Utah seems like a good play but why bet against the Spurs right now?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • BigDofBA
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-30-09
    • 19313

    #1
    Utah seems like a good play but why bet against the Spurs right now?
    I really want to take Utah but the Spurs are the better team and playing better ball.

    I feel like taking Utah would be like throwing a dart and hoping to get lucky.
  • ThaTopMoron
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-30-10
    • 27020

    #2
    95% of people have Spurs on ESPN streak for the cash lol
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by BigDofBA
      I feel like taking Utah would be like throwing a dart and hoping to get lucky.
      Same.
      Comment
      • BigDofBA
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-30-09
        • 19313

        #4
        I've made like two plays in situations like this in they have both lost this year. I'm trying to learn from my mistakes.

        I think the Spurs are the second best team in the NBA behind the Heat, however, I feel like the Spurs could beat the Heat in a 7 game series because of coaching.

        Is San Antonio going to cover rest of their games? Of course not. With that said, they are the better team, and playing better. I feel like they would probably cover 4 against Utah at least 60% of the time even if it is on the road. They have better players and a better coach.

        I really wanted to back Utah but I can't see enough good reasons other than they are at home as a short dog. The line is probably right about where it should be so I see no real advantage here.

        I'll probably make a live bet or take the Spurs first half and chase second half if it loses. The NBA is so damn streaky, if you wait you can get a lot better line at some point during the game.

        Look at tonight for example:

        - The Pacers are down 14 and win by 15.
        - OKC is down 12 and wins by 2
        - The Nets are down double digits and win by 6
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by BigDofBA
          I've made like two plays in situations like this in they have both lost this year. I'm trying to learn from my mistakes.

          I think the Spurs are the second best team in the NBA behind the Heat, however, I feel like the Spurs could beat the Heat in a 7 game series because of coaching.

          Is San Antonio going to cover rest of their games? Of course not. With that said, they are the better tea, and playing better. I feel like they would probably cover 4 against Utah at least 60% of the time even if it is on the road.

          I really wanted to back Utah but I can't see enough good reasons to other than they are at home as a short dog. The line is probably right about where it should be so I see no real advantage here.

          I'll probably make a live bet or take the Spurs first half and chase second half if it loses. The NBA is so damn streaky, if you wait you can get a lot better line at some point during the game.

          Look at tonight for example:

          - The Pacers are down 14 and win by 15.
          - OKC is down 12 and wins by 2
          - The Nets are down double digits and win by 6
          Spurs own the Jazz, too.
          Comment
          • BigDofBA
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-30-09
            • 19313

            #6
            Yeah, I feel like I've made this same play like three times in the past year and it always loses.

            I'm taking the Spurs -2 for the first half and if it loses I'll play them again in the 2nd half.

            The Spurs have been starting off slow and blowing teams out in the second half so I'll probably lose the first bet and then win the second bet after the Spurs turn it on and win by like 9.
            Comment
            • BigDofBA
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-30-09
              • 19313

              #7
              1st half
              Spurs -2
              Under 106


              My head tells me to play the Jazz and the over but I'm following my gut and Pinny.
              Comment
              • mojojo
                SBR Hustler
                • 11-09-12
                • 81

                #8
                i have the same feeling. Everything is telling me initially that i should take utah but i don't see this as a let down spot for the spurs. The line is telling me spurs and they have dominated utah for the most part. Ill fade the spurs tomorrow when they go to portland but not tonight.
                Comment
                • phillybadboy
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-11-09
                  • 9383

                  #9
                  nice calls the other day
                  Comment
                  • Swizly
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 01-22-12
                    • 45

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BigDofBA
                    I really want to take Utah but the Spurs are the better team and playing better ball.

                    I feel like taking Utah would be like throwing a dart and hoping to get lucky.
                    This exactly. I really feel like Jazz will win today but I've got a rule to never fade the spurs... it's not worth it in the long run.
                    Comment
                    • zizoudane10
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-27-12
                      • 7272

                      #11
                      Only took the under for the first half, not too sure about the winner. Gun to head I'd say Spurs cover. But def a no bet for me.
                      Comment
                      • BigDofBA
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-30-09
                        • 19313

                        #12
                        Originally posted by phillybadboy
                        nice calls the other day
                        Thank man.

                        Everytime I bet a Spurs under, it's always well on pace and then they explode to bury me. If that happens, they should at least cover the "square" -2 I took.
                        Comment
                        • t-wizzle
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-18-09
                          • 38099

                          #13
                          I'm hammering Utah Live when I get the chance.
                          Comment
                          • Emerson
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 05-08-12
                            • 46

                            #14
                            Looks just like the first game spurs quick start..
                            Comment
                            • Emerson
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 05-08-12
                              • 46

                              #15
                              Originally posted by t-wizzle
                              I'm hammering Utah Live when I get the chance.
                              Same here
                              Comment
                              • BigDofBA
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-30-09
                                • 19313

                                #16
                                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                I'm hammering Utah Live when I get the chance.
                                What do you mean by Hammer?

                                I would definitely take Utah Live first half at like +6.5-7 if I could because that's what I think the line should be anyway. I don't think I'll get a line like that though.

