TNT Thursday NBA 01/03/13

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  • Khmerkid
    SBR MVP
    • 05-09-08
    • 1093

    #1
    TNT Thursday NBA 01/03/13
    YTD =134 -96- 8 POD =89 - 57 - 5

    11/23/12Bankroll=($20,000)01/03/13($68,100)

    Withdrawal 12/12/12 =($100,000)
    Withdrawal 12/20/12 =($150,000)
    Withdrawal 01/01/13 =($200,000)


    12/31/12= 6 - 3 = ($27,900)
    01/01/13= 5 - 2 = ($31,100)
    01/02/13= 5 - 5 = ($36,600)

    Took the biggest hit last night for the first time in a long time
    . missing all my PODS except one in the late game. So I went 5 - 5 for the night making it the worst night this season. So now <nobr>covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101520971#</nobr> to the drawing board pick my head up dust the dirt off my shoulder and ready to move on and do what I do b est. We must stay positive and try to bounce back tonight. Once again I would like to thanks everyone who has been supporting me and have been giving their inputs and thoughts. So lets start with some leans for for tonight. Nothing yet just leans any thoughts and suggestions would be appreciated.


    Spurs PK
    Nuggets -8
    Under Spurs =207
    Over Nuggets =203


  • johnnymapalo
    SBR MVP
    • 06-14-08
    • 2999

    #2
    Originally posted by Khmerkid
    YTD =134 -96- 8 POD =89 - 57 - 5

    11/23/12Bankroll=($20,000)01/03/13($68,100)

    Withdrawal 12/12/12 =($100,000)
    Withdrawal 12/20/12 =($150,000)
    Withdrawal 01/01/13 =($200,000)


    12/31/12= 6 - 3 = ($27,900)
    01/01/13= 5 - 2 = ($31,100)
    01/02/13= 5 - 5 = ($36,600)

    Took the biggest hit last night for the first time in a long time
    . missing all my PODS except one in the late game. So I went 5 - 5 for the night making it the worst night this season. So now <nobr>covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101520971#</nobr> to the drawing board pick my head up dust the dirt off my shoulder and ready to move on and do what I do b est. We must stay positive and try to bounce back tonight. Once again I would like to thanks everyone who has been supporting me and have been giving their inputs and thoughts. So lets start with some leans for for tonight. Nothing yet just leans any thoughts and suggestions would be appreciated.


    Spurs PK
    Nuggets -8
    Under Spurs =207
    Over Nuggets =203



    You should limit ur plays to 1-2 plays per day. Anything more is unnecessary and unprofitable. Just my opinion. Good Luck..
    Comment
    • Khmerkid
      SBR MVP
      • 05-09-08
      • 1093

      #3
      Originally posted by johnnymapalo
      You should limit ur plays to 1-2 plays per day. Anything more is unnecessary and unprofitable. Just my opinion. Good Luck..
      Thanks for the input bro but I am an action junky so am good. You do what you need to do and I'll do what I do. But good looking out
      Comment
      • dnwjdl
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-26-11
        • 569

        #4
        I have a lot of respect for you and your plays, but I have never tailed you before because the book that I use does not offer action reverse. Anyway, just wanted to stop by and say GL today and the rest of the NBA season.
        Comment
        • SMJ
          SBR Rookie
          • 10-29-12
          • 16

          #5
          What's the difference in parlaying and action reverse? I've just been parlaying your picks - and winning, except for last night - but I put a big bet on GSW ML, so I came out ahead!
          Comment
          • vaas187
            SBR MVP
            • 03-01-12
            • 2280

            #6
            Originally posted by Khmerkid
            YTD =134 -96- 8 POD =89 - 57 - 5

            11/23/12Bankroll=($20,000)01/03/13($68,100)

            Withdrawal 12/12/12 =($100,000)
            Withdrawal 12/20/12 =($150,000)
            Withdrawal 01/01/13 =($200,000)


            12/31/12= 6 - 3 = ($27,900)
            01/01/13= 5 - 2 = ($31,100)
            01/02/13= 5 - 5 = ($36,600)

            Took the biggest hit last night for the first time in a long time
            . missing all my PODS except one in the late game. So I went 5 - 5 for the night making it the worst night this season. So now <nobr>covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101520971#</nobr> to the drawing board pick my head up dust the dirt off my shoulder and ready to move on and do what I do b est. We must stay positive and try to bounce back tonight. Once again I would like to thanks everyone who has been supporting me and have been giving their inputs and thoughts. So lets start with some leans for for tonight. Nothing yet just leans any thoughts and suggestions would be appreciated.


            Spurs PK
            Nuggets -8
            Under Spurs =207
            Over Nuggets =203


            my input.....

            spurs seems like the logical pick and at first I wanted to play them too but I feel like it's one of those nights where NYK just shows up and with SAS on their B2B as usual....logically everything says Spurs but who knows...O/U is probably a better play but so hard to touch their Under when every game i see, SAS is averaging 100 points going into the third Q.

