TNT Thursday NBA 12/20/12

Eagles27 · 12-20-12, 12:01 PM

Im still trying to decide who I want to fade OKC or Miami. I think the T-Wolves will be a tough match up for OKC, but Love has been struggling and Rubio will probably only play 20-25 mins. I am a bit cautious on OKC because they have been RED hot and all good streaks must come to an end (3rd game in 4 nights), the fawks did make a nice run against them yesterday late in the game, maybe a bit of fatigue setting in for OKC?

Heat.. well they have played 7 friggin home games in a row and have been struggling on the road (they go back home after tonight), so I can easily see them coming out flat for their first road game in forever. Not to mention, Dallas will hit the road after tonight (3 game road trip) where they will face Memphis, Spurs and OKC, I imagine they will take tonights home game very serious as they need a win tonight. Anyway, after writing all that I still dont know who I am going with, all I know is, I am fading either Miami or OKC lol

Yinz Hooligan · 12-20-12, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by Khmerkid

YTD = 88 - 62 - 7 POD = 60 - 37 - 4

11/23/12 Bankroll=($20,000) 12/20/12 ($108,000)

Withdrawal 12/12/12 =($100,000)
Withdrawal 12/20/12 =($150,000)

2/15/12= 3 - 2 = ($53,100)
12/16/12= 4 - 3 - 1 = ($11,200)
12/17/11= 4 - 1 = ($14,000)
12/18/12= 6 - 1 = ($40,000)
12/19/12= 3 - 2 = ($56,400)

Another profitable night 5 consecutive nights holy shiet this is insane. I went 3 - 2 for the night hitting all my PODS so I made another huge chunk of profit it feels farking awesome to be winning 5 consecutive days. This is by far the best year that I ever have started out in the NBA. Congrats to on all those have been riding this mini hot streak. Like they always say all good thing must come to an end sooner or later. But I am going to try my best to stay on track for another profitable night before I go on my <nobr>covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101509292#</nobr>.Once again I would like to thanks everyone who has been supporting me and have been giving their inputs and thoughts. So lets start with some leans for early games. Nothing yet just leans any thoughts and suggestions would be appreciated.

Thunder -3
Nuggets -5
Mavericks +5
Under Thunder =199
Over Mavericks =201
Under Nuggets =199

i like your picks, im going with thunder for sure. i was also thinking of fading the heat not sure tho..taking thunder and heat both do seem pretty "square" maybe if there is more line movement later in favor of the mavs i will jump on..good luck tonight sir on whatever you go with

line moving to 3.5 - 4 on the thunder now..i got it in at -3.5

Khmerkid · 12-20-12, 12:50 PM

Eagles27 =Nice shiet you got going this man know his shiet thanks for sharing best of luck on whatever you decide to do.

Yinz Hooligan =Thanks bro I am not sure what I will be playing I need to do my homework and study these plays also a lot of number crunching but either way there will be some nice plays for tonight hoping to continue this mini hot streak before I go on my vacation.

innovation · 12-20-12, 12:59 PM

I'm pretty sure this will be taking the wrong way.

Why not just post your record and the amount of UNITS your up or down?

Your dollar amounts may make you feel good or important but to some they cast a shade of what you are really here for.

dmitean · 12-20-12, 01:02 PM

Can't see any reason to play the Under tonight.
Adelman is known as a fast pace coach, but without Love and Rubio, he was forced to play slower tempo.
Now with Love back in shape and Rubio back on the court, this should be high pace team that should average 200+ points.
Thunder scored 100 points in 15 out of 16 games. Can't see them scoring lower than 105 points no matter how you look at it.

Khmerkid · 12-20-12, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by innovation

I'm pretty sure this will be taking the wrong way.

Why not just post your record and the amount of UNITS your up or down?

Your dollar amounts may make you feel good or important but to some they cast a shade of what you are really here for.

Sorry to burst your bubbles bro but I am not here for anything I am here just trying to help out and I've been posting the same way since day 1 I've been in this game long enough so it's all good people can think whatever they want.

overcome · 12-20-12, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by dmitean

Can't see any reason to play the Under tonight.
Adelman is known as a fast pace coach, but without Love and Rubio, he was forced to play slower tempo.
Now with Love back in shape and Rubio back on the court, this should be high pace team that should average 200+ points.
Thunder scored 100 points in 15 out of 16 games. Can't see them scoring lower than 105 points no matter how you look at it.

they only scored 100pts against the hawks last night

I kinda like how op posts with the dollar amount cause it tells me how much money I could've owned if I had a 20k bankroll LOL

<lesdudis> · 12-20-12, 01:12 PM

...just found out about you yesterday. my friends talked about ur streak from COVERS. and had to try u out...i hit with all ur team picks, should of parlayed all 4, but had 2, 2 team pars that hit. couldnt believe The Pacers went over by a point! and had small money on the Bobcats, so the hit didnt hurt as much. still had a profitable day. going with ur picks again, tonight! cant wait to see how u play ur picks! have fun on ur vacation!

dmitean · 12-20-12, 01:16 PM

Originally posted by overcome

they only scored 100pts against the hawks last night

Exactly - against team that plays better defense and slower pace, they scored 100 points.

sydiest · 12-20-12, 01:29 PM

Sounds Like Hatorade!!