                                I'll probably play whoever loses the first half in the second half. In other news, I love Bovada's live wager on the final score being even or odd.

                                -120 for odd
                                -120 for even

                                Comment
                                • Dexter
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 25829

                                  #17
                                  dont you fade the public road favorite on national tv? especially when the home court fans are just as important as the jazz's 5th guy?

                                  it was painful, but i faded popovich for 1u
                                  Comment
                                  • t-wizzle
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-18-09
                                    • 38099

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                    What do you mean by Hammer?

                                    I would definitely take Utah Live first half at like +6.5-7 if I could because that's what I think the line should be anyway. I don't think I'll get a line like that though.

                                    I'll probably play whoever loses the first half in the second half. In other news, I love Bovada's live wager on the final score being even or odd.

                                    -120 for odd
                                    -120 for even

                                    Utah will win this ballgame.
                                    Comment
                                    • BigDofBA
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-30-09
                                      • 19313

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Dexter
                                      dont you fade the public road favorite on national tv? especially when the home court fans are just as important as the jazz's 5th guy?

                                      it was painful, but i faded popovich for 1u
                                      Normally I do. That's why I made this thread.

                                      With that said, these plays have been losing left and right which was why I liked the Spurs. I still may take Utah live if I think I'm getting a favorable line though.
                                      Comment
                                      • Dexter
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-24-08
                                        • 25829

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                        Normally I do. That's why I made this thread.

                                        With that said, these plays have been losing left and right which was why I liked the Spurs. I still may take Utah live if I think I'm getting a favorable line though.
                                        i hope you are auto playing the thunder every game.....this season can be that easy and simple for you.
                                        Comment
                                        • BigDofBA
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-30-09
                                          • 19313

                                          #21
                                          50 total points. It's going to take 57 2nd quarter points to beat me. I wish I could bet they score 58 exactly. LOL.
                                          Comment
                                          • BigDofBA
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-30-09
                                            • 19313

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Dexter
                                            i hope you are auto playing the thunder every game.....this season can be that easy and simple for you.
                                            You obviously haven't seen many of my posts because I'm pretty anti taking short road faves especially the Heat, Thunder, and Spurs.

                                            With that said, if you had played the Spurs and Thunder every game you would be up a decent amount.
                                            Comment
                                            • zizoudane10
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-27-12
                                              • 7272

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                              50 total points. It's going to take 57 2nd quarter points to beat me. I wish I could bet they score 58 exactly. LOL.
                                              Yeah, was hoping for a few less, but hey, let's see what happens
                                              Comment
                                              • BigDofBA
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-30-09
                                                • 19313

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by zizoudane10
                                                Yeah, was hoping for a few less, but hey, let's see what happens
                                                I said I would bet on them scoring 58 exactly because it's usually and and one or three ball that beats me so it will probably go over by 2.
                                                Comment
                                                • BigDofBA
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 09-30-09
                                                  • 19313

                                                  #25
                                                  I can deal with losing my Spurs bet but if they score 35 points in the final 5:52 to make me lose the under I'll be pissed.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • zizoudane10
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 03-27-12
                                                    • 7272

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by zizoudane10
                                                    Only took the under for the first half, not too sure about the winner. Gun to head I'd say Spurs cover. But def a no bet for me.
                                                    Easier than expected
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDofBA
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-30-09
                                                      • 19313

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by zizoudane10
                                                      Easier than expected

                                                      i end up going 1-1 and just losing juice.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • zizoudane10
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-27-12
                                                        • 7272

                                                        #28
                                                        Still thinking about 2nd half.... But I guess the best would be to stop right now
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigDofBA
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-30-09
                                                          • 19313

                                                          #29
                                                          I may just call it a night.

                                                          Pinny is leaning Utah and the under but I can't take Utah -4 for the game even though my gut feeling is that it will cash.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BigDofBA
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-30-09
                                                            • 19313

                                                            #30
                                                            Who am I kidding.

                                                            Under 105 second half.


                                                            GL. Maybe Utah goes on a run and the Spurs throw the towel in in the 4th quarter to rest some guys.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dexter
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-24-08
                                                              • 25829

                                                              #31
                                                              you guys should hammer popovich 3rd qtr when trailing at the half....wish i could
                                                              Comment
                                                              • zizoudane10
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 03-27-12
                                                                • 7272

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                                Who am I kidding.

                                                                Under 105 second half.


                                                                GL. Maybe Utah goes on a run and the Spurs throw the towel in in the 4th quarter to rest some guys.
                                                                Damn, was thinking about the over here. With this said, I'm just putting a half of my winnings on the over 104.5. At least one of us is making money with this game tonight. Or in the case of under 205 we both are.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BigDofBA
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-30-09
                                                                  • 19313

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by zizoudane10
                                                                  Damn, was thinking about the over here. With this said, I'm just putting a half of my winnings on the over 104.5. At least one of us is making money with this game tonight. Or in the case of under 205 we both are.
                                                                  I rooting for a push.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • gopolks
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-16-12
                                                                    • 791

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Surly it will be under 205.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • AceKingHigh
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-23-09
                                                                      • 3888

                                                                      #35
                                                                      how do you see that pinny lean is Utah and Under?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...