Leans for Friday 1/16/09

[cocknocker]

peetlui,

That is a wonderful avatar.

pronk where are ya my man? Long time no hear....

Spoon, wherever you are out there, come back soon.

Somebody from our thread that has ties to the old home, please contact KongKiller and let him know where we are. Haven't heard from my homie from Atlanta in a long tme

[ragiche]

Ck,(are you home)

First of all i want to thank you last night.I still won just a little bit because the ref stole me the game between pho/den . I want your help ck,very badly.This week i'm already down $5000 grand.I just want your help and advice on how to win back my losings or just trim it down to $1000 within 2 days.I can bet to a maximum of $3500 a day,but i usually use around $2000 to $2500 a day.I just want your advice on how can i bet with this picks and how much.I'm really desperate right now because with 2 days left and my aunt need also some money for medication and hospital bill.Hopefully you can see this CK,and also to all ckmafia.I really need the help that i can get.As i said before i will never fade you all win or lose,just need that help very badly.Waiting for all response.

[peetlui]

Hey ck, are you dropping the Atlanta game from your roster ? Hope you had a good time last night.

Thought someone might get a kick out of it........DO YOU FEEL LUCKY?..........MAKE MY DAY

[roasthawg]

With you on Mil -2 and Atl -1!

[JohnMorr08]

I took both SA and MIL by their respective ML's. I agree with you ck that SA won't need it but bottom line at -140 was cheaper than buying 3 so I saw some value. Playing them both BIG.

I'm definitely going to play Atl and NO as well (not sure to what degree). Just haven't pulled the trigger just yet.

Good Luck Gentlemen!

[cocknocker]

No not at all, peetlui, I just have not played it yet.

ragiche'

The best that I or anyone in this thing of ours can do is to offer the picks that we have come up with. I would suggest to take the 4 that i have put up in this manner with a bankroll of $2000.00

Early games
$500.00 on Hornets
$500.00 on Spurs
Take the combined winning of those two games and play in the late games
$1000.00 on Bucks (yeah this situation is that good)
And since you only risked $1000.00 of your own money, and are now playing with the books money, put
$500.00 on Hawks

[Killer Chihuahua]

Bogut out tonight.. Bucks down to a pickem

[maddogmadden86]

hey CK you see this movement in ATVI today my brother? intra day high of 9.69, this is just the beginning everything is going to plan the market hit 8000 and wont stop till it hits 9,000 again and ATVI will go up no matter what, pwr looking really good right now as well

[GreatDanes52]

Ck I got Hornets +4 right now should I wait to see if the line moves or buy a point?

[ragiche]

Ck,my line for sa -3.5 , no+4 ,mil +1 and atl-1.5

[maddogmadden86]

man i'm pissed i just read a article that lebron was sick last night thats why his play was so lacidazic and i never would have put my money on that game, oh well hornets big tonight!
Also CK have you seen the spread for the pistons oklahoma city game! the bookmakers have this one exact at 3.5 the pistons have beaten them byu no more then 4 since 06!, the inspirational play by durant agaisnt the older pistons has me liking them at home but their are more plays on the board i like i just thought i should put that out there

[joanapoker]

Booked

ATL -1
MIL -2 but I'm scared!! 86% are on them and the line dropped from -2 to -1 what the hell am I missing here???
NO/CLE OVER 185
MIN +7
MIN/PHX UNDER 214

[dreday]

my book has dropped NO down to +3 already..

[ragiche]

Thank you again ck,you really give me a very meaningful advice.You are really an angel.

[joanapoker]

MIN could be a good play. Line went from +8.5 to +7 and the public is 66% on the suns! Just made that bet based upon last games of the wolves, OT for PHX yesterday and RLM!

[cocknocker]

Okay, when I went to make my Spurs bet, the line was 3, so i took it down to 2, even though they still have to win by 2 baskets anyway for me to cash the ticket....

Spurs-2 (with a point buy)

[Dexter]

Ck I got Hornets +4 right now should I wait to see if the line moves or buy a point?

cocknocker - let me give this one a stab. let me know what you think

greatdane - you're on the key number of 4 right now - i would buy a half a point and get the game at +4.5

[fearless]

MIN could be a good play. Line went from +8.5 to +7 and the public is 66% on the suns! Just made that bet based upon last games of the wolves, OT for PHX yesterday and RLM!

