Since CK is on NCAA...I'll be the One to Start Big Thread

[Ludovike]

My pick tonight:

Houston - New York Under 207

Last 10 games between those two averaged a total of 182.3 pts, highest score 197. This matchup has never seen a higher line than today, so far the books kept it around 180-195. Except for the recent matchup @ Houston two weeks ago, line was set at 204.5 - final score 172 pts. And now 207??? Under for me please.

[tblueeyes]

Locked in
Notre Dame -3
Nets +1.5

[tblueeyes]

also took Oklahoma -3
Manhattan -2

[SamsNCharge99]

good luck Miss. tblue

[BelieveTheHype]

1st Quarter
Phoenix -1
Houston -.5

1st Half
Phoenix -2
Houston -1

[jtnguyen79]

Thinking the same on Notre Dame however against you Sam on NJ/OKC...OKC has been a covering machine every since they fired the old coach so going to ride them till they start not covering

Best of luck to you tonight and keep up the good work -- love your tourney gives me alot of insight on what others are picking helps me cap my game

[wangichu]

Nightridah spoke on my thoughts for that ATL/MIA game. MIA is just outsized here by a tall athletic ATL squad, and MIA is coming off a big upset win against ORL and ready for a let down against an ATL squad looking to get back on the winning trail after a tough loss last night. Even with horford's numbers removed rather than replaced, ATL dominated the numbers in that game. I wouldn't be too surprised to see d-wade force a win, but i don't see them winning by more than 2 or 3, so with that i'll be on

ATL +4

games in LAC between the blazers and clips go under while the bouts in portland go over (last 6 meetings or so), also, the clips usually play to the under at home in the first half, while the blazers usually get the number to go under on the road in the first. Clips are coming off a beating last night in GS and should come out sluggish, while portland will be fresh and putting some heavy defense on the clips early. I do like the blazers to lead at the half, but 6.5 is just a little heavy for me. Instead i'll play that first half under and maybe put some money on the game under too.

LAC/POR under 93 1st half
under 187 game

philly is hot right now, and they are being very careful to ease brand back into a winning squad (13 mins against the knicks). Horny's are realing a little bit and as long as philly keeps winning, i'll keep playing them, especially with points. This isn't technically a morrison bet, because the sixers only have two western conference games, but that low spread for the horny's makes me think that the books really want NO money, because it is hard to fade the horny's at home laying only 2 (or 3) against a .500 squad. Smells a little too fishy to walk away from.

PHI +3

Speaking of fishy... i'm showing upwards of 80% of the public on the suns (playing back to back off a big upset win in ATL), and yet NO LINE MOVEMENT whatsoever. Suns road trends in their last 6-10 are TERRIBLE. Last year against a much better wiz squad they were 6.5 favs and covered, why they would they be favored by less against a VASTLY inferior wiz squad (inferior to last year imparticularly). Btb means no shaq or if they do change that, he'll be tired and compromised. The books clearly aren't worried about all the money on the suns (ML too) or else they would do something about that spread, so i'm going to wait on it and hop on the wiz last second.

WAS +4

I know, I know... OKC doesn't cover as favorites, believe me i've been cashing in on that fact. But why then would they be favored by 3 against a nets team that has been playing well and has won some road games against the west coast. Well last time these two teams met in NJ, OKC took them to OT and had a good lead at half, that tells me that at the very least they match up fairly well with them. I just think that too many people are liking the nets here and after the line moved down to -1, it's starting to move back up (-1.5) as money is coming back in on the thunder (up to 31%). I just think that the nets seem too easy of a play here. I have to roll with the thunder.

OKC -1.5

[peetlui]

Booked plays:

NBA
Atlanta +3.5
Milwaukee -3.5

College
Manhattan -1.5
Citadel +6

Some other leans: NJ +1.5, Portland -10.5, NY +2.5

Gl to all

[cheesehead004]

Someone wanna explain the whole Manhattan thing to me? Why are you guys all over em?

[tblueeyes]

Thanks Sam...gl to you as well!!

[CP Thrizzle]

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/sports/6231327.html

Yao out again, line down to -1

[How You Doing?]

Just to give you more stats here...
Portland only wins the 1st quarter 41% of the time
Clippers wins the 1st quarter 38% of the time

Margin of victory/lose in 1st quarter
Portland Lose by 0.5 average
Clippers Lose by 3.3 average

Good Luck

You are good man!

[vassman86]

Playing the Knicks -1 due to Yao being ruled out for today's game. I think I'll take the under as well. BOL tonight everyone.

Knicks -1
Under 207
Blazers -9.5

[SamsNCharge99]

Let the Games Begin. We're starting off w/ ND

[Marts727]

My pick tonight:

Houston - New York Under 207

Last 10 games between those two averaged a total of 182.3 pts, highest score 197. This matchup has never seen a higher line than today, so far the books kept it around 180-195. Except for the recent matchup @ Houston two weeks ago, line was set at 204.5 - final score 172 pts. And now 207??? Under for me please.

