
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-12-13
                                        • 13445

                                        #334
                                        Originally posted by lunch
                                        Could care less about your status, why the hell do you bet against OKC at home on Friday night? give me a 20$ bettor tip
                                        you pounded OKC tonight? what was the angle?
                                        Comment
                                        • lunch
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 12-20-13
                                          • 681

                                          #335
                                          Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                          you pounded OKC tonight? what was the angle?
                                          OKC at homme, what more do you need
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #336
                                            Originally posted by Seto
                                            I actually had that impression coming into the season as well but I've found it's actually happened quite often this year.

                                            Maybe many cases came when you took your break.
                                            Must've been, because it's been the kiss of death for my bets all year long.
                                            Comment
                                            • ebbearsfb1
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-07-08
                                              • 18815

                                              #337
                                              Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                              No coin probably bets more "real" money than most people on this site it's just spread out.

                                              Even if his units are $20 he probably still wagers thousands monthly.

                                              Of course most people on here won't understand the math and I'm not going to bother to explain.

                                              good post.. what i dont get about calling people out is... who cares what they bet?

                                              and either way its a no way

                                              no coin bets 20 dollars a game and hes a clown or doesnt bet real money

                                              someone else bets a 1000 and they are air betting
                                              Comment
                                              • Tommy Karate
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-12-13
                                                • 13445

                                                #338
                                                Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                                                good post.. what i dont get about calling people out is... who cares what they bet?

                                                and either way its a no way

                                                no coin bets 20 dollars a game and hes a clown or doesnt bet real money

                                                someone else bets a 1000 and they are air betting
                                                why do so many people keep saying he bets $20 a game?? his UNIT is $20. most games he has multiple units/multiple sports at play.

                                                my unit is $50.....some hot shots here will prob laugh at people who have units <$100. i could have 1-2 dimes in play some nights with 3 sports going right now.

                                                its so silly how some people act on here. your unit size should be small imo...
                                                Comment
                                                • ebbearsfb1
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-07-08
                                                  • 18815

                                                  #339
                                                  Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                  why do so many people keep saying he bets $20 a game?? his UNIT is $20. most games he has multiple units/multiple sports at play.

                                                  my unit is $50.....some hot shots here will prob laugh at people who have units <$100. i could have 1-2 dimes in play some nights with 3 sports going right now.

                                                  its so silly how some people act on here. your unit size should be small imo...
                                                  Good posting. Like i said I could careless how much any one here bets.. whether its 5 dollars or 5k doesnt matter.

                                                  Agreed with the 50 dollars a unit.. next thing you know you can have a dime worth of action, and at least its spread out rather than 1 k on one game and it goes to shyt
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #340
                                                    3-3, -1.7U Friday
                                                    38-28, +11.9U thread


                                                    For Monday:

                                                    GS +1 (4.4U to win 4)
                                                    CLE +2 (2.2U to win 2)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #341
                                                      Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                                                      Good posting. Like i said I could careless how much any one here bets.. whether its 5 dollars or 5k doesnt matter.

                                                      Agreed with the 50 dollars a unit.. next thing you know you can have a dime worth of action, and at least its spread out rather than 1 k on one game and it goes to shyt
                                                      I've been tempted to up my unit size, but I make so many plays that it's hard -- or dangerous -- for a small bettor like me who is still volume-driven. I've said before that I'm much better off being selective and making bigger bets instead of sticking my hand in so many cookie jars, but I just can't help myself. LTA.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Lombatso
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 05-31-13
                                                        • 52

                                                        #342
                                                        I know your prob not going to bet this game but I'm going to it. What's your lean on BK @ NYK?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vinnie Paz
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-27-12
                                                          • 12177

                                                          #343
                                                          No play on the bobbies?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #344
                                                            Originally posted by Lombatso
                                                            I know your prob not going to bet this game but I'm going to it. What's your lean on BK @ NYK?
                                                            Nets.

                                                            Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                                                            No play on the bobbies?
                                                            Didn't make the cut. Probably means it's a winner.

                                                            Warriors now favored. Faaaack.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #345
                                                              DET +4 (2.3U to win 2)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #346
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                DET +4 (2.3U to win 2)
                                                                DET 1H +2 (3.3U to win 3)
                                                                Last edited by No coincidences; 01-20-14, 12:57 PM. Reason: Added to 1H bet
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RavensFan2k3
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-18-12
                                                                  • 17378

                                                                  #347
                                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                  DET +4 (2.3U to win 2)
                                                                  Why?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vinnie Paz
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-27-12
                                                                    • 12177

                                                                    #348
                                                                    You and wiz both on pistons. I just can't bet that team right now. Gl though hopefully they show up for 4 quarters today.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Cavs look asleep at the wheel.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • No coincidences
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                                        • 76300

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Pistons were up 31-26 with 10:47 left in the second.

                                                                        Now they're down 40-33 with 8:51 left in the second.

                                                                        A 14-2 run in less than 2 minutes. Is that even possible?
                                                                        Comment
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