Shaq is probable.

[DaChozen1]

Best Pick

CK,

I know there is no such thing as a sure winner but if you had to pick one of the NBA games tonight with the straight lines who is your best pick..

I took Milwaukee and hoping that cashes in... the line is going down I guess cuz of Bogut being out.

[cocknocker]

The Milwaukee line went down with the news that Andrew Bogut will be out fortonight's game folks. I made the plans for this wager knowing full well that he would be out for tonight's game. With him being out, i am banging it even harder! I don't give a damn about reverse line movement and all that on this one. I saw Sacramento go into triple overtime with my own eyes. Who needs line movement when you know the real? I am banging the Bucks tonight homies no matter what!

[ragiche]

ck, NoH at +3 right now?

[maddogmadden86]

so far i'm likingf
spurs, because they owe me some serious money
hornets getting points the cavs at home streak will end tonight lebron is sick, west is out along with their big men lebron cant will have to beat them himself and with the hornets getting 2 possesions worth of points i will take it to cover my lose last night
also added teh magic as dogs agaisnt the l;akers the team getting the points in this one will win, it wont be a blow out by any means
Also taking the hawks agaisn teh warriors and knicks wizards over
Also smoking on taking the twolves agaisn the suns who are coming off a overtime lose and the twolves getting 7 looks very nice in deed, also might thrw some loot on oklahoma city

[cocknocker]

DaChozen1, you already picked my best pick! (Milwaukee)

Thank you, Dexter for handling that situation for me.

[Killer Chihuahua]

ragiche
Im guessing that the news that Labron is still sick is floating around. He looked bad last night like he really did not want to be their. Banging NO hard

[Dexter]

MIN could be a good play. Line went from +8.5 to +7 and the public is 66% on the suns! Just made that bet based upon last games of the wolves, OT for PHX yesterday and RLM!

i was close to pulling that trigger as well on minny - but the suns may be hungry for the win after last night, and they own the wolves at home.

[cocknocker]

ragiche,

Truth be told, with me having gotten the Hornets at +6, I would not recommend that play for you given the set of circumstances you descrobed earlier. Shorten your card and just play:

San Antonio (buy a point and get it down to 2)
Milwaukee-1 (play this one the heaviest)
Atlanta-1

And then on top of that parlay those three for $100.00


These are all nice small spreads with great circumstances surrounding them

[ragiche]

Thank you very much ck,and all of you guys for the help and support that you've giving to me.I'm just desperate and confuse as well with this line moving too fast.

[DaChozen1]

Milwaukee is now pick... I dont see what the big deal about Bogut is.. hasnt he been out a while?? they have been doing fine without him

[roasthawg]

Milwaukee is now pick... I dont see what the big deal about Bogut is.. hasnt he been out a while?? they have been doing fine without him

Irritating...I took them early at -2 knowing full well Bogut was out (I live up in Sac, they said it on the radio on my way to work). Wish I would've waited but I doubt it matters.

[Dexter]

ragiche
Im guessing that the news that Labron is still sick is floating around. He looked bad last night like he really did not want to be their. Banging NO hard

great info kc - i did not know that.

[ragiche]

Too many problems are coming to me lately.Well,that's life! I just want to erase some of it but honestly with my best aunt being sick i'm kind of lost right now because the worriness inside of me.You are really an angel CK.

[Dexter]

booked plays-

jazz -4
hornets +3
bucks -1 (ck)
magic +4.5

[cocknocker]

Man you guys are playing with fear. We all know why the line is nose diving in the Kings/Milwaukee game. Yet no one is thinking about the Kings going to triple overtime. Everyone is so worried about the line moving, despite already knowing why it's moving. The Bucks is still the play regardless of the line movement involved.

[solobass]

love the analysis here, gives my capping something to compare to. definitely staying away from the orl-la game, i cannot get a feel on that one. neither of my models give me any reliable probability.

[cocknocker]

Interesting tidbit for tomorrow's college basketball action:

Play the favorite in ANY 1st half wager that has no assigned moneyline