ADVICE? im constantly off 1 prediction on a 6 game parlay

[Jgjk]

Ive only won ~340 this week off $3,4,5 parlays...

im constantly off 1 team for the big parlay wins, any advice? should i only bet on single games and no parlay? ive hit a 4-6 gams parlay 2/3 nights this week, and have been off by 1. for example boston not covering yesterday ruined 3 parlays and $800+ potential....

[SaffaCappa]

cut your parlays by 1 :P

[Jgjk]

Like this for example.......

Its almost like i should bet straight up on locks, and then do a 4-7 team parlay on locks & educated guesses?


6 Team Parlay #285853593
Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(701) Memphis Grizzlies Pick Feb 20/13@07:05p

Final Scores
Memphis Grizzlies 88
Toronto Raptors 82


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Moneyline
(704) Indiana Pacers -165 Feb 20/13@07:05p

Final Scores
New York Knicks 91
Indiana Pacers 125


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Moneyline
(710) Minnesota Timberwolves -160 Feb 20/13@08:05p

Final Scores
Philadelphia 76ers 87
Minnesota Timberwolves 94


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(719) Boston Celtics +7 (-115) Feb 20/13@10:35p

Final Scores
Boston Celtics 99
Los Angeles Lakers 113


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Total
(721) Phoenix Suns vs. (722) Golden State Warriors
Over 205 Feb 20/13@10:35p

Final Scores
Phoenix Suns 98
Golden State Warriors 108


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Total
(713) Miami Heat vs. (714) Atlanta Hawks
Under 194 (-105) Feb 20/13@08:05p

Final Scores
Miami Heat 103
Atlanta Hawks 90


Outcome: Loss
Date settled: Feb 21, 2013 01:11:35 AM









The parlay from tuesday was HORRIBLE, i forget who messed up,,,,but i had a 7 team parlay going strong, and i believe by 1 point some team couldnt cover or something......

ARGHHHHHHH

[innovation]

Ever heard of almost parlays? You can't use money lines though.

[chevy6]

do the parlay and straight bet the teams

2nd... cant believe you put the celtics in there....the lakers was not going to lose that game vs boston after buss died lol

3rd keep at it....dont change your ways...you will win more often

4th post your parlays so i can tail

5th please do number 4 llol

[Jgjk]

ill post my picks for the days that im 100% sure on.......

tonight is kinda a toss up, but im leaning towards the under on bulls/heat and possibly bulls (i am from chicago too so im a bit biased and am also going to the game)

CHEVY6 - the reason why i went with the celts was that i KNEW the lakers were gonna win, but i thought they would blow out boston and boston would come back a little too late in the 4th and lose by 5 or 6 or whatever.....bad pick..... with the lakers its a toss up, depends which team shows up.....


i bet on soccer too, but nba has been easy for me, except the freaking 1 off parlays that are killing me....

[Jgjk]

my other parlay that won...


5 Team Parlay #285836468
Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(701) Memphis Grizzlies +1 Feb 20/13@07:05p

Final Scores
Memphis Grizzlies 88
Toronto Raptors 82


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(710) Minnesota Timberwolves -3 Feb 20/13@08:05p

Final Scores
Philadelphia 76ers 87
Minnesota Timberwolves 94


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(704) Indiana Pacers -3½ Feb 20/13@07:05p

Final Scores
New York Knicks 91
Indiana Pacers 125


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(705) Detroit Pistons -3½ (-105) Feb 20/13@07:05p

Final Scores
Detroit Pistons 105
Charlotte Bobcats 99


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(708) Cleveland Cavaliers -2½ Feb 20/13@08:05p

Final Scores
New Orleans Hornets 100
Cleveland Cavaliers 105

[face]

[Jgjk]

Ever heard of almost parlays? You can't use money lines though.

what is that?

CHECK OUT MY PREVIOUS parlay,,,,,SO CLOSE!!!!!!!!!

im ALWAYS SOOOO CLOSE!!!!!!!!!!