            Nuggets seems straight, kinda cheesed I didnt lock onto that at 6.5 last night.
            Comment
            • Khmerkid
              SBR MVP
              • 05-09-08
              • 1093

              #7
              All right boys this is what I have locking these up early. Locked And Loaded Play It If You Like It Fade It If You Don't.
              POD = Under Spurs =207 $11,000 to win $10,000

              POD = Over Nuggets =203 $11,00 <nobr>covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101520971&pa ge=1#</nobr> $10,000
              Spurs PK $5,500 to win $5,000

              2 Team Parlay Action Revers
              $5,000 to win
              $20,000

              Under Spurs =207

              Over Nuggets =203


              2 Team Parlay Action Revers
              $3,000 <nobr>to win</nobr>
              $12,000


              Spurs PK

              Under Spurs =207


              3 Team Parlay $3,000 to win $18,000
              Spurs PK
              Under Spurs =207
              Over Nuggets =203


              As always good luck on whatever you all decide to do. Bounce back night go big or go home.
              Comment
              • Yinz Hooligan
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-04-12
                • 318

                #8
                spurs resting starters tonight, game isnt gonna be on national TV ** no nba on TNT tonight because of the bowl games** so stern will be ok with it...i do like the under pick tho...good luck

                Comment
                • PeEWeEZeE
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 10-03-11
                  • 50

                  #9
                  Idk why people giving you advice when your up 400k? Smh
                  Comment
                  • vaas187
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-01-12
                    • 2280

                    #10
                    Originally posted by PeEWeEZeE
                    Idk why people giving you advice when your up 400k? Smh
                    so naive....

                    he asks for input, reads the post.
                    Comment
                    • dnwjdl
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-26-11
                      • 569

                      #11
                      I will actually tail you for the first time. PODs as straight bets.

                      San Antonio Spurs/New York Knicks (U 208) -107 x 2 units
                      Minnesota Timberwolves/Denver Nuggets (O 202) -108 x 2 units

                      Thx for the pick!
                      Comment
                      • Khmerkid
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-09-08
                        • 1093

                        #12
                        dnwjdl =Thanks bro I hope you hop on the right time cause I had an awful night last night. So putting my shiet together and hoping for a profitable night.

                        SMJ =I am glad to hear that you made out last night. I know for sure I didn't so lets hope we get some back for tonight.

                        vaas187 =Thanks for the input bro best of luck to you

                        Yinz Hooligan =Thanks for the input best of luck to us

                        PeEWeEZeE =It's all good bro it's good to hear other peoples input and thoughts
                        Comment
                        • vaas187
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-01-12
                          • 2280

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Khmerkid
                          dnwjdl =Thanks bro I hope you hop on the right time cause I had an awful night last night. So putting my shiet together and hoping for a profitable night.

                          SMJ =I am glad to hear that you made out last night. I know for sure I didn't so lets hope we get some back for tonight.

                          vaas187 =Thanks for the input bro best of luck to you

                          Yinz Hooligan =Thanks for the input best of luck to us

                          PeEWeEZeE =It's all good bro it's good to hear other peoples input and thoughts
                          i ended up riding the under SAS/NYK. snagged OVER @ 201 in Denver and took NYK at a PK. Denver looks solid but feel like -8 might be too far now, personally. GL buddy, you've been sharp
                          Comment
                          • Khmerkid
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-09-08
                            • 1093

                            #14
                            Originally posted by vaas187
                            i ended up riding the under SAS/NYK. snagged OVER @ 201 in Denver and took NYK at a PK. Denver looks solid but feel like -8 might be too far now, personally. GL buddy, you've been sharp
                            Nice bro I might add a little more depending on where the lines stand before tip off. Good luck to us tonight bro
                            Comment
                            • bassfish
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 02-07-12
                              • 93

                              #15
                              one of your followers thought I was stirring up some chit last night by posting opposite his pick (not yours). I was only trying to give you and anyone interested Memphis last night against Boston. I tailed last night like many other nights, so let's hope for a turn around and get some back - GL tonight
                              Comment
                              • TOLD YA
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 10-26-11
                                • 33

                                #16
                                I am a knick fan and I totally agree with you by saying the spurs. Amare first game back he looked rusty and actually slowed down the team. Granted its going to take some time for home to get back into it I do like the over in this game. The Knicks lost on Tuesday and are to good at home to not score ove 100 tonight. The spurs should be able to score at will against a team who's D is struggling. Also look into pts to go over 29 1/2 for melo and anything over 22 for jr smith should be a lock
                                Comment
                                • Khmerpride
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 01-03-13
                                  • 2

                                  #17
                                  Not a good Wednesday

                                  Last night got a big lost!!! Hey that part of the game...
                                  Comment
                                  • Khmerpride
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 01-03-13
                                    • 2

                                    #18
                                    Kind scare go under the spur, since last six game wining straight average score 110
                                    Comment
                                    • lunchbawks
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-31-10
                                      • 12873

                                      #19
                                      TNT is broadcasting the bowl game tonight
                                      Comment
                                      • limpan69
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 08-19-12
                                        • 2