Originally posted by innovation

I'm pretty sure this will be taking the wrong way.

Why not just post your record and the amount of UNITS your up or down?

Your dollar amounts may make you feel good or important but to some they cast a shade of what you are really here for.

Why do you care how/what he posts? And how does that reflect on his motives?

Any way for a newbie such as myself it helps me understand which teams he really likes! IE he bets more or parlays.

I hate when people post in units. Tell me how much you really won. Nobody wants to hear the nickle and dime stories. (Maybe he is not really betting thousands but for illustration purposes IT WORKS)

Khmerkid= I like to pick two "guaranteed" picks and parlay them with any pick (play both)
Example:
I parlayed pacers, raptors and celtics over last night $50 won $350 (I bet fifty because I felt like Celtics would go over)
but I also played pacers, raptors and celtic under $25 to win 175 (lost)

I feel like this cuts down on my odds of losing. Unless of course one of my guaranteed picks lose

Have you ever heard of a system like this.

Khmerkid · 12-20-12, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by sydiest

Why do you care how/what he posts? And how does that reflect on his motives?

Any way for a newbie such as myself it helps me understand which teams he really likes! IE he bets more or parlays.

I hate when people post in units. Tell me how much you really won. Nobody wants to hear the nickle and dime stories. (Maybe he is not really betting thousands but for illustration purposes IT WORKS)

Khmerkid= I like to pick two "guaranteed" picks and parlay them with any pick (play both)
Example:
I parlayed pacers, raptors and celtics over last night $50 won $350 (I bet fifty because I felt like Celtics would go over)
but I also played pacers, raptors and celtic under $25 to win 175 (lost)

I feel like this cuts down on my odds of losing. Unless of course one of my guaranteed picks lose

Have you ever heard of a system like this.

I do that sometime as well as you can see most of the nights I usually do an action reverse for the 2 teams that I am not really sure with but with a lesser amount sometime it hits and sometime it does. Just like last night the 2 team I didn't parlay I wasn't sure and they both lost the Bobcats and the Under but like a few days ago the 2 team I parlayed won but it was for a lesser amount and I wasn't really sure if they would win or not.

Khaotikid · 12-20-12, 02:53 PM

Originally posted by sydiest

Why do you care how/what he posts? And how does that reflect on his motives?

Any way for a newbie such as myself it helps me understand which teams he really likes! IE he bets more or parlays.

I hate when people post in units. Tell me how much you really won. Nobody wants to hear the nickle and dime stories. (Maybe he is not really betting thousands but for illustration purposes IT WORKS)
.

+1 on the $$ vs the units. Gives a better idea to newbs like me of what's going on.

Khmerkid keep doing your thing man. Great picks last night. Hopping on your streak.

forthewin · 12-20-12, 03:08 PM

Thunder -3
Nuggets -5
Mavericks +5
Under Thunder =199
Over Mavericks =201
Under Nuggets =199

The Thunder "should" win but just factoring in a few things, OKC went 1-5 last season when favored at -3/-3.5 and those were SU losses. They are also 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. Then there is the streak factor going for 13 straight wins (two short of the record set by the Sonics in '96). Also, the UCLA showdown between former teammates Westbrook and Love is at hand again live on TNT. Then Rubios back and with limited minutes I am sure wants to get the team off to a good start. Let's not forget he sat versus the Heat so he I am sure he is rested and ready to go. With all that being said, again the Thunder should win based on being the better team but something seems amiss. I thought the "Over" looked great in this situation but again something seems amiss. Maybe I am over thinking it? Anyway goodluck on your picks. You've been doing excellent work!

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LakeShow · 12-20-12, 03:17 PM

Originally posted by Khmerkid

Sorry to burst your bubbles bro but I am not here for anything I am here just trying to help out and I've been posting the same way since day 1 I've been in this game long enough so it's all good people can think whatever they want.

Khmerkid, you are insane, dont waste your time with the haters. there are some that win...then there are some than whine...

on a different note...why dont you create a season long thread? i ask becasuse that would allow your followers to subscribe and be notified when you post your plays.

thanks and keep up the good work

Eagles27 · 12-20-12, 03:35 PM

Derek Fisher will be out tonight for the Mavs, Elton Brand will be a gametime decision.

nbafanatic2012 · 12-20-12, 03:54 PM

Public all over heat and thunder....we should wait for dallas line to keep moving past 6 and then its hammer time....and for thunder we should lock and load it asap! gl sir

itzdaniel · 12-20-12, 04:04 PM

You have been doing great bro, don't mind the trolls. Just keep doing what you're doing.

innovation · 12-20-12, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by LakeShow

Khmerkid, you are insane, dont waste your time with the haters. there are some that win...then there are some than whine...

on a different note...why dont you create a season long thread? i ask becasuse that would allow your followers to subscribe and be notified when you post your plays.

thanks and keep up the good work

I knew people couldn't handle what I said.

