Fresh Start Phase #1 1/17/13

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  • Khmerkid
    SBR MVP
    • 05-09-08
    • 1093
    #1
    Fresh Start Phase #1 1/17/13
    YTD = 250 - 187 - 11 POD = 165 - 118 - 7

    01/14/13 Bankroll=($20,000) 01/17/13 ($61,250)

    01/13/13= 4 - 8 = ($63,000)
    01/14/13= 4 - 2 = ($16,400)
    01/15/13= 5 - 3 = ($18,750)
    01/16/13= 5 - 5 = ($6,100)

    Started the night out slow but turned <nobr>covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101533740#</nobr> up on the late games. Only if the Kings and the Wizards game went Over I would have made a nice profit. But over all still made a small profit for the night I can't complain a winning day is a winning day as long as I don't owe the man. I went 5 - 5 for the night and hitting my last 2 PODS of the night to close out the night with some profit. Hoping today we can stay on the right track and keep this train rolling. Once again I would like to thanks everyone who has been supporting me and have been giving their inputs and thoughts. Without you guys I wouldn't be here. So lets <nobr></nobr><nobr></nobr><nobr></nobr><nobr>start</nobr> with some leans for tonight. Nothing yet just leans any thoughts and suggestions would be appreciated.

    <nobr>Knicks -5</nobr>
    Clippers -5
    Bucks +1
    Heat +3
    Under Knicks =195
    Under Clippers =193
    Under Bucks =197
    Over Heat =207
    Tags: None
    • bmohl123
      SBR High Roller
      • 11-13-12
      • 101
      #2
      I always like to bet UNDER on games that are played out of country or on ships. Does that go into affect when you crunch the numbers KK?
        Comment
        • Khmerkid
          SBR MVP
          • 05-09-08
          • 1093
          #3
          Originally posted by bmohl123
          I always like to bet UNDER on games that are played out of country or on ships. Does that go into affect when you crunch the numbers KK?
          Not really bro I just plug the numbers in just like every NBA games
            Comment
            • brewersMKE
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-09-12
              • 105
              #4
              im really thinking this knicks will be over, last meeting they were way over 200 and both teams are on 3 days rest.
                Comment
                • bmohl123
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-13-12
                  • 101
                  #5
                  I just feel the travel to London and playing in a different enviroment then they are a custom to. I like UNDER
                    Comment
                    • Tune2ime
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 12-11-12
                      • 32
                      #6
                      Knicks are going way OVER. I agree with Mike... Rest + London = Top Performance
                        Comment
                        • bmohl123
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 11-13-12
                          • 101
                          #7
                          I may go with point spread here just do not know
                            Comment
                            • bmohl123
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-13-12
                              • 101
                              #8
                              I may go with point spread here just do not know
                                Comment
                                • JayDeezy
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-12-12
                                  • 257
                                  #9
                                  Sando presented a compelling argument as to why to go for the over on this game, just going to cut and paste for you guys to read.

                                  Knicks v. Pistons (O2 Arena London)

                                  Spot Play.

                                  A much needed break for the Knicks to get away from the constant media pressure in NY and their current poor form. Both teams only playing 1 game in the next seven days so this is like a mini holiday. Chandler possibly out means less defensive pressure in the post for Monroe and Maxiell. The whole point of these international games is to build the NBA brand and showcase elite basketball to the world. This means entertainment and entertainment means a high scoring affair to the general public. As much as NBA heads like us appreciate watching an Allen, Conley, Bradley, Wallace, etc, just lock a kid down and frustrate the hell out of him these type of games are basically exhibition matches and even though the result still counts on the YTD W/L column, surely it's hard to escape the almost all star game mentality of you score, I score, let's put on a show? Does the NBA really want to showcase itself internationally with an Indiana v. Memphis type of lock em down and beat em up style game? No. Will this angle have any actual bearing on the match? I think it will. Neither one of these teams will be getting the rabid "defence, defence" chants that they would at home as they peg back a 4th quarter deficit. It appears that the O/U line will be released at 194, which is two points higher than I had hoped for, however regardless I'm leaning strongly on the over. Any insight boys? Shall we smash this total?
                                    Comment
                                    • GIVEMETHEMONEY
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-13-12
                                      • 8428
                                      #10
                                      I agree I am going over on the Knicks

                                      Nice write up!

