Feb 28 > MINNESOTA (+10.5) …Lakers 30% chance of winning this game… and about

[innovation]

he hasn't explained sh*t

His title has not been answered yet.

30% please explain.

[upscope]

Shame hes not a pro, I couldve given him twolves ml +200 for all the action he wants... since its a 70% winner still has ridiculous value at my price

All i know is if I was in a spot where I was a 70% favorite to win outright & I was getting +500 (like this $$ line is currently) I would bet every asset I could get my hands on.
If he truly believes what he is saying & understands how odds truly work then that's what he's doing right now.
The thing is though, it's a 100% guarantee that one of the following is true:
A) He really doesn't truly believe what he is preaching....
or
B) He doesn't truly understand how odds work....

[Seto]

All i know is if I was in a spot where I was a 70% favorite to win outright & I was getting +500 (like this $$ line is currently) I would bet every asset I could get my hands on.
If he truly believes what he is saying & understands how odds truly work then that's what he's doing right now.
The thing is though, it's a 100% guarantee that one of the following is true:
A) He really doesn't truly believe what he is preaching....
or
B) He doesn't truly understand how odds work....

This.

And I'd say both are probably true.

[Seto]

Not to mention instances like these almost never (read: never) happen in the NBA.

Except maybe last year's Finals. I truly and genuinely believed there was no way in hell the Heat would lose and they were +150 for the series. And I consequently placed the biggest bet of my life on them.

[lucasdawg]

zz wolves been playing horrible ...

[underal]

I have Lakers winning near 81% of the time.

I capped it at 82%. books pretty much agree. no value here =no play

[Seto]

zz wolves are horrible ...

fixed

[JOHON8]

Everytime the Lakers have a chance to pull away they screw it up, they are not covering.

[MP123]

Everytime the Lakers have a chance to pull away they screw it up, they are not covering.

Does that make u feel better about urself buddy?

[JOHON8]

Does that make u feel better about urself buddy?

Trying to make a point, no need to get personal.

[Ratzz]

well, i called that wrong..

it went as pretty much as expected, except for 3-Pt. barrage of Meeks and Blake.

they scored seven 3-PT FGs between.. (21-pts) *of those.

That was the big difference.*

I expected Kobe to get his 30, but Meeks and Blake were killers for LA this game.

outta the blue.

[upscope]

This is the part where Rat comes in & explains how Stern rigged the 20+ point blowout in favor of the team that only had a 30% chance of winning.
It actually went nowhere as expected. The Lakers won & dominated all 4 quarters. No way a team that is expected to only win 30% of the time has any business winning all 4 quartes handedly

[innovation]

pretty much as expected is right

the Wolves are now 2-13 SU against top 15 teams on the road

come on man.....30% really? Not knocking your pick just the idea that Lakers would win that game 3 out of 10 times is beyond bizarre.

[Seto]

What was the odds theyd win by 20+? 0.5%?

[upscope]

These are the "facts" you mentioned:

(teams, circumstances, matchups, momentum, etc)

Like momentum for example:

Lakers have won:
-3 of last 4
-11-5 over last 16
-6 of last 7 @ home

Minnesota on the other hand:
-Lost 4 of last 5
-Lost 19 of last 23
-Lost 10 of last 11 on the road

Maybe you should check the dictionary & brush UP on the meaning of "momentum"
-

I'm still trying to figure out what Rat meant about Minnesota having momentum

RAT~
"but there are many manifestations of momentum"

Upscope~
"Do you mean the the 21 game winning streak the Lakers now hold over Minnesota?? Is that one of the many manifestations of momentum you are referring to Rat"

[upscope]

So I guess last night's Lakers outright win was one of the 30 out of 100 that they would have won??
It was also one of the only 10 out of 100 that they cover the -10.5??

So far the excuse was Meeks/Blake hit more three's than usual. Eventhough Kobe & Nash sat out the 4th & the other starters sat out most of it. The Lakers only won because the bench racked UP stats in an already decided game.
Can't wait to hear how Stern ordered the refs to cheat for the Lakers or something to that effect??

Most likely Rat goes into hibernation till the next Lakers loss then lights the board UP w/ what happened threads & acts as this thread never happened??