He actually took it well and if he sat and thought about it.
It would be in his best interest to not disclose how much he is up or withdrawing.
Only bad things will come with posting the dollar amounts for all to see including the IRS.

Keep winning and good work. I am not hating on your winning just hoping you look at it as a 3rd person would.

mushmoney · 12-20-12, 04:37 PM

when you gonna dedice it bro?

itzdaniel · 12-20-12, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by innovation

I knew people couldn't handle what I said.

He actually took it well and if he sat and thought about it.
It would be in his best interest to not disclose how much he is up or withdrawing.
Only bad things will come with posting the dollar amounts for all to see including the IRS.

Keep winning and good work. I am not hating on your winning just hoping you look at it as a 3rd person would.

Hey man, just go with the thread. Like he said, tail if you like, fade if you don't. Don't think too much! The world is going to end tomorrow anyways. Live while we're young!

LakeShow · 12-20-12, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by itzdaniel

Hey man, just go with the thread. Like he said, tail if you like, fade if you don't. Don't think too much! The world is going to end tomorrow anyways. Live while we're young!

I hope it doesnt end this week..let me get paid out first....

STAY STRONG · 12-20-12, 05:26 PM

I like all 3 dogs today.

Khmerkid · 12-20-12, 05:29 PM

dmitean =Thank for the input best of luck bro

overcome =Thanks and good luck bro

<lesdudis> =Thanks bro Covers is my home I've been there longer

sydiest =Thanks bro i agree

Khaotikid =Thanks bro hope we can cash again tonight

forthewin =Thanks for the input bro and best of luck

LakeShow =I didn't want to disrespect anyone bro everyone has an opinion so it is what it is

Eagles27 =Thanks for the info bro

nbafanatic2012 =Thanks for the input bro

itzdaniel =Thanks bro I don't mind them at all I've been in this game to long.

mushmoney =In a little while bro just finalizing the numbers for the PODS

LakeShow =I hope not too bro at least for 1 more night.

mushmoney · 12-20-12, 05:29 PM

we gonna win big tonite hopully ... Khmerkid kiling it....

comppicks35 · 12-20-12, 05:31 PM

Been tailing you last couple of days and wanted to say thanks for the great info. Waiting for your plays today. GL!

Khmerkid · 12-20-12, 05:41 PM

All right boys this is what I have for tonight. Locked And Loaded Play It If You Like It Fade It If You Don't.
POD = Under thunder =202$7,700 to win $7,000

POD = Over Mavericks =201 $7,700 to win $7,000
POD = Under Nuggets =200 $7,700 to win $7,000
Thunder -3 $3,300 to win $3,000
Mavericks +5 $3,300 to win $3,000
Nuggets -6 $3,300 to win $3,00

2 Team Parlay Action Revers $3,000 to win $12,000Under Thunder =202

Over Mavericks =201

2 Team Parlay Action Revers $3,000 to win $12,000Over Mavericks =201

Under Nuggets =200

3 Team Parlay $3,000 to win $18,000

Under Thunder =202

Over Mavericks =201

Under Nuggets =200

As always good luck on whatever you all decide to do. Hope we hit this shiet before I go on my vacation.

mushmoney · 12-20-12, 05:48 PM

you are the best....

<lesdudis> · 12-20-12, 05:48 PM

...never laid a Reverse Bet in my life...will do both ur reverses, today. and that 3 teamer...lets make this last one count!

comppicks35 · 12-20-12, 05:49 PM

Nice; on it all except for the Nuggets. Can you tell me why you like the Nuggets today?

RavensFan2k3 · 12-20-12, 05:52 PM

Im not gonna lie...the Mavericks scare me

Khmerkid · 12-20-12, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by comppicks35

Nice; on it all except for the Nuggets. Can you tell me why you like the Nuggets today?

Nuggets been playing good as of late beat 2 of the toughest team few days ago and now the are facing the Blazers. Blazers look good on paper but they've been playing shiety losing to teams like Sacrament,Washington, and Detroit. You know and I know the Nuggets are better than these 3 teams that they lost to. But either way best of luck on whatever you decide to do.

comppicks35 · 12-20-12, 06:04 PM

Thanks for the explanation, Kid. Agree that the Nuggets are a better team overall than the Blazers, but have a hard time trusting them on the road (even after that big W against the Kings...Kings back off a 4G road trip and came out totally flat) and giving points. Got +6 on the Blazers and hoping the game doesn't get out of hand; could go either way. Good luck to you too

hungry tiger · 12-20-12, 06:12 PM

Yeah, Go nuggets !

BING23 · 12-20-12, 06:12 PM

goodluck brother been away all week wish i wasnt! hot run keep it goin