8 Team Parlay #285824081
Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(719) Boston Celtics +7 Feb 20/13@10:35p

Final Scores
Boston Celtics 99
Los Angeles Lakers 113


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(718) Dallas Mavericks -11 Feb 20/13@08:35p

Final Scores
Orlando Magic 96
Dallas Mavericks 111


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(710) Minnesota Timberwolves -3 Feb 20/13@08:05p

Final Scores
Philadelphia 76ers 87
Minnesota Timberwolves 94


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(701) Memphis Grizzlies +1 Feb 20/13@07:05p

Final Scores
Memphis Grizzlies 88
Toronto Raptors 82


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(711) Brooklyn Nets +4 (-115) Feb 20/13@08:05p

Final Scores
Brooklyn Nets 97
Milwaukee Bucks 94


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Total
(721) Phoenix Suns vs. (722) Golden State Warriors
Over 204 Feb 20/13@10:35p

Final Scores
Phoenix Suns 98
Golden State Warriors 108


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(722) Golden State Warriors -8 Feb 20/13@10:35p

Final Scores
Phoenix Suns 98
Golden State Warriors 108


Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Total
(715) Oklahoma City Thunder vs. (716) Houston Rockets
Under 219 Feb 20/13@08:05p

Final Scores
Oklahoma City Thunder 119
Houston Rockets 122


Outcome: Loss

[KushMoney]

Easy.


Do Straight plays



You'll go 5/6 daily and constantly bring in profit.



Easy as that.

[Jgjk]

Easy.


Do Straight plays



You'll go 5/6 daily and constantly bring in profit.



Easy as that.

so drop parlays?

thing is, parlays are awesome because $3-5 can bring in $250+

and a $20 bet can bring in 2k

[KushMoney]

If you are only betting $20 you should be satisfied making $5-$20 per day.

If you can pick 3/4 - 4/5 - 5/6 on a daily basis you are doing good.

Yes drop parlays, but still keep making your 6 gamer as if you must hit all 6. Keep making your jackpot parlay, but instead of hitting the "Place Wager" button, go back n bet them straight. Just see how it goes.


Break them into single plays, you'll go 4 for 6 or 5 for 6 and win something that day. Continue that for a week n you'll be up at least $35 bucks after a week. Do that for a year n you'll be up at lesat $1500 (not alot but still not bad if you are betting $20 a day)

[124]

As long as every night u go 60% and above, you will profit a lot on straight bets. My buddy likes to do those $2-5 parlays. To me its stupid, 5 straight bets go 4-1 is way better then 0-1 for the night. And realistically how often are you going to hit a 5 Team parlay ?? Its more realistic to go 4-1 or 3-2 then it is to go 5-0. That my opinion, good luck to whatever u decide. And shit if u can go 4-1 or 3-2 consistently then share ur plays so I can get on the money train.

[Jgjk]

As long as every night u go 60% and above, you will profit a lot on straight bets. My buddy likes to do those $2-5 parlays. To me its stupid, 5 straight bets go 4-1 is way better then 0-1 for the night. And realistically how often are you going to hit a 5 Team parlay ?? Its more realistic to go 4-1 or 3-2 then it is to go 5-0. That my opinion, good luck to whatever u decide. And shit if u can go 4-1 or 3-2 consistently then share ur plays so I can get on the money train.

ill post picks here and there....

and i bet atleast $20 a day on picks, and then if i play poker i play 25/50c or 50/1$ NL.....


thing is, these parlays arent that hard, a 4 team parlay is easy for me (depending on a few things) but im a greedy asshole and use the 4 locks and include another 1-4 picks for that jackpot parlay....

[nbafanatic2012]

you new name is ALMOST

[Jgjk]

you new name is ALMOST

give me a few days and it will be LOCKER

[KushMoney]

Post your 6 teamer for today

[SparJMU]

Ive only won ~340 this week off $3,4,5 parlays...

im constantly off 1 team for the big parlay wins, any advice? should i only bet on single games and no parlay? ive hit a 4-6 gams parlay 2/3 nights this week, and have been off by 1. for example boston not covering yesterday ruined 3 parlays and $800+ potential....

You win 5 out of 6 games every night!!! You pick 83% winners??? My advice to you would be to move to Las Vegas and bankrupt the entire city. You are the single greatest handicapper of all time.

[stevenash]

Easy.


Do Straight plays



You'll go 5/6 daily and constantly bring in profit.



Easy as that.

This

Not a fan of wagers that depend on multiple teams winning to collect a pay out.

[Azzurri]

Ive only won ~340 this week off $3,4,5 parlays...

im constantly off 1 team for the big parlay wins, any advice? should i only bet on single games and no parlay? ive hit a 4-6 gams parlay 2/3 nights this week, and have been off by 1. for example boston not covering yesterday ruined 3 parlays and $800+ potential....

yes i do..DONT play them!! there sucker bets!