                                      I totally agree I am going to go on the over!
                                        Comment
                                        • bmohl123
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-13-12
                                          • 101
                                          #11
                                          ok i will trail just based on that article easily persuaded.
                                            Comment
                                            • JayDeezy
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 11-12-12
                                              • 257
                                              #12
                                              i just want to reiterate... that is Sando's write-up, not mine - all credit goes to him. As you can tell, he is quite insightful.
                                                Comment
                                                • bmohl123
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 11-13-12
                                                  • 101
                                                  #13
                                                  Just saw a crazy stat on Detroit. Out of Eastern conference teams Detroit is 13 out of 15 in shooting % on road games. Just FYI
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Spedizzo
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-16-11
                                                      • 1557
                                                      #14
                                                      The fact that all of you, as well as 77% of the public is on the Over, yet the line hasn't moved, probably means that it will go Under. You can come out with all the statistics and reasons you want, but you are just cattle being baited. Basketball is a random sport that doesn't make sense with random shit always happening.. Fade the public and in the long run you will win.

                                                      Personally I do not touch Totals.

                                                      Pistons +5.5 is probably the right guess.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JayDeezy
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 11-12-12
                                                          • 257
                                                          #15
                                                          Originally posted by Spedizzo
                                                          The fact that all of you, as well as 77% of the public is on the Over, yet the line hasn't moved, probably means that it will go Under. You can come out with all the statistics and reasons you want, but you are just cattle being baited. Basketball is a random sport that doesn't make sense with random shit always happening.. Fade the public and in the long run you will win.

                                                          Personally I do not touch Totals.

                                                          Pistons +5.5 is probably the right guess.
                                                          the line has moved 2 pts in the last 3hrs... are we watching the same lines?
                                                          guess we'll find out how right you are this evening. BOL to everyone, regardless of your pick.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bmohl123
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 11-13-12
                                                              • 101
                                                              #16
                                                              wow lots a line movement on the total going up. I locked in at OVER 194 feeling good about that as of now
                                                                Comment
                                                                • nbafanatic2012
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-13-12
                                                                  • 764
                                                                  #17
                                                                  opened at 193.5 now at 197
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JayDeezy
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-12-12
                                                                      • 257
                                                                      #18
                                                                      Originally posted by nbafanatic2012
                                                                      opened at 193.5 now at 197
                                                                      that's another 1.5 pts in the last 20 mins
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        • bmohl123
                                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                                          • 11-13-12
                                                                          • 101
                                                                          #19
                                                                          Still troubles me with the stat that detroit is 13 out of 15 in eastern conference in shooting in road games, also both teams have been off for some days. I think it will be a sloppy first quarter but that is just my opinion
                                                                            Comment
                                                                            • Khmerkid
                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                              • 05-09-08
                                                                              • 1093
                                                                              #20
                                                                              All right boys this is what I have for the early game. Locked And Loaded Play It If You Like It Fade It If You Don't. POD = Under Knicks =196 $5,500 to win $5,000

                                                                              POD = Knicks -5 $5,500 to win $5,000


                                                                              2 Team Parlay Action Revers $3,000 to win $12,000
                                                                              Under Knicks =196

