Favs 20-9 the past 4 days.

[cockblocker]

Play all the dogs and make a nice profit.

I doubt favs clean up 5 nights in row.

Lots of nice dogs that probably win straight up.

[mysterio619]

Gambler's Fallacy

[cockblocker]

Gambler's Fallacy

That has nothing to do with with favs covering against Vegas's numbers.

This is'nt flipping a coin. You'll never see favs constantly covering at the rate this week.

[jubjub]

No you're wrong. Gambler's fallacy is exactly your train of thought. Flipping coins was just an example. Get on Pacers tomorrow

[cockblocker]

No you're wrong. Gambler's fallacy is exactly your train of thought. Flipping coins was just an example. Get on Pacers tomorrow

I just checked this months ats record is 48-31, at this rate you can plays favs every night and win.

Get on Wolves, Wizards and Hornets.

[R.P. McMurphy]

Typically it's black Monday for faves. I would expect a few of these that are getting hammered at a 70/80% clip to lose or not cover tonight.

[ashulga]

Yea I expect heavy dog day either today or tomm for sure. That why I'm either playing dogs or totals next couple of days. Not even considering any of the favs.

[ashulga]

Also been lots of overs as well so my totals are all under leans

[BigDofBA]

Favorites cover too. It doesn't make one sharp to only play dogs.

Also, what happened the previous four days has nothing to do with today.

"Favs won't cover five days in a row?"

Then why did they cover four days in a row? I wonder how many people took all dogs yesterday thinking Favs wouldn't cover four days in a row.

This logic is horrible. Gambling is streaky. It will even out over time but to make a wager because you think it's due is a losing strategy.

[ashulga]

Favorites cover too. It doesn't make one sharp to only play dogs.

Also, what happened the previous four days has nothing to do with today.


"Favs won't cover five days in a row?"

Then why did they cover four days in a row? I wonder how many people took all dogs yesterday thinking Favs wouldn't cover four days in a row.

This logic is horrible. Gambling is streaky. It will even out over time but to make a wager because you think it's due is a losing strategy.

You are saying it as that's only angle I take. No it's just one of the hundred things I evaluate when making a play and I just put myself in the best possible situation to win. I consider that, wave theory, streaks, b2b, ref assignments, home/away, injuries, public plays, line movement, etc... And after I evaluate all that + more I pick an make best plays on the board that match all my criteria. You have to be an idiot to just use that theory to make a play. I go as in depth as anyone on these boards before I make my picks.

[dalogester]

I wonder if this is why I have been winning the last 4 days or so... ugh oh maybe I should quit while im ahead LOL

[cockblocker]

Just as I thought and the only fav I played, Clippers cashed big.

[Capnick]

Play all the dogs and make a nice profit.

I doubt favs clean up 5 nights in row.

Lots of nice dogs that probably win straight up.

Nice call bro, hope you cleaned up!!!

[R.P. McMurphy]

Like I said in post #6 it's Black Monday and squares crumble lolol. Maybe it's just coincidence that Monday is closing day of the week for most books!!

[R.P. McMurphy]

Someone from Vegas just made the call to Dallas. "Okay we got what we needed you can cover and beat these scrub p*ssies now".