Leans for Saturday 12/6/08

[showtime2000]

Hey CK, nice card today! Let's go BAMA!

Just to hitch on the Bama game, some trends head to head,
-Bama 5-0 ats the spread last 5
-underdog 5-0ats last 5


ARST/ARIZ
-Sun Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Arizona.
-Road team is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
-Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings



On to Basketball and with Oklahoma ther are some strong trnds in their favor,
-Thunder are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
-Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Miami.
-Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
-Road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

[cocknocker]

Taking Virginia Tech 2nd half +.5 +100

Connecticut gave up

[The_Kid]

Taking Virginia Tech 2nd half +.5 +100

Connecticut gave up

Lorenzen is garbage. I can't believe the UCONN coach left him in that long.

[chipper8888]

Thanks cocknocker. I appreciate your response very much. I have $2000 left that I can use to try to get my loss back. Are you certain that Virginia Tech, UCONN, and Alabama will win tomorrow? And when you mentioned playing them, are you talking about Money Line? Thanks bro.

Are you certain ?
Last I checked there were no certainties in gambling......If he was certain he wouldn't be coming in here anymore, because he would have so much money he would be living in the South of France getting hummers from Penelope Cruz 24/7

Like the rest of us, suck it up and drive on

[chipper8888]

Bama getting 10 points against the Gators is way too much and it just seems it is screaming for people to take the Tide.....Im not sure if its a set up but im gonna leave this one alone but good luck to all that play it

[wangichu]

friggin' sportsbooks money numbers are all yesterdays... i can't see where the money is today... bleh

[peterpan19]

ck any thoughts about the phi -3 tonight ??

[wangichu]

what do you think of my memphis play ck? i spent like 2 hours researching that thing last night... i even watched the replay of the clippers game... by the way, it's offered at +8 (-105) right now in my book... good value imho

[wangichu]

ck any thoughts about the phi -3 tonight ??

my thoughts are... fade them foos after a quality win IN detroit... as a matter of fact, that's on my card... NJ is a contender right now in my book, i was never a fan while he was in dallas, but devin harris has my respect and attention... really mad at myself for not playing them last night.

[wangichu]

can anyone tell me where the money is on some games?

NJ @ PHI
OKC @ MIA
ATL @ DAL
LAC @ MIN

[showtime2000]

can anyone tell me where the money is on some games?

NJ @ PHI
OKC @ MIA
ATL @ DAL
LAC @ MIN

Hey Wang, i don't have Sportsinsights yet, so i use vegasinsider, not sure how accurate but here you go,

NJ@PHI
65% NJ

OKC@MIA
73% MIA

ATL@DAL
87% ATL

LAC@MIN
62% LAC


Hope this helps, CK i know i have to get Sportsinsights. By the way Ck, thanks for posting that Money managemnet on yesterday's posts. Again your input and information is awesome! Thank YOU!

[OuchaDirkFan41]

Havin a hell of a week! Im all over my Mavs -7 and the Cavs-8 tonight.
Anyone taking ATL watch out for some kid named Jose Juan Barea, you don't got to give us credit for beating phx the way we did, if the Mavs shoot above 45% they win and cover. King James, hes a freak of nature and Cavs playing awesome d right now. May throw UT +7.5 in a parlay as well with Cle.

[OuchaDirkFan41]

Showtime can you check where the money is on Cle@Cha?

[showtime2000]

Showtime can you check where the money is on Cle@Cha?

94% CLEV

[OuchaDirkFan41]

Showtime thanks bud, definately gonna lighten my bet on them, I think Charlotte is actually a talented team, but Cleveland is playing the best basketball I have seen this unit there right now play ever on both ends of the floor.

[showtime2000]

Wang, your nets play is looking good......With these stats,
-Nets are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.
-Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
-Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Something to point out as well on this matchup, the nets scoring at the half the last 5 games versus phil's scoring the last 5 games at the half,
NJ averaging 54 points scoring and giving up 50
PHI averaging 42 points and giving up 48.
Advantage NJ at the half? thoughts?

Wang, shall i ask the question?
CK do we get your blessing for NJ tonight?