                                                                              Knicks -5


                                                                              As always good luck on whatever you all decide to do.Please play responsibly will play the late games as well.
                                                                                Comment
                                                                                • tEABAG
                                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                                  • 11-09-10
                                                                                  • 160
                                                                                  #21
                                                                                  Pistons are the home team.
                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                    • bmohl123
                                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                                      • 11-13-12
                                                                                      • 101
                                                                                      #22
                                                                                      true but an away game .. c'mon tEABAG !!!
                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                        • odu89
                                                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                                                          • 01-04-13
                                                                                          • 22
                                                                                          #23
                                                                                          I'm with you on this bro! Lets get it started early. BOL!
                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                            • joco
                                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                                              • 04-24-11
                                                                                              • 3242
                                                                                              #24
                                                                                              line is up 2.5 pts in my book since sando posted his place at 10 am...
                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                • bmohl123
                                                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                                                  • 11-13-12
                                                                                                  • 101
                                                                                                  #25
                                                                                                  Is there something I am missing why is line moving higher?
                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                    • nbafanatic2012
                                                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                                                      • 01-13-12
                                                                                                      • 764
                                                                                                      #26
                                                                                                      kk u jumped on the under?? I thought we were all riding the over
                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                        • bmohl123
                                                                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                                                                          • 11-13-12
                                                                                                          • 101
                                                                                                          #27
                                                                                                          He went under. I have it at OVER 194 .....
                                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                                            • Khmerkid
                                                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                                                              • 05-09-08
                                                                                                              • 1093
                                                                                                              #28
                                                                                                              Best of luck fellas whatever you guys are on I am on the Under tonight.
                                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                                • Khmerkid
                                                                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                                                                  • 05-09-08
                                                                                                                  • 1093
                                                                                                                  #29
                                                                                                                  All right boys this is what I have for the early game. Locked And Loaded Play It If You Like It Fade It If You Don't. POD = Under Knicks =198 $5,500 to win $5,000



                                                                                                                  I am adding this play best of luck.
                                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                                    • RetardStrength
                                                                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                                                                      • 01-25-10
                                                                                                                      • 1478
                                                                                                                      #30
                                                                                                                      Love the Knicks play ATS Khmer...

                                                                                                                      If there is a team the NBA "wants" to win over in London, it's the Knicks...

                                                                                                                      There are 3 teams that the NBA would send to London to put on a show... Lakers, Knicks, Heat. That being said, they don't send them over there to lose to a team like Detroit, which there is no denying is a boring team... NBA is sending flashy to London tonight. Melo will put up 25+ and Smith should see added minutes and be looking to make plays.

                                                                                                                      Expected Detroilet to give a lack-luster defensive effort, and "do what they're supposed to do" and lay down...
                                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                                        • nbafanatic2012
                                                                                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                                                                                          • 01-13-12
                                                                                                                          • 764
                                                                                                                          #31
                                                                                                                          Originally posted by RetardStrength
                                                                                                                          Love the Knicks play ATS Khmer...

                                                                                                                          If there is a team the NBA "wants" to win over in London, it's the Knicks...

                                                                                                                          There are 3 teams that the NBA would send to London to put on a show... Lakers, Knicks, Heat. That being said, they don't send them over there to lose to a team like Detroit, which there is no denying is a boring team... NBA is sending flashy to London tonight. Melo will put up 25+ and Smith should see added minutes and be looking to make plays.

                                                                                                                          Expected Detroilet to give a lack-luster defensive effort, and "do what they're supposed to do" and lay down...

                                                                                                                          bro the game started at 3...
                                                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                                                            • RetardStrength
                                                                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                                                                              • 01-25-10
                                                                                                                              • 1478
                                                                                                                              #32
                                                                                                                              Originally posted by nbafanatic2012
                                                                                                                              bro the game started at 3...
                                                                                                                              LOL I know that! I was pointing out that I liked this play a lot... I played it myself...

                                                                                                                              So far, so good. Let's hope it goes as expected...
                                                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                                                • 3mikee_
                                                                                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                                                                                  • 12-10-12
                                                                                                                                  • 11
                                                                                                                                  #33
                                                                                                                                  Good hit on NYK total and spread bro!
                                                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                                                    • sportfinny15
                                                                                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                                                                                      • 01-04-13
                                                                                                                                      • 44
                                                                                                                                      #34
                                                                                                                                      Nice plays kid, followed you all the way for a good start to the day, let's keep it rolling into the night
                                                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                                                        • bmohl123
                                                                                                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                                          • 11-13-12
                                                                                                                                          • 101
                                                                                                                                          #35
                                                                                                                                          Changed my play last moment to the UNDER. Went with the stat I have earlier about pistons being a terrible shooting team on the road. Nice hit KK
                                                                                                                                            Comment
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