Portland +7 Tonight? - What The Hell?

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  • KingDF
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-01-13
    • 168

    #1
    Portland +7 Tonight? - What The Hell?
    They beat Clippers last night by 1 and tonight they are a +7 underdog... how does that work?

    Not only that, the score was over 200 last night and tonight the over/under is 191.5

    I'm taking

    • Blazers +7
    • Over


    Is anybody injured or not playing on the Blazers today? I'm just baffled by the spread and points.
  • Easy-Rider 66
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-12
    • 36110

    #2
    Maybe the line is around 7 because Portland is 7-13 on the road and the Clip Joint is 19-5 at home. But with Paul out Portland may be the play. GL.
    Comment
    • DallasMaverick41
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-19-13
      • 524

      #3
      CP3's condition is still unknown for this game tonight.
      LAC is playing in LA, only advantage I can see tonight compared to last night's game.
      I still think Portland should have won by a much bigger margin last night. They held a 13 point lead in the third quarter and just gave it away in the fourth.
      Comment
      • upscope
        SBR MVP
        • 04-26-11
        • 2837

        #4
        Originally posted by KingDF
        They beat Clippers last night by 1 and tonight they are a +7 underdog... how does that work?

        Not only that, the score was over 200 last night and tonight the over/under is 191.5

        I'm taking

        • Blazers +7
        • Over


        Is anybody injured or not playing on the Blazers today? I'm just baffled by the spread and points.
        You're looking @ this wrong on so many different levels it's not even funny
        Comment
        • Mocknroll
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-26-12
          • 577

          #5
          Originally posted by KingDF
          They beat Clippers last night by 1 and tonight they are a +7 underdog... how does that work?

          Not only that, the score was over 200 last night and tonight the over/under is 191.5
          So does that mean every time 2 teams play the total should be set at what the total reached for the last game? Good logic dude.
          Comment
          • MP123
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-22-12
            • 614

            #6
            Clippers are a diff team at home... Be careful fading them against a young Portland team
            Comment
            • riskyProps
              SBR MVP
              • 11-11-10
              • 2201

              #7
              Originally posted by MP123
              Clippers are a diff team at home... Be careful fading them against a young Portland team
              The Clippers suck without a real good point guard to help create space for their shooters and they are starting to regress when defending the 3 ball.

              If Paul is in, the -7 will be a cakewalk to cover. With Paul out, they will get demolished. And with their record, they probably won't rush Paul back.
              Comment
              • Spoon19xx
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-22-13
                • 301

                #8
                Clippers are lost out there and bledsoe is not a strong backup
                Comment
                • Intwoition
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 02-07-12
                  • 142

                  #9
                  Originally posted by KingDF
                  They beat Clippers last night by 1 and tonight they are a +7 underdog... how does that work?

                  Not only that, the score was over 200 last night and tonight the over/under is 191.5

                  I'm taking

                  • Blazers +7
                  • Over


                  Is anybody injured or not playing on the Blazers today? I'm just baffled by the spread and points.
                  Last night at game time in Portland, the line was LAC-1/Por+1. There is about a 3 point home court advantage built into the line. If you now have LAC at home vs. Portland that is a 6 point line swing...guess what LAC-7/Por+7.

                  As for the over/under - I haven't even looked at the box score, but I can tell you that either one or both teams shot very well (50% plus), or the pace of the game was faster than they normally play (more shot attempts).

                  It all deviates back to the norm - the books keep it right in the middle - and look for an over-reaction from bettors based on recent events.
                  Comment
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