[showtime2000]

One more thing, withthe public loving Denver tonight at a rate of 90% is Sacramento worth a look? The line has stayed at -5. Ummmmmm?
Sacramento has lost 7 straight at home and 4 straight ATS. The last 3 games head to head
Scaramento 118 Denver 115
Denver 106 Sacramento 105
Denver 101 Sacramanto 97

CK?

[peterpan19]

dont know about the nets, I really like the phils,
dont laugh, but they are due for a good game against the nets and the nets are due for a letdown, just my 2 cents on that one
probably will play them -2 or -1.5 at gametime

[wangichu]

Wang, your nets play is looking good......With these stats,
-Nets are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.
-Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
-Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Something to point out as well on this matchup, the nets scoring at the half the last 5 games versus phil's scoring the last 5 games at the half,
NJ averaging 54 points scoring and giving up 50
PHI averaging 42 points and giving up 48.
Advantage NJ at the half? thoughts?

Wang, shall i ask the question?
CK do we get your blessing for NJ tonight?

I posted on NJ with money split on ML already... they are road warriors this year and philly got a big win.. let down time for the 6ers

[nzwarrior]

What do you think about WAS +8.5?

[nzwarrior]

Also the Jazz +7.5 against Phoenix?

[africanroller]

You taking Jersey Wang?

[showtime2000]

Ck and wang, final plays on the night?

[africanroller]

Sorry to you Bama backers. I laid off this game all week but couldnt lay off when Florida was given -3.5 at the half. I am getting lambasted today but at least that made up a little bit.

Bring on Oklahoma, we will freaking crush you!!!!

[BrandonLaz]

Wow you think Florida is going to freaking crush Oklahoma. I just can not see that happening the defense in the SEC this year is way down in my opinion especially with Florida. They can not defend the pass they have a good pass rush, but if the line holds the CB will not get a good play on the ball especially against the Big 12 QB and WR tandems they have. It will be interesting to see the spread on that game whenever it gets posted.

[africanroller]

The Defense in the SEC is way down ?

NCAA Rankings

#3 Alabama Florida 30-20
#4 Tenn Florida 30-6
#7 Florida
#11 South Carolina Florida 56-6
#16 Ole Miss Of course their 1 loss

[BrandonLaz]

Ok they have daunting NCAA Rankings who is in the SEC with a powerful offense? Florida and well Florida the rest of the league has nobody with offense. Of course your numbers will be stacked when you don't have a good offense to play against. Let us look at the amazing stats of the offenses in terms of scoring.

NCAA Rankings

#3 - Florida
#28 - Georgia (Tie)
#28 - Alabama (Tie)

Those are your top 3 teams in terms of scoring points. Don't get me wrong I think Florida is a great team, but I do not think OU is a slouch themselves. I expect a good game with a lot of points scored.

[africanroller]

And I can say the SEC doesnt have offense because our Defenses are the best in the country?

I was just giving you the facts because you said the SEC doesnt have defense.

Bottom line Florida #1 Offense in the country and #7 Defense and tomorrow night. # 1 in the BCS polls

[africanroller]

But enough about that Philly -2 second half

[BrandonLaz]

One more and I am done you can say that about any team from any conference. I could say the Big 12 has the worst defense, because their offense is so good. The reverse works with the SEC they don't score, because the defense is that good. That is why the games are played and no capper will agree on every play. I expect a great game and am really curious to see what the line will be.

To that end I am with you on a small play on Philly -2 second half

[africanroller]

The problem Brandon is Im not speaking from a cappers standpoint. I am a diehard Gator and SEC fan so the numbers outside dont matter haha.

[BeanSaunce]

The problem Brandon is Im not speaking from a cappers standpoint. I am a diehard Gator and SEC fan so the numbers outside dont matter haha.

well said

[BrandonLaz]

So I was arguing something that would have never of gone differently in your mind anyway that is cool I understand.

I am going on Memphis +3 for the 2nd half. New Orleans has only beat 1 team by more than 20 this year and that was OKC I just don't see it happening against the Grizzlies tonight.

[showtime2000]

Great call wang on nets! CK awesome call on OKL!

[fatman81]

*Ouch*, I think my +5 Sacramento is going to crap!