Ludovike,

I researched the OU of Hou@Nyk 207. What I got was their last 5 games total.

Hou last 5 games

Scoring 105.2 ppg with the average of 49.88% from 2pt line and is shooting 8.2 out of 21.8 from 3pt line.

New York last 5 games

Scoring 106.2 ppg with the average of 46.88% from 2pt line and is shooting 10.4 out of 27.4 from 3pt line.

They will light up from 3pt line and will shoot at will. Having the average of 18 3pts in the game is huge cause it is already 54pts. With Yao out New York can easily score also from 2pt fgs, plus the new addition of the scoring of Artest and Tmac.

My pick here is OVER.

BOL to all.

[SoonerGreg]

Booked Plays for 1 Unit each:
Oklahoma -2 (bought the hook) - Sooner will prove to be too much inside. W.Warren is a super frosh with excellent range that will keep the Cowboys from packing it in.

Hawks +3 - Miami has been inconsistent all year. I really believe Atlanta is the 4th best team in the East and will come out firing with something to prove after a tough loss.

Thinking about the Portland Q1, Half, and game. I need someone to sell me on why I should lay my moola and get some of that sweet action.

[Marts727]

Hey Sam,

Also locked in to OK-3 and ND-3.

Thanks for the info bro. Goodluck!!!

[SamsNCharge99]

Notre Dame not playing Notre Dame basketball right now. Too much outside shooting and not enough down low. You have a freaking Monster in Hanargody, use him

[SamsNCharge99]

ND down 8, then they start playing ND basketball. Down low, getting easy fouls and easy points, Harangody has 17 at half and ND only down by 3, I'm not nervous at all.

They know what to do second half, which is stay down low for easy fouls. Get into the bonus pretty early and then get easy points. This game could go either way, but hopefully other players step up for ND and we get the win here.

[Hanger]

McAlarney only 1-2 from 3 pt range. Needs to put up a few more for rebounds + inside points.

[cheesehead004]

Locked in Under 82 2H ND-Marq. Let's get it done.

[ANDYW15]

Miami backers... Dick is officiating... let's hope he is on our side!!

[SamsNCharge99]

Here We Go Notre Dame here We Go CLAP CLAP

[SamsNCharge99]

Off to a solid 0-1 start

[cheesehead004]

PHX -2 1H - LOSS. ****ed by a ridiculous Butler double clutch 3 wtf was that BS
HOU -1 1H - WIN
NJ/OKC U102.5 - WIN
Marq/ND U82 2H - WIN

That's 3-1 on the day so far. Not bad, I'll take it. Now for probably my last pick unless I play NBA:

OKLAHOMA - OK STATE OVER 73 1H. Hopefully this will hit and make for a successful night. I hope they make it rain 3s and Blake dominates.

[peetlui]

Boy the hawks & the nets are stinking up the joint.

[Karayilan9]

What you think about New Jersey 3rd QTR

[ManBearPig]

Fawk...Nets are now getting throttled being outscored 14-2 in the 3rd so far...and ATL is at least trying to show signs of life only down by 13 after the 3rd. To think I was more conernced about HOU or even PHI is looking more and more dumb. I missed my college plays at 4 and it through my whole night off...weird how that happens. So instead of looking at 3-0 I'm looking at 1-2 to start the night...awesome start.

[SamsNCharge99]

Nets Suck..good thing OK was my biggest bet, b/c it seems they are the only ones w/ any hope. I'll take a 1-2 night if OK is the win...i guess.

[ManBearPig]

Nets Suck..good thing OK was my biggest bet, b/c it seems they are the only ones w/ any hope. I'll take a 1-2 night if OK is the win...i guess.

Yes they do...I saw the way they played on the road the other night against SA and thought I saw something...guess not. I'm learning that you when it comes to OKC you bet them or nothing. Don't bet against them because they will burn you. ATL is trying I got them at +3.5 so maybe I'll get lucky....

[GreatDanes52]

Sam what do you think of Portland -6 first half?

[cheesehead004]

Good lord Ok St is ****ing pathetic. There was like 30 points the first 5 minutes of the game or soemthing like that, and it goes Under 73. Oklahoma State score like 3 points in a 5 minute span

[Dexter]

PHX -2 1H - LOSS. ****ed by a ridiculous Butler double clutch 3 wtf was that BS
HOU -1 1H - WIN
NJ/OKC U102.5 - WIN
Marq/ND U82 2H - WIN

That's 3-1 on the day so far. Not bad, I'll take it. Now for probably my last pick unless I play NBA:

OKLAHOMA - OK STATE OVER 73 1H. Hopefully this will hit and make for a successful night. I hope they make it rain 3s and Blake dominates.

im glad we dont have half bets in the tourney - that seems to be your strength.

[SamsNCharge99]

I like Portland -3 1st quarter for that game...that's my only play for that game...small bet $55 to win 50

[SamsNCharge99]

How bout them knicks