Yo Dex, I asked this the other day but I don't think I got a very "concrete" answer. In my strictly statistical handicapping system, how many points would you advice taking away from a team on the back end of a back to back or giving to a team with 1 or 2 days rest? Is this a "default" number such as -1 or -2 for a team playing back end of back to back much like you give the home court advantage 3 extra points? Or is it, which is my fear, very subjective for each team based on their performance historically on the back end of a back to back? Any help/insight would be greatly appreciated. Thanks in advance.
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locked as follows:s.a.-3 n.o.+2 utah-4' milw-p- atl-1' orl+4' for a nickle each GOOD LUCK EVERYONEComment -
nonsense48,
Dexter already pointed out to ya what i'm playing. The Sixers are not in San Antonio's league when the Spurs are fully assembled. Philly caught the Spurs on the back end of a back to back the last time they played. The Sixers don't have that kind of luck on their side this time. The win over the Lakers will give the Spurs some steam. Elton Brand is only going to mess up the chemistry that the team had while he was out of the lineup.
The Bucks and the Warriors both had a triple overtme game, with one days rest, yet folks are afraid to fade them in spite of knowing that, just because the board as a whole has gotten too far off into RLM these days. I make my picks a week in advance and that's the long and short end of it.Comment -
CK,
The local guy give me SA-3.5, is it still ok?Comment -
CK and DEX, thanks for all your help this eve. closing up shop and going to grab some sushi with the little lady. type to ya when i get home.Comment -
my picks have been placed...so far:
indy/toronto over 213.5
no +7/untah -0.5 teaser
Considering
Orlando/LA over 214.5
orlando +4.5
and I'm waiting til last minute for the bucks lineComment -
Locked in:
Bucks -2
Avs -130
Detroit/OKC Over 189
Leans on :
Wright St
T-wolves
OKCComment -
anyone know the deal with lebron tonight?Comment -
darkenergy,
I guess it's a little late now, but I would say that essentially, the Spurs have to win by two baskets in order for me to get my money, so I would say that 3.5 is the same as 2.5 in a roundabout way.Comment -
sorry - i never saw this question. thread is getting bigger and bigger by the day.
i dont know of a default number, but i would say its worth 1-2 points (which vegas obviously adjusts for) when a team plays back to back.
i dont think the teams historical back to back would be factored in, but i'm really not sure.
pm me the details of what your doing - sounds interesting.Comment -
low scoring 1st for indy/toronto? what is going on.Comment -
manbearpig
even ck makes a mistake and I thought I would make all the mistakes of the world (bad bad day, broke up with my girl)
Lets win some cash, I am so drunk guys, good night (better not place anymore wagers today)
see youComment -
Not looking good for the Spurs right now. Philly just went on a 16-2 run. I had a feeling this was going to happen.Comment -
dex, did you get orlando winning the game with you review? I can't figure why orlando is gettting points. I know lakers just lost, but last time they lost, didnt they lose two in a row, coupled with the fact that orlando is on fireComment -
spurs sucks a lot!Comment -
ok nonsense, so you not responding tells what ur not interested, so I just replaced you, FYIComment -
pm'ed you DEXComment -
espn is LOVING on Lebron so much it might make you want to take out a 2nd mortgage and bet the house on him tonight! ugh!
They are amazing after a loss but they just looked so dysfunctional last night. Little Red is out and L.James has the flu.
Maybe I should just middle the game.
Take Lebron Cavaliers -2½ -110 for $200 - 181.81
And Hornets +120 Moneyline for $174 - $208.80
Not much of a profit but more fun while watching for sure.
You guys ever do this on games?Comment -
here we go with the spurs again....ruining my night!Comment -
sloanie, I think lots of people had money on the spurs (not me), so maybe keep the pessimism down to a minimum. If you only took the bet based on someone else's opinion, you may need to rethink your bets. Also, remember, this is the spurs, look for a quarter of the spurs scoring 27 to philly's 8, or something like that. Point being, there is a lot of time left in the game, and anything can happen.Comment -
The Spurs really need to establish the tempo for the 2nd half. The 76ers are an anemic half court team, notice how every point comes off a transition. Damn I got a lot riding on the Spurs here I hope they can pull it out.Comment -
cheese, you and I have had some success on similar bets, how are you liking the orlando game? Orlando wins and covers the over 214.5?Comment -
dammit - my pc has a virus -
i may be out of commision for the night until tomorrow night fellas. im def on the hornets tomorrow as well catching the old pistons on their 4th game in 5 nightsComment -
Its only the fist half and they are within striking distance. Pop will slow this down and cut off all those fast break points. He's too good of a coach to let them get away with it all game.Comment -
Jaymac I will prooobably put some money on ORL-LAL over, although I am not confident with the spread. I hate the Lakers personally, but I dont ever feel confident betting against them at home. Although, their D is horrible so that will mean a lot of points for Orlando who is hot from 3, and the Lakers arent getting blown out tonight and they will keep up. I expect something like 117-112, the winner can go either way.Comment -
SA -3.5 second half anyoneComment -
well, like you said, orlando has been hot at 3 point range, which often times can mean who wins the game. the lakers dont play great defense, so how are they going to stop orlando from scoring? They have had trouble closing average teams out (but they seem to manage in the end), but given the trouble with average teams, how can they be expected to cover the spread vs a terrific orlando team that has been hotter than kim kardassian's ass after 6 shots of tequila?Comment -
Don't worry the spurs will win, They are contolling the game just need to concentrate more slow it down and play d. Any time they want a stop they get one and any time they want to score they do. Just gotta control the tempo now. Popvitch will get them ready for the second half im confidentComment -
spurs really struggling. They need a runComment -
Its CLAP TIME
Here we GO SPURS Here we GO CLAP
CLAP!!!
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san antonio is thru........down by 20!
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man the NBA is a complete fcukfest to cap these days. Nigh on impossible.Comment
