Sat, Jan 3 Plays

therber2 · 01-03-09, 08:27 PM

Alright Curious, I'm giving this a shot. I'm watchin' hehe. GL and good strategy! Unfortunately, my bookie only offers less than half of what you are doing here. The ones that they offer will probably be the few that you will lose, just watch. Those stingy, smart bastards.

therber2 · 01-03-09, 08:36 PM

you have two wins for 1 Q plays Nice!

therber2 · 01-03-09, 08:47 PM

Curious, do you just do, to win 6 units for each pick on there with the exception of +odds (you didn't say your units wagers for the 3 Q and 2nd Half plays).

therber2 · 01-03-09, 08:48 PM

These are some really great picks so far ::high five:: Curious, please keep posting!

curious · 01-03-09, 11:57 PM

Originally posted by therber2

Curious, do you just do, to win 6 units for each pick on there with the exception of +odds (you didn't say your units wagers for the 3 Q and 2nd Half plays).

If the price is - it is to win 6 units, if the price is + it is to risk 6 units.

I didn't have prices for the 3Q when I posted this so I just left the price and units off.

curious · 01-03-09, 11:58 PM

11-5 for the day....

Not too shabby.

Congrats to all who followed.

therber2 · 01-04-09, 12:07 AM

Curious, you are the man! Skrew the shit talkers. You won me some sweet cash baby! I hope you do another play post tonight for tomorrow!

Are you using your pythag expectation thing in here + basic trends? How are you making these picks? GJ!!

curious · 01-04-09, 01:12 AM

Originally posted by therber2

Curious, you are the man! Skrew the shit talkers. You won me some sweet cash baby! I hope you do another play post tonight for tomorrow!

Are you using your pythag expectation thing in here + basic trends? How are you making these picks? GJ!!

pythag doesn't work with NBA.

I use who's hot and who's not.

For Q plays I use win % per Q and the difference between offensive points per possession and defensive points per possession per Q, in other words I take points per possession for - allowed points per possession.

therber2 · 01-04-09, 02:56 AM

That makes absolutely perfect sense to me. You are the bookies nightmare. Here is my problem: I don't know where to get those stats you would need to calculate Q plays. Would you mind saying where you get your NBA stats.? I don't always trust ESPN and NBA.com they don't seem entirely accurate, but if that is what you have been using and it is proven to work; it could just be my personal bias.

Anyways, are you posting up for tomorrow? Thanks brutha.

curious · 01-04-09, 05:22 AM

Originally posted by therber2

That makes absolutely perfect sense to me. You are the bookies nightmare. Here is my problem: I don't know where to get those stats you would need to calculate Q plays. Would you mind saying where you get your NBA stats.? I don't always trust ESPN and NBA.com they don't seem entirely accurate, but if that is what you have been using and it is proven to work; it could just be my personal bias.

I created my own database using microsoft access for the Q plays. I couldn't find a source for that information anywhere.

Anyways, are you posting up for tomorrow? Thanks brutha.

Yes, I will be posting plays tomorrow.