Picks from Mexico 1-mar-2013 :)

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  • Artieaa
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-18-12
    • 953

    #1
    Picks from Mexico 1-mar-2013 :)
    ATS 43-34
    Totals 25-19

    Big card tonight with loads of ineteresting games, let´s take a look:

    Knicks at Wizards +2.5: Early action has ppl jumping all on NY, Ny have been struggling lately, they have failed to cover last 8 games, while they play an ugly 37.5% ATS as road fav, Wizards play an amazing 70% as home dog, 60.7% at home, 54.5% in conference games, I like the chances for Wizards here, my lean Wizards +2.5.

    Indiana at Toronto +1.5: Indiana loss a tough one yesterday, they play 62.5% ATS on b2b, 71.4% after a loss, 80% as road fav, on the other hand Toronto is riding a 2 game losing streak, they play nice % numbers ATS in this spot, 57.6% after a loss, 58.1% in cinference games, and 57.1% as home dog, I see this game very close to call, pass.

    Houston at Orlando +8.5: This shpuld be a no brainer laying the pts here, well there are 2 facts that make me walk from this game, Houston is 37% ATS after a loss and 25% ATS as road fav, I wouldn´t be surprised if they don´t cover, I will take a deeper look at 1st qtr line I may play some there.

    Clippers at Cleveland +7: The suddenly hot Cavs get to square at home vs the Clippers that play 50% ATS on b2b, and 63.4% after a win, there´s no much about Cleveland ATS % in this spot, 44.4% as home dog, 52.6% after a win are maybe the most siginificant numbers to write about, where I could see some value here is in the totals, b2b games usually are run in a slower pace, I strongly believe Clippers will try to force a slow tempo here, my lean Under 200.

    GState at Boston -4: Gstate is coming from a tough loss despite Curry´s performance, they got Lee back on the roster tonight, Boston is playing at home after a road trip, I see a game too close to call here, pass.

    Memphis at Miami -8: I will put it simple here, betting against any of the 2 hottest teams at the moment in nba is not smart IMO, pass, I could see more value here playing the totals, Memphis scores more away from home and they actually play a faster pace on the road, Miami likes to play a mid pace, I see this game around 190 pts, my lean Over 186.

    Dallas at Nets -3.5: One of the best teams ATS Dallas visiting an inconsistent team NEts, Dallas play 62.5% ATS as road dog, 61.3% after a loss, Nets 42.9% as home fav, I see the 2 days off from Nets could be a problem vs a team that likes to play a fast pace, My lean Dallas +3.5.

    Detroit at NOrleans -3.5: Hornets is riding a 2 game losing streak, Pistons come from a win at Washington, I still don´t buy it from the Pistons , only fact that makes me hesitate here is that NOrleans play an ugly 39.1% ATS in non conference games, on the ther hand Detroit plays also a bad 38.1% in non conference games, will think about it, my lean Hornets -3.5.

    KINgs at SAntonio -15: DD game no play for me.

    Atlanta at Suns +4: Atlanta has been a fade or no play, surprisingly thay have been playiing solid basketball lately, I am afraid that if I back them up here they will find I way to screw it up, despite playing an excellent 61.5% ATS as away fav, and Suns playin an ugly 35.7% as home dog and after a big win at Spurs plus 2 straight games in OT, I pass.

    Charlotte at Utah -9: Utah is struggling lately, many injuries and poor performance have them digging a hole, this game shuould be the one to get on track, they play a nice 58.6% ATS at home while the Bobcats simply suck at this spot, my lean Utah -9.

    OKC at Denver 1.5: for sure this should be an interesting match to watch, both teams excell at this spot, both are coming after a win where OKC plays 57.5% ATS vs 68.3% from Denver, OKC plays 65.7% in conference games, Denver 68.6%, OKC 62.5% in division games, Denver 54.5%, too close to call but surely great to watch. pass.

    Will be back later to post final plays.

    GLTA
  • Artieaa
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-18-12
    • 953

    #2
    Addying Lean on UNder Pistons/NO 193.5, missed to write it, I see this game around 189 pts.

    GLTA
    Comment
    • SpreadSniper
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-17-09
      • 6125

      #3
      Ola amigo!

      Just got back from here on Tuesday.....



