The $3,000 Experiment

Wilforth · 01-23-09, 01:56 AM

On Friday, Houston/Indiana Over 211 is easy cash!
Fast pace + zero D = Over.

MJ · 01-23-09, 03:52 AM

Originally posted by Wilforth

On Friday, Houston/Indiana Over 211 is easy cash!
Fast pace + zero D = Over.

I agree with you 1000% Houston is missing 2 players and the game will be a close high scoring affair. Even if the game is Under 10 points with 1 minute to go I can see a free throw scoring frenzy to make up the difference.

joanapoker · 01-23-09, 06:32 AM

Also locked that one!! It even seems to easy to be true!!

JohnMorr08 · 01-23-09, 08:30 AM

Wilforth - Good call on the LAL/WAS over. I did play that (small) myself thanks to a good tip. I'm liking the over on Ind/Hou as well.... I'm waiting to see what the spread is for NJ/SA before I post official plays for this thread.

van6499 · 01-23-09, 08:47 AM

to refer to the book i play
the odds is

NJ+8.5
SA-8.5

O/U 191.5

JohnMorr08 · 01-23-09, 10:35 AM

Van - Get a new book because it opened NJ +12 on Greek.

van6499 · 01-23-09, 10:38 AM

Mmm...
Net is sweet~

milesxxx · 01-23-09, 10:45 AM

I really like NJ at +15 (3pt buy)....locked in!

SeahawkSanders · 01-23-09, 12:04 PM

I've been following this thread and loving what I am seeing. I just made a $1,500 deposit to 5dimes and jumped in on NJ +15 tonight (bought 2.5) and Hou/Ind over 207 (bought 2). Keep it up John!

CashMoney · 01-23-09, 12:17 PM

Not playing the system tonight. The Spurs own the Nets and it's looking like Harris won't play and Dooling is probable.

Rockets/Pacers are making me nervous, especially since the Rockets have 10 guys in uniform against a Pacer team that likes to run.

DevilDog · 01-23-09, 12:43 PM

Play the system plays if the filters say so!! God! The system has NOT lost this year. Some of you want to make this wayyyyyyyyyyyyyy more difficult than it is.

brooks85 · 01-23-09, 12:50 PM

Well, devin Avg. 22pts/gm for Nj(not to mention his backup has a sore-ankle) and Houston is missing Ron artest 16ppg and Mcgrady 15.4ppg.

BelieveTheHype · 01-23-09, 12:53 PM

Houston has been missing them for a while..

Harris not playing makes NJ iffy though.

brooks85 · 01-23-09, 12:58 PM

Originally posted by BelieveTheHype

Houston has been missing them for a while..

Really?? I thought they were on vacation.

PBVETTE · 01-23-09, 01:01 PM

your feedback johnmorr PLEASE!!!

jtnguyen79 · 01-23-09, 01:03 PM

if it never loses then you guys all be millionaires.....anyway its bound to lose 1 or 2 times could be tonight

brooks85 · 01-23-09, 01:05 PM

Im just going to take the small A loss and wait untill tomorrow.

ctrivisonno · 01-23-09, 01:16 PM

that doesnt make sense man. if youre not going to play all 3, then you should skip A then play B and C.

brooks85 · 01-23-09, 01:24 PM

A is winning 80% of the time. NJ had the shot to cover the other night and missed. Only reason im not playing B is because of the injuries. If they lose tonight I will try to make it up on the C bet.

JohnMorr08 · 01-23-09, 01:48 PM

Guys - Not sure how else to put it... this thread is NOT to talk about the system. It's about money management and using certain high % plays in order to maximize your profit while limiting the risk. If you notice I only play certain 'system' games here and I don't 'chase' on this thread because in order to be truly successfull you should have a seperate account for this system only.

My 2 cents -
Bottom line is that Tmac and Artest have been out for a while and Vegas has had time to adjust Houston's lines. I capped the game at HOU -6, Vegas says +1 ... The difference? Injuries.

Same situation with SA/NJ... someone mentioned that they saw the line SA -8.5 and as soon as Harris was OUT the line was SA -12.5. The difference? Devon Harris.

Either play the system or don't. B plays are 13-0.. if you don't like it / don't play it.

OC · 01-23-09, 01:56 PM

I know it's not official yet JM, but the plays may be Houston and NJ correct?

ESH · 01-23-09, 03:38 PM

Hey JM,

Waiting for your official play as well as how much money to put on each of them. Really would love learning the money management

JohnMorr08 · 01-23-09, 03:59 PM

NBA
Houston +1 330 to win 300
Hou/Ind Over 209 220 to win 200

Good Luck Gentlemen

Slanina · 01-23-09, 04:16 PM

Originally posted by JohnMorr08

NBA
Houston +1 330 to win 300
Hou/Ind Over 209 220 to win 200

Good Luck Gentlemen

I like the over as Indiana is 13-4-1 this year hitting the over at home including 5 straight. But Houston is a mere 5-14 ATS off an ATS win. I don't put much stock in the ATS trend as players don't know or care about the lines of games. Even so I'm just doing the over as one of my picks.

bostonsbetter · 01-23-09, 04:31 PM

1st off I wanna start by sayin... Jmorr, great job!

2nd. STOP POSTING UR THOUGHTS HERE!!! HE'S BEING COOL ENOUGH TO SHARE HIS GREAT PICKS DONT RUIN IT!!!!

that is all...

dragon_2K9 · 01-23-09, 04:49 PM

hey John, this maybe a dumb question, but i have to ask. Are you using real money to make bets online or are they 'hypothetica' bets?

SeahawkSanders · 01-23-09, 04:53 PM

This is real money man, come on. You really think this much time and effort would be spent on "hypothetical bets?" Seriously?

JohnMorr08 · 01-23-09, 04:54 PM

Dragon - "Read The Thread"... These are MY plays but I put More $ on them than you see here. This is based on a 3k bankroll (less than 2 weeks ago).... Why on earth would I post hypothecial bets? haha

Flip___ · 01-23-09, 05:03 PM

JM I have a question about a system play. Would Suns be a C system play?

xxdjstriderxx · 01-23-09, 05:04 PM

bro, this isnt the thread for you to post anything about system plays. send him a private message. get it straight.

ger25pic25 · 01-23-09, 05:11 PM

what do you think of
NY over and
CLE 1st Q win

i think they both worth but i would like see your opinion!

The_Kid · 01-23-09, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by Flip___

JM I have a question about a system play. Would Suns be a C system play?

No, they covered the first game against Toronto.

Flip___ · 01-23-09, 05:15 PM

Thanks for the input rook i'll try pming him.. Though I was under the impression JM was using a system for this thread and much talk about systems here.

Originally posted by JohnMorr08

Either play the system or don't. B plays are 13-0.. if you don't like it / don't play it.

Flip___ · 01-23-09, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by The_Kid

No, they covered the first game against Toronto.

Thank you for the reply I must have missed that.

darkenergy · 01-23-09, 05:44 PM

JM,
I noticed on last Friday the 16th, the balance was up $600+ since you start this experiment on Monday the 12nd, and the amount of recommending wager for last Friday's games were $300, $400 and $300 on SA, Mil and Atlanta respectively. But this week, the entire balance is larger than same date last week, how come the bets you recommended is smaller? In another way, if BYU didn't lost, or yesterday teaser didn't lost, would the amount of bets today different?
I am just try to understand is it the money management that make to amount smaller or your level of confident in this game?
Thanks for your time.