[Azzurri]

and if u r winnign 5 of 6..play them all str8 and become a millionaire in a shiort time!

[kulprit]

play 6 game round robins or accumulators

[ThaTopMoron]

2 team parlays -105 -110 juice.... what's wrong with that payout?

[KushMoney]

Post your 6 teamer for today ?

[Jgjk]

Post your 6 teamer for today ?

super busy at work, havent looked into "it" too much but from what i see

MY PICKS FOR TONIGHT:

indiana SU - too tough for det
bulls SU - have lost a few too many games the past 2-3 weeks, they turn it around TONIGHT
NYK SU or even -2 - toss up, but tor beat nyk last time, i think this time nyk is clickin and shooting 3's non stop
MINN vs OKC - im gonna say OVER 205 - i see okc winning 108-90
boston SU - lost to lakers, will beat phx


the maybes i have:

port +9.5 - they will lose but by how much?
ORL + 14 (huuuuuge spread) - kinda the play that EVERYONE is betting against, ORL will lose for sure, but i think by 10 and UNDER the line

[nbafanatic2012]

super busy at work, havent looked into "it" too much but from what i see

MY PICKS FOR TONIGHT:

indiana SU - too tough for det
bulls SU - have lost a few too many games the past 2-3 weeks, they turn it around TONIGHT
NYK SU or even -2 - toss up, but tor beat nyk last time, i think this time nyk is clickin and shooting 3's non stop
MINN vs OKC - im gonna say OVER 205 - i see okc winning 108-90
boston SU - lost to lakers, will beat phx


the maybes i have:

port +9.5 - they will lose but by how much?
ORL + 14 (huuuuuge spread) - kinda the play that EVERYONE is betting against, ORL will lose for sure, but i think by 10 and UNDER the line

108-90 okc will total 198...in hence under

[Zii]

You have some serious math problems, or you just meant 118 - 90 OKC

[rustie]

super busy at work, havent looked into "it" too much but from what i see

MY PICKS FOR TONIGHT:

indiana SU - too tough for det
bulls SU - have lost a few too many games the past 2-3 weeks, they turn it around TONIGHT
NYK SU or even -2 - toss up, but tor beat nyk last time, i think this time nyk is clickin and shooting 3's non stop
MINN vs OKC - im gonna say OVER 205 - i see okc winning 108-90
boston SU - lost to lakers, will beat phx


the maybes i have:

port +9.5 - they will lose but by how much?
ORL + 14 (huuuuuge spread) - kinda the play that EVERYONE is betting against, ORL will lose for sure, but i think by 10 and UNDER the line

Just a quick look but I think I figured out why your losing by one bet everytime LOL

" MINN vs OKC - im gonna say OVER 205 - i see okc winning 108-90 "
Here we go again picking 83% and he can,t figure out what he"s doing wrong LOL , Dumbass

[Jgjk]

Just a quick look but I think I figured out why your losing by one bet everytime LOL

" MINN vs OKC - im gonna say OVER 205 - i see okc winning 108-90 "
Here we go again picking 83% and he can,t figure out what he"s doing wrong LOL , Dumbass

1. Go F yourself

2. it was an error

3. Go F yourself

[rustie]

1. Go F yourself

2. it was an error

3. Go F yourself

Thought you wre busy at work?

[Jgjk]

Thought you wre busy at work?

its end of the day now, sitting in my office watching espn

[KushMoney]

its end of the day now, sitting in my office watching espn

alright so if you were gonna make a 6 teamer right now. What would it be?


Thanks

[nbafanatic2012]

Missed by one again "almost"

[PerfectGrape]

Parlays seem sweet when they hit, but if you plan on wagering for the long haul its likely you will lose money on them. Even though only one team loses and it seems close, there are 6 different combinations where only one team loses. There is only one combination of all 6 winning. So it is 6 times more likely to hit 5/6 than 6/6 (assuming 50/50 odds). Take advantage of reduced juice and straight bet.

http://www.docsports.com/current/parlay-bets.html

[mtc44380]

Yep, ditch the parlays, play $5 on a game if you arent into betting that much.
If you want to do parlays, do ML parlays but only a few per.
Also, if you dont want to ditch the parlays, yes, a round robin would work, or cut them to 3teams, seems like then you will go 1-1 each day and win some $$$
BOL and keep picking winners!