                                        #20
                                        I have the same question as SMJ: What's the difference in parlaying and action reverse?
                                        Like SMJ I just parlay the games.
                                        Comment
                                        • Khmerkid
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-09-08
                                          • 1093

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Khmerpride
                                          Kind scare go under the spur, since last six game wining straight average score 110
                                          Why don't you bet the Over if you are scared to bet the Under?
                                          Comment
                                          • Khmerkid
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-09-08
                                            • 1093

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by limpan69
                                            I have the same question as SMJ: What's the difference in parlaying and action reverse?
                                            Like SMJ I just parlay the games.
                                            The pay out is much higher also the risk is much higher as well so it evens out.
                                            Comment
                                            • sbrhgary
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 11-28-12
                                              • 275

                                              #23
                                              Why so early today?
                                              Comment
                                              • Khmerkid
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-09-08
                                                • 1093

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by sbrhgary
                                                Why so early today?

                                                I couldn't farking sleep last night so spend most of the night crunching these numbers also I know the numbers will rise so I figure I lock it up before it will get out of hand.
                                                Comment
                                                • sbrhgary
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-28-12
                                                  • 275

                                                  #25
                                                  One bad day. Don't mind. Let's kill'em today.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • c_trak
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 12-25-12
                                                    • 8

                                                    #26
                                                    Khmerkid, I signed up just to say thank you for your post. I've been able to make some profit because of you. Anyways if I may ask, what online book do you use?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • comppicks35
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 12-20-12
                                                      • 72

                                                      #27
                                                      I got the 2 games on TNT tonight (afternoon for me; I'm in Hawaii); is it being blacked-out in your area, Yinz? Do you have inside info that the Spurs will rest starters for sure?....would help us out a lot to cap.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SMJ
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 10-29-12
                                                        • 16

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Khmerkid
                                                        The pay out is much higher also the risk is much higher as well so it evens out.
                                                        Is action reverse the same as round robin?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • comppicks35
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 12-20-12
                                                          • 72

                                                          #29
                                                          Yup, the numbers did go higher for the sides but the Ov/Uns are going against you....OVER for the Spurs and UNDER for the Nuggets. I personally like the OVER for both, but that's my calcs and everyone has different capping methods.

                                                          GL tonight, Kid....hopefully it'll be good for both of us.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SMJ
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 10-29-12
                                                            • 16

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by comppicks35
                                                            Yup, the numbers did go higher for the sides but the Ov/Uns are going against you....OVER for the Spurs and UNDER for the Nuggets. I personally like the OVER for both, but that's my calcs and everyone has different capping methods.

                                                            GL tonight, Kid....hopefully it'll be good for both of us.
                                                            how can it possibly be good for both of you? You're fading both of his picks
                                                            Comment
                                                            • comppicks35
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 12-20-12
                                                              • 72

                                                              #31
                                                              Good on the side(s); fading the O/U, but I don't bet the same way Kid does and numbers I have are different, so if he wins, I can still win or lose.

                                                              BTW - why does it matter to you? Are you here to offer some advice that would change the pick on the sides/totals??....or just to criticize a post?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SMJ
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 10-29-12
                                                                • 16

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by comppicks35
                                                                Good on the side(s); fading the O/U, but I don't bet the same way Kid does and numbers I have are different, so if he wins, I can still win or lose.

                                                                BTW - why does it matter to you? Are you here to offer some advice that would change the pick on the sides/totals??....or just to criticize a post?
                                                                Sorry, didn't mean to be a jerk! Just noticed that if your overs/unders were correct we'd lose just about every bet (if not all), which isn't going to happen - we are winners tonight! Sorry again!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Elliot29
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 03-24-12
                                                                  • 141

                                                                  #33
                                                                  The games are not on TNT tonight ! Notice game times 7:30 and 9:00 ! The plays are NY and Denver
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KushMoney
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-11-11
                                                                    • 658

                                                                    #34
                                                                    WOAHHH!!! Knicks today, for sure.


                                                                    Spurs on back to back Road games - Starters = TRAP LINE

                                                                    Jason Kidd and Novak finna go in tonight Khmerkid! Both scoring 0 last game, They mad and this will be that game where they just start shittin on em! With 3's of course.. Shittin 3's on Spurs, expect it!


                                                                    Without the SA starters tonight, This game should be capped Knicks -8


                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thunderous
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-05-12
                                                                      • 1870

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by SMJ
                                                                      Is action reverse the same as round robin?
                                                                      No. Short answer.
                                                                      Action reverse of 2 bets at -110
                                                                      Lose both bets => -1.0000 units
                                                                      Lose 1, Win 1 => -0.5455 units
                                                                      Win both bets => +1.8182 units
                                                                      EV at 4.545% juice per bet => -6.8182%


                                                                      Parlay of 2 bets at -110
                                                                      Lose both bets => -1.0000 units
                                                                      Lose 1, Win 1 => -1.0000 units
                                                                      Win both bets => +2.6446 units
                                                                      EV at 4.545% juice (per bet) => -8.8843%
                                                                      Comment
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