      I like that under.
      Comment
      • SpreadSniper
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-17-09
        • 6125

        #4
        P.S - while in Mexico no human (unless you are native) should ever waste as much time as you are on those write-ups.... I think I only made 2 bets in 6 days and I can definitely say I couldn't have cared less after I made the wagers.
        Comment
        • Artieaa
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-18-12
          • 953

          #5
          Originally posted by SpreadSniper
          P.S - while in Mexico no human (unless you are native) should ever waste as much time as you are on those write-ups.... I think I only made 2 bets in 6 days and I can definitely say I couldn't have cared less after I made the wagers.
          Nice place Los Cabos, and yes I am native, anyway I do the same when I am on vacation I do not bet at all
          Comment
          • figue
            SBR MVP
            • 07-23-10
            • 2524

            #6
            good luck amigo.
            Comment
            • Rone247
              SBR Sharp
              • 02-01-12
              • 385

              #7
              Great write-up
              Comment
              • comppicks35
                SBR Hustler
                • 12-20-12
                • 72

                #8
                Love the write-ups Artie.
                One question, do you pass on all DDF (San Antonio) or is it just this game today? Don't you think San Antonio may be a little pissed to lose just their 3rd Home game of the year and come out and pound Sacramento into submission today?
                I know Pop doesn't see things that way and may not game plan that way, but I would think the players would want to make this a statement game.
                Comment
                • RavensFan2k3
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-18-12
                  • 17378

                  #9
                  Originally posted by comppicks35
                  Love the write-ups Artie.
                  One question, do you pass on all DDF (San Antonio) or is it just this game today? Don't you think San Antonio may be a little pissed to lose just their 3rd Home game of the year and come out and pound Sacramento into submission today?
                  I know Pop doesn't see things that way and may not game plan that way, but I would think the players would want to make this a statement game.
                  He passes on all double digit games
                  Comment
                  • comppicks35
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 12-20-12
                    • 72

                    #10
                    Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                    He passes on all double digit games
                    Thanks!
                    Haven't been here in SBR for a while and haven't kept track of plays; too much negativity and not enough information in majority of the posts. Good luck to all today!
                    Comment
                    • RavensFan2k3
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-18-12
                      • 17378

                      #11
                      Originally posted by comppicks35
                      Thanks!
                      Haven't been here in SBR for a while and haven't kept track of plays; too much negativity and not enough information in majority of the posts. Good luck to all today!
                      Same to you!
                      Comment
                      • Artieaa
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-18-12
                        • 953

                        #12
                        Yeap as Ravensfan stated I pass on all DD games, for sure Spurs shpuld destroy the Kings but there´s always those bloody backdoor covers in gams with a huge spread......thanks and GLTA!!!!
                        Comment
                        • Artieaa
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-18-12
                          • 953

                          #13
                          OK after daily drills here are final plays:

                          Wizards +3
                          NOrleans/Pistons Under 195.5
                          Houston 1st qtr -2.5

                          GLTA!!!!!
                          Comment
                          • BaronMunchausen
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 07-04-10
                            • 82

                            #14
                            Originally posted by SpreadSniper
                            Ola amigo!

                            Just got back from here on Tuesday.....



                            I like that under.
                            Helluva picture.
                            Comment
                            • BaronMunchausen
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 07-04-10
                              • 82

                              #15
                              Like the Houston 1st qtr. play. May jump on that.
                              Comment
                              • Artieaa
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-18-12
                                • 953

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BaronMunchausen
                                Like the Houston 1st qtr. play. May jump on that.
                                Was not sure if they would cover the entire game, but I feel they have great %chance of covering 1st qtr.

                                GL mate!!!
                                Comment
                                • easyliving
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-25-12
                                  • 8876

                                  #17
                                  both big al and millsap likely out for utah. I would suggest waiting until gametime before laying the points.
                                  Comment
                                  • Artieaa
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-18-12
                                    • 953

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by easyliving
                                    both big al and millsap likely out for utah. I would suggest waiting until gametime before laying the points.
                                    Leaving alone Utah´s game mate, anyway thanks for the suggestion
                                    Comment
                                    • Artieaa
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-18-12
                                      • 953

                                      #19
                                      What a bloody night leans hitting and plays missing lol!!!!

                                      1-2 for the night

                                      ATS 43-36
                                      Totals 26-19

                                      Have a good one
                                      GLTA!!!!!!!!
                                      Comment
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